October 20, 2010
The Cook Political Report's current outlook is for a Republican net gain of at least 40 seats. A turnover of 39 seats would tip majority status into Republican hands. At this point, only 190 House seats are Solid, Likely or Lean Democratic, while 198 seats are Solid, Likely or Lean Republican, and 47 seats are in the Toss Up column.

September 2, 2010
The Cook Political Report's current outlook is for a 7 to 9 seat net gain for Republicans. Currently there are 57 Democrats, two independents that caucus with Democrats, and 41 Republican Senators.

September 2, 2010
The Cook Political Report's current outlook is for a 6 to 8 seat net gain for Republicans. Currently there are 26 Democratic and 24 Republican Governors.

Senate Overview: The State of Play 12 Days Out

October 21, 2010
Senior Editor Jennifer Duffy writes: November 2 is just 12 days away and the Senate playing field remains crowded with races that are still too close to call. The question of the week has been whether Republicans are in a position to gain the 10 seats they would need to secure a majority. It is mathematically possible for the GOP to score a net gain of the 10 seats they need to win the majority, but it is a very difficult proposition, practically speaking. In our view, the more likely outcome is a Republican gain of between seven and nine seats, putting them at between 48 and 50 seats in January. The Senate Overview also looks at the state of play in the 12 most competitive Senate races.
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Ratings Changes for 15 Democratic Incumbents

October 20, 2010
House Editor David Wasserman explains why the reelection prospects of 15 more Democratic incumbents are less certain. Notably, as outside groups ratchet up their involvement in most of these races, Reps. Raul Grijalva (AZ-07), Ron Klein (FL-22), Joe Donnelly (IN-02), Gene Taylor (MS-04), Scott Murphy (NY-20), Charlie Wilson (OH-06), and Lincoln Davis (TN-04) move to the Toss Up column. With today’s changes, there are now 23 Democratic seats in the Lean Republican and Likely Republican columns, and just three Republican seats in the Lean Democratic column. Even if Democrats were to defy the historical odds and win a bare majority of the 47 seats in the Toss Up column, they would fall several seats short of holding the House.
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Two Weeks Left: Competitive Open Seat Updates

October 20, 2010
House Editor David Wasserman checks in on each of the 15 competitive races for open seats. Democrats’ strategy for holding onto the majority called for holding onto half of their 16 contested open seats, but today they are on track to fall well short of that goal. Six of those seats are in the Likely Republican column, all but gone. Another four of those seats are in the Lean Republican column, five are in the Toss Up column, and only one seat leans Democratic. New Hampshire’s liberal-leaning 2nd CD is a rare open seat looking better for Democrats by the day, but other races on conservative turf like the one in Tennessee’s 8th CD are slipping out of their hands.
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House Flips, Senate Doesn't

October 16, 2010
It's crunch time for pollsters. One Republican I know gets to his office every morning about 8, sifts through data, writes memos, and participates in conference calls until about 6 p.m. He goes home to eat and rest, then returns to the office around 10 p.m. as the interviews from polling on the East Coast arrive for analysis.
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Triage Time For Democrats

October 13, 2010
In a perverse way, the job has gotten simpler for Democrats. Rather than having to try to do two very different things, they can focus on just one.
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