It is time to stop pretending
that Europeans and Americans share a common view of the world, or
even that they occupy the same world. On the all-important question
of power - the efficacy of power, the morality of power, the
desirability of power - American and European perspectives are
diverging. Europe is turning away from power, or to put it a little
differently, it is moving beyond power into a self-contained world
of laws and rules and transnational negotiation and cooperation. It
is entering a post-historical paradise of peace and relative
prosperity, the realization of Kant's "Perpetual Peace." The United
States, meanwhile, remains mired in history, exercising power in the
anarchic Hobbesian world where international laws and rules are
unreliable and where true security and the defense and promotion of
a liberal order still depend on the possession and use of military
might. That is why on major strategic and international questions
today, Americans are from Mars and Europeans are from Venus: They
agree on little and understand one another less and less. And this
state of affairs is not transitory - the product of one American
election or one catastrophic event. The reasons for the
transatlantic divide are deep, long in development, and likely to
endure. When it comes to setting national priorities, determining
threats, defining challenges, and fashioning and implementing
foreign and defense policies, the United States and Europe have
parted ways.
It is easier to see the
contrast as an American living in Europe. Europeans are more
conscious of the growing differences, perhaps because they fear them
more. European intellectuals are nearly unanimous in the conviction
that Americans and Europeans no longer share a common "strategic
culture." The European caricature at its most extreme depicts an
America dominated by a "culture of death," its warlike temperament
the natural product of a violent society where every man has a gun
and the death penalty reigns. But even those who do not make this
crude link agree there are profound differences in the way the
United States and Europe conduct foreign policy.
The United States, they argue,
resorts to force more quickly and, compared with Europe, is less
patient with diplomacy. Americans generally see the world divided
between good and evil, between friends and enemies, while Europeans
see a more complex picture. When confronting real or potential
adversaries, Americans generally favor policies of coercion rather
than persuasion, emphasizing punitive sanctions over inducements to
better behavior, the stick over the carrot. Americans tend to seek
finality in international affairs: They want problems solved,
threats eliminated. And, of course, Americans increasingly tend
toward unilateralism in international affairs. They are less
inclined to act through international institutions such as the
United Nations, less inclined to work cooperatively with other
nations to pursue common goals, more skeptical about international
law, and more willing to operate outside its strictures when they
deem it necessary, or even merely useful.1
Europeans insist they approach
problems with greater nuance and sophistication. They try to
influence others through subtlety and indirection. They are more
tolerant of failure, more patient when solutions don't come quickly.
They generally favor peaceful responses to problems, preferring
negotiation, diplomacy, and persuasion to coercion. They are quicker
to appeal to international law, international conventions, and
international opinion to adjudicate disputes. They try to use
commercial and economic ties to bind nations together. They often
emphasize process over result, believing that ultimately process can
become substance.
This European dual portrait is
a caricature, of course, with its share of exaggerations and
oversimplifications. One cannot generalize about Europeans: Britons
may have a more "American" view of power than many of their fellow
Europeans on the continent. And there are differing perspectives
within nations on both sides of the Atlantic. In the U.S., Democrats
often seem more "European" than Republicans; Secretary of State
Colin Powell may appear more "European" than Secretary of Defense
Donald Rumsfeld. Many Americans, especially among the intellectual
elite, are as uncomfortable with the "hard" quality of American
foreign policy as any European; and some Europeans value power as
much as any American.
Nevertheless, the caricatures
do capture an essential truth: The United States and Europe are
fundamentally different today. Powell and Rumsfeld have more in
common than do Powell and Hubert Védrine or even Jack Straw. When it
comes to the use of force, mainstream American Democrats have more
in common with Republicans than they do with most European
Socialists and Social Democrats. During the 1990s even American
liberals were more willing to resort to force and were more
Manichean in their perception of the world than most of their
European counterparts. The Clinton administration bombed Iraq, as
well as Afghanistan and Sudan. European governments, it is safe to
say, would not have done so. Whether they would have bombed even
Belgrade in 1999, had the U.S. not forced their hand, is an
interesting question.2
What is the source of these
differing strategic perspectives? The question has received too
little attention in recent years, either because foreign policy
intellectuals and policymakers on both sides of the Atlantic have
denied the existence of a genuine difference or because those who
have pointed to the difference, especially in Europe, have been more
interested in assailing the United States than in understanding why
the United States acts as it does -or, for that matter, why Europe
acts as it does. It is past time to move beyond the denial and the
insults and to face the problem head-on.
Despite what many Europeans and
some Americans believe, these differences in strategic culture do
not spring naturally from the national characters of Americans and
Europeans. After all, what Europeans now consider their more
peaceful strategic culture is, historically speaking, quite new. It
represents an evolution away from the very different strategic
culture that dominated Europe for hundreds of years and at least
until World War I. The European governments - and peoples - who
enthusiastically launched themselves into that continental war
believed in machtpolitik. While the roots of the present European
worldview, like the roots of the European Union itself, can be
traced back to the Enlightenment, Europe's great-power politics for
the past 300 years did not follow the visionary designs of the
philosophes and the physiocrats.
As for the United States, there
is nothing timeless about the present heavy reliance on force as a
tool of international relations, nor about the tilt toward
unilateralism and away from a devotion to international law.
Americans are children of the Enlightenment, too, and in the early
years of the republic were more faithful apostles of its creed.
America's eighteenth- and early nineteenth-century statesmen sounded
much like the European statesmen of today, extolling the virtues of
commerce as the soothing balm of international strife and appealing
to international law and international opinion over brute force. The
young United States wielded power against weaker peoples on the
North American continent, but when it came to dealing with the
European giants, it claimed to abjure power and assailed as
atavistic the power politics of the eighteenth- and
nineteenth-century European empires.
Two centuries later, Americans
and Europeans have traded places - and perspectives. Partly this is
because in those 200 years, but especially in recent decades, the
power equation has shifted dramatically: When the United States was
weak, it practiced the strategies of indirection, the strategies of
weakness; now that the United States is powerful, it behaves as
powerful nations do. When the European great powers were strong,
they believed in strength and martial glory. Now, they see the world
through the eyes of weaker powers. These very different points of
view, weak versus strong, have naturally produced differing
strategic judgments, differing assessments of threats and of the
proper means of addressing threats, and even differing calculations
of interest.
But this is only part of the
answer. For along with these natural consequences of the
transatlantic power gap, there has also opened a broad ideological
gap. Europe, because of its unique historical experience of the past
half-century - culminating in the past decade with the creation of
the European Union - has developed a set of ideals and principles
regarding the utility and morality of power different from the
ideals and principles of Americans, who have not shared that
experience. If the strategic chasm between the United States and
Europe appears greater than ever today, and grows still wider at a
worrying pace, it is because these material and ideological
differences reinforce one another. The divisive trend they together
produce may be impossible to reverse.
The power gap:
perception and reality
Europe has been militarily weak
for a long time, but until fairly recently its weakness had been
obscured. World War II all but destroyed European nations as global
powers, and their postwar inability to project sufficient force
overseas to maintain colonial empires in Asia, Africa, and the
Middle East forced them to retreat on a massive scale after more
than five centuries of imperial dominance - perhaps the most
significant retrenchment of global influence in human history. For a
half-century after World War II, however, this weakness was masked
by the unique geopolitical circumstances of the Cold War. Dwarfed by
the two superpowers on its flanks, a weakened Europe nevertheless
served as the central strategic theater of the worldwide struggle
between communism and democratic capitalism. Its sole but vital
strategic mission was to defend its own territory against any Soviet
offensive, at least until the Americans arrived. Although shorn of
most traditional measures of great-power status, Europe remained the
geopolitical pivot, and this, along with lingering habits of world
leadership, allowed Europeans to retain international influence well
beyond what their sheer military capabilities might have afforded.
Europe lost this strategic
centrality after the Cold War ended, but it took a few more years
for the lingering mirage of European global power to fade. During
the 1990s, war in the Balkans kept both Europeans and Americans
focused on the strategic importance of the continent and on the
continuing relevance of nato. The enlargement of nato to include
former Warsaw Pact nations and the consolidation of the Cold War
victory kept Europe in the forefront of the strategic
discussion.
Then there was the early
promise of the "new Europe." By bonding together into a single
political and economic unit - the historic accomplishment of the
Maastricht treaty in 1992 - many hoped to recapture Europe's old
greatness but in a new political form. "Europe" would be the next
superpower, not only economically and politically, but also
militarily. It would handle crises on the European continent, such
as the ethnic conflicts in the Balkans, and it would re-emerge as a
global player. In the 1990s Europeans could confidently assert that
the power of a unified Europe would restore, finally, the global
"multipolarity" that had been destroyed by the Cold War and its
aftermath. And most Americans, with mixed emotions, agreed that
superpower Europe was the future. Harvard University's Samuel P.
Huntington predicted that the coalescing of the European Union would
be "the single most important move" in a worldwide reaction against
American hegemony and would produce a "truly multipolar"
twenty-first century.3
But European pretensions and
American apprehensions proved unfounded. The 1990s witnessed not the
rise of a European superpower but the decline of Europe into
relative weakness. The Balkan conflict at the beginning of the
decade revealed European military incapacity and political disarray;
the Kosovo conflict at decade's end exposed a transatlantic gap in
military technology and the ability to wage modern warfare that
would only widen in subsequent years. Outside of Europe, the
disparity by the close of the 1990s was even more starkly apparent
as it became clear that the ability of European powers, individually
or collectively, to project decisive force into regions of conflict
beyond the continent was negligible. Europeans could provide
peacekeeping forces in the Balkans - indeed, they could and
eventually did provide the vast bulk of those forces in Bosnia and
Kosovo. But they lacked the wherewithal to introduce and sustain a
fighting force in potentially hostile territory, even in Europe.
Under the best of circumstances, the European role was limited to
filling out peacekeeping forces after the United States had, largely
on its own, carried out the decisive phases of a military mission
and stabilized the situation. As some Europeans put it, the real
division of labor consisted of the United States "making the dinner"
and the Europeans "doing the dishes."
This inadequacy should have
come as no surprise, since these were the limitations that had
forced Europe to retract its global influence in the first place.
Those Americans and Europeans who proposed that Europe expand its
strategic role beyond the continent set an unreasonable goal. During
the Cold War, Europe's strategic role had been to defend itself. It
was unrealistic to expect a return to international great-power
status, unless European peoples were willing to shift significant
resources from social programs to military programs.
Clearly they were not. Not only
were Europeans unwilling to pay to project force beyond Europe.
After the Cold War, they would not pay for sufficient force to
conduct even minor military actions on the continent without
American help. Nor did it seem to matter whether European publics
were being asked to spend money to strengthen nato or an independent
European foreign and defense policy. Their answer was the same.
Rather than viewing the collapse of the Soviet Union as an
opportunity to flex global muscles, Europeans took it as an
opportunity to cash in on a sizable peace dividend. Average European
defense budgets gradually fell below 2 percent of gdp. Despite talk
of establishing Europe as a global superpower, therefore, European
military capabilities steadily fell behind those of the United
States throughout the 1990s.
The end of the Cold War had a
very different effect on the other side of the Atlantic. For
although Americans looked for a peace dividend, too, and defense
budgets declined or remained flat during most of the 1990s, defense
spending still remained above 3 percent of gdp. Fast on the heels of
the Soviet empire's demise came Iraq's invasion of Kuwait and the
largest American military action in a quarter-century. Thereafter
American administrations cut the Cold War force, but not as
dramatically as might have been expected. By historical standards,
America's military power and particularly its ability to project
that power to all corners of the globe remained unprecedented.
Meanwhile, the very fact of the
Soviet empire's collapse vastly increased America's strength
relative to the rest of the world. The sizable American military
arsenal, once barely sufficient to balance Soviet power, was now
deployed in a world without a single formidable adversary. This
"unipolar moment" had an entirely natural and predictable
consequence: It made the United States more willing to use force
abroad. With the check of Soviet power removed, the United States
was free to intervene practically wherever and whenever it chose - a
fact reflected in the proliferation of overseas military
interventions that began during the first Bush administration with
the invasion of Panama in 1989, the Persian Gulf War in 1991, and
the humanitarian intervention in Somalia in 1992, continuing during
the Clinton years with interventions in Haiti, Bosnia, and Kosovo.
While American politicians talked of pulling back from the world,
the reality was an America intervening abroad more frequently than
it had throughout most of the Cold War. Thanks to new technologies,
the United States was also freer to use force around the world in
more limited ways through air and missile strikes, which it did with
increasing frequency.
How could this growing
transatlantic power gap fail to create a difference in strategic
perceptions? Even during the Cold War, American military
predominance and Europe's relative weakness had produced important
and sometimes serious disagreements. Gaullism, Ostpolitik, and the
various movements for European independence and unity were
manifestations not only of a European desire for honor and freedom
of action. They also reflected a European conviction that America's
approach to the Cold War was too confrontational, too militaristic,
and too dangerous. Europeans believed they knew better how to deal
with the Soviets: through engagement and seduction, through
commercial and political ties, through patience and forbearance. It
was a legitimate view, shared by many Americans. But it also
reflected Europe's weakness relative to the United States, the fewer
military options at Europe's disposal, and its greater vulnerability
to a powerful Soviet Union. It may have reflected, too, Europe's
memory of continental war. Americans, when they were not themselves
engaged in the subtleties of détente, viewed the European approach
as a form of appeasement, a return to the fearful mentality of the
1930s. But appeasement is never a dirty word to those whose genuine
weakness offers few appealing alternatives. For them, it is a policy
of sophistication.
The end of the Cold War, by
widening the power gap, exacerbated the disagreements. Although
transatlantic tensions are now widely assumed to have begun with the
inauguration of George W. Bush in January 2001, they were already
evident during the Clinton administration and may even be traced
back to the administration of George H.W. Bush. By 1992, mutual
recriminations were rife over Bosnia, where the United States
refused to act and Europe could not act. It was during the Clinton
years that Europeans began complaining about being lectured by the
"hectoring hegemon." This was also the period in which Védrine
coined the term hyperpuissance to describe an American behemoth too
worryingly powerful to be designated merely a superpower. (Perhaps
he was responding to then-Secretary of State Madeleine Albright's
insistence that the United States was the world's "indispensable
nation.") It was also during the 1990s that the transatlantic
disagreement over American plans for missile defense emerged and
many Europeans began grumbling about the American propensity to
choose force and punishment over diplomacy and persuasion.
The Clinton administration,
meanwhile, though relatively timid and restrained itself, grew angry
and impatient with European timidity, especially the unwillingness
to confront Saddam Hussein. The split in the alliance over Iraq
didn't begin with the 2000 election but in 1997, when the Clinton
administration tried to increase the pressure on Baghdad and found
itself at odds with France and (to a lesser extent) Great Britain in
the United Nations Security Council. Even the war in Kosovo was
marked by nervousness among some allies - especially Italy, Greece,
and Germany - that the United States was too uncompromisingly
militaristic in its approach. And while Europeans and Americans
ultimately stood together in the confrontation with Belgrade, the
Kosovo war produced in Europe less satisfaction at the successful
prosecution of the war than unease at America's apparent
omnipotence. That apprehension would only increase in the wake of
American military action after September 11, 2001.
The psychology
of power and weakness
Today's transatlantic problem,
in short, is not a George Bush problem. It is a power problem.
American military strength has produced a propensity to use that
strength. Europe's military weakness has produced a perfectly
understandable aversion to the exercise of military power. Indeed,
it has produced a powerful European interest in inhabiting a world
where strength doesn't matter, where international law and
international institutions predominate, where unilateral action by
powerful nations is forbidden, where all nations regardless of their
strength have equal rights and are equally protected by commonly
agreed-upon international rules of behavior. Europeans have a deep
interest in devaluing and eventually eradicating the brutal laws of
an anarchic, Hobbesian world where power is the ultimate determinant
of national security and success.
This is no reproach. It is what
weaker powers have wanted from time immemorial. It was what
Americans wanted in the eighteenth and early nineteenth centuries,
when the brutality of a European system of power politics run by the
global giants of France, Britain, and Russia left Americans
constantly vulnerable to imperial thrashing. It was what the other
small powers of Europe wanted in those years, too, only to be
sneered at by Bourbon kings and other powerful monarchs, who spoke
instead of raison d'état. The great proponent of international law
on the high seas in the eighteenth century was the United States;
the great opponent was Britain's navy, the "Mistress of the Seas."
In an anarchic world, small powers always fear they will be victims.
Great powers, on the other hand, often fear rules that may constrain
them more than they fear the anarchy in which their power brings
security and prosperity.
This natural and historic
disagreement between the stronger and the weaker manifests itself in
today's transatlantic dispute over the question of unilateralism.
Europeans generally believe their objection to American
unilateralism is proof of their greater commitment to certain ideals
concerning world order. They are less willing to acknowledge that
their hostility to unilateralism is also self-interested. Europeans
fear American unilateralism. They fear it perpetuates a Hobbesian
world in which they may become increasingly vulnerable. The United
States may be a relatively benign hegemon, but insofar as its
actions delay the arrival of a world order more conducive to the
safety of weaker powers, it is objectively dangerous.
This is one reason why in
recent years a principal objective of European foreign policy has
become, as one European observer puts it, the "multilateralising" of
the United States.4 It is not that Europeans are teaming up against
the American hegemon, as Huntington and many realist theorists would
have it, by creating a countervailing power. After all, Europeans
are not increasing their power. Their tactics, like their goal, are
the tactics of the weak. They hope to constrain American power
without wielding power themselves. In what may be the ultimate feat
of subtlety and indirection, they want to control the behemoth by
appealing to its conscience.
It is a sound strategy, as far
as it goes. The United States is a behemoth with a conscience. It is
not Louis xiv's France or George iii's England. Americans do not
argue, even to themselves, that their actions may be justified by
raison d'état. Americans have never accepted the principles of
Europe's old order, never embraced the Machiavellian perspective.
The United States is a liberal, progressive society through and
through, and to the extent that Americans believe in power, they
believe it must be a means of advancing the principles of a liberal
civilization and a liberal world order. Americans even share
Europe's aspirations for a more orderly world system based not on
power but on rules - after all, they were striving for such a world
when Europeans were still extolling the laws of machtpolitik.
But while these common ideals
and aspirations shape foreign policies on both sides of the
Atlantic, they cannot completely negate the very different
perspectives from which Europeans and Americans view the world and
the role of power in international affairs. Europeans oppose
unilateralism in part because they have no capacity for
unilateralism. Polls consistently show that Americans support
multilateral action in principle - they even support acting under
the rubric of the United Nations - but the fact remains that the
United States can act unilaterally, and has done so many times with
reasonable success. For Europeans, the appeal to multilateralism and
international law has a real practical payoff and little cost. For
Americans, who stand to lose at least some freedom of action,
support for universal rules of behavior really is a matter of
idealism.
Even when Americans and
Europeans can agree on the kind of world order they would strive to
build, however, they increasingly disagree about what constitutes a
threat to that international endeavor. Indeed, Europeans and
Americans differ most these days in their evaluation of what
constitutes a tolerable versus an intolerable threat. This, too, is
consistent with the disparity of power.
Europeans often argue that
Americans have an unreasonable demand for "perfect" security, the
product of living for centuries shielded behind two oceans.5
Europeans claim they know what it is like to live with danger, to
exist side-by-side with evil, since they've done it for centuries.
Hence their greater tolerance for such threats as may be posed by
Saddam Hussein's Iraq or the ayatollahs' Iran. Americans, they
claim, make far too much of the dangers these regimes pose. Even
before September 11, this argument rang a bit hollow. The United
States in its formative decades lived in a state of substantial
insecurity, surrounded by hostile European empires, at constant risk
of being torn apart by centrifugal forces that were encouraged by
threats from without: National insecurity formed the core of
Washington's Farewell Address. As for the Europeans' supposed
tolerance for insecurity and evil, it can be overstated. For the
better part of three centuries, European Catholics and Protestants
more often preferred to kill than to tolerate each other; nor have
the past two centuries shown all that much mutual tolerance between
Frenchmen and Germans.
Some Europeans argue that
precisely because Europe has suffered so much, it has a higher
tolerance for suffering than America and therefore a higher
tolerance for threats. More likely the opposite is true. The memory
of their horrendous suffering in World War I made the British and
French publics more fearful of Nazi Germany, not more tolerant, and
this attitude contributed significantly to the appeasement of the
1930s.
A better explanation of
Europe's greater tolerance for threats is, once again, Europe's
relative weakness. Tolerance is also very much a realistic response
in that Europe, precisely because it is weak, actually faces fewer
threats than the far more powerful United States.
The psychology of weakness is
easy enough to understand. A man armed only with a knife may decide
that a bear prowling the forest is a tolerable danger, inasmuch as
the alternative - hunting the bear armed only with a knife - is
actually riskier than lying low and hoping the bear never attacks.
The same man armed with a rifle, however, will likely make a
different calculation of what constitutes a tolerable risk. Why
should he risk being mauled to death if he doesn't need to?
This perfectly normal human
psychology is helping to drive a wedge between the United States and
Europe today. Europeans have concluded, reasonably enough, that the
threat posed by Saddam Hussein is more tolerable for them than the
risk of removing him. But Americans, being stronger, have reasonably
enough developed a lower threshold of tolerance for Saddam and his
weapons of mass destruction, especially after September 11.
Europeans like to say that Americans are obsessed with fixing
problems, but it is generally true that those with a greater
capacity to fix problems are more likely to try to fix them than
those who have no such capability. Americans can imagine
successfully invading Iraq and toppling Saddam, and therefore more
than 70 percent of Americans apparently favor such action.
Europeans, not surprisingly, find the prospect both unimaginable and
frightening.
The incapacity to respond to
threats leads not only to tolerance but sometimes to denial. It's
normal to try to put out of one's mind that which one can do nothing
about. According to one student of European opinion, even the very
focus on "threats" differentiates American policymakers from their
European counterparts. Americans, writes Steven Everts, talk about
foreign "threats" such as "the proliferation of weapons of mass
destruction, terrorism, and 'rogue states.'" But Europeans look at
"challenges," such as "ethnic conflict, migration, organized crime,
poverty and environmental degradation." As Everts notes, however,
the key difference is less a matter of culture and philosophy than
of capability. Europeans "are most worried about issues . . . that
have a greater chance of being solved by political engagement and
huge sums of money." In other words, Europeans focus on issues -
"challenges" - where European strengths come into play but not on
those "threats" where European weakness makes solutions elusive. If
Europe's strategic culture today places less value on power and
military strength and more value on such soft-power tools as
economics and trade, isn't it partly because Europe is militarily
weak and economically strong? Americans are quicker to acknowledge
the existence of threats, even to perceive them where others may not
see any, because they can conceive of doing something to meet those
threats.
The differing threat
perceptions in the United States and Europe are not just matters of
psychology, however. They are also grounded in a practical reality
that is another product of the disparity of power. For Iraq and
other "rogue" states objectively do not pose the same level of
threat to Europeans as they do to the United States. There is, first
of all, the American security guarantee that Europeans enjoy and
have enjoyed for six decades, ever since the United States took upon
itself the burden of maintaining order in far-flung regions of the
world - from the Korean Peninsula to the Persian Gulf - from which
European power had largely withdrawn. Europeans generally believe,
whether or not they admit it to themselves, that were Iraq ever to
emerge as a real and present danger, as opposed to merely a
potential danger, then the United States would do something about it
- as it did in 1991. If during the Cold War Europe by necessity made
a major contribution to its own defense, today Europeans enjoy an
unparalleled measure of "free security" because most of the likely
threats are in regions outside Europe, where only the United States
can project effective force. In a very practical sense - that is,
when it comes to actual strategic planning - neither Iraq nor Iran
nor North Korea nor any other "rogue" state in the world is
primarily a European problem. Nor, certainly, is China. Both
Europeans and Americans agree that these are primarily American
problems.
This is why Saddam Hussein is
not as great a threat to Europe as he is to the United States. He
would be a greater threat to the United States even were the
Americans and Europeans in complete agreement on Iraq policy,
because it is the logical consequence of the transatlantic disparity
of power. The task of containing Saddam Hussein belongs primarily to
the United States, not to Europe, and everyone agrees on this6 -
including Saddam, which is why he considers the United States, not
Europe, his principal adversary. In the Persian Gulf, in the Middle
East, and in most other regions of the world (including Europe), the
United States plays the role of ultimate enforcer. "You are so
powerful," Europeans often say to Americans. "So why do you feel so
threatened?" But it is precisely America's great power that makes it
the primary target, and often the only target. Europeans are
understandably content that it should remain so.
Americans are "cowboys,"
Europeans love to say. And there is truth in this. The United States
does act as an international sheriff, self-appointed perhaps but
widely welcomed nevertheless, trying to enforce some peace and
justice in what Americans see as a lawless world where outlaws need
to be deterred or destroyed, and often through the muzzle of a gun.
Europe, by this old West analogy, is more like a saloonkeeper.
Outlaws shoot sheriffs, not saloonkeepers. In fact, from the
saloonkeeper's point of view, the sheriff trying to impose order by
force can sometimes be more threatening than the outlaws who, at
least for the time being, may just want a drink.
When Europeans took to the
streets by the millions after September 11, most Americans believed
it was out of a sense of shared danger and common interest: The
Europeans knew they could be next. But Europeans by and large did
not feel that way and still don't. Europeans do not really believe
they are next. They may be secondary targets - because they are
allied with the U.S. - but they are not the primary target, because
they no longer play the imperial role in the Middle East that might
have engendered the same antagonism against them as is aimed at the
United States. When Europeans wept and waved American flags after
September 11, it was out of genuine human sympathy, sorrow, and
affection for Americans. For better or for worse, European displays
of solidarity were a product more of fellow-feeling than
self-interest.
The origins of
modern European foreign policy
Important as the power gap may
be in shaping the respective strategic cultures of the United States
and Europe, it is only one part of the story. Europe in the past
half-century has developed a genuinely different perspective on the
role of power in international relations, a perspective that springs
directly from its unique historical experience since the end of
World War II. It is a perspective that Americans do not share and
cannot share, inasmuch as the formative historical experiences on
their side of the Atlantic have not been the same.
Consider again the qualities
that make up the European strategic culture: the emphasis on
negotiation, diplomacy, and commercial ties, on international law
over the use of force, on seduction over coercion, on
multilateralism over unilateralism. It is true that these are not
traditionally European approaches to international relations when
viewed from a long historical perspective. But they are a product of
more recent European history. The modern European strategic culture
represents a conscious rejection of the European past, a rejection
of the evils of European machtpolitik. It is a reflection of
Europeans' ardent and understandable desire never to return to that
past. Who knows better than Europeans the dangers that arise from
unbridled power politics, from an excessive reliance on military
force, from policies produced by national egoism and ambition, even
from balance of power and raison d'état? As German Foreign Minister
Joschka Fischer put it in a speech outlining his vision of the
European future at Humboldt University in Berlin (May 12, 2000),
"The core of the concept of Europe after 1945 was and still is a
rejection of the European balance-of-power principle and the
hegemonic ambitions of individual states that had emerged following
the Peace of Westphalia in 1648." The European Union is itself the
product of an awful century of European warfare.
Of course, it was the
"hegemonic ambitions" of one nation in particular that European
integration was meant to contain. And it is the integration and
taming of Germany that is the great accomplishment of Europe -
viewed historically, perhaps the greatest feat of international
politics ever achieved. Some Europeans recall, as Fischer does, the
central role played by the United States in solving the "German
problem." Fewer like to recall that the military destruction of Nazi
Germany was the prerequisite for the European peace that followed.
Most Europeans believe that it was the transformation of European
politics, the deliberate abandonment and rejection of centuries of
machtpolitik, that in the end made possible the "new order." The
Europeans, who invented power politics, turned themselves into
born-again idealists by an act of will, leaving behind them what
Fischer called "the old system of balance with its continued
national orientation, constraints of coalition, traditional
interest-led politics and the permanent danger of nationalist
ideologies and confrontations."
Fischer stands near one end of
the spectrum of European idealism. But this is not really a
right-left issue in Europe. Fischer's principal contention - that
Europe has moved beyond the old system of power politics and
discovered a new system for preserving peace in international
relations - is widely shared across Europe. As senior British
diplomat Robert Cooper recently wrote in the Observer (April 7,
2002), Europe today lives in a "postmodern system" that does not
rest on a balance of power but on "the rejection of force" and on
"self-enforced rules of behavior." In the "postmodern world," writes
Cooper, "raison d'état and the amorality of Machiavelli's theories
of statecraft . . . have been replaced by a moral consciousness" in
international affairs.
American realists might scoff
at this idealism. George F. Kennan assumed only his naïve fellow
Americans succumbed to such "Wilsonian" legalistic and moralistic
fancies, not those war-tested, historically minded European
Machiavels. But, really, why shouldn't Europeans be idealistic about
international affairs, at least as they are conducted in Europe's
"postmodern system"? Within the confines of Europe, the age-old laws
of international relations have been repealed. Europeans have
stepped out of the Hobbesian world of anarchy into the Kantian world
of perpetual peace. European life during the more than five decades
since the end of World War II has been shaped not by the brutal laws
of power politics but by the unfolding of a geopolitical fantasy, a
miracle of world-historical importance: The German lion has laid
down with the French lamb. The conflict that ravaged Europe ever
since the violent birth of Germany in the nineteenth century has
been put to rest.
The means by which this miracle
has been achieved have understandably acquired something of a sacred
mystique for Europeans, especially since the end of the Cold War.
Diplomacy, negotiations, patience, the forging of economic ties,
political engagement, the use of inducements rather than sanctions,
the taking of small steps and tempering ambitions for success -
these were the tools of Franco-German rapprochement and hence the
tools that made European integration possible. Integration was not
to be based on military deterrence or the balance of power. Quite
the contrary. The miracle came from the rejection of military power
and of its utility as an instrument of international affairs - at
least within the confines of Europe. During the Cold War, few
Europeans doubted the need for military power to deter the Soviet
Union. But within Europe the rules were different.
Collective security was
provided from without, meanwhile, by the deus ex machina of the
United States operating through the military structures of nato.
Within this wall of security, Europeans pursued their new order,
freed from the brutal laws and even the mentality of power politics.
This evolution from the old to the new began in Europe during the
Cold War. But the end of the Cold War, by removing even the external
danger of the Soviet Union, allowed Europe's new order, and its new
idealism, to blossom fully. Freed from the requirements of any
military deterrence, internal or external, Europeans became still
more confident that their way of settling international problems now
had universal application.
"The genius of the founding
fathers," European Commission President Romano Prodi commented in a
speech at the Institute d'Etudes Politiques in Paris (May 29, 2001),
"lay in translating extremely high political ambitions . . . into a
series of more specific, almost technical decisions. This indirect
approach made further action possible. Rapprochement took place
gradually. From confrontation we moved to willingness to cooperate
in the economic sphere and then on to integration." This is what
many Europeans believe they have to offer the world: not power, but
the transcendence of power. The "essence" of the European Union,
writes Everts, is "all about subjecting inter-state relations to the
rule of law," and Europe's experience of successful multilateral
governance has in turn produced an ambition to convert the world.
Europe "has a role to play in world 'governance,'" says Prodi, a
role based on replicating the European experience on a global scale.
In Europe "the rule of law has replaced the crude interplay of power
. . . power politics have lost their influence." And by "making a
success of integration we are demonstrating to the world that it is
possible to create a method for peace."
No doubt there are Britons,
Germans, French, and others who would frown on such exuberant
idealism. But many Europeans, including many in positions of power,
routinely apply Europe's experience to the rest of the world. For is
not the general European critique of the American approach to
"rogue" regimes based on this special European insight? Iraq, Iran,
North Korea, Libya - these states may be dangerous and unpleasant,
even evil. But might not an "indirect approach" work again, as it
did in Europe? Might it not be possible once more to move from
confrontation to rapprochement, beginning with cooperation in the
economic sphere and then moving on to peaceful integration? Could
not the formula that worked in Europe work again with Iran or even
Iraq? A great many Europeans insist that it can.
The transmission of the
European miracle to the rest of the world has become Europe's new
mission civilatrice. Just as Americans have always believed that
they had discovered the secret to human happiness and wished to
export it to the rest of the world, so the Europeans have a new
mission born of their own discovery of perpetual
peace.
Thus we arrive at what may be
the most important reason for the divergence in views between Europe
and the United States. America's power, and its willingness to
exercise that power - unilaterally if necessary - represents a
threat to Europe's new sense of mission. Perhaps the greatest
threat. American policymakers find it hard to believe, but leading
officials and politicians in Europe worry more about how the United
States might handle or mishandle the problem of Iraq - by
undertaking unilateral and extralegal military action - than they
worry about Iraq itself and Saddam Hussein's weapons of mass
destruction. And while it is true that they fear such action might
destabilize the Middle East and lead to the unnecessary loss of
life, there is a deeper concern.7 Such American action represents an
assault on the essence of "postmodern" Europe. It is an assault on
Europe's new ideals, a denial of their universal validity, much as
the monarchies of eighteenth- and nineteenth-century Europe were an
assault on American republican ideals. Americans ought to be the
first to understand that a threat to one's beliefs can be as
frightening as a threat to one's physical
security.
As Americans have for two
centuries, Europeans speak with great confidence of the superiority
of their global understanding, the wisdom they have to offer other
nations about conflict resolution, and their way of addressing
international problems. But just as in the first decade of the
American republic, there is a hint of insecurity in the European
claim to "success," an evident need to have their success affirmed
and their views accepted by other nations, particularly by the
mighty United States. After all, to deny the validity of the new
European idealism is to raise profound doubts about the viability of
the European project. If international problems cannot, in fact, be
settled the European way, wouldn't that suggest that Europe itself
may eventually fall short of a solution, with all the horrors this
implies?
And, of course, it is precisely
this fear that still hangs over Europeans, even as Europe moves
forward. Europeans, and particularly the French and Germans, are not
entirely sure that the problem once known as the "German problem"
really has been solved. As their various and often very different
proposals for the future constitution of Europe suggest, the French
are still not confident they can trust the Germans, and the Germans
are still not sure they can trust themselves. This fear can at times
hinder progress toward deeper integration, but it also propels the
European project forward despite innumerable obstacles. The European
project must succeed, for how else to overcome what Fischer, in his
Humboldt University speech, called "the risks and temptations
objectively inherent in Germany's dimensions and central situation"?
Those historic German "temptations" play at the back of many a
European mind. And every time Europe contemplates the use of
military force, or is forced to do so by the United States, there is
no avoiding at least momentary consideration of what effect such a
military action might have on the "German
question."
Perhaps it is not just
coincidence that the amazing progress toward European integration in
recent years has been accompanied not by the emergence of a European
superpower but, on the contrary, by a diminishing of European
military capabilities relative to the United States. Turning Europe
into a global superpower capable of balancing the power of the
United States may have been one of the original selling points of
the European Union - an independent European foreign and defense
policy was supposed to be one of the most important byproducts of
European integration. But, in truth, the ambition for European
"power" is something of an anachronism. It is an atavistic impulse,
inconsistent with the ideals of postmodern Europe, whose very
existence depends on the rejection of power politics. Whatever its
architects may have intended, European integration has proved to be
the enemy of European military power and, indeed, of an important
European global role.
This phenomenon has manifested
itself not only in flat or declining European defense budgets, but
in other ways, too, even in the realm of "soft" power. European
leaders talk of Europe's essential role in the world. Prodi yearns
"to make our voice heard, to make our actions count." And it is true
that Europeans spend a great deal of money on foreign aid - more per
capita, they like to point out, than does the United States.
Europeans engage in overseas military missions, so long as the
missions are mostly limited to peacekeeping. But while the eu
periodically dips its fingers into troubled international waters in
the Middle East or the Korean Peninsula, the truth is that eu
foreign policy is probably the most anemic of all the products of
European integration. As Charles Grant, a sympathetic observer of
the eu, recently noted, few European leaders "are giving it much
time or energy."8 eu foreign policy initiatives tend to be
short-lived and are rarely backed by sustained agreement on the part
of the various European powers. That is one reason they are so
easily rebuffed, as was the case in late March when Israeli Prime
Minister Ariel Sharon blocked eu foreign policy chief Javier Solana
from meeting with Yasser Arafat (only to turn around the next day
and allow a much lower-ranking American negotiator to meet with the
Palestinian leader).
It is obvious, moreover, that
issues outside of Europe don't attract nearly as much interest among
Europeans as purely European issues do. This has surprised and
frustrated Americans on all sides of the political and strategic
debate: Recall the profound disappointment of American liberals when
Europeans failed to mount an effective protest against Bush's
withdrawal from the abm treaty. But given the enormous and difficult
agenda of integration, this European tendency to look inward is
understandable. eu enlargement, the revision of the common economic
and agricultural policies, the question of national sovereignty
versus supranational governance, the so-called democracy deficit,
the jostling of the large European powers, the dissatisfaction of
the smaller powers, the establishment of a new European constitution
- all of these present serious and unavoidable challenges. The
difficulties of moving forward might seem insuperable were it not
for the progress the project of European integration has already
demonstrated.
American policies that are
unwelcome on substance - on a missile defense system and the abm
treaty, belligerence toward Iraq, support for Israel - are all the
more unwelcome because for Europe, they are a distraction. Europeans
often point to American insularity and parochialism. But Europeans
themselves have turned intensely introspective. As Dominique Moisi
noted in the Financial Times (March 11, 2002), the recent French
presidential campaign saw "no reference . . . to the events of
September 11 and their far-reaching consequences." No one asked,
"What should be the role of France and Europe in the new
configuration of forces created after September 11? How should
France reappraise its military budget and doctrine to take account
of the need to maintain some kind of parity between Europe and the
United States, or at least between France and the uk?" The Middle
East conflict became an issue in the campaign because of France's
large Arab and Muslim population, as the high vote for Le Pen
demonstrated. But Le Pen is not a foreign policy hawk. And as Moisi
noted, "for most French voters in 2002, security has little to do
with abstract and distant geopolitics. Rather, it is a question of
which politician can best protect them from the crime and violence
plaguing the streets and suburbs of their cities."
Can Europe change course and
assume a larger role on the world stage? There has been no shortage
of European leaders urging it to do so. Nor is the weakness of eu
foreign policy today necessarily proof that it must be weak
tomorrow, given the eu's record of overcoming weaknesses in other
areas. And yet the political will to demand more power for Europe
appears to be lacking, and for the very good reason that Europe does
not see a mission for itself that requires power. Its mission is to
oppose power. It is revealing that the argument most often advanced
by Europeans for augmenting their military strength these days is
not that it will allow Europe to expand its strategic purview. It is
merely to rein in and "multilateralize" the United States.
"America," writes the pro-American British scholar Timothy Garton
Ash in the New York Times (April 9, 2002), "has too much power for
anyone's good, including its own." Therefore Europe must amass
power, but for no other reason than to save the world and the United
States from the dangers inherent in the present lopsided situation.
Whether that particular mission
is a worthy one or not, it seems unlikely to rouse European
passions. Even Védrine has stopped talking about counterbalancing
the United States. Now he shrugs and declares there "is no reason
for the Europeans to match a country that can fight four wars at
once." It was one thing for Europe in the 1990s to increase its
collective expenditures on defense from $150 billion per year to
$180 billion when the United States was spending $280 billion per
year. But now the United States is heading toward spending as much
as $500 billion per year, and Europe has not the slightest intention
of keeping up. European analysts lament the continent's "strategic
irrelevance." nato Secretary General George Robertson has taken to
calling Europe a "military pygmy" in an effort to shame Europeans
into spending more and doing so more wisely. But who honestly
believes Europeans will fundamentally change their way of doing
business? They have many reasons not to.
The U.S.
response
In thinking about the
divergence of their own views and Europeans', Americans must not
lose sight of the main point: The new Europe is indeed a blessed
miracle and a reason for enormous celebration - on both sides of the
Atlantic. For Europeans, it is the realization of a long and
improbable dream: a continent free from nationalist strife and blood
feuds, from military competition and arms races. War between the
major European powers is almost unimaginable. After centuries of
misery, not only for Europeans but also for those pulled into their
conflicts - as Americans were twice in the past century - the new
Europe really has emerged as a paradise. It is something to be
cherished and guarded, not least by Americans, who have shed blood
on Europe's soil and would shed more should the new Europe ever
fail.
Nor should we forget that the
Europe of today is very much the product of American foreign policy
stretching back over six decades. European integration was an
American project, too, after World War II. And so, recall, was
European weakness. When the Cold War dawned, Americans such as Dean
Acheson hoped to create in Europe a powerful partner against the
Soviet Union. But that was not the only American vision of Europe
underlying U.S. policies during the twentieth century. Predating it
was Franklin Delano Roosevelt's vision of a Europe that had been
rendered, in effect, strategically irrelevant. As the historian John
Lamberton Harper has put it, he wanted "to bring about a radical
reduction in the weight of Europe" and thereby make possible "the
retirement of Europe from world politics."9
Americans who came of age
during the Cold War have always thought of Europe almost exclusively
in Achesonian terms - as the essential bulwark of freedom in the
struggle against Soviet tyranny. But Americans of Roosevelt's era
had a different view. In the late 1930s the common conviction of
Americans was that "the European system was basically rotten, that
war was endemic on that continent, and the Europeans had only
themselves to blame for their plight."10 By the early 1940s Europe
appeared to be nothing more than the overheated incubator of world
wars that cost America dearly. During World War II Americans like
Roosevelt, looking backward rather than forward, believed no greater
service could be performed than to take Europe out of the global
strategic picture once and for all. "After Germany is disarmed," fdr
pointedly asked, "what is the reason for France having a big
military establishment?" Charles DeGaulle found such questions
"disquieting for Europe and for France." Even though the United
States pursued Acheson's vision during the Cold War, there was
always a part of American policy that reflected Roosevelt's vision,
too. Eisenhower undermining Britain and France at Suez was only the
most blatant of many American efforts to cut Europe down to size and
reduce its already weakened global influence.
But the more important American
contribution to Europe's current world-apart status stemmed not from
anti-European but from pro-European impulses. It was a commitment to
Europe, not hostility to Europe, that led the United States in the
immediate postwar years to keep troops on the continent and to
create nato. The presence of American forces as a security guarantee
in Europe was, as it was intended to be, the critical ingredient to
begin the process of European integration.
Europe's evolution to its
present state occurred under the mantle of the U.S. security
guarantee and could not have occurred without it. Not only did the
United States for almost half a century supply a shield against such
external threats as the Soviet Union and such internal threats as
may have been posed by ethnic conflict in places like the Balkans.
More important, the United States was the key to the solution of the
German problem and perhaps still is. Germany's Fischer, in the
Humboldt University speech, noted two "historic decisions" that made
the new Europe possible: "the usa's decision to stay in Europe" and
"France's and Germany's commitment to the principle of integration,
beginning with economic links." But of course the latter could never
have occurred without the former. France's willingness to risk the
reintegration of Germany into Europe - and France was, to say the
least, highly dubious - depended on the promise of continued
American involvement in Europe as a guarantee against any resurgence
of German militarism. Nor were postwar Germans unaware that their
own future in Europe depended on the calming presence of the
American military.
The United States, in short,
solved the Kantian paradox for the Europeans. Kant had argued that
the only solution to the immoral horrors of the Hobbesian world was
the creation of a world government. But he also feared that the
"state of universal peace" made possible by world government would
be an even greater threat to human freedom than the Hobbesian
international order, inasmuch as such a government, with its
monopoly of power, would become "the most horrible despotism."11 How
nations could achieve perpetual peace without destroying human
freedom was a problem Kant could not solve. But for Europe the
problem was solved by the United States. By providing security from
outside, the United States has rendered it unnecessary for Europe's
supranational government to provide it. Europeans did not need power
to achieve peace and they do not need power to preserve
it.
The current situation abounds
in ironies. Europe's rejection of power politics, its devaluing of
military force as a tool of international relations, have depended
on the presence of American military forces on European soil.
Europe's new Kantian order could flourish only under the umbrella of
American power exercised according to the rules of the old Hobbesian
order. American power made it possible for Europeans to believe that
power was no longer important. And now, in the final irony, the fact
that United States military power has solved the European problem,
especially the "German problem," allows Europeans today to believe
that American military power, and the "strategic culture" that has
created and sustained it, are outmoded and dangerous.
Most Europeans do not see the
great paradox: that their passage into post-history has depended on
the United States not making the same passage. Because Europe has
neither the will nor the ability to guard its own paradise and keep
it from being overrun, spiritually as well as physically, by a world
that has yet to accept the rule of "moral consciousness," it has
become dependent on America's willingness to use its military might
to deter or defeat those around the world who still believe in power
politics.
Some Europeans do understand
the conundrum. Some Britons, not surprisingly, understand it best.
Thus Robert Cooper writes of the need to address the hard truth that
although "within the postmodern world [i.e., the Europe of today],
there are no security threats in the traditional sense,"
nevertheless, throughout the rest of the world - what Cooper calls
the "modern and pre-modern zones" - threats abound. If the
postmodern world does not protect itself, it can be destroyed. But
how does Europe protect itself without discarding the very ideals
and principles that undergird its pacific system?
"The challenge to the
postmodern world," Cooper argues, "is to get used to the idea of
double standards." Among themselves, Europeans may "operate on the
basis of laws and open cooperative security." But when dealing with
the world outside Europe, "we need to revert to the rougher methods
of an earlier era - force, preemptive attack, deception, whatever is
necessary." This is Cooper's principle for safeguarding society:
"Among ourselves, we keep the law but when we are operating in the
jungle, we must also use the laws of the jungle."
Cooper's argument is directed
at Europe, and it is appropriately coupled with a call for Europeans
to cease neglecting their defenses, "both physical and
psychological." But what Cooper really describes is not Europe's
future but America's present. For it is the United States that has
had the difficult task of navigating between these two worlds,
trying to abide by, defend, and further the laws of advanced
civilized society while simultaneously employing military force
against those who refuse to abide by those rules. The United States
is already operating according to Cooper's double standard, and for
the very reasons he suggests. American leaders, too, believe that
global security and a liberal order - as well as Europe's
"postmodern" paradise - cannot long survive unless the United States
does use its power in the dangerous, Hobbesian world that still
flourishes outside Europe.
What this means is that
although the United States has played the critical role in bringing
Europe into this Kantian paradise, and still plays a key role in
making that paradise possible, it cannot enter this paradise itself.
It mans the walls but cannot walk through the gate. The United
States, with all its vast power, remains stuck in history, left to
deal with the Saddams and the ayatollahs, the Kim Jong Ils and the
Jiang Zemins, leaving the happy benefits to others.
An acceptable
division?
Is this situation tolerable for
the United States? In many ways, it is. Contrary to what many
believe, the United States can shoulder the burden of maintaining
global security without much help from Europe. The United States
spends a little over 3 percent of its gdp on defense today. Were
Americans to increase that to 4 percent - meaning a defense budget
in excess of $500 billion per year - it would still represent a
smaller percentage of national wealth than Americans spent on
defense throughout most of the past half-century. Even Paul Kennedy,
who invented the term "imperial overstretch" in the late 1980s (when
the United States was spending around 7 percent of its gdp on
defense), believes the United States can sustain its current
military spending levels and its current global dominance far into
the future. Can the United States handle the rest of the world
without much help from Europe? The answer is that it already does.
The United States has maintained strategic stability in Asia with no
help from Europe. In the Gulf War, European help was token; so it
has been more recently in Afghanistan, where Europeans are once
again "doing the dishes"; and so it would be in an invasion of Iraq
to unseat Saddam. Europe has had little to offer the United States
in strategic military terms since the end of the Cold War - except,
of course, that most valuable of strategic assets, a Europe at
peace.
The United States can manage,
therefore, at least in material terms. Nor can one argue that the
American people are unwilling to shoulder this global burden, since
they have done so for a decade already. After September 11, they
seem willing to continue doing so for a long time to come. Americans
apparently feel no resentment at not being able to enter a
"postmodern" utopia. There is no evidence most Americans desire to.
Partly because they are so powerful, they take pride in their
nation's military power and their nation's special role in the
world.
Americans have no experience
that would lead them to embrace fully the ideals and principles that
now animate Europe. Indeed, Americans derive their understanding of
the world from a very different set of experiences. In the first
half of the twentieth century, Americans had a flirtation with a
certain kind of internationalist idealism. Wilson's "war to end all
wars" was followed a decade later by an American secretary of state
putting his signature to a treaty outlawing war. fdr in the 1930s
put his faith in non-aggression pacts and asked merely that Hitler
promise not to attack a list of countries Roosevelt presented to
him. But then came Munich and Pearl Harbor, and then, after a
fleeting moment of renewed idealism, the plunge into the Cold War.
The "lesson of Munich" came to dominate American strategic thought,
and although it was supplanted for a time by the "lesson of
Vietnam," today it remains the dominant paradigm. While a small
segment of the American elite still yearns for "global governance"
and eschews military force, Americans from Madeleine Albright to
Donald Rumsfeld, from Brent Scowcroft to Anthony Lake, still
remember Munich, figuratively if not literally. And for younger
generations of Americans who do not remember Munich or Pearl Harbor,
there is now September 11. After September 11, even many American
globalizers demand blood.
Americans are idealists, but
they have no experience of promoting ideals successfully without
power. Certainly, they have no experience of successful
supranational governance; little to make them place their faith in
international law and international institutions, much as they might
wish to; and even less to let them travel, with the Europeans,
beyond power. Americans, as good children of the Enlightenment,
still believe in the perfectibility of man, and they retain hope for
the perfectibility of the world. But they remain realists in the
limited sense that they still believe in the necessity of power in a
world that remains far from perfection. Such law as there may be to
regulate international behavior, they believe, exists because a
power like the United States defends it by force of arms. In other
words, just as Europeans claim, Americans can still sometimes see
themselves in heroic terms - as Gary Cooper at high noon. They will
defend the townspeople, whether the townspeople want them to or
not.
The problem lies neither in
American will or capability, then, but precisely in the inherent
moral tension of the current international situation. As is so often
the case in human affairs, the real question is one of intangibles -
of fears, passions, and beliefs. The problem is that the United
States must sometimes play by the rules of a Hobbesian world, even
though in doing so it violates European norms. It must refuse to
abide by certain international conventions that may constrain its
ability to fight effectively in Robert Cooper's jungle. It must
support arms control, but not always for itself. It must live by a
double standard. And it must sometimes act unilaterally, not out of
a passion for unilateralism but, given a weak Europe that has moved
beyond power, because the United States has no choice but to act
unilaterally.
Few Europeans admit, as Cooper
does implicitly, that such American behavior may redound to the
greater benefit of the civilized world, that American power, even
employed under a double standard, may be the best means of advancing
human progress - and perhaps the only means. Instead, many Europeans
today have come to consider the United States itself to be the
outlaw, a rogue colossus. Europeans have complained about President
Bush's "unilateralism," but they are coming to the deeper
realization that the problem is not Bush or any American president.
It is systemic. And it is incurable.
Given that the United States is
unlikely to reduce its power and that Europe is unlikely to increase
more than marginally its own power or the will to use what power it
has, the future seems certain to be one of increased transatlantic
tension. The danger - if it is a danger - is that the United States
and Europe will become positively estranged. Europeans will become
more shrill in their attacks on the United States. The United States
will become less inclined to listen, or perhaps even to care. The
day could come, if it has not already, when Americans will no more
heed the pronouncements of the eu than they do the pronouncements of
asean or the Andean Pact.
To those of us who came of age
in the Cold War, the strategic decoupling of Europe and the United
States seems frightening. DeGaulle, when confronted by fdr's vision
of a world where Europe was irrelevant, recoiled and suggested that
this vision "risked endangering the Western world." If Western
Europe was to be considered a "secondary matter" by the United
States, would not fdr only "weaken the very cause he meant to serve
- that of civilization?" Western Europe, DeGaulle insisted, was
"essential to the West. Nothing can replace the value, the power,
the shining example of the ancient peoples." Typically, DeGaulle
insisted this was "true of France above all." But leaving aside
French amour propre, did not DeGaulle have a point? If Americans
were to decide that Europe was no more than an irritating
irrelevancy, would American society gradually become unmoored from
what we now call the West? It is not a risk to be taken lightly, on
either side of the Atlantic.
So what is to be done? The
obvious answer is that Europe should follow the course that Cooper,
Ash, Robertson, and others recommend and build up its military
capabilities, even if only marginally. There is not much ground for
hope that this will happen. But, then, who knows? Maybe concern
about America's overweening power really will create some energy in
Europe. Perhaps the atavistic impulses that still swirl in the
hearts of Germans, Britons, and Frenchmen - the memory of power,
international influence, and national ambition - can still be played
upon. Some Britons still remember empire; some Frenchmen still yearn
for la gloire; some Germans still want their place in the sun. These
urges are now mostly channeled into the grand European project, but
they could find more traditional expression. Whether this is to be
hoped for or feared is another question. It would be better still if
Europeans could move beyond fear and anger at the rogue colossus and
remember, again, the vital necessity of having a strong America -
for the world and especially for Europe.
Americans can help. It is true
that the Bush administration came into office with a chip on its
shoulder. It was hostile to the new Europe - as to a lesser extent
was the Clinton administration - seeing it not so much as an ally
but as an albatross. Even after September 11, when the Europeans
offered their very limited military capabilities in the fight in
Afghanistan, the United States resisted, fearing that European
cooperation was a ruse to tie America down. The Bush administration
viewed nato's historic decision to aid the United States under
Article V less as a boon than as a booby trap. An opportunity to
draw Europe into common battle out in the Hobbesian world, even in a
minor role, was thereby unnecessarily lost.
Americans are powerful enough
that they need not fear Europeans, even when bearing gifts. Rather
than viewing the United States as a Gulliver tied down by
Lilliputian threads, American leaders should realize that they are
hardly constrained at all, that Europe is not really capable of
constraining the United States. If the United States could move past
the anxiety engendered by this inaccurate sense of constraint, it
could begin to show more understanding for the sensibilities of
others, a little generosity of spirit. It could pay its respects to
multilateralism and the rule of law and try to build some
international political capital for those moments when
multilateralism is impossible and unilateral action unavoidable. It
could, in short, take more care to show what the founders called a
"decent respect for the opinion of mankind."
These are small steps, and they
will not address the deep problems that beset the transatlantic
relationship today. But, after all, it is more than a cliché that
the United States and Europe share a set of common Western beliefs.
Their aspirations for humanity are much the same, even if their vast
disparity of power has now put them in very different places.
Perhaps it is not too naïvely optimistic to believe that a little
common understanding could still go a long way.
Notes
1One representative French
observer describes "a U.S. mindset" that "tends to emphasize
military, technical and unilateral solutions to international
problems, possibly at the expense of co-operative and political
ones." See Gilles Andreani, "The Disarray of U.S. Non-Proliferation
Policy," Survival (Winter 1999-2000).
2The case of Bosnia in the
early 1990s stands out as an instance where some Europeans, chiefly
British Prime Minister Tony Blair, were at times more forceful in
advocating military action than first the Bush and then the Clinton
administration. (Blair was also an early advocate of using air power
and even ground troops in the Kosovo crisis.) And Europeans had
forces on the ground in Bosnia when the United States did not,
although in a un peacekeeping role that proved ineffective when
challenged.
3Samuel P. Huntington, "The
Lonely Superpower," Foreign Affairs (March-April 1999).
4Steven Everts, "Unilateral
America, Lightweight Europe?: Managing Divergence in Transatlantic
Foreign Policy," Centre for European Reform working paper (February
2001).
5For that matter, this is also
the view commonly found in American textbooks.
6Notwithstanding the British
contribution of patrols of the "no-fly zone."
7The common American argument
that European policy toward Iraq and Iran is dictated by financial
considerations is only partly right. Are Europeans greedier than
Americans? Do American corporations not influence American policy in
Asia and Latin America, as well as in the Middle East? The
difference is that American strategic judgments sometimes conflict
with and override financial interests. For the reasons suggested in
this essay, that conflict is much less common for Europeans.
8Charles Grant, "A European
View of ESDP," Centre for European Policy Studies working paper
(April 2001).
9John Lamberton Harper,
American Visions of Europe: Franklin D. Roosevelt, George F. Kennan,
and Dean G. Acheson (Cambridge University Press, 1996), 3. The
following discussion of the differing American perspectives on
Europe owes much to Harper's fine book.
10William L. Langer and S.
Everett Gleason, The Challenge to Isolation, 1937-1940 (Harper
Bros., 1952), 14.
11See Thomas L. Pangle and
Peter J. Ahrensdorf, Justice Among Nations: On the Moral Basis of
Power and Peace (University Press of Kansas, 1999), 200-201.