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Sunday, June 13, 2004

Saudis Under Seige

WaPo — The Crisis Within: In Saudi Arabia, Rebellion and Reform Seize Center Stage

Saudi Arabia is beginning to look like a society under siege.

At Riyadh’s trendiest shopping mall on a quiet afternoon last month, security officers were stopping vehicles entering the parking garage, opening hoods and trunks in search of explosives. At the Marriott Hotel, near the Petroleum Ministry, and at other hotels in the capital that cater to Westerners, ground-floor windows have been bricked up and Jersey barriers installed across driveways. At the airport, the fence around the Royal Terminal, which serves the king and the princes of the House of Saud, is topped with razor wire. On Riyadh’s main boulevards, and on the causeway connecting the kingdom with Bahrain, police have set up security checkpoints.

These are surprising sights in a country that has always prided itself on its law-and-order, crime-free environment. They reflect the unhappy fact that for the past 13 months, Saudi Arabia has been afflicted by an escalating wave of terrorist violence aimed at bringing down the regime, purging the country of Western influence and choking off the nascent liberalization of Saudi society. Scores of people have died in bombings and shootings at housing compounds where foreigners live and at oil industry facilities, including the May 29 attack in Khobar that claimed 22 victims. Yesterday, an American was shot and killed outside his home in a Riyadh suburb. Newspapers report frequent shootouts between security forces and suspected terrorists whose arsenals of weapons and explosives are distressingly large.

The desperadoes are Saudis, nurtured in an extremist environment that the government itself has long fostered. They are linked to al Qaeda and sympathetic to their countryman Osama bin Laden — which has predictably stirred speculation about the stability of the kingdom. Bin Laden and his followers have made clear that they are committed to overthrowing the House of Saud. Given the increasing audacity of the terrorists, the country’s swelling ranks of unemployed malcontents and the apparent indecisiveness of the senior princes, it might appear that the insurgency could indeed bring down the regime or at least ignite a civil war.

It’s surprising that it has taken so long to get to this stage. The Saudi regime has been a key sponsor of terrorism and of the Wahabi brand of radical Islam for generations. While they’ve been skillful in deflecting most of the rage at Israel and the U.S., the radicals also resent the debauched al Saud family and their lifestyle. One hopes that the royals are finally getting the message with their recent crackdown, although I fear it’s a bit late to put down the terrorists they’ve spawned without a lot of bloodshed.

The piece makes a common error that one would think would have been eradicated by this point:

There appears to be a large pool of poorly educated, narrow-minded, violence-prone men who are steeped in the religious absolutism that the regime itself promoted for 20 years, principally to reestablish its Islamic religious credentials after the mosque takeover.

The threat isn’t from the poorly educated unfortunates. Indeed, the sons of the afffluent, those with the highest level of education—often including graduate training in the West—have tended to be the most radical. The Islamists are much like other extremist groups in this way; the poor tend not to spend much time thinking about politics—they’re too busy trying to get by.

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Saturday, June 12, 2004

National Enquirer More Believable than New York Times

Jack Shafer argues that the National Enquirer is more reliable that the mainstream press, even though it’s the latter is more trusted:

Almost three decades ago, the National Enquirer abandoned the traditional supermarket tabloid formula of UFOs, bizarre sex, séances, gross-outs, Loch Ness-ish monsters, cooked-up stories, and celebrity gossip for a new formula mostly devoted to celebrities. Striving for the kind of journalistic accuracy that repels libel suits, the tabloid paid many of its sources and scrupulously reported and fact-checked its pieces about Cher, Liz and Dick, Jackie O., Liza, Henry Kissinger, Burt and Loni, and the original Charlie’s Angels.

By the time of the 1994 Nicole Brown Simpson-Ron Goldman murders, the Enquirer truth machine had become so good that reporter David Margolick was toasting it in the New York Times for scooping the competition—and applauding it for spiking many of the false stories that appeared in mainstream media.

One would think that the Enquirer’s discovery of accurate journalism would have elevated its reputation. Instead, the tabloid is regarded slightly worse today than it was in 1985, according to a new survey conducted by the Pew Research Center. Respondents were asked to rate news organizations on a 1-to-4 scale, with 1 representing “I believe all or most” of what the news organization says and 4 representing “I believe almost nothing.” Only 4 percent of the polled group believed all or most of what the Enquirer says, and a whopping 61 percent believed nothing. Back in June 1985, a similar Pew survey found that 4 percent believed all or most of what the Enquirer said, and 54 percent believed almost nothing.

Compare the Enquirer’s survey numbers to those of USA Today’s: Fifteen percent believe all or most of what USA Today says, and only 8 percent believe nothing it says (55 percent chose believability values 2 or 3; 21 percent ventured no judgment of the paper). USA Today’s overall score is similar to the ones recorded for other mainstream media, such as NBC News, the New York Times, and CNN, to name a few.

The Enquirer’s relatively bad rep presents a paradox that is not easily resolved. The Enquirer may overplay stories, as it does in the most recent issue (June 14, 2004) by describing Jessica “Washingtonienne” Cutler in a headline as the center of a “Bush Sex Scandal” when all she’s confessed to is having slept with an unnamed Bush appointee for money. But the particulars of the Enquirer story appear to be true. The Enquirer may focus excessively on the exploits of show-biz figures such as Billy Bob Thornton, Lindsay Lohan’s father, and Larry Hagman, but if past issues are a guide, the tabloid isn’t making this stuff up. And say whatever ugly things you will about the modern National Enquirer, it hasn’t staged the filming of an exploding pickup truck like NBC News; it hasn’t been taken by a serial liar, as was the New York Times; and it’s avoided running preposterous stories about the U.S. government using nerve gas in Vietnam, as CNN did. Had Jack Kelley attempted to place his fictions in the Enquirer instead of USA Today, I’m sure the editors would have found him out.

***

The respondents who judged People (and the National Enquirer) so poorly are dead wrong, and the pollsters at Pew (for whom I have much respect) should be taken to the woodshed for having designed a rickety survey. When you gather opinions from people on subjects of which they know little or nothing, you’re only collecting interesting garbage.

Interesting. Much of this, one presumes, is simple cognitive dissonance. The initial expectation—based on legitimate evidence—was that the tabloids were trash and the Big Media were credible. Evidence to the contrary is chalked up as exceptional.

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  • Limbaugh Getting Third Divorce

    I heard this on the car radio last night but forgot about it:

    Palm Beach Post — Limbaugh, third wife getting divorce

    Rush Limbaugh, the Palm Beach-based conservative talk radio icon, announced Friday that he is getting another divorce.

    It was the third marriage for both Limbaugh, 53, and his 44-year-old wife, Marta, a native of Jacksonville. Limbaugh’s latest marital difficulties come while he is under investigation by Palm Beach County prosecutors over allegations of illegal doctor-shopping for painkillers.

    The couple’s decision to end their 10-year marriage was mutual and amicable, and was unrelated to Limbaugh’s admitted addiction to painkillers, said his spokesman, Tony Knight.

    “He decided it would be better to make an announcement than to have his listeners and friends find out via some other source,” Knight said.

    Limbaugh hasn’t filed for divorce yet, and Knight wasn’t sure whether Marta had formally filed.

    Marta Limbaugh could not be reached Friday. Her mother, Esther Seegert Peluso of Titusville, said she hadn’t heard that Limbaugh and her daughter were separated and that she was surprised, given that they had celebrated their 10th anniversary just two weeks ago.

    While it’s tempting to cry “hypocrisy” when a vocal advocate of “family values” is getting his third divorce, I honestly have no idea what the specific circumstances were for any of them. Still, it doesn’t look good.

    The decade-long marriage was the longest for Limbaugh, who once said he had little time for love because “I’m too much in love with myself.”

    In 1977, he married Roxy Maxine McNeely, a sales secretary at a Kansas City, Mo., radio station. The marriage lasted about 18 months. In 1983, he married Michelle Sixta, a Kansas City Royals stadium usherette, at the Stadium Club. Their marriage lasted about five years.

    Limbaugh’s divorces haven’t stopped him from dispensing marital advice. “If you want a successful marriage, let your husband do what he wants to do,” he once said.

    Limbaugh, who has no children, also has opined about gay marriage. “Marriage is about raising children. That’s the purpose of the institution.”

    One can only wonder why such a man would have difficulty with making marriages last.

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    President Reagan Laid to Rest

    I was out last night and fully expected to miss the burial services but, owing to the time difference, returned to a television set just in the nick of time. In many ways, the service at the Reagan Library was better than the grand affair at the National Cathedral. The speeches were less polished and the preacher prattled on too long, but seeing the Reagan kids—finally seeming grown up and cognizant of their father’s stature—come together to comfort their mother and pay tribute to their departed dad was quite nice. And Nancy was finally free to grieve, no longer having days of public spectacle to face.

    LA Times — Reagan Buried at His Library

    Ronald Wilson Reagan, the nation’s 40th president, was buried on a golden Southern California hilltop Friday, after a funeral in Washington National Cathedral attended by hundreds of world leaders, past and present.

    The ceremonies ended a week of mourning and majesty that honored the uniquely American figure who was credited with hastening the end of the Cold War. Reagan died June 5 at 93.

    A presidential jet delivered his body to California, where the former statesman and showman was laid to rest in a horseshoe-shaped burial site at the Ronald Reagan Presidential Library — shaded by seven oak trees and overlooking a panoramic farm valley, with the Pacific Ocean beyond.

    The day began in the gray mist of a Washington drizzle and ended in the glow of a California sunset. Formal tributes in the nation’s capital gave way to the more intimate embrace of the Santa Susana Mountains and the tender memories of the children who loved him.

    Michael Reagan spoke of his father’s gift of Christian faith and his advice on how to have a long and happy marriage: “You’ll never get in trouble if you say ‘I love you’ at least once a day.”

    Patti Davis recounted how the man who would be president taught his daughter about death by helping her bury her goldfish.

    And Ronald Prescott Reagan talked about his father’s optimism, his struggle with Alzheimer’s disease and his last trip home: “In his final letter to the American people, Dad wrote: ‘I now begin the journey that will lead me into the sunset of my life.’ This evening, he has arrived.”

    NYT For a Frail Mrs. Reagan, a Week of Great Resolve [RSS]

    Nancy Reagan started her seventh day of mourning Friday bowed over her husband’s coffin in the Rotunda of the Capitol. By the time the sun set in California 12 hours later, Mrs. Reagan had attended a state funeral at National Cathedral, a formal send-off at Andrews Air Force Base and, after a cross-country flight aboard an Air Force jumbo jet, Ronald Reagan’s burial on a hillside outside Los Angeles.

    For Mrs. Reagan, it was an exhausting and emotional test of endurance, all the more so for an 82-year-old woman who, as friends noted, for 10 years has barely been able to step out for lunch as she cared for her ailing husband. It ended at dusk in California as she wept softly over her husband’s coffin with her children at her side. It was also the climax of a meticulously planned week of pageantry and tribute that Mrs. Reagan was, characteristically, intimately involved in arranging, right down to the selection of the tenor who sang “Ave Maria” at the cathedral on this rainy morning.

    Mrs. Reagan’s friends said she was, to no small extent, shielded from the emotion of her loss as she watched, with evident pride and sorrow, as every motorcade, eulogy, and snap of a salute that made up a memorial unlike any Washington had seen in 50 years unfolded almost precisely as planned.

    Continue reading President Reagan Laid to Rest »

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  • Kerry-Vilsach?

    Bob Novak reports an odd choice emerging for Kerry’s running mate:

    The current buzz in the national capital’s high-level Democratic circles has projected that Iowa Gov. Tom Vilsack, previously considered a dark horse as John Kerry’s running mate, is now the leading prospect.

    Political consultant John Lapp, a former Vilsack aide, is in Washington beating the drums for the governor. One senior aide in the 2000 Gore-for-president campaign flatly predicts a Kerry-Vilsack ticket.

    Kerry likes and admires Vilsack and is grateful for the endorsement by Vilsack’s wife, Christie, in the Iowa caucuses at a time when Howard Dean was considered a heavy favorite. However, Vilsack lacks national security expertise, and his experience is limited to Iowa. He was elected governor in 1998 at age 47 after serving as a state senator and mayor of Mount Pleasant.

    One would think a virtually unknown from Iowa an odd choice for a national ticket. A major figure from a large swing state certainly makes more sense.

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  • Friday, June 11, 2004

    Reagan Photos

    LA Times has an excellent collection of Ronald Reagan photographs, divided into eras in his life. What’s particularly interesting to me is the ones from after he left office, since one so seldom sees those.

    Continue reading Reagan Photos »

    Reagan: Going Home

    The trip home begins.

    A casket containing the body of former President Reagan is loaded by a military honor guard into a lift truck at Andrews Air Force Base Md., Friday June 11, 2004. Reagan's body will return to California for burial. (AP Photo/Steve Helber)
    A casket containing the body of former President Reagan is loaded by a military honor guard into a lift truck at Andrews Air Force Base Md., Friday June 11, 2004. Reagan’s body will return to California for burial.
    (AP Photo/Steve Helber)

    Picketing the Cathedral

    AP/YahooNews — Picketing the Cathedral.

    A police officer salutes in front of pro and anti-Ronald Reagan (news - web sites) groups near the National Cathedral in Washington Friday, June 11, 2004 prior to funeral services for the former president. (AP Photo/Eric Gay)
    A police officer salutes in front of pro and anti-Ronald Reagan groups near the National Cathedral in Washington Friday, June 11, 2004 prior to funeral services for the former president. (AP Photo/Eric Gay).

    These things rather speak for themselves.

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  • Reagan Funeral Service

    The speeches were all quite touching. It was a shame that Mrs. Thatcher wasn’t physically able to deliver her eulogy but the fact that she had the presence to record it so far in advance, despite her own ill health, says much about her genuine affection for her comrade-in-arms. Former President Bush was, as has been the case of late, quite sentimental and comfortable in his own skin. And President Bush’s speech was as well-delivered and well crafted as any I’ve seen him give. As I’ve noted before, he can be quite eloquent when he has a live audience and is talking about something about which he has genuine conviction.

    WaPo — Thousands Gather for Service Honoring Reagan

    President Bush escorts Nancy Reagan in the Cathedral. (WaPo- AFP)
    After lying in state in the Capitol Rotunda for more than 36 hours, the remains of former president Ronald Reagan arrived at the National Cathedral for a funeral service attended by the Reagan family and several thousand dignitaries from across the nation and around the world.

    At the cathedral, eight military pallbearers preceded by flag bearers carried the flag-draped casket from a hearse to the front entrance as a military band played ruffles and flourishes. Nancy Reagan, wearing a black suit, walked slowly up the cathedral steps behind it, followed by Reagan’s three surviving children and their families.

    President Bush, sitting in the front row, led the former first lady to her seat across the aisle as the service began about 11:30 a.m.

    Earlier at the Capitol, Nancy Reagan entered the Rotunda shortly after 10 a.m. EDT and approached the casket lying on a wooden platform, called a catafalque, that dates from the funeral of Abraham Lincoln.

    Alongside daughter Patti Davis, Nancy Reagan reaches out to son Ron Jr. following today's state funeral at the National Cathedral. (Reuters)

    The 82-year-old widow ran her hands over the American flag covering the casket, whispered a few words as if speaking to her departed husband and gently kissed the flag. After a final farewell pat, she made her way out of the Rotunda on the arm of Maj. Gen. Galen B. Jackman, the commander of the U.S. Army Military District of Washington, who has escorted her throughout the six days of public ceremonies.

    Nancy Reagan and members of the Reagan family then waited at the bottom of the Capitol’s western steps while Army howitzers fired a 21-gun salute and the casket was carried down to a waiting hearse to the strains of a military band. Standing under an umbrella, Nancy Reagan held her right hand over her heart as the casket was placed in the hearse.

    After today’s funeral service in Washington, the body of Reagan, who died at his California home Saturday at age 93 after a 10-year battle with Alzheimer’s disease, is to be flown back to his home state for burial at his Simi Valley presidential library in a sunset ceremony.

    Under cloudy skies and drizzling rain, crowds gathered in the streets of the capital to watch the hearse containing the mahogany casket make the five-mile trip to the cathedral from the Rotunda.

    By the time public viewing ended at 8 a.m. EDT, an estimated 90,000 people had filed past the casket in the hushed Rotunda, the silence broken only by the shuffling of feet and the periodic changing of the joint honor guard composed of members of the armed services.

    ***

    As part of a final day of ritual and tribute, American military bases around the world scheduled 21-gun salutes at noon, followed by a round of 50-gun salutes at dusk.

    And in what organizers described as a new tradition, the cathedral will ring its bell 40 times following the funeral — symbolizing Reagan’s standing as the 40th president. Churches across the nation have been invited to join in that gesture by ringing their own bells 40 times at around 1:15 p.m. EDT.

    NYT Funeral Services Under Way for Reagan

    Final ceremonies for the 40th president will conclude a week of formal public remembrances, and will be marked by a national day of mourning. (NYT/Agence France-Presse--Getty Images) It was a day Ronald Reagan had himself helped to plan: a funeral service that will fill the National Cathedral in Washington today with world leaders past and present, friends and a former enemy, and ringing tributes to the man who took his overwhelming optimism from Hollywood to the White House.

    Final ceremonies for the 40th president, who died on Saturday at the age of 93, will conclude a week of formal public remembrances, and will be marked by a national day of mourning and the ringing of church bells for 40 times across the country.

    ***

    Nothing will have been left to chance at the cathedral, where guests include Prime Minister Tony Blair of Britain, Prince Charles, Kofi Annan, Secretary General of the United Nations and former President Lech Walesa of Poland.

    During his first year in office, at the age of 69 in 1981, Mr. Reagan asked Mr. Bush, his vice president, to speak at his funeral. And because he was proud of appointing the first woman to the Supreme Court, Mr. Reagan extended a similar invitation to Justice Sandra Day O’Connor.

    But it was Mr. Reagan who chose what Justice O’Connor would read: John Winthrop’s 1630 sermon that inspired Mr. Reagan’s own description of America as a shining “city upon a hill.”

    Others to deliver tributes will be the former Canadian prime minister, Brian Mulroney, a close friend who shared an Irish ancestry with Mr. Reagan, and President Bush, who has described Mr. Reagan as “a national treasure.”

    A number of years ago, Mr. Reagan asked Margaret Thatcher, the former British prime minister who was known as “The Iron Lady,” to speak at his last rites. The two shared the same political philosophy and became fast friends.

    Lady Thatcher, who has given up public speaking after a series of small strokes, taped her remarks months ago.

    Former foreign leaders Gorbachev, Thatcher and Mulroney were among the dignitaries in attendance at today's state funeral. (Reuters)

    WaPo — A Widow’s Heartfelt Farewell


    Hers is a private grief gone public.

    Nancy Reagan never wanted to be anyplace except by her husband’s side, friends say. In this week’s elaborate tribute for the nation’s 40th president, she has made her ceremonial walks clutching the arm of a stranger. But she stands alone. She has reconciled with her children, and they comfort her, but at most of the choreographed pauses in these rites, they are not in this circle of two that was Nancy and Ronnie.

    Today, the 82-year-old former first lady faces her most exhausting day, a state funeral in a cathedral packed with the nation’s and world’s dignitaries, many of whom will want to bend and murmur their condolences, followed by a rapid departure back across the country, to a California burial before sunset.

    Yesterday, sequestered with her family at Blair House, she was called on for a half-hour by President and Laura Bush and national security adviser Condoleezza Rice, as well as former Soviet president Mikhail Gorbachev and former Canadian prime minister Brian Mulroney.

    “All of this ritual of mourning is good,” said her biographer, Bob Colacello, yesterday. “This is on such a grand scale that the public and private have completely merged. It’s a magnificent moment in history, and that has to please her.”

    Yet this remains a long and personal goodbye, and, in her every stroke of her husband’s coffin, her friends say they see that Nancy Reagan is having trouble letting go.

    “That was the relationship, that was the life, Nancy and Ronald Reagan,” for 52 years, said Sheila Tate, the former first lady’s press secretary. “This is her last ceremony. And, even though he was limited by Alzheimer’s for the last number of years, he was still there. So the shock is still there” when death comes.

    Reactions from around the Blogosphere:

    • Jen found the speeches, particularly Thatcher’s, moving. She is disturbed that some are saying hateful things on this day.
    • Bill Hobbs has a nice photo roundup.
    • Steven Taylor reflects on what Reagan meant to him.
    • Matt Yglesias proposes putting the Gipper on the $50 bill.
    • Joe Gandleman believes honoring presidents is important.

    Transcripts of the eulogies as well as more photos and links appear in the extended entry.

    Continue reading Reagan Funeral Service »

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  • Watching the Funeral

    I’ll be taking advantage of having been given the day off for the National Day of Mourning for President Reagan and will be watching the proceedings. Even though I’m close to DC, I‘ll be watching on television like most everybody else. Catching a glipse of a hearse driving by isn’t worth missing the live broadcast of the funeral services.

    I’ll put together a montage of the press coverage later in the day. While most of the material will be readily available, having it archived in one place will be handy once it’s slipped off the front pages of the papers into pay-per-view archives.

    Reagan Counter-Tributes

    While the likes of Democratic Underground and Ted Rall jumped in right away, most respectable Democrats waited a few days before jumping in with anti-Reagan pieces. They’re starting to roll in now. The refrain is familiar—Reagan was mainly an affable talker rather than a leader, it was Gorby who won the Cold War, and the economy under Reagan wasn’t as good as we remember.

    Continue reading Reagan Counter-Tributes »

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  • Last Train to Westchester

    NYT has an interesting feature on those who miss the last train out of Grand Central Station [RSS] and get stranded for several hours until they reopen for business in the morning. This is a rather odd phenomenon. In cities like New York, Chicago, and Washington, where the reliance on public transportation is so heavy, it’s just baffling to me that the trains ever stop running. I can understand reducing the frequency of the trains during off peak hours, but it makes little sense to stop them entirely. The spin-off effects—people deciding to skip late night events for fear of getting stranded, people driving and adding to the traffic congestion who would otherwise have taken the train, and so forth—would seem to outweigh the advantages of the shutdown.

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    Undecided Voters

    NYT Undecided Voter Is Becoming the Focus of Both Political Parties [RSS]

    They are more likely to be white than black, female than male, married than single, and live in the suburbs rather than in large cities. They are not frequent churchgoers nor gun enthusiasts. They are clustered in swing states like Ohio, Michigan and here in Pennsylvania. And while they follow the news closely, they are largely indifferent to the back and forth of this year’s race for president.

    These are what pollsters describe as the rarest of Americans in this election year: the undecided voters. And with aides to President Bush and Senator John Kerry increasingly confident about their ability to turn out their base voters, and thus create an electoral standoff in as many as 15 states, these people have become the object of intense concern by the campaigns as they try to figure out who these voters are and how to reach them.

    Only about 5 percent of the voting public is undecided, about one-third of what is typical at this point in the campaign, according to several recent polls. That figure increases to about 15 percent when pollsters include supporters of Mr. Kerry and Mr. Bush who say they might change their minds. In addition to those who are torn between the two major-party candidates, and possibly Ralph Nader, there is a sizable number of Americans who are deciding whether to vote at all.

    ***

    Mary Beth Cahill, Mr. Kerry’s campaign manager, said that if the two parties succeeded at turning out their base vote, as both sides said now appears increasingly likely, “this election looks as though it’s going to come down to these late deciders.”

    “We all read the daily polling,” Ms. Cahill said, adding. “You have to try every possible way to reach them.”

    Both campaigns are struggling to adjust to this endlessly complicated electoral equation. Ms. Cahill said her campaign believed that one of the most effective ways to reach many of these voters was on radio shows, and had geared its surrogate speaker program to make Kerry advocates available for many radio shows.

    The Bush campaign in May produced an advertisement on education featuring Laura Bush, appealing to suburban female voters, and placed it on the Web site of The Philadelphia Inquirer in an effort to reach voters in Philadelphia suburbs like this one.

    “You can’t get messages to them just by broadcasting on the major nets,” said Matthew Dowd, a senior Bush strategist, referring to television networks. “Primarily, the way most of them make up their mind is with glimpses here and there that they catch of the president and Kerry.”

    And who are they? Undecided voters are likely to be younger, lower-income and less educated than the general electorate, said Ed Goeas, a Republican pollster.

    Obviously, it’s no surprise that the campaigns are looking to persuade undecided voters. And, certainly, the fact that the undecideds tend to be young and uneducated is hardly news. What’s interesting, though, is how few of them there are at this relatively early stage.

    Not Many Jobs Are Sent Abroad

    NYT Not Many Jobs Are Sent Abroad, U.S. Report Says [RSS]

    International outsourcing, politicians from both parties often say, has turned into a scourge of American workers, who are losing jobs on a large scale to competition from cheaper workers abroad.

    But according to the first government effort to actually measure the phenomenon, such fears may be overblown. A new report released yesterday by the Labor Department on mass layoffs found that in the first quarter of this year, 4,633 workers were laid off because their jobs were moved overseas, a mere 2.5 percent of the total of 182,456 longer-term job losses reported by companies in the period.

    Officials acknowledged that the numbers clearly undercount the total number of jobs lost offshore. For one thing, the new data covers layoffs only at companies employing at least 50 workers where at least 50 filed for unemployment insurance and the layoffs lasted more than 30 days. Even more important, the report does not account for jobs created by American companies overseas that did not involve a direct layoff in the United States.

    The new data, however, does seem to fortify those experts who have long argued that outsourcing plays a relatively small role compared with other more important factors affecting American job gains and losses.

    “Offshoring is not at the heart of the matter,” said Robert B. Reich, who served as labor secretary under President Bill Clinton. “I don’t think it is a major part of the job picture.”

    Instead, many experts say, the job market is driven more by rapid productivity growth, allowing companies to accomplish more work with fewer workers; the introduction of new technologies, which destroy many jobs while creating many others; and the overall level of demand in the domestic economy.

    Indeed, while nearly three million jobs were lost from March 2001 through August 2003, the recent recovery of the economy has added 1.4 million jobs since then. And despite the job losses the Labor Department found during the first quarter, over all the economy added an estimated 595,000 jobs during that period.

    If news of this gets out, Dan Drezner might have to find a new line of work. Fortunately, not too many people believe what they see in the press.

    Thursday, June 10, 2004

    Reagan Funeral Details

    AP Tens of Thousands View Reagan’s Casket

    From Boy Scouts to Supreme Court justices, tens of thousands of Americans filed solemnly past Ronald Reagan (news - web sites)’s casket at the Capitol on Thursday, a quiet prelude to a majestic funeral shaped by his own hand. Visitors from the Reagan-era ranks of power and friendship flocked to his widow’s side.

    ***

    Across from the White House, Nancy Reagan received a stream of visitors drawn from a list of the powerful, then and now.

    “To Ronnie,” former British Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher, first to see Mrs. Reagan, wrote in the Blair House condolence book. “Well done, thou good and faithful servant.” Reagan and Thatcher shared a world view, conservative politics and enduring mutual affection.

    Joanne Drake, chief of staff of the Reagan office, described the late president’s final moments before his death Saturday, as told to her by his wife.

    “She told me that as he neared death and it became evident it was close, he opened his eyes and he gazed at her,” Drake said. “His eyes were as blue as ever and he closed them and died. She told me it was the greatest gift ever.”

    Drake said Mrs. Reagan was “doing as well as can be expected under the circumstances” and was greatly comforted by the outpouring of support.

    ***

    Reagan began talking about his funeral in 1981, the year he became president, family representatives said.

    He asked George H.W. Bush, when he was vice president, to speak at his funeral, and years ago asked Justice Sandra Day O’Connor (news - web sites) — the first woman on the Supreme Court — to read at his service, specifying she read from a John Winthrop sermon that inspired his description of America as “the shining city upon a hill.”

    Several years ago he asked former Sen. John C. Danforth, R-Mo., to officiate, the family said, following a suggestion from the Rev. Billy Graham that someone else be approached in the event Graham could not do it.

    Continue reading Reagan Funeral Details »

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    Monty Python's Fellowship of the Ring

    Monty Python’s Fellowship of the Ring.

    Frodo: Don’t disturb this foul pool!
    Boromir: Sorry, I thought I saw something moving out there…
    Pippin: I’ve got it! Why don’t we say the word “friend” in every language we can think of!
    Gandalf: Oh, fool of a Took! Don’t be ridiculous!
    Legolas: What a loon!
    Gimli: Silly hobbit, it wouldn’t be THAT simple!
    Pippin: I guess it does sound rather moronic…
    Gandalf: I know! Why don’t we use the Holy Hand Grenade of Elendil!
    Frodo: The what?
    Gandalf: The Holy Hand Grenade of Elendil. ‘Tis one of the several dozen relics of Isildur that Aragorn lugs around with him.
    Boromir: Yes. Of course.
    Gandalf: (shouting) Aragorn, get out the Holy Hand Grenade!
    Frodo: How does it, um— how does it work?
    Gandalf: Well, I don’t know.
    Aragorn: Hold on, I think I’ve got an instruction manual in here somewhere… Right! The Noldor Book of Armaments!

    Heh.

    Hat tip: John Hudock

    Beltway Traffic Jam

    The last linkfest of the week, since tomorrow is a federal holiday. Traffic will be jammed in the Beltway region regardless.
    • Taegan Goddard finds the mirror image of “Dewey Defeats Truman.”
    • Steven Taylor notes the lack of an opposition response among the Reagan eulogies.
    • Joe Gandleman features Larry Sabato’s odd parallels between 1980 and 2004.
    • Dan Drezner presents one of the more unusual arguments for gay marriage I’ve heard.
    • Jeff Goldstein is having sushi and a wedding anniversary.
    • Kevin Aylward has some advice for who want to see themselves on TV.
    To join in, link and send a TrackBack to this post. If your blog doesn’t automatically generate one, use the Send TrackBack feature below. For more information, see this post.

    Ray Charles, RIP

    AP Grammy-Winning Crooner Ray Charles Dies

    Ray Charles (news), the Grammy-winning crooner who blended gospel and blues in such crowd-pleasers as “What’d I Say” and ballads like “Georgia on My Mind,” died Thursday, a spokesman said. He was 73.

    Charles died at his Beverly Hills home surrounded by family and friends, said spokesman Jerry Digney.

    Charles last public appearance was alongside Clint Eastwood (news) on April 30, when the city of Los Angeles designated the singer’s studios, built 40 years ago in central Los Angeles, as a historic landmark.

    Blind by age 7 and an orphan at 15, Charles spent his life shattering any notion of musical boundaries and defying easy definition. A gifted pianist and saxophonist, he dabbled in country, jazz, big band and blues, and put his stamp on it all with a deep, warm voice roughened by heartbreak from a hardscrabble childhood in the segregated South.

    “His sound was stunning — it was the blues, it was R&B, it was gospel, it was swing — it was all the stuff I was listening to before that but rolled into one amazing, soulful thing,” singer Van Morrison (news) told Rolling Stone magazine in April.

    Charles won nine of his 12 Grammy Awards between 1960 and 1966, including the best R&B recording three consecutive years (“Hit the Road Jack,” “I Can’t Stop Loving You” and “Busted”).

    Continue reading Ray Charles, RIP »

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    Paying their Respects to Reagan (D.C. Edition) - Part 2

    WaPo - A Day of Ritual and Remembrance

    To the strains of solemn music and the slow beat of drums, the body of Ronald Wilson Reagan rode in a final parade through Washington yesterday to the Capitol Rotunda, where the 40th president of the United States will lie in state until his funeral tomorrow.

    Tens of thousands of citizens lined Constitution Avenue and the West Entrance to the Capitol, many having waited for hours in wilting heat to pay their respects. Later, after an austere ceremony beneath the soaring dome, the first of an anticipated 150,000 mourners began walking past Reagan’s coffin, which lay on the black velvet-covered catafalque first used at the death of Abraham Lincoln.

    “Ronald Reagan was more than just a historical figure. He was a providential man who came along just when our nation, and our world, needed him,” said Vice President Cheney beside the light-bathed and flag-draped coffin.

    “Fellow Americans, here lies a graceful and a gallant man.”

    So began Washington’s first state funeral in more than 30 years, on a day steeped in tradition but also unnervingly 21st century. Just hours before Reagan’s body reached the Capitol, the building was evacuated in a panic amid reports that an unidentified aircraft was closing in. The plane turned out to be a private craft carrying Kentucky Gov. Ernie Fletcher [R] that had briefly lost contact with ground controllers.

    Virtually every police officer in Washington was on duty and at high alert; bomb-sniffing dogs inspected flag-decked light poles; the federal government declared a “National Special Security Event,” which Attorney General John D. Ashcroft declared “a sad commentary . . . [on] modern life in Washington.”

    The public commemoration of the man whose conservative politics and infectious optimism transformed American public life will continue through tomorrow’s funeral at Washington National Cathedral. More than 20 heads of state, past and present, planned to attend — the largest gathering of dignitaries the city has seen in at least five years. British Prime Minister Tony Blair and former prime minister Margaret Thatcher, German Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder, Italian Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi and Britain’s Prince Charles have accepted invitations.

    WaTimes - A final salute in a hall of heroes

    The Capitol dome became the focus for a nation in mourning for former President Ronald Reagan, whose remains were delivered by horse-drawn caisson yesterday to the Rotunda, where he will lie in state through tomorrow morning.

    Surrounded by statues of the nation’s greatest heroes, including George Washington, Thomas Jefferson and Abraham Lincoln, Vice President Dick Cheney eulogized Mr. Reagan.

    “Ronald Reagan was more than a historic figure. He was a providential man who came along just when our nation and the world most needed him,” Mr. Cheney said. “And believing as he did that there is a plan at work in each life, he accepted not only the great duties that came to him, but also the great trials that came near the end.”

    WaPo - A Somber Procession Of Present and Past

    The small, frail-looking woman in the black dress emerged from the limousine moments after the hearse bearing the body of her husband pulled to a stop in the eight empty lanes of Constitution Avenue.

    It was 6:03 p.m., and as Nancy Reagan stood in the evening heat, the throng packed along the avenue behind the White House yesterday began to applaud and then to cheer. “We love you, Nancy!” someone hollered.

    She smiled faintly and waved as she held the arm of a towering Army general, and an honor guard carried the flag-covered coffin of former president Ronald Reagan from the hearse to a four-wheeled, horse-drawn artillery caisson.

    Everything was crisp and on time. A riderless horse named Sgt. York, with a pair of the president’s riding boots backward in the stirrups, bobbed impatiently. The pause was brief, and the former first lady was bustled back to her car. A man in the crowd bellowed: “God bless you, Nancy!”

    WaPo - Thousands Make Pilgrimage to Capitol

    They were a dedicated lot, those thousands waiting outside the Capitol in the hours before the sun came up this morning. They had crossed states, skipped work and pulled kids from school to undertake a journey that, for many, was nothing short of a pilgrimage.

    They waited, some for more than five hours, for a minute or two with a closed casket in the Capitol Rotunda, where the body of Ronald Wilson Reagan lay in state. Reagan breathed hope into the nation, many said, and after the long twilight that was his last decade, they were eager to pay homage.

    Among them was Scott Cloud, who flew from Florida yesterday, motivated by “absolute and utter respect” for the former president. Cloud, a corrections officer, dropped $445 on a plane ticket and $150 on a hotel room. By 3:10 a.m., he had waited four hours, but he had no complaints. “The man symbolizes what America should be,” Cloud said.

    ***

    Joe Kerstiens, of suburban Chicago, said he flew in to pay his respects to Reagan, who he called “probably the greatest president of the 20th century.”

    “I don’t think there are any others that are still alive that I would probably make the trip for,” Kerstiens said.

    Update: Reuters - Bush Joins Thousands to Honor Reagan at Capitol

    President Bush joined tens of thousands of people who filed silently by Ronald Reagan’s body at the U.S. Capitol on Thursday as Americans paused to honor their 40th president.

    At least 2,000 people an hour filed slowly past the coffin in the Capitol Rotunda, some of them after waiting seven hours, recalling his optimism and kindness with little if any mention of the divisive aspects of his presidency.

    Bush and first lady Laura Bush returned to Washington from a Group of Eight summit in Georgia and went immediately to the Capitol to pay their respects.

    They walked in holding hands, stood next to the casket and bowed their heads. The president touched the flag-draped casket with both hands. Bush then went to Blair House, the presidential guest quarters, to visit with members of the Reagan family.

    Former Soviet leader Mikhail Gorbachev, formally representing Russia, came to the Capitol on Thursday afternoon to pay his respects. Gorbachev crossed swords with Reagan at tense summits in the 1980s and then allowed the Cold War to end peacefully months after Reagan left office.

    After the pomp and circumstance of Wednesday’s stately procession, when Reagan’s body slowly made its way through Washington on a horse-drawn military carriage, it was a day for ordinary Americans to show their respects.

    Many past and present world leaders and veterans of the Cold War struggle against Communism that Reagan helped to end were arriving in Washington for a funeral service on Friday at Washington’s National Cathedral.


    Former Soviet president Mikhail Gorbachev embraces Nancy Reagan. (Reuters)

    Washington Times has a wonderful gallery of photos from the Reagan funeral preparations.

    John Kerry Video Game

    Clive Thompson discusses an interesting phenomenon in computer graphics animation: as images get closer to looking human, they start to look less human.

    hen an android, such as R2-D2 or C-3PO, barely looks human, we cut it a lot of slack. It seems cute. We don’t care that it’s only 50 percent humanlike. But when a robot becomes 99 percent lifelike—so close that it’s almost real—we focus on the missing 1 percent. We notice the slightly slack skin, the absence of a truly human glitter in the eyes. The once-cute robot now looks like an animated corpse. Our warm feelings, which had been rising the more vivid the robot became, abruptly plunge downward. Mori called this plunge “the Uncanny Valley,” the paradoxical point at which a simulation of life becomes so good it’s bad.

    While initially counterintuitive, this actually makes sense.

    Consider Alias, the new title based on the TV show. It’s a reasonably fun action-and-puzzle game, where you maneuver Sydney Bristow through a series of spy missions. But whenever the camera zooms in on her face, you’re staring at a Jennifer Garner death mask. I nearly shrieked out loud at one point. And whenever other characters speak to you—particularly during cut-scenes, those supposedly “cinematic” narrative moments—they’re even more ghastly. Mouths and eyes don’t move in synch. It’s as if all the characters have been shot up with some ungodly amount of Botox and are no longer able to make Earthlike expressions.

    Kerry campaign: FYI.

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