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September 2, 2004
NATIONAL GUARD UDPATE....There have been a couple of interesting new items about George Bush's National Guard record today.
First, Salon reports that George Bush didn't move to Alabama (and quit going to Guard drills) in 1972 because he was offered a job on Winton "Red" Blount's Senate campaign. Rather, Bush's father called an old family friend, Jimmy Allison, who was managing Blount's campaign, and pulled some strings: In the spring of 1972, George H.W. Bush phoned his friend and asked a favor: Could Allison find a place on the Senate campaign he was managing in Alabama for his troublesome eldest son, the 25-year-old George W. Bush?
"The impression I had was that Georgie was raising a lot of hell in Houston, getting in trouble and embarrassing the family, and they just really wanted to get him out of Houston and under Jimmy's wing," Allison's widow, Linda, told me. "And Jimmy said, 'Sure.' He was so loyal."
This is both interesting and plausible, but probably pretty meaningless. I doubt that this story is going to draw much blood.
However, that's decidedly not true for today's second story: Ben Barnes, former Speaker of the House in Texas, has finally decided to go very public with the news that he was the one who called in some favors and got Bush into the "Champagne Unit" of the Texas Air National Guard in 1968.
Now, this is not actually fresh news: as I've mentioned before, Barnes testified under oath about this in 1999. Overall, though, Barnes has kept a very low profile about this and has studiously avoided bringing it up in public.
But apparently the Swift Vets have gotten him very, very mad, and on Wednesday he'll be on 60 Minutes II with Dan Rather to tell the whole story. The difference between a newspaper article and a 60 Minutes segment is huge, and this is going to bring the whole National Guard story back into circulation for another go around.
Is it good for America to choose our president based on what John Kerry did in 1968 vs. what George Bush did in 1968? Nope. But between the Swift Boat smear artists and tonight's convention speeches, the Republicans have made it very clear that they think this election is going to be won in the gutter. I suspect that by the time it's all over, they're going to rue that decision.
—Kevin Drum 12:53 AM
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September 1, 2004
WHOOPS...Bush's advisors will not be sleeping well tonight. Going this negative on national television is always dicey, but tonight, they pushed and pushed and pushed and pushed and, finally, fell backwards into backlash. Zell's speech crossed the line and Cheney's sneer sealed the impression. Tonight's theme was "Fuck you, John Kerry", and it's going to end up fucking them.
After Cheney, Zell was up in CNN's booth, and Blitzer, Greenfield and Woodruff brought out the knives, dismembering his various inconsistencies (noting that Zell praised Kerry a few years ago, bringing up the fact that Cheney voted against funding for the same weapons systems he criticized Kerry for opposing and reminding Zell that the president has called Iraq an "occupation" four times) and making him look like a bitter, rigid old man. Greenfield ended the interview wondering about backlash from the speech while Blitzer asked Zell why he was so unreasonably angry. Apparently Chris Matthews eviscerated Zell just minutes later. The media's getting sick of these guys, and swing voters who tuned in tonight -- the voters who don't mind either candidate and just haven't decided who to vote for -- are going to find themselves turned off by the Republican's brutality.
Tomorrow night, I have no doubt Bush will attempt to be positive, hopeful and even uplifting. But tonight, on their last chance to take on Kerry, they roared too loud and I think it hurt everybody's ears. Voters aren't always informed, but they're almost always decent and they well know that no party's candidate is that singularly wrong, exclusively evil, and determined to bring America to its knees. The right insisted on a caricature of Kerry too satanic for any reasonable person to believe, and that dissonance will say all that needs to be said. The media responded with unexpected anger (though they originally planned to respond with almost all right-wing guests) and the moderates (like McCain) condemned the vituperation. The meme is out: tonight, the Republicans went too far.
—Ezra Klein 11:41 PM
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CHRIS vs. ZELL....So my wife tells me that Chris Matthews just laid some serious smack on Zell Miller. Did anyone see it? Tell us all about it in comments....
—Kevin Drum 11:32 PM
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DECONSTRUCTING DICK....Amy emailed me to say that her internet connection was dicey tonight and could I please liveblog the convention in her place? So here goes.
Listening to Cheney's speech, the thought that kept running through my mind was that I'm sure glad I'm not a campaign reporter. I mean, if I were, then I'd have to figure out a thousand words of coherent prose to file sometime in the next hour or so, and I'm just not sure I could. After all, it was just Cheney's usual flat, boring, rabidly warmongering and intermittently dishonest stump speech. What is there to say?
But I'll try. For starters, I note that he just couldn't resist using the "sensitive war" nonsense yet again. Classy guy.
I note also that Zell Miller got way louder applause than Cheney. Maybe they should have put him on the ticket instead?
And I was pleased that halfway through the speech the crowd started yelling "Inkblot, Inkblot!" That seemed like a gracious gesture to a famous Democratic cat. That was what they were yelling, wasn't it?
What else? Well, between Zell and Dick, there were so many mentions of FDR that you'd almost think the guy had been a Republican. Who'd have thought Roosevelt was such a GOP hero?
And finally, I note that Cheney ended his speech with a simple "Thank you all," which seems like a breach of etiquette. Isn't the required finale for all convention speeches "God bless you, and God bless America"?
I'd write more, but I think the cat box needs cleaning again. Besides, after hearing Zell and Dick I'll bet Michael Bérubé thought he'd died and gone to heaven. I imagine his commentary should be up soon.
—Kevin Drum 11:23 PM
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A BRIEF MESSAGE....We're all about civil discourse here at Political Animal, but what else can you say to Zell Miller except....
Fuck you, Zell.
—Kevin Drum 10:15 PM
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Girl trouble... I was wondering out loud this morning whether or to what extent the widely-panned performance of Jenna and Barbara Bush at the GOP convention last night would hurt their father's chances. Our managing editor Christina Larson sent me this reply: Presumably, the reason we're being treated to more of the twins Bush (as well as to frequent campaign appearances by Vanessa and Alexandra Kerry) is because someone hopes that younger voices on the stump might appeal to the elusive youth vote. Go figure, then, that both pairs of daughters got booed recently on MTV.
The Washington Monthly offices — where half the staff consists of young writers and half of wiser (older) editors and business staff with adolescent or young-adult children — is a perfect workshop to (unscientifically) test a theory of mine: Young people don't read much into the character of political children, but parents do. Beyond arguing about the "hotness" quotient of the four daughters, the under-30 crowd in the office didn't have much to say about the Bush daughters' stand-up routine last night. The parents in the office, however, gave us an earful — comparing the attitude and conduct of the presidential daughters with that of their own children. If you watched the convention last night, I'll leave you to speculate on their conclusions.
I remember, many years ago, my mother arguing with me to brush my hair and "sit like a lady" before we went to church — otherwise the other parents might think less of her. I wonder how many parents have thought slightly differently of both candidates when they've met their children.
—Paul Glastris 5:23 PM
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WAR WEARINESS....Ryan Lizza: Last night, I was at the New York Yacht Club sipping mojitos and nibbling seared tuna at a party thrown by liberal bogeyman Grover Norquist of Americans for Tax Reform. In the heart of the right-wing conspiracy, I couldn't find a defender of the war. Granted, Norquist's instincts since the end of the Cold War are fairly isolationist, so his gathering attracted many similarly minded Republicans. But it's still surprising to hear how unpopular the war has become among some on the right. One guest assured me that anti-war sentiment among conservatives is "like a virus that is rapidly spreading."
There's a lot of that going around. I wonder how much more of this we'd be hearing from conservatives if we weren't eight weeks away from an election?
—Kevin Drum 1:41 PM
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Don't pass the torch... Remarking on the surprising and stunning success of Greece in hosting the Olympics, The New York Times editorial page suggests we consider keeping the Games permanently in Greece, instead of moving them to a different country every four years. Excellent idea!
—Paul Glastris 12:51 PM
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Four more years?!... It’s understandable that Democrats this week are feeling alarmed and depressed, what with polls drifting towards the president and the Republican convention dominating the airwaves. Josh Marshall argues that Democrats are ill-served by their propensity to freak out at moments like this, and I agree with him. There’s really no reason right now to panic (worry yes, panic no). That said, we at The Washington Monthly figured it's worth asking, for a variety of reasons: what if Bush wins? What would be the likely consequences of a second Bush term?
We asked sixteen dynamic thinkers, writers, and operatives, on both sides of the aisle, for their predictions. The resulting pieces make up our September cover package. Read them sitting down. You might want to start with Kevin Drum’s very smart contribution.
Also online from the September issue: Ben Wallace-Wells on why Virginia is tilting towards Kerry, Greg Sargent on the Democratic operative running the GOP convention, Jason DeParle on the next step for welfare reform, and James Warren on David Brock’s new book about the right wing media.
Update: Only about half the issue is online, so if you like what you read, subscribe!
—Paul Glastris 9:29 AM
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"NO CONCEPTUAL GRASP"....Andrew Sullivan looked at the transcript of George Bush's comment about not being able to win the war on terror, and instead of making the standard "Bushism" kind of cheap shot about it, he gets to the real reason that this matters: ....every time I hear the president talk extemporaneously about the war — his interview with Tim Russert last February was a classic — he does seem to have almost no conceptual grasp of what he's talking about. Back then, he seemed flummoxed by the very concept of a distinction between a war of choice and a war of necessity. Now he seems to be parroting a Council on Foreign Relations confab on the permanence of terrorism.
Andrew is half right: the real problem with Bush is that he sounds this way on every subject when he's talking without a script. Unless he's been thoroughly coached, it's plainly obvious that he just doesn't understand what he's talking about.
Now, as it happens, I don't think that intelligence per se is that big a deal in a president. As Oliver Wendell Holmes said (or perhaps didn't) about FDR, he had "a second-class intellect, but a first-class temperament," and he did just fine anyway, didn't he?
Still, even though FDR might not have been a policy wonk, he could hold a press conference and make it clear that he understood what he was doing. But with Bush, every time you get past the high school version of his policies, he's just adrift. He's generally shrewd enough to change the subject when he realizes he's at sea, but when he does answer it's scary.
Like I said, I don't think we need Albert Einstein in the Oval Office. But do Republicans really feel comfortable with a guy who so plainly doesn't understand his own policies? Don't they think this might have something to do with the fact that so much of what he's done has turned out badly even from a conservative perspective? When is enough enough?
—Kevin Drum 12:46 AM
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August 31, 2004
Best Quote So Far....I needed a break from the pontificating panels of pundits, so I switched over to "The Daily Show" for a second just in time to catch Stephen Colbert's assessment of the Republican Convention: "Jon, to call this convention a little manipulative is like calling Marcel Marceau a little quiet."
Ahhh. That's more like it.
—Amy Sullivan 11:23 PM
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Even Conservatives Hated Them....The verdict from the Fox News crew on Jenna, Barbara, and Laura is not good.
Bill Kristol: "The last half hour did not help, as far as I can tell, Bush's campaign for reelection."
Mort Kondracke: "Those two girls were ditzes. I'm surprised they were allowed on the program."
Fred Barnes: "I think she [Laura] had no place up there or the daughters either....Their mother said they'll be pursuing their own careers. I would advise them to look in some field other than comedy."
Now I don't think that anyone--anyone--casts their vote based on the family of the candidate. And that goes for people who really don't like Teresa, too. But it's gotta be pretty bad when the message discipline breaks down like this at Fox News.
UPDATE: Hi there, it's Kevin, taking advantage of my administrator privileges to barge in on Amy's post.
I just wanted to say that even though I was absolutely cringing throughout the entire performance by the Bush daughters, I was planning to hold my tongue because I think it's kind of cheap to make fun of political children. I mean, they're not pros or anything, just loving daughters of a misguided father.
But hey, as long as everyone else is doing it, why not join in! So let me just say that I agree with Mort Kondracke. And Fred Barnes. And Bill Kristol too. What a disaster. What an absolute disaster.
—Amy Sullivan 11:10 PM
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RICHARD NIXON SPEAKS....Arnold: "Listening to Nixon speak was like a breath of fresh air."
Wow. That's not something you're likely to hear again anytime soon.
—Kevin Drum 10:11 PM
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MY VERSION OF CONVENTION COVERAGE....Overwhelmingly, liberal bloggers seem to feel that if they watch the Republican convention speakers any longer they will explode. So they aren't. Even the ones who are specifically in New York to cover the convention can't stand it and are mostly hanging out and just chatting with each other.
Pussies. I just watched Bill Frist for, um, must have been ten minutes at least. He uses his hands a lot when he talks, doesn't he? Must be that surgical training. I don't quite remember what he said, though, aside from him being a doctor and all. My wife, whose instincts are a bit more sympathetic to conservatives than mine, mumbled something about "snake oil salesman," and then suddenly switched gears and said that she sure lost a lot of respect for Rudy Giuliani last night.
I didn't catch Rudy's act last night because I was busy cleaning out the cat box, but I guess it must have been a humdinger, eh? But I'm afraid he lost at least one vote for his 2008 presidential bid.
Oh, hey, Arnold is on. Gotta go.
—Kevin Drum 10:06 PM
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Did I Mention I'm a Doctor?....Wow. Bill Frist completely bombed this evening. I know delegates get restless after the first night of excitement, but the level of noise during Frist's speech was kinda embarrassing. Not that they really needed to listen closely. Most of his speeches go something like this: Doctor...blah, blah...medical professional...blah, blah...saved a life...blah, blah...the Senate's only doctor...
At least Daschle did him the favor of not setting the bar terribly high for Convention performances by Senate leaders.
—Amy Sullivan 9:48 PM
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