And I was the idiot of the group.

This has probably been covered elsewhere - but what is an ’undecided’ vote? Is it a spoilt paper or actually an ’undecided’. If the latter what would happen if the ’undecideds’ got over 50%? Particularly if there were more ’yeses’ and ’noes’.

The party leaders in Sweden promised that only the yes an no votes would be relevant. The undecided vote are a way for people to show that the appriate their right to vote even if the dont know how to vote.

I never did have a gift of prophecy…

The post votes have not ben counted yet.
Its 20 % of the total vote so the final numbers are not clear.

And the yes side will likely be overepresented in the postal vote.

Apologies - I’m used to the British system where postal votes are counted at the same time as the rest of the votes so I was assuming they had been counted.

A quick bit of back of the envelope maths - assuming that postal votes are 20% of the total, if 87% of them are yes votes, then the yes side could still win the referendum. Obviously not likely, but would be interesting, not least for how they’d report it.

On a more likely breakdown, it’d need to be about 55-45 in favour of the Yes side for it to end up around the 54-46 No victory that David and Stefan predicted.