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Tuesday, February 22, 2005

WHY NO SOCIALISM OR MARXISM IN AMERICAN POLITICAL LIFE: 6th in a Mini-Series of Articles

This, the 6th article in a lengthy mini-series on the American ideological spectrum --- its unique nature on both the left and right, and how, in turn, that uniqueness has helped shaped the US economy’s institutional structures and government policies --- is a direct follow-up of the previous article. That article looked at economic equality and inequality. So too does the current article.

Up to now, the mini-series has dealt with the left-side of the American spectrum: in particular the reasons why it alone, in all the industrial countries, has never been attracted to Marxism or any other socialist variants. So far, come to that, we’ve looked only at economic explanations --- such as the extraordinarily high wages of American labor in the 19th and 20th centuries (always comparative viewed), our unusually high standard of living, and the uncommonly wide diffusion of property ownership. The previous article moved on to probe the distribution of income in American life since the early 19th century. It showed that right down to 1970, Americans also enjoyed the most equitable distribution among industrial countries. It also showed, in a fast, top-skimming way, nothing more, how this has markedly changed since then.

The Big Change

Specifically, the US now ranks at the bottom in income equality among industrial countries. Interestingly, too, Britain --- which was 2nd to the US in limiting income inequality in 1970 --- now ranks 2nd from the bottom, slightly ahead of the US. Is this just a coincidence? No, not really. As you’ll eventually see, Britain is the most dynamic of the big countries in the EU, just as the US is by far among all industrial countries.

Hence, in brief, the need for this follow-up argument, which will strive to deepen the analysis of the previous article and make more sense of the big turnabout in the US’s income-distribution over the last three decades.

More Specifically, A Trio of Aims Here

The argument that unfolds in this article has three specific aims, each delved into carefully. Specifically, we want to know . . .

1. How serious the big changes in the distribution of income have been, and whether they’re worth worrying about much . . . at any rate, as much as numerous left-leaning sociologists and economists happen to, not to forget the dominant thrust in media reports. As we’ll see, the impact of those changes on the well-being of low-income American people turns out to be noticeably exaggerated, and for several reasons --- all carefully spelled out.

2. What the various causes of the turnabout in the income-distribution actually are. It turns out that most scholars who specialize in analyzing the distribution of income, never mind the media journalists who report on its changes, either skirt or outrightly fail to delve into some of the most significant causes at work here . . . mainly, it seems, because these causes conflict with their ideological or moral propensities.

The outcome is largely a flight from reality. As you’ll see, these skirted causes include striking demographic shifts, a startling decline in two-parent families among poorer Americans, and finally the impact of high-voltage immigration flows into this country since 1965. . . . roughly 35-40 million, depending on the actual number of illegal ones . . . and possibly even 45 million or more according to the latest survey of illegals that will be looked at later on here. When economists --- usually others not specializing in distributional matters --- do discuss the recent changes in income-distribution, they too tend to skirt these latter, non-economic causes and instead focus mainly on shifts in technology that favor educated workers and the growing globalization of the US economy . . . influential in both cases, to be sure, but far from an adequate explanation.

3. What the trade-offs have been for Japan and EU Continental countries whose governments have striven, by a variety of policies, to offset the other, more universal causes of growing income inequality in their countries: by ever high minimum wages; by growing regulations of their labor markets that have made them increasingly rigid; by a huge leap in government spending since 1970 and very high taxes; and until recently, by ever higher levels of welfare transfers.

The wider outcome? With two or three exceptions --- Sweden and Denmark and Finland, all tiny, fairly homogenous countries --- the rest of the Continent EU members and Japan have experienced slow or stagnant growth and increasingly high levels of long-term unemployment.

 

PART ONE:
SOME ESSENTIAL BACKGROUND PERSPECTIVE ON THE DYNAMIC CHANGES IN THE US ECONOMY SINCE 1970

(i). The Changes In The Distribution of Income Are Complex,
And The Conventional View of Growing Inequality Is Misleading

First off, as you’ll see when you read through the argument, things aren’t as simple as the latest Lou Dobbs CNN report or New York Times article --- or even the more sophisticated works of American or European scholars specializing in the topic of income-distribution that now number several hundred and end up being posted at the Luxembourg Income Study site . . . a whole cottage industry, it seems, of excessively narrow mental work compiled in just a few years. Few --- hardly any, to be more exact --- seem to grapple with the more controversial causes just mentioned, or the tradeoffs in economic growth and job-creation that have entangled those countries whose economies in West Europe or Japan seek to block what Joseph Schumpeter, the great Harvard the great Harvard economist of the 1930s and 1940s, called the recurring forces of creative destruction.

Meaning?

Well, that brings us to a second point that allows us to dig deeper than the usual stick-to-the-surface analyses found nearly everywhere else . . . .

 

(ii.) Creative Destruction Clarified

For Schumpeter and his followers, capitalism is never incremental in its changes, never inclined to equilibrium as in neo-classical economics. Instead, at its core, it’s always inherently dynamic and prone to change suddenly in abrupt, tumultuous ways, thanks to the interaction of two kinetic forces: 1) recurring breakthroughs in revolutionary technologies and 2) driven men and women, consumed by dreams of wealth and glory, as the bold entrepreneurs who bring them successfully to the market-place.

Ever since the start of the industrial revolution, these radically restructuring technologies have erupted every few decades in clustered waves; and as they break forth over the economic landscape, they challenge the economic status quo within and across countries relentlessly, with jarring shock-force. Dislocations are inevitable. Whole industries and firms using older, standardized technologies --- however revolutionary they once were in earlier decades --- are suddenly threatened with obsolescence, the owners, managers, and work-forces left behind as increasingly outmoded relics of the past. Think of the horse-and-buggy trade and the new internal combustion engine at the start of the 20th century. Or the whaling industry, the lantern and candle industries faced with electrification at roughly the same time. Both revolutionary technologies altered our lives --- the way we work, spend our leisure, move from place to place, communicate with one another --- in core, hyperkinetic ways. More recently, thanks to globalizing forces --- especially the rapid rise of Asian manufacturing --- the challenges to old-line industries and the spin-off dislocations to national economies have accelerated with rippling force.

 

Note Quickly:

Not all old-line industries will disappear when the dislocations shoot up and multiply within a national economy.

Many of these industries --- think of the automobile, steel, and textile industries in the US during the 1980s --- will survive and remain competitive, but only if they restructure painfully, cut their labor forces, and find ways to improve productivity and maybe even the quality of their products. Again, these three industries are a good example. Generally competitive and with productivity equal to the Japanese and others now, their labor forces have had to be trimmed by a good 50% on the average.

None of these changes were easy to absorb. Overall, to emerge a more updated, far more competitive economy based on the new radically restructuring technologies, the US economy had to shed a good 10 million manufacturing jobs in the 1980s and early 1990s. The shedding, for that matter, is continuing today, with 4 million more jobs lost to overseas competition the last four years; and it will no doubt continue way into the future . . . especially since the combined shocks of breakthrough technologies and fast-paced shifts in manufacturing prowess across countries will not likely ease any time soon, let alone die off.

 

Old-Guard Backlashes Inevitable

Needless to add, the forces of the status quo --- capital, labor, and management --- will not accept decline gladly.

They will almost always fight back. At first, only a few bold, risk-taking entrepreneurs --- obsessed with dreams of wealth and glory like the Carnegies, Rockefellers, Fords, Bill Gates, the Walmart family, or the giants who created the Hollywood motion picture industry from scratch --- are there to challenge the powerfully entrenched, diehard forces. Enter a key Schumpeterian concept --- creative destruction. Only if the old, increasingly uncompetitive industries --- agrarian, mining, manufacturing, or service, it doesn’t matter --- are allowed to run down or disappear will there be enough capital and managerial talents and scientists and engineers freed up in any national economy to let the new, more promising industries that embody these revolutionary technologies come into existence.

That’s what creative destruction means. And it never unfolds without creating winners and losers, though eventually the great masses of people living in the advanced countries will all be winners once the initial dislocations and turbulence are absorbed and a more productive, competitive economy is solidified. That's what a newer, more competitive economy with ever higher levels of productivity entails.

 

(iii.) Enter The Next Point: Countries Vary Markedly Here

Some countries, as it happens, have more flexible economic institutions and policies to deal with the rippling dislocations of radical economic change and creative destruction. Those that do --- the USA pre-eminently, plus a handful of smaller economies --- will generally allow the innovative changes to occur without prolonged resistance by the old order.

In that case, the forces of creative destruction will play out in the market-place fairly quickly, and the shock-power of the initial economic and social dislocations will be more easily absorbed.

As old industries decline and shift their location elsewhere to more dynamic but lower-wage developing countries --- or just disappear in the home-country --- then investment capital, managerial talent, and scientists, engineers, and other skilled workers will be freed to allow the most competitive of the new start-up firms to expand and replace them. Whole new industries will emerge. Big spillover effects of a positive sort will radiate across other industries and sooner or later --- sooner in this instance --- throughout the entire national economy. By the later 1990s, a good 75% of the Fortune 500 Companies didn’t even exist three decades earlier: Microsoft, Intel, Cisco, Amazon, Walmart, what have you. In short order, the ways we live, work, and spend our leisure will be altered almost beyond recognition, once and for all.

(Whether the great entrepreneurs were all decent people is another matter. Henry Ford was a notorious racist, who had to apologize publicly for his blatant anti-Semitic views. The Walmart family’s giant store-chain, which has revolutionized merchandising in this country --- the retail industry logging the biggest jump in productivity during the 1990s, not least in response to Walmart’s challenges --- may be engaged in squeezing some of its workers. And so on. And yet, in time, these innovative giants also built great universities --- Stanford, Chicago (Rockefeller), Vanderbilt --- or created the American public library system (Carnegie) or have spent a billion dollars on trying to improve American public education (the Bill Gates Foundation).

Posted by gordongordomr @ 04:35 PM CST [continue] [ 5 comments ]


Thursday, January 20, 2005

WHY NO SOCIALISM OR MARXISM IN AMERICAN POLITICAL LIFE: 5TH Article in a Series

This is the 5th article in a long mini-series --- now about 6 weeks old, with roots back to early December 2004 --- on the unique nature of the American ideological spectrum, both on the left and right, and how in turn that spectrum has helped to encourage the innovative prowess of the US compared to other countries, making it the richest country in the world in per capita income for well over a century.

Right now, that lead is greater than at any time since the late 1950s. We’re roughly 55% richer than either Japan or the European Union average, and since the 4 big EU countries’ per capita income is either at that average (Germany) or slightly above it --- Britain, Italy, and France --- that huge lead applies to them as well.

A Problem for Economics

Mainstream growth theory in economics can’t explain this persistent US lead, far from it. Essentially, despite some qualifications, it postulates a variety of convergence catch-up variants, all of which predict that rich follower countries able to sustain long-term GDP growth should, at some point in the future, catch up to the leader's levels of productivity and per capita income. That future point is called the steady-state, a hypothetical end condition. In it, all advanced industrial countries with good human capital and institutions should be equally rich, and they should all be on or very near the technological frontier. The large gap with the US --- now 10-12 decades old --- defies all these variants.

Not so our buggy analysis.

In particular, the much more ambitious series on the US economy that the current mini-series is part of --- the wider series stretching back over the months to July 2004 --- seeks to make sense of that huge American lead, past and present. That long-lived lead --- greater now than at any time for the last half century or so --- isn’t an accident, even if mainstream economic growth theories can’t account for it. On the buggy view, it’s the persistent outcome of a specific complex of national culture and institutions --- political, legal, administrative, financial, business, and educational (especially on the university level) --- that don’t have full counterparts elsewhere, despite some overlapping similarities in many of the institutions with other English-speaking countries.

From Culture and Behavior to Ideology

The key cultural traits in American life that operate here are easy enough to pin down, even if harder to explain. They reflect uncommonly flexible attitudes and behavior toward change, risk-taking, and entrepreneurship that have no full equivalents abroad . . . even in the English-speaking world. An unusual work-ethos with roots in Puritan traditions that stretch back to colonial times is another uncommon American trait, and since hard work has generally paid off for almost everyone (except slaves in the Antebellum South), the trait has been reinforced over time and internalized in American mind-sets long after Puritanism itself disappeared as a specific Protestant religion. One result? For the first time in history, a large society has emerged in which the rich and the affluent now work longer and harder than poor people.

Something else. To this list of unique cultural and behavioral traits, add the persistent impact --- past and present --- of a politically charged set of values and beliefs regarding the proper roles of the state and private sectors of American life, both on the right and left of the US ideological spectrum.

PART ONE:
THE SIGNIFICANCE OF AMERICAN IDEOLOGY IN HELPING TO ACCOUNT FOR THE COUNTRY'S INNOVATIVE PROWESS

How Other Industrial Countries Differ

In contrast to the US, powerfully institutionalized regulations and controls over the economy flourish everywhere on the Continent of Europe and in Japan, with a large regulatory-and-welfare state in place. The following table, which traces government spending as a percentage of GDP since 1870 in major industrial countries down to the mid-late 1990s, captures the huge differences with the USA that follow from these statist traditions. The table, as you'll note, doesn't cover Japan. No matter. A second table --- set out immediately afterwards --- will bring out the sharp increase in Japanese governmental spending since 1960, a surprise to many people.

Untitled Document

All Government Spending % of GDP
  1870 1920 1937 1960 1980 1990 1996
Canada
n.a.
n.a.
25.0
28.6
38.8
46.0
44.7
France
12.6
16.7
29.0
34.6
46.1
49.8
55.0
Germany
10.0
27.6
34.1
32.4
47.9
45.1
49.1
Italy
13.7
25.0
31.1
30.1
42.1
53.4
52.7
Sweden
5.7
10.9
16.5
31.0
60.1
59.1
64.2
UK
9.4
26.2
30.0
32.2
43.0
39.9
43.0
USA
7.3
12.1
19.7
27.0
31.4
32.8
32.4
Average
10.8
19.6
23.8
28.0
41.9
43.0
45.0

Source: Vito Tanzi and Ludger Schuknect Public Spending in the 20th Cen-
tury: A Global Perspective
(Cambridge Univ. Press, 2000), chapter I

In Britain, Australia, and New Zealand, an advanced statist apparatus with high levels of taxes and welfare emerged after WWII too, exactly as it did in the EU and in Japan. All that changed in the 1980s for these three English-speaking countries, whose statist traditions were never as extensive, historically, as on the Continent or in Japan.

The causes of the change? Sluggish economic growth and lagging competitiveness brought about major free-market reforms in those countries; these, in turn, moved their economies closer to the American system, much to their benefit. Since the reforms, Britain--- once a near laughing-stock in the EU at the end of the 1970s --- has outperformed almost all the EU countries save Ireland, another relatively free-market country by European standards; it has not only closed the per capita income gap with Germany and France, but today has a clear lead over them. Australia and New Zealand too have regained much of their earlier lost ground in an era of anti-welfarism and deregulation. And Ireland's pro-business policies, implemented in the 1980s too, transformed that country from one of the two or three poorest in the EU into the very richest.

Only Canada --- ruled for almost all of the 4 decades since the start of the 1960s by the Quebec-based Liberal Party --- has let the state sector and welfare transfers grow in a semi-EU way, making their economy something of a half-way house between the EU welfare state and the Anglo-American model. And even Canada has begun in the last few years to retrench, cutting back government spending to regain more dynamism.

Even so, the ideological legacies on both the left and right in Britain, Australia, and New Zealand --- not to forget Canada --- still differ from those in the US. Statist tendencies are particularly strong on the left, but they also exist in some sectors of the conservative and liberal parties in those countries.

 

Here's another way to gauge the large differences in the size of the governmental sector across industrial countries, particularly since 1960 . . . a period in which full employment and prosperity had been achieved everywhere in the industrial world, but in which the welfare state continued to expand with high-pulsating speed in almost all the EU and Japan, along with Canada and New Zealand. Note how government spending climbed almost 4 times as fast on the average between 1960 and 1996 than it did in the USA.

Note: Make sure you interpret the average increase of spending as a % of GDP in those three and one-half decades properly.

Look at Sweden in 1960. Government spending absorbed 31.0% of total GDP that year. In 1996, such spending had more than doubled as a % of GDP, not just gone up by 35.1% over the initial figure. It's an astounding surge, all occurring after the initial rationale of high taxes and welfare redistribution was achieved: ending poverty and ensuring that the sick, the old, and those who can't work for mental or physical reasons were taken care of.

What has gone on there --- as in other advanced welfare states --- is that organized groups vie with one another to get governmental benefits, including wage increases given governmental controls over labor markets. In Sweden, virtually everyone is organized in a trade union or business association, and the huge state sector is no exception to union membership. For their part, politicians --- eager to get re-elected --- then repeatedly make concessions to various groups. If certain groups --- think of French unions that are ubiquitous in the transport systems, telecommunications systems, the postal system, and the media --- don't get their way, they can play havoc with the economy by going on strike. In Sweden, strikes are fairly rare by French or Italian standards, but the prospect of losing the next election can force governments there or anywhere from pursuing necessary reforms to restore economic vigor.

TOTAL GOVERNMENT SPENDING 1960-1996
Increase
Country 1960 1970 1980 1990 1996
1960-1996
Australia 21.2 25.5 34.0 37.7 37.5 16.3
Belgium 34.5 36.5 50.7 54.6 54.5 20.0
Canada 28.6 35.7 40.5 47.8 46.4 17.8
Denmark 24.8 40.2 56.2 58.6 60.8 36.0
Finland 26.6 31.3 36.6 46.8 59.4 32.8
France 34.6 38.9 46.1 49.9 54.7 20.1
Germany 32.4 38.6 48.3 45.7 56.0 23.6
Ireland 28.0 39.6 50.8 40.9 37.7 9.7
Italy 30.1 34.2 41.9 53.8 52.7 22.6
Japan 17.5 19.3 32.6 31.9 36.9 19.4
Netherlands 33.7 46.0 57.5 57.5 58.1 24.4
New Zealand 27.7 34.4 47.0 50.0 42.3 14.6
Spain 13.7 22.2 32.9 43.0 45.4 31.7
Sweden 31.0 43.7 61.6 60.8 66.1 35.1
Switzerland17.2 21.3 29.3 30.9 36.9 19.7
United Kingdom 32.2 39.2 44.9 42.3 43.7 11.5
United States 28.4 32.5 33.7 34.8 34.6 6.2
Average 27.0 33.3 42.8 46.3 48.0 21.0
a

Source: James Gwartney and Robert Lawson, Economic Freedom in the
World 2001: Annual Report

 

To Clarify American Exceptionalism

On the political right, American conservatism has never been statist in the sense found in conservative parties in both Japan and all over the Continent of West Europe even now. Not only that, it has also has lacked the patrician and paternalistic influences that have marked the Tory wing of the British Conservative Party, routed --- possibly for good --- by Margaret Thatcher’s anti-statist reforms of the 1980s.

On the left --- which our chief concern in this and the last three articles of this mini-series --- the Democratic Party has no socialist or Marxist legacies in its history and so differs from all other left-wing democratic parties on this score, whether in Europe, Latin America, or Asia. The British Labour Party, note quickly, is no exception here. Even though it was never heavily influenced by Marxism, it was formally committed to the full nationalization of British industry between 1918 and the late 1950s --- a sweeping, full-blooded socialist program . Only under the deft leadership of Tony Blair, who has won three general elections, has the party swung around to accepting the free-market reforms of the Thatcher era . . . and even then only after protracted internecine conflicts.

 

Our Chief Aim Can Be Rephrased As A Question . .

Specifically, what explains the unique lack of socialist and Marxist influences in American politics, past or present? Supplying an answer is what the current article is about, a direct continuation in this endeavor of the three earlier installments in this mini-series . . . which pinned down some influences so far, all economic in nature.

A key point rears up here. Try to keep it in mind.

Plainly put, the various influences in American history that immunized our politics from socialism have been multiple and range across politics and socio-cultural developments as well as economic ones . . . each and every one with roots that extend back over the centuries to colonial and early post-revolutionary times. So far, the three immediate articles have probed economic influences only. For that matter, another such influence --- income inequality, always comparatively viewed --- is the chief topic of today’s article.

Note quickly though. None of this means that we’re slighting political institutions and policies, or socio-cultural trends over the centuries, in shaping our ideological spectrum, whether on the left or right. It does mean that it takes time to set out a complex, multi-faceted argument, and it will take at least one more article --- dealing with the raw entrepreneurial energy and risk-taking in American life, a major source of both jobs and innovative technologies --- before we can move on and focus on politics and eventually social and cultural influences.

 

PART TWO:
THE EARLIER ARGUMENT SUMMARIZED

Three Related Economic Developments Have Been Dealt With So Far

Each of these has been probed at length, and what follows is a capsule summary, with some pivotal implications teased out in graphic form.

1. An uncommonly high standard of living marked American development from the outset, with US per capita income the highest in the world for well over a century now --- something, as we’ve repeatedly noted, that mainstream economic growth theory can’t easily explain, just the contrary. These days, hard as it might be to believe, that lead over others is greater than at any time since the 1950s: nearly $40,000 compared to the EU average of around $26,000 and Japan’s per capita income of $28,000.

Posted by gordongordomr @ 03:42 PM CST [continue] [ 2 comments ]


Wednesday, January 5, 2005

WHY NO SOCIALISM OR MARXISM IN AMERICAN POLITICAL LIFE: 4th Article in a Series

This is the 4th article in a mini-series on the unique nature of the US ideological spectrum, all part of a larger, far more ambitious series --- stretching back now, it seems, through 14 articles to the battle of Gettysburg --- on the innovative prowess of the US economy, always comparatively viewed. Thanks to that prowess, the US has been the richest country in per capita income for well over a century now . . . a lead that defies standard economic growth theory, in all its variants. Right now, at the end of 2004, the US is 55% or so richer than the EU average for West Europe; and since the British, French, Germans, and Italians have a per capita income roughly the same as that average --- Britain slightly richer than the others --- the US lead is especially vivid and startling, no other words for it. Japan’s per capita income, come to that, is about that of the British, and hence the US lead over it is no less startling,

The articles on ideology are doubly relevant here to explaining this huge, surprisingly long-lasting US lead: in particular, they're part and parcel of an institutional and cultural approach that underpins the overall argument of the series on the US economy’s innovative powers. Note: doubly relevant. How so?

  • The US lacks a statist-conservatism of the sort that is rife on the Continent of West Europe and in Japan . . . the dominant political parties there, for generations now, suspicious of free markets and capitalist competition of the sort Americans take for granted.

True, the British Conservative Party is an exception to this rule in Europe, but only in part: the Tory patrician wing, which extends back to the pre-democratic, pre-industrial period of the 17th century --- and was dominated by land-owning aristocrats right down to the start of the 20th century, decades after the vote was extended to the middle classes and the working classes --- had no trouble accommodating itself to the advanced welfare-and-regulatory state that the Labour Party created in Britain after 1945. That accommodation persisted until the 1980s. It helped, in the patrician and paternalistic circles of the Conservative Party, to stabilize British society and guarantee law-and-order . . . their major concerns historically (along with expanding British power and influence abroad). At that point, the party and Britain were turned topsy-turvy. Margaret Thatcher unleashed a 12 year free-market revolution in British life that earned her the enmity of not just the British radical left, but the Tory right in the Conservative Party as well.

Note that roughly similar observations apply to the Australian Liberal Party, that country’s major right-wing party, in the era of John Howard . . . Prime Minister now since 1996 and recently re-elected about the same time as George Bush was here. Of course, the Liberal Party there had no patrician aristocratic wing. Australians had fled an aristocratic-dominated Britain in the 19th and early 20th centuries. Still, the Liberal Party had little trouble accommodating itself to the large welfare-and-regulatory state that the Australian left created after 1945 --- at any rate, until the 1980s.

  • The US also lacks, on the left, a socialist or Marxist tradition that marks deeply the history of all the dominant left-wing parties in West Europe and Japan . . . to the extent one can even find an organized Japanese opposition party since the 1960s. The American left can draw on some radical and populist traditions, stretching back to Jefferson and in various trade union movements (especially the CIO and the miners, both organizing mass industrial workers and badly exploited mine workers early in the 20th century), but never a socialist heritage, let alone one marked by Marxist views of capitalism.

The nature and causes of the Republican Party’s anti-statist ideology will be the subject of future articles in this mini-series. Right now, our task is to continue the analysis ---- started a couple of weeks ago --- that probes the various reasons for the unique nature of the American political left and its general indifference, historical and in the present, to a socialist, heavily statist way of organizing the US economy of the sort found West Europe today . . . despite some pro-market reforms in Germany and elsewhere to make the economies there more competitive.

And so, down to business

The nature and causes of the Republican Party’s anti-statist ideology will be the subject of future articles in this mini-series. Right now, our task is to continue the analysis ---- started a couple of weeks ago --- that focuses on the US left: specifically, in order to sift out and explain the various reasons for its general indifference, historical and in the present, to a socialist, heavily statist way of organizing the US economy in the sense that prevails in West Europe or Japan. Yes even today . . . despite some pro-market reforms in Germany and elsewhere, it needs to be added, to make the economies there more competitive and vigorous.

 

PART ONE:
ECONOMIC REASONS WHY THERE IS NO SOCIALIST HERITAGE IN THE US: CONTINUED

A Brief Refresher of Where the Argument Was Left Hanging Fire: The First Two Influences Summarized

In a previous buggy article published on December 16th, 2004, two major economic influences that shaped the American ideological spectrum on the left were discussed at length:

  • An unusually high standard of living, with the US the richest country in the world in per capita income for well over a century now.

  • And, more to the point, an unusually high real wage in the US early on, compared even to Britain when that country, the industrial pioneer, was much richer in per capita income. More specifically, the average wage earned by unskilled labor in the US was double the British wage in 1830, and still almost 60% higher in 1914 despite a mass outflow of poor people from Britain and Europe in the interval, nearly 40 million people, most of it to the US itself.

Note that the startling American lead in living standards hasn’t been fully closed by the EU or Japan in the 90 years that have elapsed since then. On the contrary, it is still huge, with the US now enjoying about a 55% higher per capita income than the EU or Japan at the end of 2004.

You want more evidence?

Here’s some that is especially vivid. Two Swedish economists study noted recently that if any of the four big EU countries --- Britain, France, Germany, or Italy --- were suddenly to join the U.S. federation, each would be the fifth poorest of the existing 50 states, ranking just ahead of Mississippi, West Virginia, Arkansas, and Montana, and tied with Oklahoma: all five of these, note with care, overwhelmingly rural states and far below average American per capita income. Tiny Sweden itself (9 million people) would be the 7th poorest state. The second richest EU country --- tiny Denmark (4 million) --- would be the 10th poorest, and Ireland with 4 million people too and the highest EU living standard would rank 14th among the poorest U.S. states.

 

A Third Economic Influence:
Unusual Land Ownership in the 19th Century

Huge as the gap between West Europe and the US happened to be in living standards and wages, what stands out even more strikingly, is the difference in land ownership. In 1830 --- at a time when the US was overwhelmingly an agricultural country --- 80% of the American population owned and worked the land for their livelihood. Nothing like it had ever been seen before in history.

Just how great the differences in land ownership were on the two sides of the Atlantic are brought more vividly in the following table.

 

% OF POPULATION THAT OWNED ALL AGRICULTURAL LAND AVAILABLE

1830

1880

USA

France

England

Scotland

Ireland

Belgium

Netherlands

80%

60%

15%

8%

4%

36%

60%

Sources: Tom Bottomore, Classes in Modern Capitalism and Johan F.M. Swinnen The Political Economy
of Institutional Change

Posted by gordongordomr @ 05:05 PM CST [continue] [ 3 comments ]


Tuesday, December 21, 2004

The American Left's Unique Political Traditions: An Exchange With A Visitor

Our thanks to James Ruhland, a buggy visitor, for his stimulating comments: in particular, about the impact of economic influences in helping to account for the unique non-socialist nature of the American left in politics, whether past or present.

Prof Bug:

Is the emphasis on wage levels corresponding to presence or absence of a strong Marxist/Socialist tradition really warranted, given that Marxist and Socialist movements have more often than not originated not from the bottom, but instead from fairly well-off, well-educated segments of a population?

It's an observation made by Joshua Muravchik in his book Heaven on Earth. Those who clamor most for Socialism, those most likely to adhere to Marxist views, are rarely the poorest. They're most often a educated - if politically disempowered - class. The members of the Bolshevik movement weren't from poor backgrounds. Neither were the founders of the British Labour movement.

Muravchik believes that what made America distinctive was the nature of our own Labour movement, and its leaders, from Gompers to Meany, who rejected Socialistic/Class-warfare solutions. The focus on America's PCI relative to that of other nations as an explanation for the lack of a strong Marxist movement seems - well, almost Marxist in its Materialism.

SOME BUGGY REPLIES

James:

Thank you for the comments, all stimulating and in effect reducible to two different sets: one about the leaders and mass-following in the Marxist movements, and the other about economic influences in shaping the American left’s history. What follows are the buggy replies to each set.

 

I. Who Led the Socialist and Communist Parties and What
Were the Bases of Their Mass Followings?

1) The Mass-Based Support of Social Democratic Parties

It's true that the leaders of Socialist Parties in the 19th and 20th centuries were middle class types, usually intellectuals, but there would have been no mass party following except for large numbers of the new urban working classes flocking to their socialist messages and platforms . . . especially, of course, in those countries in West Europe (or elsewhere) that had mass democratic franchises. The same observation about intellectual leaders is even more applicable to the Communist Parties, or their forerunners like the Russian Social-Democrats cleaved into two wings (Bolsheviks and Mensheviks), before and after 1918.

2) The Main Difference Between The Mass Followers of Communist and Social Democratic Parties After 1918.

The mass grass-roots supporters of Socialist parties were urban working classes, even if the leaders were still middle class themselves. By contrast, even in revolutionary Russia in 1917-18 and during the civil war period over the next three or four years, the urban working classes were very small in number, and Lenin and Trotsky and the rest of the Bolshevik leadership relied increasingly on the support of peasants, drawn to the party in that period by two policies: an abrupt end to the murderous war with Germany in early 1918 and the simultaneous transfer of huge estates to peasant ownership.

That policy of support in the countryside was then consolidated after the civil war ended after the civil war ended, roughly 1921, by the New Economic Policy, which allowed the peasants to keep their land for private use . . . even as the policy encouraged private manufacturing. The NEP lasted about eight years. It clearly enjoyed mass support, both in the countryside and in the cities. Only with Stalin's drastic industrialization of a command economy beginning in the late 1920s --- which nationalized all land under state ownership and forced the peasants into collective factory-farms --- did the peasants in great number fight back, burn their livestock and crops, and became increasingly repressed, crushed, and killed until all resistance was tamed. Large numbers of peasants in the Ukraine, one of the Soviet Union's biggest grain-producer, were slaughtered in enforced famine from Moscow.

3) The Communist Discovery of the Peasantry

Beginning in the 1920s, there was a further shift by small Communist parties in backward countries --- especially in China --- toward a mass peasant-base. Small wonder. There was scarcely any urban working class to mobilize in that country or elsewhere; by contrast peasants --- brutalized there as they had been in East Europe and Russia for hundreds of years by luxury-loving aristocratic landlords and rapacious states --- were the bulk of the populations, and what’s more, their hatred of the landlords and state bureaucrats (and security forces) could easily be mobilized by an effective CP leadership for revolution . . . particularly with the breakthrough development of guerrilla warfare and the political mobilization of the peasants by Mao and his followers in the Chinese CP.

4) Peasant-Based Communist Revolutions Were Always Led by Intellectuals

Needless to say, in China or Vietnam or Yugoslavia --- to take three countries with large indigenous revolutions that brought Communists to power without the presence on their soil of the Soviet Red Army --- the leaders were all university-educated intellectuals from the middle classes. The same is true of the mass-murdering Pol Pot Communist leaders in Cambodia in the 1970s and early 1980s: most were educated in France. In Cuba, Castro relied more on an urban-based support, not just peasants, but then he took power without claiming to be a Communist, something he only discovered to be his preference, it seems, after his success in the late 1950s.

One other point is worth noting in passing: the big difference between the Chinese peasantry and Russian state- and collectivized farmers since Maoism in China (1979) and Communism in the Russia.

By 1991, when the Communist system collapsed in Russia, farmers there had known only state- and collective-farms for over 6 decades. Nobody knew anything about capitalism, and at most farmers --- who were more or less agrarian factory workers --- had had some experience with small patches they could cultivate for personal use. By contrast, China's peasantry had been collectivized for less than 3 decades when the shift towards privatization in the countryside began in 1979. Unlike the Russian farmers who were totally uninterested in responding to new market-based incentives and land ownership, China's farmers --- most of whom remembered what a pre-Communist system was --- responded with diligent promptness. The result was a massive increase in agricultural production and output, which also freed up well over a hundred million formerly destitute peasants for work in the expanding industrial sectors in town-and-country enterprises.

 

II. Economic Influences in Shaping the Non-Socialist History
of the Left in American Politics

1) What Explains the Absence of Socialism and Marxism on the American Left?

As for the explanation of why there is no socialist or Marxist tradition in US politics, I agree: economic factors alone aren’t the only causal influences, important as they are --- and not only agree, it's something the article here clearly set out. For that matter, we haven’t even finished looking at the economic influences, such as property or land ownership in the 19th century in the US. Political, social, and cultural influences also count.

That said, you downplay wrongly, it seems, even the two economic influences singled out so far --- an unusually high real wage by international standards for unskilled workers in the 19th and early 20th centuries, and an unusually high standard of living to boot. Recall that though Britain, the first industrial country, had a higher per capita income throughout almost all the 19th century compared to the US, American wages --- for the unskilled (the vast bulk of laborers at the time) --- were twice as high as far back as the 1830s, and were still 54% higher in 1914 on the eve of WWI despite a tremendous outflow of workers from Britain and Europe who immigrated in large number to the US (about 33 million in the period of the 19th century down to 1922), as well as several million others who went to Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Brazil, and Argentina.

2) High Wages (and Other Economic Influences) vs. Pragmatic Trade Unions Alone: Britain and the US

To grasp the importance of very high wages, note that a pragmatic trade union movement does not itself guarantee there won't be eventually a major socialist political party in a country.

Consider Britain as a foil here.

Posted by gordongordomr @ 06:19 PM CST [continue] [ 4 comments ]


Thursday, December 16, 2004

Final Version WHY NO SOCIALISM OR MARXISM IN AMERICAN POLITICAL LIFE: 2nd of 3 Articles On The US Left

This is the 3rd article in a mini-series that started earlier this month on the exceptional nature of American political ideologies --- in particular, the almost total absence of a socialist or Marxist heritage on the left and, on the right, an unique conservatism that is committed to free-markets and hence differs from statist-conservatism found in Japan and everywhere on the West European continent.

The Initial Article

The 1st article in the mini-series, as you might recall, set out a spectrum of ideologies --- on both the left and right --- that runs between two poles of total state dominance of the economy and society: totalitarian Communism on the far left and Nazism (and fascist variants) on the far right. It distinguished between eight kinds of ideologies, all of which emerged in the modern era of industrialization, nationalism and nation-states, democracy, and the counter-reactions to them that materialized with eruptive force by the late 18th century in West Europe and North America and then spread gradually around the world. Then, in that same article, a buggy analysis of the eight different ideologies was unpacked. It tried to clarify the meaning of each, along with some concrete examples: among other things, as it turns out, liberalism and conservatism mean different things in Europe and Japan, or for that matter in the rest of the world, than in the USA.

Liberalism in the rest of the world, just to remind you, means free-market enthusiasm --- what we would call libertarianism in the US --- and hence the pejorative term, neo-liberalism, to depict the anti-statist policies of Ronald Reagan and Margaret Thatcher. In European circles, never mind Latin America or among leftists everywhere, neo-liberalism is a big boo-word; just mentioning it is likely to send shivers racing up and down the spines of left-wing intellectuals, most of them totally ignorant about economics. Conservatism, too, means something different in the EU or elsewhere. It refers to statist-conservatives like the French Gaullist right or the German Christian Democrats or the Japanese Liberal Democratic Party (now in power for the last 50 years).

What follows?

Well, to make sense of how Europeans view US politics, we should regard liberalism in this country as roughly equivalent to very moderate Social-Democracy . . . however misleading that term might be in the American context. As for American conservatiism, small wonder that Milton Friedman --- one of the two or three most influential economists of the last century and an icon of American conservative (and libertarian) thought --- told the German weekly Der Spiegel a few years ago that when he visits West Europe, he always describes himself as a "liberal", not a conservative, to clarify where he stands in European politics.

The 2nd Article

The next article in the mini-series focused strictly on the the unique left-side of the American ideological spectrum. In particular, it sought to clarify what the leftist heritage in the US amounts to --- certainly not socialist or Marxist, despite at times some radical influences in its policy-making. When that clarifying task was finished, the article moved on and surveyed the shifting policies toward activist government that the Democratic Party has pursued, with varying fortunes, since the New Deal days of Franklyn Roosevelt in the 1930s and the Great Society ambitions of Lyndon Johnson three decades later.

The outcome of these varying fortunes?

Well, if we’re to believe no one less than the last Democratic president, Bill Clinton, the era of Big Government is now over, period --- even if its current institutional nature still leaves a much more active and costly federal government than existed before FDR’s election in 1932. All this, mind you, however limited the American federal system is compared to governments in West Europe and Japan or even Canada these days.

All of Which Brings Us to the Subject of Today's Article

Consider it an extended effort --- which spans a host of causal influences, political and economic as well as social and cultural --- to explain the failure of socialism and Marxist views to ever take root in American politics. The current article, just to make what follows clearer, will probe a host of economic influences in American life, past and present; nothing more, but also nothing less. As for the various political, social, and cultural influences that have shaped the American left's unique nature, they will figure prominently in the next article or two in this series. Eventually, of course, our attention will shift to the right-side of the US ideological spectrum, and at that point we'll begin to examine and weigh the various reasons why no statist-conservatism has ever emerged here.

One more thing, a reminder . . . and then down to today’s business.

As buggy visitors will recall, this mini-series on ideological exceptionalism in American politics is itself part of a larger, much more ambitious series on the American economy, always viewed comparatively, to be more precise, with Japan and the EU. That series began last summer, and so far 12 articles on the rangy topic --- with its institutional and cultural thrusts --- have appeared. The current article, then, is the 13 in that series.

 

PART ONE:
ECONOMIC REASONS WHY SOCIALISM HAS NEVER TAKEN ROOT IN AMERICAN LIFE

By themselves, if we were to add one key political force in American history --- the emergence of a limited democratic form of government with 67% of American (white) males able to vote with no property restrictions in the 1830s: at a time when, in Britain, the corresponding figure was 1/20th --- the economic influences set out here would probably suffice to explain why socialism never had a large appeal to the masses of Americans, whether agrarian or urban workers. Probably, in large part; but not wholly. Keep this qualification in mind as we work our way forward through the economic influences singled out here and in the next article. As you'll eventually see, there were other political influences that offset a socialist or Marxist appeal in the 19th and 20th centuries, and the same is true of social and cultural trends as well. All will be discussed in due time.

In the meantime, keep your attention focused on economic influences . . . with their firmly planted impact on American politics extending back over two centuries now . . . much to the dismay of left-wing radicals these days, not least among the politically correct acolytes in US universities (outside economic faculties) and in certain activist circles in the Democratic party at its grass-roots level?

They’re several in number, six of them standing out; and as always in this series on the US economy and the smaller one embedded in it on American ideologies, we need a comparative perspective to make sense of American exceptionalism. Briefly summarized, the six we'll be examining in detail are the following:

1) An unusually high standard of living by world standards as far back as the end of the 18th century, with the US becoming the richest country in per capita income in the 1880s and holding an edge over West Europe today that is 55% higher.

2) Related to this, but also different, unusually high real wages for unskilled labor that were double those in Britain by the 1830s, with Britain itself the richest country by far in Europe at the time. Tens of millions of poor Europeans would eventually flee the oppression of poverty --- or of religious and political oppression --- in order to seek a better life here.

3) Land ownership and a wide distribution of property ownership without parallel in the world in the 18th, 19th, and early 20th centuries --- something that foreign visitors to the United States like the two astute Frenchmen, Jean de Crevecoeur and Alex de Tocqueville marveled at.

4) Historically, down until the end of the 1960s, a much broader middle class and --- no less striking --- an unusually narrow distribution of income compared to Japan and West Europe.

Since then, as we’ll see, the vast expansion of the welfare state and its tax and transfer policies in Europe have reversed this 2-century trend, at a huge cost to West Europe and Japan: market-inefficiencies galore, tiny hillocks of them in all directions in their economies, creating less and less competitive economies at a time when the gap in living standards with the United States is now essentially what it was decades ago. Right now, 40% of all Swedes --- who live in the EU's most ambitious welfare state --- would, if Sweden joined the US federation, be ranked in the bottom quintile in income.

5) A definition of poverty that differs from all the rest of the industrial countries --- an absolute standard of what’s needed to live decently in the US, compared to a relative standard used in Europe and the other industrial countries that guarantees more and more welfare transfers, and hence more and more taxes, at a time when economic growth has sputtered.

What’s more, as we’ll see, most of those in poverty in this country at any one point quickly move out of it, and --- surprisingly for non-American observers --- we’ll also see that if you use what the EU Commision’s Eurostat service itself called for in the late 1990s as a better measure of both poverty and income distribution --- namely, actual household consumption as opposed to reported income --- those Americans in the bottom category of pre-tax income (the lowest quintile) turn out in yearly surveys of the Bureau of Labor to spend $2.31. for every dollar that they report earning! As we’ll also see, contrary to the image of distraught poverty in the US that flourishes in the EU media, 46% of Americans in poverty --- 12% of the population now, using federal statistics --- own their homes (vs. 69% of all Americans); 73% own a car; 30% own two cars; and 98% own color tvs. We’ll give more statistics and the sources later on.

6) Hours worked across income categories reveal an intriguing trend. Historically, in almost every society in the world until the 19th century in the US, the upper class --- invariably, the landed aristocracy plus some urban merchants and bankers --- pursued lives of leisure and conspicuous consumption that, to top it off, almost always entailed a general disdain for hard work and a fathomless contempt for the masses of people . . . considered ignorant, uncouth, and unable to govern themselves. In much of Latin America that life-style of the upper class still persists, much to the harm of their developmental prospects, and it's omnipresent in all the Arab countries without exception.

The US has been generally exempt here on these scores, save for the slaveholding South until 1865, where a semi-militarized plantation elite held economic and political power. These days, history has fully reversed itself, and Americans in the top 20% income category work a good 2 to 3 times more than those in the bottom 20%.

7) Other closely related economic trends --- say, income or social mobility --- are also important, but we’ll deal with them in comparative terms later on under the heading of social influences. There, too, as you'll see, there's a huge gulf between the US and the EU when it comes to charitable contributions: on a per capita basis, Europeans contribute $55 annually to charities and Americans $650.

Click on the right continue button to read more:

Posted by gordongordomr @ 05:07 PM CST [continue] [ 5 comments ]


Saturday, December 11, 2004

WHY NO SOCIALISM OR MARXISM IN AMERICAN POLITICAL LIFE: 1st of 2 Articles

A few days ago, a buggy article appeared that analyzed the nature and range of political ideologies around the world. Its main point? To show that the US is unique among industrial countries, lacking either an influential left-wing socialist tradition, Marxist or otherwise, or anything equivalent to the statist-conservatism that flourishes in Japan and everywhere on the Continent of West Europe these days. In particular, on the American right . . .

. . . The Republican Party Is Unique

With few exceptions, American conservatism has always been generally opposed to paternalistic big government, on any grounds --- not that Republican politicians, hypocritically to be sure, won’t dish out benefits on a grand scale to their constituencies or provide subsidies or protection to certain manufacturing or agricultural firms . . . usually big corporations, generous with their campaign contributions for their patrons. companies. All politicians, everywhere --- whether on the left or right --- do this. It’s a professional hazard. What alone differs is the PR-fluff used as rationalizations.

Still, the Republican party remains unique in the industrial democratic world with its suspicions of big government and partisan preferences for free markets.

These days, the only other major conservative party that has strong leanings toward smaller government and freer markets similar to the Republican Party is the British Conservative Party; and even then --- until Margaret Thatcher routed it with her powerful anti-welfare measures in the 1980s --- it had a strong Tory paternalistic wing, with roots in pre-industrial, pre-democratic British life extending back to the 17th century, that had no trouble managing the advanced welfare-state that the Labour Party established in Britain after 1945. And come to think of it, not only managing that rapidly growing welfare-and-regulatory state, but extending it during the 1950s, 1960s, and most of the 1970s. Elsewhere, since the 1980s too, Australia’s Liberal Party has emulated Thatcher-like and Reagan-like economic and social programs; and under various shifting guises and coalitions, so have the motley number of conservative and liberal parties in New Zealand.

What follows?

Well, the next article in this series will try to pin down and clarify the various reasons why American conservatives continue to differ from Japan’s Liberal Democratic Party --- in power for the last half century (except a 9-month flurry early in the 1990s) --- or the EU’s numerous Conservative parties whatever they’re called, whether Christian Democrats, Gaullists in France, or those in Scandinavia and Holland . . . their names and fortunes varying over the last few decades. For instance, Italy’s Christian Democrats were that country’s biggest political party until the end of the 1980s, after which, as one scandal after another was uncovered by some courageous magistrates and journalists, it disappeared . . . as did, come to think of it, the country’s second or third biggest party, the Socialists who were found to be no less corrupt. Remember, too, as several buggy articles have shown --- most recently in mid-November 2004 --- to the right of these mainstream statist-conservative parties there has emerged, with jolting force, several populist right-wing breakthrough parties.

No Less Unique: The Democratic Party's Heritage

All of which brings us to our main topic in today’s article, which requires a shift of focus back toward the left-side of the political spectrum: the lack of an influential socialist or Marxist tradition in American politics, historically or otherwise. The argument, you’ll note, unfolds in three steps:

1. Some introductory comments about the uniqueness of the left-wing side of the ideological spectrum in the US.

2. A more focused if brief survey of the Democratic party’s radical heritage --- always eventually modified --- in the 19th and 20th century, and right down through the Clinton era.

3. Most important of all, a sustained analysis that pins down the reasons for the absence of any socialist appeal to the vast majority of American workers --- whether in manufacturing, agriculture, mining, or the service industries --- in the past and even less so in the present. It will range widely, this analysis: it will look at a variety of economic, political, social, and cultural influences that have shaped the left-side of the American ideological spectrum for over two centuries now.

PART ONE:
THE ABSENCE OF A LEFT-WING SOCIALIST OR MARXIST TRADITION IN AMERICAN POLITICS: SOME INTRODUCTORY COMMENTS

Is the Democratic Party Really Unique in the Industrial Democratic World

Yes, strikingly so. Historically, it has eschewed even the paternalistic, but clearly non-Marxist statist-heritage of the British Labour Party . . . at any rate until the last decade, since which time to stay in power and compete effectively with the Conservatives it has shifted to the more free-market orientation initiated on the right by Margaret Thatcher. Labour, it’s true, officially renounced in the late 1950s its historical platform to nationalize all industry; but then, more or less at the same time except in France, so did all the other West European Socialist or Social-Democratic Parties with their influential Marxist heritage, including a theoretical commitment to class-warfare.

A clarifying sidebar comment or two: When the British Labour Party was formed in 1900, a good three decades or so after the British working class could vote, it applied to join the Marxist Second Socialist International. The Continental socialists were puzzled. They were committed, in the German phrase, to Klassenkrieg . . . class warfare, something the Labour Party’s founders never espoused or wouldn’t. Eventually, in typically hair-splitting German fashion, Labour was given an OK when it was said to at least support Klassenkampf: class struggle.

As for the French Socialists, it finally achieved dominant influence in French politics in the 1980s, winning the presidency for the first time and governing in a coalition with radical Greens and Communists --- at one time, until the end of the 1950s, the country’s largest political party after 1945. The faithful on the French left were joyful. Socialism --- a big breakthrough past the huge statist welfare-and-regulatory state the French left and right had already constructed after 1945 --- was looming just on the horizon. What happened quickly disillusioned the left. The few radical economic programs the Mitterand-dominated government toyed with quickly sputtered or backfired amid vast unpopularity, and essentially the socialist Prime Ministers and others in the executive ended up administering welfare policies scarcely different from those in Germany or Northern Europe.

 

US Trade Union Leaders Less Concerned With Income Equality Than Swedish Industrialists

To make sure you grasp just how different the Democratic Party has been in its ideological heritage, note something especially revealing about American attitudes --- even on the political left here --- towards income redistribution. In an unusually stimulating book on ideas of equality in Sweden, Japan, and the United States, a Harvard team of political scientists combined with a team of Swedish and Japanese scholars and found, to their surprise, that even American trade union leaders were willing to tolerate a much larger range of income inequality as something desirable, a goal to achieve, than were the owners and managers of Swedish corporate industry. The same was true, interestingly enough, of the leaders of American civil rights movements. (See Sidney Verba, Steve Kelman, and others, Elites and the Idea of Equality: A Comparison of Japan, Sweden, and the United States (Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press, 1987) And Yet Note Quickly:

American wage-earners (as we’ll see with good statistical evidence alter) were not only always richer than Europeans after 1800 or so, but --- contrary to left-wing mythology here --- the income distribution was also more equal than anywhere in Europe . . . as late, believe it or not, as 1970.

Was this actually so? How was it possible?

Or at least students in the buggy prof’s classes, full of wonder, would always query when the relevant stats were supplied.

Posted by gordongordomr @ 06:51 PM CST [continue] [ 4 comments ]


Monday, December 6, 2004

AMERICAN IDEOLOGICAL EXCEPTIONALISM: WHY NO SOCIALIST TRADITIONS? 1st in a Mini-Series

This, the 12th installment in a lengthy series on the innovative prowess of the U.S. economy --- always viewed comparatively with Japan and the EU countries --- takes up a key topic that has only been briefly touched on so far: the absence in American politics, historically and at present, of a strong left-wing ideological tradition . . . socialist, Marxist, or what have you.. Its absence, historically and at present, is unique among industrial countries, including Canada ---which has had both stronger left-wing and statist-conservative traditions; even more important, it has helped to make the United States the richest country in the world . . . with a per capita income 55% higher than the EU-15 average and 50% higher than Japan’s.

What This Gap Entails

To drive home just how great this gulf in living standards happens to be, consider the four largest EU countries: Britain, plus Germany, France, and Italy . . . the latter three advanced welfare-and-regulatory states of the sort extolled by the left-wing radicals in US universities and among Democratic Party activists at the grass-roots as a model for this country: a saner, more equitable way to organize an economy, it’s claimed. The reality? As a recent study by two Swedish economists showed, if any of these four big EU countries were suddenly to join the U.S. federation, it would be the fifth poorest of the existing 50 states, ranking just ahead of Mississipi, West Virginia, Arkansas, and Montana, and tied with Oklahoma . . . all five of these, please note, overwhelmingly rural states and far below average American per capita income. Sweden itself would be the 7th poorest state. The second richest EU country --- tiny Denmark --- would be the 10th poorest, and Ireland with the highest EU living standard would rank 14th among the poorest U.S. states.

For that matter, according to the same Swedish study, 40% of all of Swedish households "would rank among low-income households in the USA, and an even greater number in the poorer European countries would be classed as low income earnings by the American definition. In an affluent economy, in other words, it is not unlikely that those perceived as poor in an international perspective are relatively
well off."

Our Aim In This and the Next Articles

It's to clarify the ideological spectrum across industrial countries, historically and at present and --- more to the point --- pin down the reasons for the lack of a socialist or Marxist tradition in American politics. Those two articles will then be followed by a third that deals with another American exceptionalism, ideologically speaking: the absence of a right-wing statist tradition of the sort found in Japan and on the Continent of West Europe, and the reasons why.

A fourth article will contain some clarifying remarks about ideologies in general --- in particular, why they are relatively new in history, part and parcel of the modern world of industrializing, nation-states, democracy, free-market capitalism, and globalizing forces that emerged out of a complex of vast changes that are little more than 200 to 250 years old. The political reactions to these modernizing trends, full of turbulence and dislocation for the existing status-quo in countries around the globe --- for and against democracy, capitalism, market-oriented industrialization, and free trade --- are reflected in the ideological heritages that divide the advanced industrial countries from all other countries, and more to the point for our concerns, how even among advanced industrial democracies the American heritage is noticeably different . . . with the other great English-speaking democracies, Britain, Australia, New Zealand, and Canada sharing much, but not all, in common with that American exceptionalism.

Is it surprising --- an accident of history --- that the two giant liberal great powers of the last 250 years, Britain and the United States, have destroyed in war all the main challengers from the far ideological left or right: Napoleonic France, Imperial Germany, Militarist Japan and Nazi Germany and its fascist allies, and later in the cold war the Communist Soviet Union . . . and not only destroyed them, but forced their successor regimes, directly or indirectly, to move in the liberal direction of democracy, market capitalism, and freer trade?

 

PART ONE:
POLITICAL IDEOLOGIES IN THE MODERN WORLD

The Ideological Spectrum Across Industrial Countries

Look at the diagram here, a graphic effort to depict the variety of political ideologies --- democratic or anti-democratic; free-market or statist; left-wing or right-wing --- that have flourished globally since the end of the 18th century, at any rate among industrial countries: a two-century era marked by the handful of revolutions that have shaped our modern world and that we mentioned a moment ago: the industrial revolution, the nationalist revolution, the democratic revolution, the scientific and technological revolution, and the globalizing revolution, all topics that we’ll clarify in due course here. For the time being, focus on the spectrum diagramed here without worrying about some complex points it entails, terminological and historical --- such as the meaning of liberalism or conservatism, which differs in the U.S. as compared with West Europe or Japan. That clarification, as it happens, will follow in due course too.

It’s enough right now to get a general working idea of what the range of ideologies is, and where the uniquely narrow U.S. spectrum lies . . . in the center.

Totalitarian Communism

Democratic Socialism
Radicalism

Liberalism

Free-Market
Conservatism
Statist
Conservatism
Reactionary
Anti-Democratic
Conservatism

Fascism
&
Nazism

One-Party +
Total Bureaucratic Rule
Advanced Welfare State Active Welfare State Mass Democ.
+
Active Gov.
Mass Democ.
+
Limited Gov.
Mass Democ
+
Active Welfare State
Dictatorial
Repress
Human Rights

Anti-Democratic
Totalitarian
or
Authoritarian

 

Soviet Union

Maoist China
North Korea
Castro Cuba

EU
Continental
s

Social Democratic Parties

Canada today;

USA
Johnson's Great Society
(1965-1980) ;

Left-Wing of the Democratic Party Today

The Civil Rights Movement of the 1950s and 1960s


Britain, Australia,
New Zealand,
all before late 1980s

 


USA;
Democratic
Party

Jacksonian Period 1830s;

Progressives,
Populists
1890-1920;

FDR New Deal,


Contemporary

Britain
Australia
New Zealand

 


USA:
Republican Party

Britain
Conservative Party

 



Some Latin American Conservative Parties

 

EU Continental Conservatives:

French Gaullists
Christian Democrats etc.

Outside The EU

Japan's
Ruling LDP
(Massive Regulations
Less Welfare )

Similar for Other Pacific Asian Democracies

To An Extent
Some Latin American Conservatives

 

Arab Countries;

Most of Africa;

Most of Latin America in
the 1960s-1970s

 

Examples

Hitler's
Germany

Mussolin's Italy;

Clerical Fascism:
Franco's Spain;
Salazar's Portugal;
East Europe
1930s

Islamic Radicals
Taliban Afghan
Iran
Saudi Arabia

 

 

Making Sense of The Spectrum

Note, first off, that the spectrum runs between two poles: both highly statist and anti-democratic, culminating on the far left in the archetypical Communist systems of Stalinist Russia and Maoist China --- still found in North Korea today --- and on the right in Nazi Germany and (to a lesser extent) its fascist allies in WWII.

Posted by gordongordomr @ 09:20 PM CST [continue] [ 3 comments ]


Thursday, November 25, 2004 Happy Thanksgiving To One and All!

Prof Bug will be returning to the lengthy series, started last summer, on the innovative supremacy of the US economy, comparatively viewed. The 12th article will look at ideological influences in US politics and history that have shaped the unusually flexible and innovative economy of our country: in particular, the reasons for the absence of a left-wing socialist tradition. The 13th article, which will appear early next week, will then hop-skip across the political spectrum and explain why there has been no strong statist-conservatism in US politics similar to the Liberal Democratic Party in Japan or, in West Europe, to Christian Democracy, Gaullism, the statist varieties in Scandinavia, and even the Tory wing of the British Conservative Party . . . even though Margaret Thatcher's dominant role in the party during the 1980s may have undermined its influence in Britain, and possibly once and for all.

In the meantime, the buggy prof wishes everyone a very happy Thanksgiving!

Posted by gordongordomr @ 02:09 PM CST [continue] [ 1 Comment ]


Monday, November 15, 2004

Bush's America And The EU: 2nd Article of a Mini-Series

Why a second article? Well, it's not really a new article --- rather the last part of the original article, published on November 13, 2004, after the buggy prof decided to break it into two halves; taken together, the resulting pair form a mini-series on the topic of EU domestic developments and their implications for US-European relations, now and in the future. Why the decision to slice up the original article? Nothing surprising really --- just that it turned out to be pretty long; maybe unseemly so. Much wiser, then, to have the brief mini-series. Note that the two articles go hand-in-glove, adhering to the initial organization: five main parts, plus a cluster of sub-divisions.

The first article, you might recall, covered parts one and two. About to unfold here, the second article takes up the argument where it was left dangling in mid-air and follows its twists and turns to the very end through three more parts.

THE FIRST ARTICLE'S ARGUMENT RECAPITULATED

To make sense of the analysis that follows, you really should read the first article or at least run your eye over its main points --- including the comments sent to the buggy prof by Francis, a British citizen living and working in France (after a lengthy stint in Italy). When you’re finished with that chore, you should have a much better working idea why --- thanks to political and intellectual vacuums that have emerged over the decades in the EU --- right-wing populist parties, some moderate as in Denmark and Holland, others far more extremist as in France, have quickly moved of late to fill that void. Except for Britain and Ireland, that's true almost everywhere in the EU these days.

That said, whether or not you've read the article, a good jump-off point here would be to set out briefly its main findings --- a task that now follows.

 

The Major Causal Forces Creating This Void In European Life, Exploited By The New Populist Right

Two overarching trends stand out here, one reinforcing the other.

  • Political timidity and evasions that have marked the behavior of governing elites in the EU for two or three decades now in the face of mounting social and economic problems and growing ethnic strife.

It doesn’t matter whether those elites in power have been on the left-of-center or the right-of center; all of them have been unwilling to confront honestly the surging challenges to their countries’ economic and social well-being or the EU’s declining role in global affairs. As these problems and challenges piled up, what the various EU countries have experienced --- Britain and Ireland the big exceptions --- is Tweedle-Dee and Tweedle-Dum governments, little else. Whether left-leaning or right-leaning, they have all proved unable or unwilling to tackle their countries’ problems head-on or even, for that matter, to discuss them frankly with their publics. In the upshot, small wonder that the publics have grown more and more confused and worried, their increasingly pessimistic outlook marked by rising political alienation. These worries, pessimism, and confusion are easily documented. Last autumn's bi-yearly Eurobarometer surveys of opinion found that a good half of the EU's 380 million people doubted that the regional union was even a good thing on balance. Attitudes toward national governments were even more unfavorable. (For the statistics and the lengthy buggy take on them, see this article. )

Small wonder too that, amid the mounting failures of mainstream political elites, it's been mercurial right-wing populist leaders and their movements that have effectively, with growing intensity, appealed more and more to the worried EU peoples.

  • It gets worse. What has aggravated these political and intellectual failures of the governing elites all over the EU except in Ireland and Britain has been the influence of the poll-parroting media almost everywhere around the EU, save for 3 or 4 outlets in London --- notably The Economist, The Financial Times, and The Telegraph, to which list, at times anyway, you could add Die Frankfuerter Allgemeine Zeitung.

Everywhere else, in dozens of different ways, the media has reinforced the politicos’ timidity and evasions by strident, non-stop repetition of a ragbag of politically correct pieties and shibboleths . . . each and every one increasingly at odds with relentlessly changing realities: economic, political, and social. Part-and-parcel of an ideological world-view resistant to contrary information --- however blatantly such information may be at cross-purposes with orthodox pc-dicta --- those incessantly squawked dogmas are numerous and cover practically every topic under the sun, more or less like a surrogate religion of fundamentalist force.

What they don't do any longer, these haggard, platitudinous dogmas, is effectively conceal the failures and problems of the European welfare state, the illusory dreams of multicultural harmony, and the nature of EU regional government . . . technocratic, undemocratic, non-transparent, and full of regulation-mad bureaucrats.

Nor, it seems, have the increasingly strident efforts of the pc-elites and party activists at the grass-roots levels to blame West Europe's snowballing challenges and failures on outside influences --- whether George Bush's America, American power pure and simple, world Jewry, global capitalism, or what have you as the preferred scapegoat-culprit --- been entirely successful in reassuring the pessimistic, progressively worried EU publics that the old credos and shibboleths of European life, defended with politically correct fervor, are still the right guides for navigating through turbulent and violent times . . . the violence now rising with accelerating force.

Note the key phrase here: not entirely successful in reassuring most West Europeans. How else explain the growing disaffection among more and more disgruntled West Europeans, reflected among other things by the upsurge of right-wing populist movements in the EU . . . and in some countries of new radical left-wing movements as well? Not to mention the powerful thrust and appeal of radical Islam in the rapidly growing Muslim communities, marked more and more by Jihad sentiments, racism, and growing crime and violence committed by young Muslims everywhere in EU countries.

 

What Are The Most Egregious of These Fervently Held Articles-of-Faith?

Intoned and repeated over and again in the EU media, university classrooms, and political discourse without let-up, those politically correct credos that loom largest in West European life --- each being torn to tatters by sharp-edged realities day-in, day-out, on the national, regional, and global levels, to the confusion and dismay of the faithful --- seem, stripped-to-their-barebones, to be the following bevy of arbiter dicta:

(1) The EU countries will be able to easily assimilate rapidly growing Muslim communities at a time when the native European populations are shrinking steadily, many of them slated, on current trends, to die out in a century or so. All you need to do to achieve effective integration is try harder, which usually means spending more public money or introducing new regulations on ill-conceived schemes . . . none of which, in any case, have worked so far.

(2) For one and all, multicultural harmony is inevitable in European life --- and not only inevitable but eagerly desired by everyone, however much Islamist fundamentalism, alienation, violent crime, anti-Semitism, and support for Islamist terrorism are on the rise everywhere in the EU and now challenge practically every tenet of European democracy and secular life.

(3) The European welfare-state is a higher, more moral and sane way of organizing a national economy, so that any shortcomings are the fault of capitalist globalizing forces or American hegemony or casino-capitalism of the American sort --- or, as a topper, the failure of EU politicians to press harder for ever more regulations, welfare payments, and protection against rapacious Americans and industrializing Asian countries.

The latest Eurobarometer survey for 2004, published very recently, finds that general gloom prevails throughout the EU-15 about the economic situation: in particular prospects of growth, the job market, and family finances. Small wonder. Unemployment in the EU-15 runs twice as high as in the US; long-term unemployment, especially acute among young Europeans and minorities, is several times higher; and economic growth since the end of 2000 has scarcely advanced anywhere in the EU, aside from Britain and Ireland. One key result? Contrary to the widespread West European view that prevailed as late as the mid-1990s --- to wit, that the EU would outperform the US in the decades to come --- American GDP is now 55% higher than the EU average, roughly the gap that existed nearly a half century ago. For that matter, it's the same gap that prevailed more or less a good century ago at the start of WWI . . . compared to the richest European country, Great Britain.

If anything, that huge gap will likely increase in the years to come.

As a recent Swedish study by two economists showed, if any of the four biggest EU countries --- Britain, Germany, France, or Italy --- were suddenly to join the U.S. federation, it would be the fifth poorest state of the existing 50 states, ranking just ahead of Mississipi, West Virginia, Arkansas, Montana, and Oklahoma . . . all five of them far below average American per capita income. Sweden would be the 7th poorest state. The second richest EU country --- tiny Denmark --- would be the 10th poorest, and Ireland with the highest EU living standard would be ranked 14th among the poorest U.S. states.

For that matter, according to the same Swedish study, 40% of all of Swedish households "would rank among low-income households in the USA, and an even greater number in the poorer European countries would be classed as low income earnings by the American definition. In an affluent economy, in other words, it is not unlikely that those perceived as poor in an international perspective are relatively
well off."

(4) West European democracy is as sane, moral, and stable as the EU welfare-state, reflecting consensual, post-ideological approaches to European problems --- economic, social, cultural; what have you --- that trump the more raucous, money-laden democracy of the American sort. That's true on both the national and regional EU levels.

What follows? Well, it's said, the age-old specters in almost all of West European life before 1945 --- religiously inspired conflicts and violence; vicious ideological extremism on the left and right with roots in class-mistrust, class-fear, and class conflicts; national wars galore, one after another; waves of revolution and counter-revolution one after another; extermination and mass-murdering wars without parallel; rampant racism; rampant anti-Semitism; and all the other traumas that engulfed Europe before then except in Scandinavia, Switzerland, and Britain aside from its terrible record in Ireland --- have been banished once and for all, replaced by thoughtful, middle-of-the road centrist parties fully dedicated to an expanding welfare state and increasingly humane forms of capitalism. Social-solidarity and social-sharing, so political rhetoric repeatedly emphasizes all over the EU, are the watchwords of the day, and a reality to boot.

On this fanciful view, extremist political parties, flagrant racism, spiraling ethnic strife, religious and racial violence, and class-tensions are all part of a distant, even ancient, past . . . never to return to haunt European life again.

(5) Violent crime is largely an American nightmare, whereas the saner, more solidaristic forms of the European Welfare State ensure that it won’t ever reach American proportions, never mind --- silly, silly, silly --- ever exceed them. Yes, never mind that you are 6 times more likely to be mugged on the streets of London today than in New York's; or that it's a scary experience to enter any European subway system at night; or that in large numbers Frenchmen, Germans, Italians, Dutch, Spaniards, and others are afraid to go out at night in their cities.

UN-sponsored surveys of crime-victims across industrial countries, to be more concrete, find that the US ranks in the bottom third, far behind Britain and noticeably behind the other large EU countries in violent crime. See the previous buggy article in this mini-series for the stats and links. In the latest Eurobarometer survey for 2004, crime ranked as the second biggest problem in EU opinion, behind unemployment but a touch ahead of the overall economic situation within each country. By contrast, the UN surveys find that Americans are the least concerned of all the peoples in the industrial countries about going out into public spaces, day or night; siimilarly, Americans have more confidence in their country’s police than Europeans or Japanese have in theirs.

(6) Regional development in the EU is not just highly desirable, but has the widespread support of the average West European . . . so that further and further integration, financial, economic, and social, can and will be easily supplemented with ever more effective military cooperation and coordinated diplomacy. The deeper the integration, the more West European citizens will appreciate what is being done for them, especially in the tête-à-têtes among governmental ministers and technocrats the EU regional level.

Never mind the distant technocratic style of the EU's haughty Commission in Brussels and the thousands of bureaucrats --- all of them, it seems, regulation-mad, writing endless tomes that seek to regulate ordinary daily life down to the sub-atomic level (like a 125 page document that specifies the designs of buses, with another similar document promised as a follow-up) --- and the secrecy that surrounds policymaking in the Council of Ministers, and the pervasive corruption that prevailed among the 20 Commissions in the late 1990s that forced all of them to resign, and the lack of any evidence that the Commission and its bureaucrats are any more transparent or accountable financially or otherwise since then. On the latter, see this buggy link.

(7) The EU is a mighty regional force in global affairs, diplomatic and otherwise, and will continue to surge in influence world-wide. The worse thing would be to shift scarce governmental finances away from welfare and social programs into higher levels of defense spending . . . not simply because that would hurt core programs essential to morally superior European economic life, full of solidarity and good-will among all citizens, but because it would detract from the real sources of potent European influence around the world: its moral stature and estimable way-of-life.

(8) The United Nations is mankind's best hope, which should replace the role of traditional national security and would were it not for the United States and its lap-dog followers like Margaret Thatcher or Tony Blair . . . never mind that, in 2003 before the war to topple Saddam Hussein in March, Saddamite Iraq and terrorist-and-fundamentalist Iran were slated to head the UN disarmament commission, terrorist-and-brutal Libya headed the UN Human Rights Commission, and brutal-and-terrorist Syria headed the Security Council.

And that in late November 2004 the UN General Assembly refused to condemn the mass-murdering atrocities, hundreds of thousands dead, committed by the Sudanese government and its militia allies (no surprise really . . . not when most of the member-states of the UN are themselves major human-rights violators or vicious predators). And that a US Senate Intelligence Committee, given extensive Iraqi documents just recently, concluded that $21 billion of the oil-for-food UN's program was skimmed off by Saddam, with large chunks used to bribe certain governments --- France, Russia, and China among others, along with private companies that include some American ones in the oil business --- and, apparently, UN officials galore . . . including Kofi Anan's own son, a big player on the financial side of the huge scam, the biggest in world history. And that the UN human rights interventions in the 1990s were almost all disastrous, whether in Europe, Africa, Asia, or the Middle East.

And that, as a capper --- this very week --- the UN's higher civil servant staff all signed a resolution that only stopped short of condemning Kofi Anan's leadership and the incompetence and lack of transparency that prevail in the UN bureaucracies themselves, as well as the bevy of scandals that are erupting all around the UN General Secretary and his associates. "The senior management no longer displays the level of integrity expected of all employees or the organization," said a draft of the resolution.

(9) And, next . . .

. . . Well, the list of these politically correct canons, clung to and repeated with the fervor of a catechism voiced by novice eager-beaver priests, runs on. And on. Dealing with most of the ones just listed was what the first article in this series did. It tried to show, specifically, how a far-flung complex of policies and behavior inspired by these politically correct articles-of-faith have backfired, creating one tangled mess after another in West European affairs: a mishmash of evasions, failures, and spiraling conflicts . . . and all at odds with hard, fast-moving realities.

All of which brings us to our . . .

 

MAIN TASK HERE

As it happens, this task is no less important than the one grappled with in the first article, and maybe more so: the need, tersely said, to gather together our various findings about the dominant trends in EU life pinned down earlier --- whether political, economic, or social; not to forget the intellectual and cultural thrusts in West European life --- and put them all in a wider international perspective. For Americans and Europeans, international here means something fairly restrictive: teasing out the trends’ multiple implications for US-EU relations, now and in the near future.

 

Our Main Conclusion of the Mini-Series Foreshadowed

Simply said, those multiple implications do not augur happily for Trans-Atlantic relations, just the reverse --- not that NATO will disappear as an alliance in the next decade or so.

That's unlikely. Rather, it will probably grow less and less important in the foreign policies of the US, as West Europe's numerous domestic challenges and problems get more and more entangled in a thicket of expanding grievances and resentments about the US and as West Europeans simultaneously direct more of their own disillusion and fears toward their own mainstream governing elites and other home-grown culprits, real or imagined . . . the latter of the scapegoating sort. Then, too, on a strictly global level as we'll see in a few moments, American interests will very likely continue to shift away from Europe and toward far more important countries in the Middle East and Asia, and again strictly for reasons of national security.

First, the domestic trends. Four dominant ones are at work here in US-European relations, and they are overwhelmingly European in nature, not American:

Posted by gordongordomr @ 03:05 PM CST [continue] [ 1 Comment ]


Friday, November 12, 2004

THE BUSH RE-ELECTION AND THE EU REACTIONS: 1st of a Two-Article Mini-Series

Francis, a Briton living and working in France (after a long stay doing the same in Italy), has been a frequent contributor to the buggy site with his comments on European life and attitudes, not least toward the USA in the Bush era. Those comments are invariably valuable and stimulating --- doubly so because they draw on his own personal experiences and observations, made all the sharper by his long efforts as a writer, both of fiction and non-fiction. Once again, he has left prof bug and the visitor here in his debt. Note that his comments have been slightly edited to make them more understandable to American readers.

From Francis, A British Citizen Living in France:

I'm glad to see you back writing Prof Bug. I'm not going to criticize your evaluation of the US because I agree with it and in any case you live there and I don't. However I disagree somewhat with your summary of European trends.

First a nitpicking correction: you mispelled the name of the the right-wing Belgian party; it's called the Vlaams Blok.

Second and more important, as you yourself note, the far right has been gaining support all over the EU, not just in Belgium, and the major cause is easy to isolate: the ongoing failure everywhere to assimilate Muslim immigrants. Up to now, mainstream governing elites of either the left or right have bungled this pivotal challenge. Either they’ve sidestepped it entirely or --- in some countries --- mishandled it when they did try something, however obliquely. Belgium is a case in point. The VB received 1 million votes in the last general elections there out of a population of 10 million (not the electorate, the population), and its level of support continues to grow despite universal condemnation by everyone respectable in politics, the media, universities, or the churches. The fact that the Belgium Supreme Court has just banned the party shows both a worrying lack of judgment and an extremely worrying lack of freedom of expression.

Then there's Holland, just across the border to the north. The reaction of the Dutch to the murder of Theo Van Gogh last week is doubly revealing here: more and more Dutchmen are unhappy with the country's political status quo, and the electoral success of Pim Fortuyn, before he was murdered two years ago, further reinforces this point. His right-wing populist party continues to be represented in the Dutch parliament, even though it doesn't have any members in the center-right coalition government.

In short, there's a major problem here, and in Holland and Belgium and all over the EU, the reaction of governing elites has generally been denial or misdirection.

All this, I believe, helps explains their anti-Americanism. By blaming Mid-East conflicts on those meddling Yankee cowboys in control allegedly of the powerful USA, the governing elites and their media and intellectual acolytes show their ignorance even as they hope, in demagogic fashion, to convince their populations to look elsewhere for their own home-grown problems --- especially growing racial frictions between Muslim communities and native Europeans. In the short run, perhaps, this diversionary tactic might work; it even helped Gerhard Schroeder to be re-elected in Germany back in 2002, when he won almost entirely because of his anti-American rhetoric. In the long run, though, the tactic will backfire. It only delays the need everywhere to tackle resolutely the threats posed by rapidly growing Muslim communities that are themselves increasingly alienated and at loggerheads with European secular life. In my view, the efforts to squelch or stigmatize the right-wing populists --- even responsible ones like Pim Fortuyn or at least some of the Vlaams Blok leaders --- are motivated in part by the fears of the governing elites, whether on the left or right, that their blatant failures to deal effectively with the challenge of fundamentalist Islam and the growing numbers of Muslim immigrants in West Europe will be exposed for what they are: bankruptcy in government.

There's more too. A double-standard is applied, it seems, to right-wing populist rhetoric that is deemed hateful or racist, whereas firebrand statements made by Islamic extremists are usually not prosecuted at all. Their hatred, it's said, reflects the shortcomings of European life, and the alleged grievances behind it need to be addressed. Call it hypocrisy or tunnel vision or what you want. Along with the anti-American diversionary tactics, the use of double standards here will likely have only one consequence: it will create more and more voters for right-wing populist parties and movements.

 

THE BUGGY REPLY:

PART ONE
RIGHT-WING POPULISM IN THE EU

Francis:

Many thanks for your valuable comments, all of which call for some replies . . . some in agreement with your analysis, others at odds with them.

Belgium and the Vlaams Blok

As you note, I managed to misspell Vlaams Blok, the Belgian right-wing populist party. A good lesson here. It would only have taken a few seconds to check the spelling in Google, something I just did.

One article that it brought up revealed that the VB--- which enjoys active support from Le Pen's National Front party in France (where it draws the support of about 20% of the electorate) --- is now attracting about 1/4 of the vote in the Dutch speaking areas of Belgium, the Flemish region that has about 6 million of the country's total 10.3 million people. That's in national elections. In local elections, the party does even better. In Antwerp, Belgium's largest port city and overwhelmingly Flemish, it has gathered about 33% of the vote in local elections. What does the party stand for? Essentially two things: strict limits on foreign immigration, with a racist message --- very similar to Le Pen's National Front's position in France really --- and independence for the Flemish, the Dutch-speaking people of Belgium's federal system.

The former message has caused legal troubles for Vlaams Blok. Just this week, as you note, it was found to be racist by the Belgium Supreme Court --- a ruling that will end any state financing that the other parties represented in the national parliament continue to enjoy. That said, the party hasn’t been banned as you implied. It will just have to find financial support elsewhere. And you're no doubt right: it will likely continue to enjoy more and more support. That's also true of its equivalents elsewhere in the EU --- whether more moderate or more extreme --- as long as mainstream politicians of either the left or the right fail to tackle the major social and economic problems that all the West European populations have to confront: among them declining native populations, a rapidly growing numbers of retirees who live on state-pensions, and very slow or stagnant economic growth . . . not to forget growing unemployment of a structural short, especially high among young adults, and surges of violent crime all over the EU. In the minds of more and more West Europeans, many of these problems are entangled with the rapid increase in size of the Muslim communities, themselves increasingly fundamentalist in nature and in conflict more and more with European secular life.

Holland, probably the most advanced post-modernist country in the EU in matters of sexual and other freedoms --- a small country of 15 million who rightly took pride in their long-standing traditions of tolerance and respect for civil liberties --- is a particularly useful weather-vane of shifting sentiments. Not only have the Dutch awakened in the last two years to find that they're caught up in a horrific vortex of growing ethnic and racial violence, what with the killing of Pim Fortuyn two years ago and the recent jihad-inspired racist murder of Van Gogh, the film-maker, last week, but even more the multicultural illusions and dogmas, pc-style that were inviolate before 2002, have now been shattered . . . probably for good, with a big revulsion among the Dutch native population towards their Arab Muslim minority (Muslims accounting for about 9% of the 16 million number of people in that country).

We'll return to the Dutch case later on in this article. In the meantime, you'll find the reportage in the New York Times November 14th, 2004, issue especially revealing here. Doubly so, come to that, because the American reporter, Bruce Bawer, had lived in Holland in the late 1990s, and was struck by the complacency and reluctance of his Dutch friends, acquaintances, and others he interviewed even to discuss the question of Dutch-Arab Muslim relations. All this has now abruptly changed. Click here for the Times article.

Back To Right-Wing Populism in the EU, Extremist or Moderate

As the last line of argument left hanging fire before the sidebar comments indicated, I agree in large part with your analysis of why these right-wing movements have been snowballing in their growing support around the EU; and for that matter, several earlier buggy articles have set out the reasons why and the evidence for their big electoral breakthroughs of the last few years. (Start with these two links, though there are plenty more: 1) and 2) ) Whether in Belgium, Holland, Norway, Denmark, France, Austria, or Italy --- for that matter, in the eastern sectors of Germany --- those breakthroughs clearly reflect the failure of left-center and right-center Tweedle-Dee and Tweedle-Dum governments to respond effectively to the problems listed a moment ago.

Some of these populist right-wing movements --- in Denmark, Holland, and Norway --- have proved relatively moderate when they've shared power.

Posted by gordongordomr @ 07:59 PM CST [continue] [ 2 comments ]





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