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Another open thread by kos
Sat Oct 16th, 2004 at 00:36:49 GMT For idle chit chat. Open Threads :: Link & Discuss (15 comments) Bush is losing his mind by kos
Sat Oct 16th, 2004 at 00:36:03 GMT Post is pulled until we get some server issues worked out. Bush Administration :: Link & Discuss (34 comments) How State Polls Looked on Election Eve 2000 by CADem
Fri Oct 15th, 2004 at 23:03:00 GMT (From the diaries -- kos) Given all the gnashing of teeth about each state poll, I decided to look back into the archives and see what the last pre-election state polls looked like on election eve 2000 (courtesy of the Hotline): Bush had leads outside the MOE in 22 states for 174 EVs, with 10 states/114 EVs for Gore. Including leads within the MOE, Bush led in 28 states with 243 EVs and Gore led in 16 states with 262 EVs.
See below for some interesting and not so interesting tidbits: Auxiliary Open Thread by Meteor Blades
Fri Oct 15th, 2004 at 20:48:03 GMT The weekend has begun on the East Coast. Excerpt from Jon Chait's George Bush, tax hiker smackdown column in today's Los Angeles Times. Meanwhile, Dick Cheney as a member of Congress from Wyoming voted to raise taxes 144 times. If 98 tax-hike votes make Kerry a far-out liberal, than Cheney would have to be placed somewhere in the ideological vicinity of Che Guevara. Open Threads :: Link & Discuss (296 comments) Mid-day open thread by kos
Fri Oct 15th, 2004 at 19:14:44 GMT Watercooler time. Open Threads :: Link & Discuss (417 comments) Ten-Country Poll Makes It Official: Furriners Prefer Kerry Over Bush by Meteor Blades
Fri Oct 15th, 2004 at 18:30:33 GMT No surprise that we're not the only ones who think John Kerry can begin the difficult task of making America a good world citizen. Polls Show Worsening of U.S. Reputation
Can. Hardly. Wait. For. Republican. Spin.America's reputation around the world is hurting, according to a series of coordinated polls published Friday from 10 countries, including many of the United States' closest allies. In eight of the countries where the surveys commissioned by major newspapers were conducted, more people said their view of America had worsened in the past two to three years than improved. That question was asked in nine countries. By big margins, those questioned said the war in Iraq did not aid the global fight against terrorism. And in eight out of 10 nations, those polled said -- often in landslide proportions -- that they hoped to see Democrat John Kerry beat President Bush in next month's election. Bush won backing from a majority of respondents only in Russia and Israel. The polls were conducted in Canada, France, Britain, Spain, Japan, South Korea, Australia, Mexico, Israel and Russia, with results to be published in the participating newspapers on Friday. Not all questions were asked in every country. On average, 57 percent of those questioned said their opinions of America had worsened over the past two to three years, compared with 20 percent who said their view had improved. That question was asked in nine of the countries, but not in Russia. Seventy-four percent of Japanese, 70 percent of French, 67 percent of South Koreans, 64 percent of Canadians and 60 percent of Spaniards said they had a worse opinion of America now than two to three years ago. Only in Israel did more people say their view of the United States had improved than worsened in the past two to three years. In that period, which began just after the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks, the United States has led wars in Afghanistan and Iraq. While much of the international community backed the invasion to oust the Taliban, Bush's decision to invade Iraq has fueled anger around the world. However, many of those polled separated their feelings about the U.S. government from their views of the American people. Sixty-eight percent said they had a favorable opinion of Americans. ... Fifty-nine percent of people questioned in seven nations -- including Britain, America's closest ally in Iraq -- said the war there was not helping the world fight against terrorism, while 35 percent said it was, as Bush contends. People in all 10 countries were asked who they hoped to see win the White House on Nov. 2, and the result will make Kerry wish they had a vote. The Democrat was favored by healthy to enormous majorities in eight of the nations -- 72 percent supported him, compared with 16 percent for Bush in France. Update ( thanks to cybo): A detailed examination of some of the poll results can be found here. Misc :: Link & Discuss (132 comments) Kos Dozen: Mongiardo added to list by kos
Fri Oct 15th, 2004 at 17:53:32 GMT So I now have 15 candidates on the list. Sue me. From Dan Mongiardo' campaign: Thanks for all the attention you've given our race lately. Daniel asked me to pass along his thanks. In the first eight months of this race, we raised approximately $80,000 online. In the last two weeks we have raised over $40,000. In the last 48 hours we have raised over $20,000. For the first time we have seen contributions from across the nation, from places like Hawaii, California, Florida, and even Idaho. We really have a chance to win this thing, and I can't express enough how much the money we're raising online is helping. Some background for those who missed it:Mongiardo is running against Kentucky Senator Jim Bunning. This race was nowhere on the radar screen until two weeks ago. Bunning's behaviour had become increasingly erratic, sparking runors of mental illness. All of that seemed confirmed early this week when the two candidates "debated". Plans were for a face-to-face debate. Instead, Bunning fled to DC, claiming he had work to do all week. The Senate adjourned early Monday afternoon, but Bunning refused to return to Kentucky for the debate. The Bunning campaign also refused to allow independent observers into the bowles of RNC HQ, where he did the debate via satellite. During the debate, it was obvious Bunning was cheating, as his eyes moved left to right as if reading a teleprompter. After denying the use of a teleprompter for a day, the campaign finally claimed clean and argued that the debate rules permitted the use of "notes". Beside the fact that Bunning had violated the debate rules by hiding out in DC, the KY press laughed at the notion that a teleprompter somehow was somehow analogous to "notes". And that's just the tip of the iceberg of Bunning's illness. It's so bad, in fact, that the Louisiville Courier-Journal editorialized: [I]s his increasing belligerence an indication of something worse? Has Sen. Bunning drifted into territory that indicates a serious health concern? Internal and independent polling shows a tightening race -- and that was before the Big Debate Fiasco that has set the state's press abuzz about Bunning's fitness to serve. The DSCC has dumped $500K into the race, and given recent developments, will probably rush in to exploit this newfound vulnerable Republican. His latest blast is the most outlandish so far. He accused Dr. Mongiardo or a member of his campaign staff of "trying to abuse my wife" at Fancy Farm last summer. "My wife was black and blue," he said. Of course, the Mongiardo campaign denied any connection to any injury Mary Bunning may have sustained, calling the charge "sad and untrue." And as his wild statements mount and he increasingly isolates himself, small things take on great significance. For example, Sen. Bunning broke the rules and read from a teleprompter during his so-called "debate" with Dr. Mongiardo. Was that simply because he thought he could get away with it, since he was ensconced in a remote location in Washington? Or did he need to read his opening and closing statements to avoid stumbling into another gaffe? There is, of course, an easy way for Sen. Bunning to end what has become national speculation about his fitness. He could call press conferences throughout the state, stand before the public and say, "Here I am. Ask me questions. You'll see how fit I am." Successful, reasonable public interaction would be far more reassuring than statements from doctors that his blood pressure and cholesterol are OK.
I know I have promised to stop fundraising (volunteers are still the most important thing right now), but this is a target of opportunity and we can do our part to help win another seat in the Senate. IL-08: Obama releases volunteers to work for Bean by kos
Fri Oct 15th, 2004 at 17:24:28 GMT Good news -- I've received news that the Obama campaign has sent a number of his volunteers to assist Melissa Bean (D) in her campaign to oust out-of-touch House dinosaur Phil Crane. This is looking increasingly like one of our top pickup opportunities. The latest internal Bean poll shows: Crane (R) 46The Crane campaign has dismissed those results publicly, saying its own polling shows their guy comfortably ahead. But they haven't released any of that polling which gives cause for suspicion. And in any case GOP turnout in Illinois should be rock bottom, given that the presidential race is non-existent in the state, and the Senate race has become an embarassment for the state's Republicans. Obama is going to have some serious coattails this cycle. Incidentally, I get a ton of requests for me to add Bean to the Kos Dozen. For the record, I tried a few months ago and the campaign turned the endorsement down unless I allowed them to vet everything I wrote about the campaign. That wasn't going to happen, obviously.
While the campaign may be a bit blog-clueless, they're still going to kick Crane's ass. So feel free to help directly if you'd like. MN GOP must share space at airport by kos
Fri Oct 15th, 2004 at 16:55:45 GMT Pat yourselves on the back. Chalk this one up to the unfiltered and unfettered power of the Internet. That's not what my source was originally told. But hey, if they want to back down when their racket is exposed, all the power to us. On Tuesday, e-mails were flying about an accusation posted in the political blog dailykos.com that the Minnesota Republican Party had sewn up the Freedom of Expression desks at Minneapolis-St. Paul Airport by using its political pull with Metropolitan Airports Commission Chairwoman Vicki Tigwell. The story went that Tigwell, a longtime Republican activist, had used her authority to secure the desks for the sole and exclusive use of the Republicans through Election Day. Not true, according to MAC spokesman Patrick Hogan. The Republicans got a four-day permit from the airport director's office to register voters and distribute campaign literature at the desks, which are made available to all groups and located in the baggage claim area of the airport. Afterward, they asked for and received an extension through Election Day, with the caveat that they must share with any other group that wants the space, from Jehovah's Witnesses to the Democrats. General 2004 :: Link & Discuss (35 comments) GOoPers fired in SD now work for BC04 in Ohio by kos
Fri Oct 15th, 2004 at 16:45:17 GMT You know those Republicans who got fired for voter fraud in South Dakota? Well, the Republican Party rewarded their efforts by giving them new jobs in Ohio. Larry Russell, who left the state Republican Party's get-out-the-vote operation when questions came up about absentee ballot applications, has joined the Bush-Cheney campaign in Ohio. The Modern Republican Party: Where no fraud goes unrewarded. According to an internal Republican Party memo obtained by the Argus Leader, three other GOP workers who resigned also will be involved in the Ohio campaign [...] Jason Glodt, executive director of the South Dakota Republican Party, confirmed the memo was authentic. But he said he did not want to comment on an internal communication. The memo was e-mailed to Republican staffers and officials Sunday evening by Glodt. "Todd Schleckeway, Nathan Mertz and Eric Fahrendorf have also been recruited to Ohio to work with Larry on the President's campaign," the e-mail said. General 2004 :: Link & Discuss (55 comments) Things still FUBAR in Iraq by kos
Fri Oct 15th, 2004 at 16:03:33 GMT Now they're arresting entire platoons of guardsmen. A 17-member Army Reserve platoon with troops from Jackson and around the Southeast deployed to Iraq is under arrest for refusing a "suicide mission" to deliver fuel, the troops' relatives said Thursday. Things are not "improving" in Iraq when entire platoons are being arrested for insubordination. Oh, and then there's the matter of 1,092 dead U.S. soliders, 34 in the last two weeks alone. Suicide attacks in the Green Zone, etc. The soldiers refused an order on Wednesday to go to Taji, Iraq -- north of Baghdad -- because their vehicles were considered "deadlined" or extremely unsafe, said Patricia McCook of Jackson, wife of Sgt. Larry O. McCook. Sgt. McCook, a deputy at the Hinds County Detention Center, and the 16 other members of the 343rd Quartermaster Company from Rock Hill, S.C., were read their rights and moved from the military barracks into tents, Patricia McCook said her husband told her during a panicked phone call about 5 a.m. Thursday. The platoon could be charged with the willful disobeying of orders, punishable by dishonorable discharge, forfeiture of pay and up to five years confinement, said military law expert Mark Stevens, an associate professor of justice studies at Wesleyan College in Rocky Mount, N.C. War :: Link & Discuss (149 comments) Bunning's Deterioration Has Hit The Tipping Point by Trapper John
Fri Oct 15th, 2004 at 14:26:27 GMT For the past week or so, Kos has been on the strange and sad story of Jim Bunning's (R-KY) slide into dementia. Well, the story has acquired real legs. Yesterday's Louisville Courier-Journal -- the paper with the largest circulation in Kentucky -- features an editorial openly questioning Bunning's fitness to serve: . . .his attacks on his opponent, Daniel Mongiardo, and the outrageous statements he has made in his rare public appearances are giving voters pause.
They are raising questions about Sen. Bunning's suitability for office. Is he, as he ages, just becoming a more concentrated version of himself: more arrogant, more prickly? Certainly that would be a normal occurrence. Or is his increasing belligerence an indication of something worse? Has Sen. Bunning drifted into territory that indicates a serious health concern? . . . There is, of course, an easy way for Sen. Bunning to end what has become national speculation about his fitness. He could call press conferences throughout the state, stand before the public and say, "Here I am. Ask me questions. You'll see how fit I am." Successful, reasonable public interaction would be far more reassuring than statements from doctors that his blood pressure and cholesterol are OK. That, of course, is important information. This time, however, the concern isn't about physical health. The story has also been picked up by the national media. Bunning is fast nearing the point where he's either going to have prove his competence or be judged incompetent. The $200,000 injection provided to Dan Mongiardo by the DSCC is going to help force the issue. Senate Elections 2004 :: Link & Discuss (88 comments)
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