Pollster John Zogby: "This year's frontloaded primary schedule appears to have worked well in favor of the front-runner -- as it apparently was intended to. It has become very much a sequential process as the winner in Iowa got a big bounce into New Hampshire, and the challengers had only a week to regroup. The same happened in succeeding weeks. While Edwards spent his time well in South Carolina and Clark did the same in Oklahoma, the fact is that the truncated schedule has worked well for the man who kept on winning. There has not been enough time for the challengers to raise enough money, spend time on the ground, or build upon free publicity because they could not cover enough states in a short time span. With all of this said, Kerry keeps on rolling.

"Kerry's victories are not based on any one or two sub-groups. His support is wide and deep. He has shown that he can hold all strands of Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents together. This is particularly stunning when we consider that exactly one month ago (January 9), my Iowa polling had him at barely 15 points, well behind both Dean and Gephardt.

"Again and again, the principal factor is Kerry's rise and coalition is his electability. In both states, he leads the other candidates in strength of support and in the perception that He can defeat the President.

 "Tennessee was a Red State in 2000. In a match-up against President Bush among Democrats alone, Kerry leads by an 84% to 7% margin.

"Note to pundits and historians: in 2004, Iowa and New Hampshire mattered. ”

Zogby International conducted telephone interviews of a random sampling of 500 likely primary voters statewide over a rolling two-day period. All calls were made from Zogby International headquarters in Utica, N.Y., from Saturday, February 7th through Sunday, February 8. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Slight weights were added to age, race, and gender to more accurately reflect the voting population. Margins of error are higher in sub-groups.