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May 24, 2004

Dan's Winds of War: 2004-24-05

Dan Darling

Welcome! Our goal is to give you one power-packed briefing of insights, news and trends from the global War on Terror that leaves you stimulated, informed, and occasionally amused every Monday & Thursday. Today's "Winds of War" is brought to you by Dan Darling. of Regnum Crucis.

TOP TOPICS

  • Fresh from their victory in Spain, al-Qaeda operatives appear to be planning a major attack on US targets at some point between the holding of the Democratic political convention in Boston and October. I'd say that most of what I wrote back during the Holiday Terror Alert last Christmas still pretty much holds up.
  • Abu Musab Zarqawi is now being identified by US officials as the new al-Qaeda operations chief. As Fred Pruitt and I noted over on Rantburg, it appears as though the position of al-Qaeda operations chief has now been split between Saif al-Adel (strategic) and Abu Musab Zarqawi (tactical). On an even more ominous note, it would seem that Zarqawi may already have a potential successor in the works, Mustafa Setmariam Nasar, a Syrian Afghan training camp commander who was lasted reported as being in al-Qaeda HQ Iran.

Other Topics Today Include: Iran Reports; Mullah Omar's bodyguards arrested; al-Qaeda recruiters tied back to Hamburg cell; Pakistani lashkar finished in Azam Warsak; Karachi is terror central in Pakistan; Abu Sayyaf leader captured; CIA tipped off Turks to NATO summit plot; more violence in southern Thailand; Morocco and Tunisia take aim at Islamism; more festivities in Saudi Arabia; Kenyan police thwart plot against Israeli embassy; fighting between Islamist and government forces in Yemen; major attack in Kashmir; and an all new kind of robot dance.

read the rest! »


Andrew's Iraq Report: May 24/04

Andrew Olmsted

Welcome! Our goal at Winds of Change.NET is to give you one power-packed briefing of insights, news and trends from Iraq that leaves you stimulated, informed, and occasionally amused every Monday & Thursday. This briefing is brought to you by Andrew Olmsted of Andrew Olmsted dot com.

TOP TOPICS

  • Blackfive takes a look at the reports that LTG Sanchez was aware of the abuses at Abu Ghraib. He sees two possibilities based on the available evidence, and neither of them are promising. There also appear to be possible links between an MI unit that worked at Abu Ghraib and the deaths of two prisoners in Afghanistan under the care of the same unit.
  • The AP has examined morgue records to report that some 5,500 Iraqis killed violently since the occupation began. While the fine print does mention that this is significantly fewer deaths than under Hussein, expect the reports to avoid comparisons and focus on the raw number.

Other Topics Today Include: Carnival of the Liberated; the U.S. continues to pressure al-Sadr; examining the 'wedding' attack; failed attack on another Iraqi minister; the Chalabi question remains; the cost of the reserves.

read the rest! »


May 23, 2004

Surfin' USA

Joe Katzman

Just got back from my first surf lesson here in Santa Cruz, thanks to Rick Schmidt Surf School. Had a few good rides in a light (2-3 foot) break.

Bitchin' sport - and it definitely is a sport. Muscles are barkin', though, 'cause nothing else really prepares you for paddling.

Pictures to follow... and a big "Yamah Bro!" to Dan on the new crib in D.C.

Mr. Darling Goes to Washington

Dan Darling

or, how I joined the Grand Cabal...

I had originally planned to blog this last night, but as is so often the case my schedule would not allow it. Nevertheless, I had promised my readers a major surprise announcement at the end of the week and I do ever so like to keep my promises. This is basically a summary of who I am and how blogging landed me a position that I could never otherwise have obtained on my own - a summer 2004 internship at a major think tank in Washington.

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May 22, 2004

Good News Saturdays 2004

Joe Katzman

As many of you know, Saturday is the Jewish Sabbath. In that spirit, our Saturday posts to this blog will always be "good news". We'll share wisdom from groups like the Sufis, Hasidim and Zen Masters, highlight the acts of good and decent people, laugh at humourous events, and point to amazing discoveries that could benefit humanity. It's a great break from the week, and something I think the blogosphere could use more of.

I began doing this on Saturdays, and my Muslim, Christian, and non-religious colleagues have all graciously agreed to respect and work within this Winds of Change.NET tradition. So, welcome to Winds of Change.NET... and Shabbat Shalom.

Sufi Wisdom: Means and Ends

T.L. James

As militant Islam does its best to discredit the religion, it is important to remember that there are other voices within the faith. One such is the Sufis, a branch of Islamic mystics with roots in many religious traditions. The lessons of Sufism are often communicated through humorous stories and mystical or romantic poetry. As a part of Joe's Good News Saturdays, we spend some time each week with the Sufis and their "wisdom of idiots."

This week, we have another Mulla Nasrudin tale...

"Allah will provide," said Nasrudin one day to a man who was complaining that someone had stolen some cash from his house.

The man expressed doubt.

read the rest! »


Love: Life's a Beach

Joe Katzman

Let's talk about love. Not the fairy-tale kind or empty platitudes, but real love, and real stories. Got a story of your own? Drop me a line in the comments section, with a synopsis and/or a contact email, and you could become a Guest Blog! This week's story comes from lovingyou.com, submitted by a woman named Kristie in North Carolina. Since I'm in surf town Santa Cruz right now visiting my sweetie (and taking surfing lessons, too), it seems apropos:

I wanted to share this story with all of you who have watched someone as they walked by and wondered if that was the "one".

At 15, my parents bought a home at the beach in North Carolina. It is here that I became interested in surfing and acquired my own board and learned to the best of my ability how to surf. A young man that shared that interest in surfing lived not far away. He was the classic surfer with toussled blonde hair and a deep tan. He was so handsome. I, being shy and thinking he was out of my league because he drove a corvette, never dared the humiliation of speaking to him. For sure, I thought, I would be turned down at the mere thought. Little did I know until 13 years later...

Read the Rest »»

Exodus: Hmong Painting-Talker

Joe Katzman

The Hmong hill people of Laos have had a difficult history, including the use of chemical weapons (specifically, trichothecene mycotoxins) against them by the Vietnamese during the late 1970s and early 1980s. Mike Daley alerts us to a happier story over at Orrin Judd's blog, however. This week at the Minneapolis Institute of Arts, Cy Thao will unveil "The Hmong Migration," an epic cycle of 50 oil paintings that tracks the 5,000-year Hmong journey, from the creation of the universe, to the refugee camps in Thailand where Thao spent his early childhood, to the Hmong diaspora he now represents in the Minnesota State Legislature. Visual depiction is especially meaningful in Hmong culture, which has a strong history of using visual language - literally:

"Thao continues: "In China, the emperor started encroaching on the Hmong
country. The Hmong fought back. But those that did were conquered. And the
emperor outlawed the Hmong language, throughout history. Thousands of years.

"So the Hmong found the way to communicate with each other was through
pattern and design. They would make designs to sew on their clothes to
communicate when and how we're going to attack which garrison. They would
walk from village to village and communicate with everyone without the
emperor and his soldiers detecting what they were saying. Throughout the
ages, many people lost the meanings of those designs. But we still kept the
designs on our clothes."

Orrin Judd leads with the link to the full story, and has more excerpts for you plus a link to the exhibit itself. Mike Daley's email to me called it "another story to highlight the beauty of [America]," which it is. Bittersweet beauty, but something beautiful nonetheless.

May 21, 2004

HateWatch - A Preface

Lewy14

A couple of weeks ago, I got an email from Winds of Change.NET's Editor-In-Chief Joe Katzman. Would I be interested in doing a regular briefing called HateWatch? "Absolutely," I replied.

So - what's this new briefing about?

Consider this: to fly a jet plane into a building, blow yourself up along with a bus full of people, or personally slice the head from a living human being requires more than misguided ideology, misreading of religious canon, or a lack of job opportunities. These acts are catalyzed by prolonged immersion in cults of hatred and demonization - cults with many sources, and many manifestations. We’ll be examining the ingredients and expressions of these cults of hatred in our monthly briefing.

Our goal is to help you understand our declared enemies on their own terms, and without illusions. To that end, we'll bring you some of the top jihadi rants, idiotarian polemics, and old-school Jew-hatred from around the world, leaving you more informed, more aware, and probably pretty disgusted every month.

We'll be looking hard at the dark places most mainstream media seem determined to look away from. Some of these things need to be heard and seen to be believed, and so I feel it is important to shine a light on them.

There are other bloggers out there who cover this ground, including Charles Johnson of Little Green Footballs. As a dedicated LGF lurker and sometimes dissident who nonetheless sees great value in Charles' work, let me explain in more detail where I'm coming from…

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Why Is Israel in Gaza?

Joe Katzman

A couple very quick items, then I'm out the door. For many people, the big question about Rafah is "why?" Why are the Israelis so determined to press this attack, despite casualties?

The short answer is, weapon smuggling and arms manufacturing. Here's the official explanation from Israel's Ministry of Foreign Affairs. The drawings and cross-sections are especially illuminating. I had no idea that the smuggling (and even having one's house demolished) was so lucrative, and the excerpted "Islam Online" interview with a smuggler was interesting. Thanks to reader Shirley-Anne for that tip.

Meanwhile, Dave at Israellycool fisks some of the distortions and outright lies that many media outlets are promoting uncritically, and adds a few thoughts of his own. Suffice to say that he's unimpressed with the performance of the media. As he should be.

UPDATE: Politburo Diktat has a very good area map, and more links.

Nathan's Central Asia "-Stans" Summary: 2004-05-21

The Argus

Winds of Change.NET Regional Briefings run on Tuesdays & Wednesdays, and sometimes Fridays too. This Regional Briefing focuses on Central Asia & the Caucasus, courtesy of Nathan Hamm of The Argus. Nathan served in Peace Corps Uzbekistan from 2000-2001.

TOP TOPIC

  • For the second time in less than a year, Georgia approached the brink of civil war only to step back. The results and players were nearly the same, but this time, it was the leader of Ajaria, a semi-independent region on the Black Sea, who fled.

Other Topics Include: More on Ajaria; Russo-Uzbek Love-in; US Trains Uzbek NCOs; Russian Border Guards to Leave Tajikistan; Afghanistan's Disarmament Plan Hits Snags; Turkmen Education System in Freefall; The Makings of a To'y; and, Disabled Athletes in Afghanistan

read the rest! »


Immoral Purity

Joe Katzman

Michael Totten, in The (Im)moral Case Against the War:

"The well-being of Iraqis isn’t even remotely what’s at issue to Mr. Savoy. He only cares that we are morally pure. Tyranny, barbarism, and genocide are fine with him in a lesser-evil sort of way as long as we can sit safe and sound on our side of the ocean and not have to dirty ourselves by messing with it. Not only is this morally reprehensible, it isn’t even logical..."

It's a very fine article, and highly recommended. My colleague Armed Liberal never lost an opportunity to lament this tendency among today's liberal left, some of whom:

"...believe they can have the benefits of modern liberal society without getting their hands dirty. They value moral purity and self-satisfaction above everything else - with the possible exception of creature comfort."

Since A.L. is away, I thought I'd take up the shillelagh on his behalf. Besides, Michael's work deserves more links than I've been giving it - I just don't have the same level of time for blogging these days.

Russia's Oil: "The Best 2nd Choice"

Joe Katzman

The American Association of Petroleum Geologists (AAPG) has an interesting article on their site: "Oil Business is Big Politics in Russia":

"The largest petroleum companies in the United States and Europe want to invest tens of billions of dollars in Russia's oil industry.

Good idea? Bad idea? Do they have any choice?

William Ratliff of the Hoover Institution at Stanford wrote a 2003 white paper issued by the institution, "Russia's Oil in America's Future -- Policy, Pipelines and Prospects." In it, he examines the problems and possibilities of Russian oil development, especially as it will affect the United States.

He sees Russia as a magnet for industry investment, despite the problems: "We don't really have good options," he said. "Russia is probably the best second choice."

Having said that, the AAPG is very up-front about the risks. We have the AAPG article link, and Ratliff's Hoover Institution White Paper, over at The Pro's Edge. If you believe that the future of Russia and the world oil industry are important issues, these materials are a good place to start.

Iraq: Views from the Street

Joe Katzman

If you really want to get an interesting take on what's going on somewhere, I recommed [a] talking to the local cab drivers; and/or [b] paying careful attention to the local jokes, especialy in repressive or recently repressive societies.

Ali over at "Iraq The Model" recounts a local Sadr City cab driver conversation, while Rob A. of "Fine? Why Fine?" looks at various indicators of shifting Iaqi opinion. As Rob correctly notes: "who the hell knows?" But it's an interesting roundup nonetheless.

May 20, 2004

On Site at AIPAC: Jon's Story

Joe Katzman

Jon of WiredOpinion is a 16-year old, left-leaning blogger who recently went to the America-Israel Public Affairs Committeee (AIPAC) policy conference. His cynicism re: PACs in general is refreshing, and he comes from a rather different political viewpoint, but his blog posts from the conference are interesting nonetheless: [Prologue | Day #1 | His conclusions | Still hates money in politics].

I think he's missing most of the picture if he believes that all or even the majority of AIPAC's power comes from money, and he's surprised by some things that shouldn't have surprised him - but hey, he's 16. Unfortunately Jon missed President Bush's AIPAC speech, which was pretty good. Would have been curious to hear his reaction.