Armed Prophet 2004 |
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Arguments, contemplations, musings and ruminations on politics and media from inside the Beltway. Primary Sources C-SPAN • Drudge Report • Political Wire • The Hotline • New York Times • Washington Post • First Person &c. • Andrew Sullivan • Best of the Web • California Insider • Campaign Journal • Daniel W. Drezner • Dissecting Leftism • Easterblogg • Ellisblog • E-Rocky-• Confidential Instapundit • Kausfiles • PoliPundit • Portland • Communique Roger L. Simon • Talking Points Memo • Team Efforts The Corner • Hit & Run • Oregon • Commentator Volokh Conspiracy • Newsmags The Atlantic • Brainwash • National Journal • National Review • The New Republic • Reason • Slate • Tech Central • Station Weekly Standard • Reference Desk BLS Data • FEC Records • GWU's Democracy • in Action 2004 Politics1 •
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Wednesday, May 19, 2004
NO MORE ABU GHRAIB I write the above title having just rattled off two longish posts on the matter, but with the court-martials dominating the news this week, something hit me: the media has got to put this aside -- just for a few months. MSNBC seems to be going the most overboard here (they often do). "The Abrams Report" -- a legal show, usually covering the likes of Scott Peterson and Martha Stewart -- is currently indistinguishable from "Hardball," except that Chris Matthews gets better interviews. All of the major papers and news networks are going overtime on this issue, and I'm sure they think they're doing us a service by it. And they are -- but perhaps we could do this at another time? Maybe I'm biased because I hate trials. Maybe the whole O.J. Simpson thing put me off the judicial system as entertainment. But we are now just a little over a month away from the Iraq handover date that George Bush insists we are sticking to. Who's taking over? How much authority are we really ceding? How exactly will the Kurd-Sunni-Shiite power-sharing work? The media's resources are busy with the Abu Ghraib investigation. So tell me how we're being served when something this important is going down on a deadline this short but the national debate is stuck on something relatively trivial. Not absolutely trivial mind you. But right now it's a major distraction. It's also no great mystery why. Not only does Abu Ghraib have pictures (and the possibility of more) but it lets reporters cover Iraq in a familiar manner: Enron and the Catholic church have given them plenty of practice. I hear tonight Bush is going to start giving speeches on the war on terrorism and why we're in Iraq. Perhaps that will refocus this country's writers, editors and producers. Not so we the people can meaningfully change things now -- we can't -- but so those who can will themselves be able to refocus, and do so. P.S. Also, no more 9/11 hearings. Tuesday, May 18, 2004
CRI DE COERCION Mark Bowden, who wrote the Atlantic story on coercive interrogation I linked to in the previous post, returns in the next issue with a short essay on Abu Ghraib. He re-states a critical point that my anonymous commenter (coward!) seemed to conflate with support for what happened at Abu Ghraib:
Sunday, May 16, 2004
HAVING FUN YET? For a blogger who strenuously advocated for the Iraq war a year ago, I might have something of an obligation to keep writing about it, especially as we're now in the middle of the "hard part" that we all knew was coming but mostly chose to elide past while fighting back diversionary arguments about "imperialism" and "oiiiiilllll!!!!" So what follows is a long-overdue installment. Belle de Jour is nobody's right-wing blog; assuming it's not a hoax, the writer is a London call girl who is "frightened by the concept of Texas." Nor is it really a terribly political site. Belle may broadly be termed a liberal, but isn't a hardened partisan of the left as are many who follow the same kind of literary fiction she alludes to and emulates in her entries. (Huh huh, "entries.") So I was a bit surprised to hear myself saying: "Damn straight!" at one post recently. (In my head only, I swear.) The post:
What is new are the pictures, which shatter the illusion that this kind of treatment is out of fashion and give the TV reports a peg to hang their segments (and segments and segments and segments) on. The more pictures that come out, the longer it stays in the headlines. The longer the story stays around, the more it seems that comes out about the chain of command. The more that, the more it sounds like these were interrogation methods and not pranks, and that regardless of how high of levels knowledge of it reaches, they did have a certain place, however once clandestine. (See: this NYT piece. Note: Concept of "waterboarding." Also: I'm with A Small Victory on this, at least as far as I had time to read.) Up to a point, I'm not against using coercive methods of obtaining information from prisoners. My requirements are pretty simple:
One last thing. On those trials: If Rumsfeld really did have full knowledge of the kind of tactics used at Abu Ghraib, then I don't see how he survives in the end. (And I say that as a longtime Rummy fan.) Not really so much because the government is doing these things, but that we might be court-martialing (courting-martial?) soldiers for doing things that were approved by their superiors. The what-did-Rumsfeld-know question may be about to break wide open -- watch the phrase "Copper Green" closely -- this coming week. But so far today it's been upstaged by Colin Powell's moron of a staff aide who this morning tried to cut off his interview on "Meet the Press." THE "IT WON'T BE CLOSE" BRIGADE Three's a trend, right? That's what people say. Assuming such, the notion that the November election between Bush and Kerry will not be a close one is now just one Howard Fineman column away from being the conventional wisdom. Given events of the past few weeks, speculation leans toward a big win for Kerry, but then again we're barely three weeks out from a Fineman column titled "Why the race is looking so good for Bush." I don't know where the meme started, but the first one I read was Andrew Sullivan, who wrote at his blog on May 6:
That's three. And I expect more soon, especially from H-Fi, whose next column should be up sometime today. (His one from last week registers the good news for Kerry, but it's still written as if he's expecting a squeaker. Also not counting: John Zogby's much discussed "The Election Is Kerry's To Lose" essay, which calls the electorate "frozen in place" with "very few undecided voters.") As the next six months pass, many more commentators will try out the will-win-big theory for both candidates (here's the WSJ's James Taranto, using different indicators than Todd to make a reverse-Carter argument; see third item). What I want to know before passing judgment is: What constitutes a landslide? 15 points? 10? 5? Compared to the 2000 election, anything more than a couple points could be interpreted as a big shift in this famously 50-50 (or is it 49-49?) country. The higher the threshold for "landslide," the more skeptical I get. If all we're talking here is "more decisive than last time," then count me on the bandwagon. Then again, considering just how preposterously close the last election was, it's no risky statement to guess that this one will fall outside the margin of error. Sunday, May 09, 2004
IT DOESN'T MATTER TO ME Pardon me while I finish rolling my eyes... Okay, better now. How bad is disgraced "ex-conservative" David Brock's new website, Media Matters? Pretty awful when you just look at it, but worse when you realize he has a staff of researchers at a K Street office thanks to funding from John Podesta's new liberal think tank, the Center for American Progress. Every third item seems to be about a dumb comment by Rush Limbaugh, followed by a fourth item expressing outrage that Scott McClellan didn't want to get into whatever Limbaugh said at the latest White House press gaggle. Items one, two, five, six and eight -- reminder: not actual numbers -- concern how Fox News commentators criticized liberals. Number seven is about how Dick Morris' new book about Hillary Clinton contains conflicting portrayals of the New York senator. Granted, Morris is a bit of a backstabbing, self-aggrandizing ass. But the Media Matters point-by-point critique (which happens to resemble Wonkette's Thursdays with Tina feature) is hardly evenhanded. If you already love Hillary and hate Morris, well, don't expect to be moved. A recreation:
Ugh. The internet inventing thing? This topic is more tired than Rip Van Winkle on Nyquil. For (hopefully) the last time, remember: It is not unreasonable to understand "took the initiative in creating" as a statement of authorship, inventorship, fatherhood, etc. Also, please stop citing liberal writers at face value. Using partisans as evidence that other partisans are um, partisan, is just silly. For a watchdog group, Media Matters seems to need watching of its own. Monday, May 03, 2004
RALL THE TROUBLE IN THE WORLD I am not kidding when I say that until today I hadn't thought once about the hateful Marxist cartoonist Ted Rall since his semi-infamous (because his famy isn't that great) "terror widows" strip. But today, this. (Thanks, Drudge.) That this strip is far outside the bounds of legitimate discussion is obvious. The line about Afghanistan having nothing to do with 9/11 because Saudi-funded and Pakistan-based is perhaps too bizarre even for Dennis Kucinich. (Hey, Ted -- Taliban protection? Training camps? Tora Bora? Any of this ring a bell?) What also occurs to me, however, is just how inside the bounds of such discussion it once was for me. I don't seek out conspiratorial politics, and I never did. But within the past few years I was a frequent combatant in the "war of ideas" (as we liked to call it) on a public university campus, where Rall finds many fellow travelers; now I follow Congress from the Beltway, where debate over whether the Rasmussen poll is at all reliable is much more heated. Besides, arguments about whether or not the United States is a racist imperialist menace to the globe eventually grew to bore me. Though August will mark my second anniversary in the District of Columbia, this week I'm actually back in the blue parts of deep-purple Oregon -- Portland right now, where Kucinich held a protest/campaign event yesterday, and Eugene later this week, where the large anarchist contingent skews the city's political center of gravity somewhere to the left of Ted Kennedy. Ted Rall may not be famous in the Beltway, but his Q-rating in the Willamette Valley is probably on par with, say, John Kerry. It's been ages since I've debated anarchists on the pros and cons of industrialization and the morality of capital, and frankly I'm a little out of practice. But it may well come up this week. Many thanks to Ted Rall for getting me back in the right mindset. P.S. Rall (he calls himself TR) has an important, newsworthy bulletin. But even better, it's timely! Thursday, April 29, 2004
LEFT-WING HUMOR, RIGHT-WING HUMOR By sheer happenstance, this week I attended on back-to-back nights two different comedy acts -- one by and for Democrats, one b/a/f Republicans. It wouldn't be fair to compare the two as if they were apples and apples, but neither was one an orange. Let's say one was a tangerine, the other was an orange. Yet both were quite mandarin. I digress. What I mean is the Democratic comedy was performed by actual members of the House and presumably most of it was written by harried legislative aides. The Republican comedy was performed by actual working comics. It's no mystery which brand of humor Armed Prophet prefers -- I'm way more P.J. O'Rourke than I am Al Franken -- but I think I was still able to make some key observations about each:
(And I might add, it's a valid criticism because the White House cannot truly need them to testify together only; nobody held Bush's hand while he talked for hours and hours on end with Bob Woodward, and he came out of that looking pretty well -- much better than the advancy hype would have had it. But I digress.)
So which was funnier? As you might infer from the examples above, both the best routines and worst were to be found at the conservative gig. As for left-wing and right-wing humor, is one superior? That's a tough call; I've heard people on both sides of the aisle assert with straight faces (naturally) that the other side is humorless, and that X or Y that is inherent to liberalism or conservatism makes for good humor. I don't necessarily think so. What I do think is that political humor will always be niche entertainment, and the way things go, it can only ever truly appeal to a bit more than third of the potential comedy-going audience. About a third like the conservative humor; the same number (or judging by opinion polls, maybe just a bit fewer) like the liberal jokes. And some number less than 1/3 just don't get any of it or want ideology mucking up their laughter. As Bill Hicks used to say: I promise there's a dick joke coming up real soon. Then again, he used to call himself the "Chomsky of dick jokes." Maybe there's no escape. Monday, April 19, 2004
OH, AND IT'S THE BLOGS THAT ARE INACCURATE? So the New York Times gets around to doing a piece on Wonkette this weekend, and in describing the blog, the author asserts that Ms. Cox's blog
It's her blog (well, actually it's Nick Denton's) and it appears to be doing quite well in terms of readership. I may be in the minority, but I would appreciate the blog quite a bit more if it was up front about leaning left. [Sort of like John Kerry? Hmmm.] Of course, even if it goes unsaid, everyone knows that she writes a Democrat-friendly blog. Everyone, it seems, but the New York Times. |