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NYT and Matt Bai Falsely Call Social Security Trust Fund a “Lottery”

By: Scarecrow Thursday August 26, 2010 1:30 am

Matt Bai and the editors of the New York Times have printed an article ostensibly about Democratic Congressman Earl Blumenauer and his willingness to cut wasteful spending to reduce the deficit — as though eliminating unhelpful or harmful programs were an unheard of position for Democrats even though they just adopted legislation to cut unjustified payments to health care providers and private education lenders by hundreds of billions. But that misdirection isn’t even the main problem.

With no apparent oversight from the Times’ editors, Bai turns the “news analysis” article into a Republican talking point attacking Social Security and the US Government’s credit worthiness. You can see upcoming “corrections and retractions” written all over this one.

Here is how Matt Bai, who apparently gets his understanding of how Social Security works from Alan Simpson, describes how the Trust Fund works:

The liberal groups that are already speaking out against the debt panel’s unfinished work have chosen to start with Social Security because it is likely to be at the center of any budget compromise. “If there’s a place where it looks like Republicans and Democrats can reach agreement, we’re afraid it’s Social Security,” says Frank Clemente, the director of Strengthen Social Security. (In other words, the two parties might actually work together on something. They must be stopped!)

The coalition bases its case on the idea that Social Security is actually in fine fiscal shape, since it has amassed a pile of Treasury Bills — often referred to as i.o.u.’s — in a dedicated trust fund. This is true enough, except that the only way for the government to actually make good on these i.o.u.’s is to issue mountains of new debt or to take the money from elsewhere in the federal budget, or perhaps impose significant tax increases — none of which seem like especially practical options for the long term. So this is sort of like saying that you’re rich because your friend has promised to give you 10 million bucks just as soon as he wins the lottery.

So ignore Bai’s gratuitous insult that anyone concerned about protecting Social Security is merely worried about an outbreak of bipartisan agreement. Does the New York Times have editors? Surely someone there must know this entire framework is false, misstating how the Trust Fund works and even how bonds and debt are created.

More important, someone at the Times must surely know that a frequent canard of the Republican Party and Social Security opponents is to argue that the Social Security Trust Fund, which has a surplus of $2.5 trillion in US Treasury bonds built up since 1983 by higher payroll taxes paid by future retirees, is just worthless paper. And if it’s worthless paper, future beneficiaries will never be able to rely on the $2.5 trillion they paid into the system to help pay the Social Security benefits to which they’re entitled.

The canard was always designed to convince today’s and tomorrow’s elderly that they cannot rely on the US Government honoring it’s own Treasury bonds — in effect, arguing the US would be so irresponsible as to engage willy nilly in a sovereign debt default, not to mention breaking a sacred promise to its own people. The goal of the canard is to convince Americans they should not count on Social Security, or government in general, to help in their retirement. Give that money to Wall Street instead.

Social Security is “broke,” they claim; it’s “in crisis,” they continue, and if the Government were forced to pay off those bonds when the system needs to redeem them to pay benefits — just as the government planned — it would create a massive “debt crisis” for the United States. Everything about that story is false and malicious.

The Trust Fund’s bonds are just like other Treasury bonds except they aren’t traded. When the Trust Fund needs to “redeem” a bond to cover ongoing benefit payments, all that happens is that electronic entries reflecting the change appear on the respective governments accounts, and Social Security checks go out, as always, as scheduled. Calling this a “lottery” is stunningly false.

But the perpetrators of this falsehood don’t care about the facts. They hope to convince people that Social Security is in crisis, because the Trust Fund is illusory, and then use those lies to convince Congress and the public to accept cuts in Social Security benefits to “save it.” As Paul Krugman has characterized it, we had to cut future benefits to avoid cutting future benefits.

The hucksters have convinced enough fools or charlatans to believe the lies, and convinced the White House to pander to them, possibly the worst domestic policy blunder possible for a presumably Democratic President (along with not having a plan A or B to put 15 million people back to work). So now we have a phony “fiscal responsibility” commission that has no connection to fiscal responsibility, no regard for the truth, and no protection for Social Security or the public interest.

This is the big con, folks, maybe the biggest con in an era of big cons, and it’s all designed to take money paid by middle class and seniors and put aside for their retirements, and use it as a cover for tax cuts for the richest people in America. Matt Bai just told us he is a dupe in that con, but what excuse do the New York Times editors have?

More:
Dean Baker has a similar reaction over at the Center for Economic and Policy Research.

Late Late Night FDL: Mrs. Hughes

By: Suzanne Wednesday August 25, 2010 10:00 pm

Mrs. Hughes — live at the Ice House.

What’s on your mind?

h/t BustedKnuckles for the video

Late Night: My Darling Prager, I Can’t Get Enough of Your LOVE, Den

By: Thers Wednesday August 25, 2010 8:02 pm

I know I’ve been drawing your attention to Dennis Prager quite a bit lately, but that’s because he is ever so cute when he “thinks” and “says things out loud in public,” the great big fluffy twerp, him, oooh, I lurves me some Dennis Prager, I just can’t get enough of his crap, babe

I recently wrote about leftists’ hatred for conservatives as people, not merely for conservative ideas. Demonization of opponents is a fundamental characteristic of the left. It is not merely tactical; they believe people on the right are bad. (Here’s a test: Ask someone on the left if active support of California Proposition 8 — retaining the man-woman definition of marriage — was an act of hate.)

A related defining characteristic of the left is the ascribing of nefarious motives to conservatives. For the left, a dismissal of conservatives’ motives is as important as is dismissal of the conservatives as people.

How could you not love this warm, fuzzy, silly man?

Oh, we could be mean-spirited, like the baleful Tintin, and point out that the column is redolent with the scent of a profound lack of self-awareness (a mélange of stale Doritos, an unmopped locker room floor, and flatulence). Or we could point out that Prager thinks anyone who has ever done any research suggesting that children raised by gay parents won’t, I don’t know, grow up to be drooling criminals, gibbering imbeciles, or Radical Musselmen, was, ahem, and I quote, “conducted by academics with agendas: the denial of male-female differences,” something Prager says is EVIL, because, er, Prager is alarmed by transvestites.*

Anyway, what Prager is on about here specifically is the Jihadi Lower Manhattan Death Mosque and Murder Swimming Pool of the Musselmen:

I have not come across a mainstream leftist description of opponents of the mosque/Islamic center being built near ground zero that has not ascribed hate-filled, intolerant, bigoted, “Islamophobic” or xenophobic motives to those who oppose the mosque.

Well, maybe that’s because if you get upset that someone who has every legal right to build something they want to build in a neighborhood they’ve been in for a long time before someone they were never remotely connected to except for the fact that they belong to widely different branches of the same religion, that makes the “logic” of your position kind of, er, you know… bigoted?

But if it makes Dennis Prager feel any better, I love him, and I think he has every bit as much of a right to talk cockamamie bullshit on the Internet as Imams have to build mosques wherever they like. USA! USA!

* No, I don’t get it either. But the point is, he ascribes “motives” to liberals not just sometimes, it is all he does, and what he gets paid for, and that he gets paid for it is something I simply refuse to understand as a matter of normative cultural moral standards.


Deregulation, Market Concentration at the Root of Egg Recall

By: David Dayen Wednesday August 25, 2010 7:15 pm

Jon Cohn explores the egg recall in greater detail, and comes to a similar conclusion as I did: that it just shows a continuation of E. coli conservatism, particularly the fervor for deregulation that goes back 30 years

New Wikileak: CIA Admits US Exports Terror

By: emptywheel Wednesday August 25, 2010 6:30 pm

Wikileaks has posted a single new document–a CIA Red Cell report contemplating what would (will?) happen if other countries begin to see the US as an exporter of terrorism. The document admits several cases where the US has exported terror–such as the widely known but downplayed fact that David Headley had a role in the Mumbai bombing.

Portrait of HAMP Failure: Banks Rule, Borrowers Pay the Price

By: David Dayen Wednesday August 25, 2010 5:00 pm

The biggest problem with HAMP, the Obama Administration’s mortgage modification program, is the leeway it gives to the banks to set the terms of the negotiation. Even when they violate the guidelines of the program, they face little recourse. Part Three of a series on the failure of the Obama administration’s HAMP program.

Don’t Fire Alan Simpson – Dissolve the Whole Damn Catfood Commission

By: Teddy Partridge Wednesday August 25, 2010 4:15 pm

Now that we’ve had a peek into the mind of Alan Simpson — several sordid and tawdry peeks, actually — we know the kind of talk that’s gone on in secret during the closed door meetings of the Obama’s Catfood Commission that is contemplating Sovereign Default on the bonds held by the Social Security Trust Fund.

CA Prop 19: Drug Czars’ Latest Anti-Marijuana Propaganda is Easily Refuted

By: Jon Walker Wednesday August 25, 2010 3:30 pm

This is what makes the fight to end our war on marijuana so difficult. The other side is not interested in an honest policy debate. Instead of honest argument, they rely on half-truths, distortions, twisted logic, ridiculous statements and naked propaganda.

CNN Money Wants You to Be Scared About the Deficit

By: Dean Baker Wednesday August 25, 2010 2:45 pm

The country is suffering from an unemployment crisis caused by the collapse of the housing bubble. However, we are being told that we have a deficit crisis and therefore have to cut Social Security, which is not even part of the budget.

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