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Worth a Look.
June 24, 2004
One of the choicest paragraphs, from a choice review of Bill Clinton's autobiography: "That somehow a long, dense book by the world's premier policy wonk should be worth that much money is amusing, and brings us back to Clinton's long coyote-and-roadrunner race with the press. The very press that wanted to discredit him and perhaps even run him out of town instead made him a celebrity, a far more expensive thing than a mere president. Clinton's now up there with Madonna, in the highlands that are even above talent. In fact, he and Madonna may, just at the moment, be the only ones way up there, problems having arisen with so many lesser reputations." If the Times link has expired, try here.
June 22, 2004
At the risk of turning this column into 'what Henry Farrell's written recently', he has a good piece on CT about the role of the European Parliament in international affairs.
June 19, 2004
Amongst all the other decisions made at the summit, Croatia is now an official EU candidate state. Talks are scheduled to begin next year with an aim of the Croats joining alongside Romania and Bulgaria in 2007.
June 18, 2004
Over at Crooked Timber, Henry Farrell assesses the candidates for President of the European Commission
June 13, 2004
The 2004 European Football Championship has kicked off with a shock in the opening game as the hosts Portugal were beaten 2-1 by Greece. Elsewhere, Spain began the tournament with a 1-0 win against Russia.
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March 19, 2004
Privatisation Run Riot
I am normally a pretty staunch supporter of privatisation. I just provide the double pronged caveat: where it is well thought out, and where it makes sense. Juan Cole has a contract tender specification posted which for me defies all reasonable explanation. It is for a private contract force to protect the Green Zone, the headquarters of the American administration of Iraq in Baghdad. This seems beyond comprehension in its absurdity, but I am sure someone out there will be only too willing to try and put me straight.
The threats that the private security force will be asked to meet provide a summary of the dangers facing U.S. and coalition personnel 10 months after President Bush declared the main fighting over. The contractor, according to the bid proposal, must be prepared to deal with vehicles containing explosive devices, the improvised explosives planted on roads, “direct fire and ground assaults by upwards of 12 personnel with military rifles, machine guns and RPG [rocket-propelled grenade], indirect fire by mortars and rockets, individual suicide bombers, and employment of other weapons of mass destruction … in an unconventional warfare setting.” To meet that challenge, the bidders’ personnel must have prior military experience, and those involved directly in force protection must have “operated in U.S., North Atlantic Treaty Organization or other military organizations compatible with NATO standards.” ’
Actually, using private companies for security is not a bad idea. But why not expand on it even more to include mercenaries for more directed missions? If we expand on that, it kind of makes sense:
One of the difficulties in fighting a supranational enemy like Al Qaeda is that it is a stateless entity - especially with the fall of Afghanistan. As the US has struggled with an approach that fits the bill (using special forces in Afghanistan, eliminating Iraq as a possible AQ ally by conventional invasion, treating AQ prisoners as non-combatants falling outside current definitions of war), it should consider the feasibility of putting a profit motive on the hunt for Al Qaeda. Putting a bounty on their heads is a start, but should be expanded on even more by recruiting those kinds of people who would actually enjoy this line of work. And we all know that such people exist.
Mercenaries have been used for thousands of years. In fact, it was the norm in warfare, and in some epochs often served as a reason for generals to be sparing in bloodletting, relying instead on superior tactical manoeuvers, and “gentlemanly” surrenders, simply because mercenaries cost money. It was, after all, the advent of the nationalist, citizen-conscript armies, which linked national identity with military duty, when the real carnage began.
Mercenaries would have the added advantage of undertaking supranational missions, such as assassinations in countries were regular troops and agents could not, for political reasons, ever go.
In fact, mercenaries would level the playing field with Al Qaeda. For didn’t they, also, essentially begin their careers as mercenaries?
The main problem with mercenaries, though, is that they can always swing to the highest bidder. But as long as a country is rich and stays rich, that should not be much of a problem.
The use of mercenaries would also relieve leaders of democracies from the burden of having to answer to constituencies who have been lulled to sleep by the good life, and would rather choose appeasement than action. This would definitely be of use for European leaders.
The US should definitely pursue this kind of thinking further. It is the kind of thinking that actually embodies “metis”, as has been discussed earlier on this site.
Posted by: RSN at March 20, 2004 01:58 AMThe use of mercenaries would also relieve leaders of democracies from the burden of having to answer to constituencies who have been lulled to sleep by the good life, and would rather choose appeasement than action. This would definitely be of use for European leaders.
So it’s a good thing for democratic governments to have armed forces operating outside democratic control or scrutiny. Isn’t this slightly, you know, anti-democratic?
Posted by: David Frazer at March 20, 2004 12:42 PMNot at all, if a democratic government endorses the use of mercenaries, and an electorate approves. It would not be too difficult to sell the concept to an electorate: rather than send your conscript sons and daughters to die on a mission they might even disagree with, let’s hire professionals who would love to go on such a mission.
The missions can be run like a government contract, with ground rules, stated goals, and incremental payments based on performance. Breaking the rules would mean a monetary loss, so performance can be controlled through financial incentive.
Posted by: RSN at March 20, 2004 01:55 PMOh my god, it’s Jerry Pournelle, commenting under a pseudonym!
Posted by: Walt Pohl at March 20, 2004 08:36 PMThen we have the problem of the mercenaries not being held to the same standard (low enough!) that our troops are held to. Dyncorp’s mercs in Colombia and Bosnia did not, um, represent us well. We do need to make sure that the American people are connected to and ultimately responsible for the actions of their soldiers, whether these troops are part of a private army or in the regular military.
Posted by: Bean at March 20, 2004 10:38 PMIs it possible that there is a political consideration here, in that US troops are to be withdrawn, yet protection is needed, while limited Iraqi troops will have more pressing demands to meet than protecting ’embassies’, US or other?
Posted by: Alene at March 21, 2004 04:04 AMI believe it was Anthony Cordesman on NPR this morning who was saying that we need a much larger ground force rotating in and out of Iraq and that we just don’t have it. So… the UN.
A private army would, at this point, be a really bad public relations move.
Posted by: Bean at March 21, 2004 05:19 PMDon’t want to worry anyone but:
“SYDNEY, Australia - Osama bin Laden’s terror network claims to have bought ready-made nuclear weapons on a Central Asian black market, the biographer of al Qaeda’s No. 2 leader was quoted telling an Australian television station.
“In an interview scheduled to be televised Monday, Pakistani journalist Hamid Mir said Ayman al-Zawahri claimed ’smart briefcase bombs’ are available on the black market.” - from (hat tip www.agonist.org): http://www.ctv.ca/servlet/ArticleNews/story/CTVNews/1079845060555_22///?hub=TopStories
Posted by: Bob at March 21, 2004 07:13 PM