When it comes to U.S. foreign policy, Turkey is perhaps the most overlooked country in the world. Every time I get into an argument with some crazy who says Democracy is incompatible with Islam, I'm forced to sigh and tell them all about a lovely Islamic nation bridging Asia and Europe, modernity and traditionalism, and yes, elected government with a vast-majority Muslim population. In addition to its strategically valuable location and endless amounts of history and culture, Turkey is also a staunch U.S. ally -- a member of NATO for 55 years and a critical part of our Cold War resistance against the Soviet Union.
Yesterday, as the
Times reports, the Islamic-based governing party (AKP) of Prime Minister Erdogan won a "larger-than-expected victory" in nationwide parliamentary elections, taking close to half the overall vote in a rebuke to Turkey’s old secularist guard. Now, I don't know whose expectations the Times is referring to, but I certainly expected AKP to win, and win decisively. Turkey is really a fantastic example of what happens when an established democracy elects Islamists: they have to govern! Turkish secularists reportedly expected voters to punish AKP for increased religious influence in a determinedly secular nation, but the secularists, who ruled before AKP came to power in 2002, were so corrupt and ineffective that they poisoned themselves. AKP stepped in and did a surprisingly good job, represented the people who elected them and worked to gain additional support, and the secularists have done little besides whining about the religious aspect of AKP rather than presenting better policies or a more attractive vision.
I was in Turkey for the 2002 elections, and most of the people I knew were staunch secularists, mostly upper-middle class professionals and students, and they were horrified by those results. Many of them now grudgingly recognize that AKP has done better than they expected, working for EU membership, balancing the difficulties of Iraq and the Kurdish situation, and revitalizing the economy.
The Times reports, with some editorial flourish,
Turkey is a NATO member and a strong American ally, positions Mr. Erdogan has emphatically affirmed, and its stability is crucial in a troubled region. Its current political soul searching tries to find answers to the questions that Americans have been asking since the attacks of Sept. 11, 2001: Can an Islamic-oriented government that is popularly elected be democratic and aligned with the West?
I think, though, that this query, rather than being an open question, has been determined, and the answer is . . . yes. Despite differences with our current leadership (Turkey refused Bush administration entreaties to open a northern front into Iraq from Turkey, for example) and vast disapproval of Bush himself, Turks remain pro-U.S., pro-democracy, and pro-West. AKP policies include, for example, economic modernization, increased ties with Israel, and honest assessments of the Kurdish problem.
Yes, the ruling party is based in Islamism. No, some of their policies are not what I'd choose for the people of Turkey. But *the people of Turkey* are choosing them, and for a second time. Overall, hard to see this as anything but a validation of electoral government, especially in the context of a Muslim, Middle Eastern nation yielding the kind of results many of us hope for when we favor democracy promotion.
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