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June 02, 2004
Supermodels, astronauts, porn stars and journalists: BBC News looks at some of the famous (and infamous) candidates standing in the European Parliament elections
May 27, 2004
After Porto's victory in the European Cup last night, their coach Jose Mourinho has announced he is leaving the club to work in England. He hasn't said which club he's joining yet, though.
May 18, 2004
Russia and the Baltic republics, and now the EU. A fraught relationship, not least because of suspicions of bad faith on both sides. What is to be done? Some thoughts from a key Munich think tank, in German.
If you're finding it a drag to write new posts for your blogs, then Matt's new keyboard may be able to cut the time it takes
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September 11, 2003
The Truth, The Whole Truth, And Nothing But The Truth
Today, the British government has once again been cleared by an Intelligence and Security Comittee (ISC) report [600kb, pdf] of the alligation to have deliberately “sexed up” a report on the state of the former Iraqi regime’s Weapons of Mass Destruction programme. Really? It has? Well, I guess that will depend on what your definition of “is” is…
On a philosophical level, there might be room for discussion regarding the inter-subjective differences of meaning between truth, the whole truth, and nothing but the truth. For any practical purposes, there should not. Obviously, I am saying this against better knowledge: scores of people are making a living by creating precisely this kind of confusion, especially in politics.
Whatever really happened to Joint Intelligence Comittee’s Iraq Dossier - today’s report claims that its chairman, John Scarlett, assured the investigators
“… that he did not at any time feel under pressure, nor was he asked to include material that he did not believe ought to be included in the dossier…’ (page 31) -
has likely already fallen in the cracks between the different versions of truth mentioned above. Legally, the dossier might have been corect. But it was obviously slanted in a way that was supposed to increase the credibility of the government’s rather unpopular Iraq policy. By accident? Well, if it was really just an accident, some organisational changes in the British administration appear to be overdue. In this case the British government cannot avoid to explain such a severe administrational failure in all the detail available. No one on Whitehall can possibly believe they have the benefit of the doubt in this respect. Quite to the contrary - cleared or not, what is one supposed to make of the Comittee’s statement that the dossier’s
“… 45 minute claim, included four times, was always likely to attract attention because it was arresting detail that the public had not seen before. … The fact that it was assessed to refer to battlefield chemical and biological munitions and their movement on the battlefield, not to any other form of chemical or biological attack, should have been highlighted in the dossier. The omission of the context and the assessment allowed speculation as to its exact meaning. This was unhelpful to an understanding of the issue.” (page 43) -
- or that -
“Saddam was not considered a current or imminent threat to mainland UK, nor did the dossier say so. The first draft of the Prime Minister’s foreword contained the following sentence: “The case I make is not that Saddam could launch a nuclear attack on London or another part of the UK (He could not).” This shows that the Government recognised that the nature of the threat that Saddam posed was not directly to mainland UK. It was unfortunate that this point was removed from the published version of the foreword and not highlighted elsewhere.” (page 43, hightlighted by me)
Unfortunate, indeed. Neither this report nor the Hutton Inquiry are going to end the affair. The Blair government is facing a credibility crisis that spreads like metastasizing cancer. Maybe a quick surgical removal of Geoffrey Hoon, singled out in today’s report for explicitly not mentioning a part of the truth, will buy time. With the next election years away and still no opposition to speak of it is clearly to early to tell what the consequences will be for Labour. Tony Blair still has reason to hope that the cancer of mistrust has not yet spread too far in Britain.
But he will have to seriously change his government’s communication attitude. The British public might not know whether technical details in intelligence reports relate one or another category of weaponry. But it evidently has a very clear idea under which circumstances it should be willing to enter into a philosophical discussion about truth with its government. What might still be acceptable with respect to NHS-waiting lists is apparently not in order when it comes to sending soldiers to the desert.
And rightly so.
Meandering, or metastasizing?
My feeling is that once you’ve taken a hit as big as this it’s incredibly difficult to get back to where you once were. Normally each time you keep making matters worse. I think he’s gone past what Gladwell calls the ’tipping point’.
Posted by: Edward Hugh at September 12, 2003 02:50 PMI’d like to agree - but with no sign of effective opposition only an internal party coup will stop him contesting and probably winning another election…HOWEVER it will be an interesting election with recent UK elections showing consistently falling turnouts and polls showing increasing cynicism so we could see room for a few independents and single issue candidates - possible lost seats as opportunists split votes (wait for the SWP / Socialist Alliance Stop the War candidates in key constituencies ..just imagine your MP is the Defence Secretary, Stop the War stand - you opposed the war, you’re on the left (but hate Trots) oh the dilemmas, remember Tommy Sheridan’s still an MP up in Scotland and not alone - though he is a massive local hero up there)
.. anyway its one where proportional representation could have led to a really diverse parliament with green breakthroughs and all sorts - which is why Blair will never introduce it.
So who knows - i can see now why Blair is going to go to the wire on this one.
And thats without all this controversy about privately run NHS treatment Centre’s etc which further upsets and disorientates his core vote.. at:
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/health/3097968.stm
Recent interesting stuff on this trust issue for example from Hugo Young inthe Guardian at:
http://www.guardian.co.uk/Columnists/Column/0,5673,1038243,00.html
For reference though and perspective on Blair and Iraq, take a look at this from March 5th 2002, those were the days, eh?:
http://www.guardian.co.uk/comment/story/0,3604,661984,00.html
>Meandering, or metastasizing?
The latter, thanks for the correction… the perks of writing in non-native languages ;).
Posted by: Tobias at September 12, 2003 11:09 PMI hope I do ;). In the way that if you’re not a native speaker people will be helpful and give you the benefit of the doubt where native speakers run the risk of being regarded as imprecise writers. I think that’s an advantage… [ http://thesaurus.reference.com/search?q=perks9 ]
Posted by: Tobias at September 13, 2003 02:11 AMChris
Interesting piece from Hugo young back in March. This seems to put us back in the zone of the old AJP Taylor theory of the first world war: unfortunate synchronisation of railway timetables. Or in the more modern ’Wolfitz-speak’: bureaucratic details of the US admin decsion making process. Will this one day be written up as ’the war that nobody really wanted’?
(BTW: I think there’s a serious question here: where they actually engaging in brinksmanship that went wrong? Looking at the supply/logistics problems they had on the ’drive to Baghdad’, and the fact that they obviously put very little ’quality time’ into thinking about what to do AFTER a war, it certainly is a theory which is worth considering.)
Posted by: Edward Hugh at September 13, 2003 11:41 AMI hope this thread isn’t dead yet. Try looking at the Straw ’revelations’ over the weekend. This kind of thing is only going to continue as the Iraq muddle grows. He is, as we say in Spain, tocado.
Posted by: Edward Hugh at September 15, 2003 09:22 AM
Just the fact that the British government have been cleared by the Intelligence and Security Committe shows that they are lying.
It would have been better if they admitted atleast som minor errors. Then it would actually look as if they were telling the truth.
Magnus, that doesn’t make any sense. Suppose that there aren’t any minor errors - should the government then make up some minor errors just to look as if they’re telling the truth?
Posted by: Markku Nordström at September 15, 2003 09:40 PM