Daily Kos

SUBSCRIBE! (or exclude from AdBlock)

If you use ad blocking software while viewing Daily Kos, you're getting all the benefits of our site but we're not getting any of the advertisement revenue associated with your visits. This site relies on ad revenue for daily operations: a decrease in the number of ads seen means a decrease in the funding available to run the site, to pay those that work on it, and to create improved site features.

We won't stop you from using ad blocking software, but if you do use it we ask you to support Daily Kos another way: by purchasing a site subscription. A subscription is an inexpensive way to support the site that eliminates the advertisements without using ad blocking software.

Revenue generated from the subscriptions goes to the Daily Kos fellowship program, providing a steady income for bloggers and allowing them to concentrate full time on expanding the reach and influence of the netroots through a variety of projects.

By using ad blocking software, you may be hiding the site ads but you're also reducing the site's primary source of revenue. So if you must use one, please do your part to support the site and the people that bring it to you by purchasing a site subscription today.

To exclude Daily Kos from Adblock Plus, in Firefox click Tools > Adblock Plus > click on Add Filter, and copy/paste @@http://*dailykos.com/* to the field, then click Add Filter at the bottom of the window, then OK.


Open thread for night owls: Julian Assange

Tue Oct 26, 2010 at 09:06:05 PM PDT

On Democracy Now, Amy Goodman interviewed Wikileaks founder Julian Assange. An excerpt:

AMY GOODMAN: And back in Washington, Pentagon spokesperson Geoff Morrell also lashed out at WikiLeaks for releasing the war logs.

GEOFF MORRELL: The bottom line is, our forces are still very much in danger here as a result of this exposure, given the fact that our tactics, techniques and procedures are exposed in these documents, and our enemies are undoubtedly going to try to use them against us, and making their jobs even more difficult and dangerous.

AMY GOODMAN: That’s Pentagon spokesperson Geoff Morrell. Julian Assange, your response?

JULIAN ASSANGE: Well, this is the same old argument that the Pentagon has been trotting out every time there is media exposure of their abuses for the past fifty years. They tried it with the Afghan war logs. Last week, NATO told CNN from Kabul that there was not a single case of an Afghan that they could find who needed moving or protection. The Pentagon—Secretary of Defense Gates wrote to the US Senate Armed Services Committee privately on August the 16th saying that no intelligence sources, sensitive intelligence sources or methods had been revealed by this material, while saying publicly something completely different. Similarly, the Pentagon stated last week that it could find no incidents of an Afghan who had been adversely affected by this release or the injury to any US troops. The reality is that the only thing at risk here is the reputations and the jobs of those individuals who put troops in harm’s way in Iraq and who put Iraqi citizens in the middle of a civil war.

You know, late last week, the Pentagon was saying—pushing out the message that they had found 300 names in this material of people who needed protecting. But that, in fact, is misleading rhetoric. What they had found was 300 names in their internal material, which they say needed protecting. But the Department of Defense issued—confessed yesterday that in fact none of those 300 names were present in our material.

So, on the one hand, we see no credible evidence of harm being committed. We also see the Pentagon making a position that it’s not really involved in Iraq anymore. Well, we all know that there’s 50,000 US forces presently in Iraq and hundreds—over 100,000 US military contractors. So that argument can’t stand up on both accounts. But when we look to see what happened with the Afghan experience, we see no one harmed by this, apart from the reputation of an abusive organization, who is not credible, who’s been shown time and time again, not just by our work, but by others, to make statements that are simply not credible. And so, that is the lack of harm.

So then we look at the other side of the equation. What is the possible benefit? Can this material save lives? Can it improve the quality of life in Iraq? Can it tend to shape our perceptions of how war should and should not be conducted? Can it shape our perceptions of who should be conducting war and in what manner? And the answer to that is a clear yes. We see serious consideration and calls for investigation by the top levels of the United Kingdom government. That is the correct response to the revelation of this type of material.

You know, it must be disturbing to Iraqis to see this sort of revelation, which reveals 15,000 civilian casualties that were never previously reported, 66,000 internally declared total, but 15,000 that are not present in any media report since 2003, to hear the Pentagon take such a cavalier attitude to the discovery, the public discovery, of six 9/11s, the equivalent death count of six 9/11s. And, you know, really, if the Pentagon is to be seen as a credible institution—every country needs a military to defend it, but if it’s to be seen as credible in that role, it needs to also be a responsive institution.

AMY GOODMAN: You know, you—

JULIAN ASSANGE: All these reports were made secret at the time that they were written. Without doubt, they—nearly all of them should not be secret now. Their time has elapsed. They’re not of tactical significance. And yet, they are still concealed. So, what is the purpose of concealing them?

• • • • •

At Daily Kos on this date in 2004:

I was interested to see that most papers still endorsed candidates this time around. I suspect that with an increasingly organized and polarized partisan community, the newspaper endorsement may be on its final legs. Is it worth it to any paper to endure hundreds or thousands of angry letters, newspaper cancellations, protests, and other negative publicity in order to endorse a candidate? And really, it's not as if newspaper presidential endorsements carry much weight these days anyway with the proliferation of alternative media.

If I had to guess, the presidential endorsement is on its last legs. If I was a newspaper publisher, I'd run two editorials -- one making the case for each candidate. And it's perhaps as it should be -- if people really need help making up their minds, let them read two arguments so they can make the decision themselves.

Down-ballot races are a different story. I depend on my local alternative weekly to make sense of the myriad local candidates and ballot initiatives. But as for the president of the United States? Most of us can make that decision on our own, thank you very much.

• • • • •

Check out the Daily Kos GOTV diary series coordinated by Patriot Daily News Clearinghouse and Sophie de Vries: So far, the diarists have been Robert Reich, Al Franken, digby, and Bob Fertik. See here for the whole list of scheduled participants. On Wednesday, Sen. Jeff Merkley, Gov. Howard Dean and Mimi Kennedy will be diarying on GOTV. The series continues through Sunday.


Open Thread and Diary Rescue

Tue Oct 26, 2010 at 08:15:10 PM PDT

Tonight's Rescue is brought to you by Purple Priestess, ItsJessMe, mem from somerville, jlms qkw, shayera, and pico.

Diary Rescue is all about promoting good writers, so remember to subscribe to diarists whose work you enjoy reading.

jotter has High Impact Diaries: October 25, 2010.

brillig has Top Comments - Season Music Edition :-)

Please suggest your own and use as an open thread.

Polling and Political Wrap, 10/26/10

Tue Oct 26, 2010 at 07:48:04 PM PDT

Today, like Monday, is a data-heavy day. And that is just about where the similarities between yesterday's Wrap and today's version end. If yesterday was, on balance, a day showing marked improvement for a number of Democrats, today is the worst polling day for House Democrats in weeks, if not the cycle.

In this upside down election, perhaps we shouldn't be surprised that longtime goner (according to the CW) Chris Carney (PA-10) is suddenly up six, while longtime likely winner (again, according to the CW) Scott Murphy (NY-20) is suddenly down by almost double digits. It is that kind of a day.

The only solace: if you loathe Meg Whitman, you are going to like today's data. And you might be the only ones. We have 54 polls, and there are a lot more causes for consternation than joy as you head down the page.

THE U.S. SENATE

THE ANALYSIS: PPP gives us the biggest eye-opener of the day, and it is a substantial buzzkill. That comes out of Kentucky, where they have Rand Paul now up double digits on Jack Conway. The analysis from PPP's Tom Jensen places pretty square blame on the "Aqua Buddha" ad. One wonders, if the sensibilities of Bluegrass State voters are really that delicate, what the events of the last 24 hours will bring to the polls (I am actually a bit of a pessimist on that score). Meanwhile, Ipsos (which has been bearish on Dem prospects in most of their work) has it all knotted up in Pennsylvania, and actually has Joe Sestak up four points among the less restrictive registered voter screen. In California, a trio of polls confirm that Senator Boxer is closing strong, as she always seems to do.

THE U.S. HOUSE

THE ANALYSIS: This is, with the possible exception of PA-10, the most pessimistic pile of data that we have laid eyes on in this cycle. SurveyUSA has been bearish on Dems, sure, but even they had both Costa and Boucher leading earlier in the cycle. The erosion for Boucher (who led by as much as 15 points a while back) is particularly jarring. But even worse is the plummeting numbers for Scott Murphy, according to Siena. A Siena poll last month had Murphy up 17 last month. That is an almost unbelievable 26-point freefall in one month. The only logical conclusion--either Siena was off last month, or they are off right now. The disparity in the CA-20 numbers can be attributed to sample: the SUSA numbers anticipate just a 36% turnout of Hispanics in a district that is two-thirds Hispanic. It isn't impossible, given the itinerant turnout of California Latino voters historically (only 127,000 voters participated here in 2008, well under the state's per district average of 256,000).

THE GUBERNATORIAL RACES

THE ANALYSIS: On balance, this is the best of the three sets of data for the blue team. In the Golden State, Meg Whitman seems to have paid nine figures for the right to (maybe...if things go well), lose by high single digits. In Georgia, Nathan Deal loses a couple of points, raising the relatively modest odds that Roy Barnes can force the Republican into a late November runoff. Interesting data point of the day: among registered voters, the Ipsos/Reuters poll had Onorato, the Democrat, out in front by three points. Talk about a LV/RV gap!

THE RAS-A-POLL-OOZA
It is a double-shot of the House of Ras today, as they combine their home polling with their contract services for Fox News. There is some movement towards the rest of the polling universe in these numbers, although they remain on the "Raese is leading in WV" island all to themselves.

CA-Gov: Jerry Brown (D) 50%, Meg Whitman (R) 41%*
CA-Sen: Sen. Barbara Boxer (D) 48%, Carly Fiorina (R) 44%*
CT-Gov: Dan Malloy (D) 49%, Tom Foley (R) 46%
CT-Gov: Dan Malloy (D) 47%, Tom Foley (R) 44%*
CT-Sen: Richard Blumenthal (D) 53%, Linda McMahon (R) 42%*
IL-Gov: Bill Brady (R) 44%, Gov. Pat Quinn (D) 39%, Others 10%*
IL-Sen: Mark Kirk (R) 43%, Alexi Giannoulias (D) 41%, Others 7%*
KY-Sen: Rand Paul (R) 50%, Jack Conway (D) 43%*
MD-Sen: Sen. Barbara Mikulski (D) 56%, Eric Wargotz (R) 38%
NV-Sen: Sharron Angle (R) 49%, Sen. Harry Reid (D) 45%
NM-Gov: Susana Martinez (R) 52%, Diane Denish (D) 42%
OH-Gov: John Kasich (R) 47%, Gov. Ted Strickland (D) 43%*
WV-Sen: John Raese (R) 48%, Joe Manchin (D) 46%*
WI-Sen: Ron Johnson (R) 53%, Sen. Russ Feingold (D) 46%

Election Diary Rescue 2010 (10/26 - ONE WEEK 'til Election Day!)

Tue Oct 26, 2010 at 07:16:04 PM PDT

   This Rescue Diary covers the period from 6 PM, Monday, 10/25 to 6:00 PM EDT, Tuesday, 10/26

Today's Menu Includes :
94 Diaries Overall

- 17 On House races

- Covering 11 individual Districts in 11 states

- 30 On Senate races

- Representing 9 different states

- 23 On Various election races and ballot issues

- Encompassing Governor, Secretary of State, Local, and more

- 24 General election-related diaries

   

And be sure to follow the Election Diary Rescue on Twitter


Open Thread

Tue Oct 26, 2010 at 06:50:01 PM PDT

Jabber your jibber.

KY-Sen: Rand Paul's curbstomper says he's 'misunderstood'

Tue Oct 26, 2010 at 06:40:04 PM PDT

This is rich -- the Rand Paul (now former) Bourbon County coordinator, one of two men who assaulted a MoveOn worker before Monday's senatorial debate, says his actions were "misunderstood."

Today, Profitt says he fears for his safety and has received numerous death threats after others have watched the incident on tape. He says his actions were misunderstood ...

He says what the video doesn't show is Valle's aggressive behavior. Profitt says she rushed Paul's car three different times; each time refusing to stop ...

"We thought she was a danger; we didn't know what she was doing ..."

Profitt explained that he used his foot to try and keep her down because he can't bend over because of back problems ...

Profit also says he wished things had never escalated to the level they did.

First, Profitt needs to produce those alleged death threats. And then he needs to come up with a better story if he's going to talk to the media, because what he's peddling here is an obvious load of crap. She "rushed Paul's car three times and refused to stop," yet she never reached the car. At the nineteen second mark on the video, Profitt is bending over. And given that Profitt's still unidentified partner in crime had Valle pinned to the ground, why was his foot needed to "try and keep her down"? And of course, why did Profitt stomp on her head?

And this is pure speculation -- Profitt's wish that things "had never escalated to the level they did" can probably be translated as, damn that video.

And it should be noted that Rand Paul still hasn't answered the obvious question -- knowing who Profitt was and that he held a leadership position in the Paul campaign, why did Rand Paul go on Fox News, release two statements about the assault, and go more than twelve hours without mentioning that rather important fact?

Senate Snapshot, October 26th: What the percentages mean

Tue Oct 26, 2010 at 06:10:05 PM PDT

The Senate Snapshot continues to crystallize. It still shows 52 Democratic seats, and only a 1% chance of a Republican takeover.

Senate Competitive Campaigns Chart

Margins are based on the simple average of all published polls in which the majority of interviews were conducted on or after October 8th. No polls will be removed form the averages between now and Election Day. Only campaigns closer than 12.0% are listed. All polls used in the averages are taken from Pollster.com. Click here for the Senate Snapshot methodology.

Seat Odds Outcome Chart

Even though Democrats only lead in 51 seats, given narrow Republican leads in Illinois, Nevada, Colorado and Pennsylvania, 52 Democratic seats is the most likely outcome. In fact, 53 is slightly more likely than 51, according to the Snapshot.

***

Allow me go into a bit more detail on the “cuirrent Dem win %” column percentages in the Senate Competitive Campaigns Chart:

  1. First, they are based on if the election were held today, and all the polling averages presented above were final. Things can change, but I don’t want to get into the business of predicting how they will change. It would either require too many assumptions or years of research (quite literally).
  2. Second, the percentages assume that there is an equal chance of the polls erring in favor of Democrats or Republicans. This is because the 145 Presidential, Senatorial, and Gubernatorial campaigns I looked at found that there was an even chance of error in favor of both parties. That may not be the case anymore, because of new polling problems like cell-phone bias. However I am not going to assume there is a hidden Democratic vote--which I very much hope there is, despite personal doubts--until it starts showing up in the data (which we won’t have until after the election).
  3. This is an empirical system, based neither on my gut nor any higher math. The percentages represent the frequency with which the final 25-day polling average has been observed to be incorrect by a large enough amount to swing an election based on the current margin of that election. Half of the frequency, actually, since polling error did not appear to benefit either party in the campaigns I looked at.
  4. These are percentages, not absolutes. If a campaign is still between 1% and 99%, then both candidates would have a chance of winning even if the election were to end today.
Hope that helps explain what these numbers mean. The goal is to provide the most accurate and understandable context to polling on Senate campaigns. This is not only because I am a polling junkie, but because I strongly believe we can only do the best activism if we have the most accurate information.

PA-Sen: A Microcosm for Democrats

Tue Oct 26, 2010 at 05:32:04 PM PDT

In an internal polling memo released to CQ, Pat Toomey’s pollster, on Lerner, writes that analysts were slow to pick up on Sestak being close in PA, and on Toomey now re-consolidating his lead:

Pat Toomey's campaign was not surprised when public polling showed Democratic Rep. Joe Sestak gaining momentum in Pennsylvania's Senate contest last week, an internal memo examining the Tossup race shows.

The Republican's pollster detected the shift weeks before it was ultimately reported by various public polls late last week, prompting a slew of race ratings changes (including ours) and encouraging headlines for a Sestak campaign that hadn't led in any poll since May.(...)

"Notably, however, just as observers mistook Sestak's gradual consolidation of the Democratic base vote for a sudden shift in his favor, they are now also missing the shift that is taking place in Toomey's direction," Lerner wrote.

Um, ok. Is this the pro-Toomey shift we are supposed to be noticing?

Reuters / Ipsos. 1022-24. 400 likely voters. August 30th numbers in parenthesis:

Joe Sestak (D): 46 (37)
Pat Toomey (R): 46 (47)

Goal ThermometerYeah, that’s some big pro-Toomey shift alright.

Granted, the Muhlenberg tracking poll (PDF) shows Toomey with an 8-point lead. However, no one poll has a monopoly on the truth. The Rueters / Ipsos poll and the Muhlenberg poll basically cancel each other out.

Pennsylvania is a real microcosm for Democrats across the country. Sestak is narrowly behind Toomey, but he is far from being defeated. Nate Silver shows Sestak at a 16% chance of winning while Pollster.com puts Sestak’s chances at 18%. Both of those roughly the same odds as rolling doubles in Monopoly (16.67%). I’m a bit more optimistic at 29%, or roughly the same odds of your next birthday falling on a weekend.

We are down, but we are very much in it. Republicans are not pulling away, and you can still make a difference. As Nate Silver wrote tonight (emphasis mine):

Since there are a very large number of competitive seats, relatively small anomalies in the polling could potentially affect the outcome of dozens of races. Although the Democrats’ overall position is poor, it is not yet so poor that it couldn’t be salvaged if they beat their polling averages by 2 or 3 points nationwide.

Two or three points ain't that much. Keep fighting--both with GOTV, and with small contributions.

KY-Sen: Woman assaulted by Rand Paul supporters speaks out

Tue Oct 26, 2010 at 04:56:04 PM PDT

Lauren Valle, the MoveOn worker who was assaulted by Rand Paul supporters, including Paul's now-former Bourbon County coordinator Tim Profitt, spoke to reporters today, describing the attack as "premeditated."

I have been at a bunch of events before, the previous debate, and the Rand Paul campaign knows me and they have expressed their distastes for my work before. What happened last night was that about five minutes before Rand Paul's car arrived they identified me and my partner, Alex, who was with me. They surrounded me. There was five of them. They motioned to each other and got behind me. My partner Alex heard them say 'We are here to do crowd control we might have to take someone out.'

When Rand Paul's car arrived a couple of them stepped in front of me so I stepped off the curb to get around them to get back out front. At that point they started grabbing for me and I ran all the way around the car with them in pursuit. The footage is after I've run all the way around the car and I'm in front of the car and that is when they took me down. One or two people twisted my arms behind my back and took me down... It was about two-to-three second after that that another person stomped on my head. And I lay there for 20 seconds or so and my partner Alex came and got me up and that's the point where there is the media clip of me speaking.

Valle filed criminal chargelast night and:

Lexington, Kentucky Police Public Information Officer Sherelle Roberts has confirmed that a criminal summons is being served on a Mr. Tim Profitt who has been ordered to appear before a Fayette County District Court judge for the assault on Lauren Valle.

Not surprisingly, the Paul campaign reacted by again telling "all activists on both sides" not to throw women to the ground and stomp on their head (liberally paraphrasing that last part).

Late afternoon/early evening open thread

Tue Oct 26, 2010 at 04:16:05 PM PDT

What an incredibly effective and devastating ad:

Texas deficit to reach $25 billion

Tue Oct 26, 2010 at 03:38:04 PM PDT

Given that polls show Gov. Rick Perry with comfortable leads, it's fitting that he'll have to clean up his own mess.

Texas faces a budget crisis of truly daunting proportions, with lawmakers likely to cut sacrosanct programs such as education for the first time in memory and to lay off hundreds if not thousands of state workers and public university employees.

Texas' GOP leaders, their eyes on the Nov. 2 election, have played down the problem's size, even as the hole in the next two-year cycle has grown in recent weeks to as much as $24 billion to $25 billion. That's about 25 percent of current spending.

The gap is now proportionately larger than the deficit California recently closed with cuts and fee increases, its fourth dose of budget misery since September 2008.

On the chopping block:

"They'll have to cut," said former Rep. Talmadge Heflin, R-Houston, the House's budget chief during the last budget meltdown, in 2003. "When you look at the big numbers, I just don't think there's any way that you make it match without making some reduction in education, both higher [education] and public education," or grades K-12.

Republicans rejoice! That education stuff is problematic, and they have an excuse to cut further. That way, they can go from being  last in the country, to being even more solidly behind Mississippi. Don't mess with Texas!

So why the budget shortfall? Because of that cure-all Republican policy solution:

Ongoing expenses, including property tax cuts passed four years ago, cost between $95 billion and $100 billion in state funds, now that a federal flow of stimulus cash is winding down.

It's always about tax cuts, because in Republican-dominated Texas, one would be hard-pressed to blame "out of control spending".

The truth about Democratic chances in the House

Tue Oct 26, 2010 at 02:50:04 PM PDT

Goal Thermometer Nate Silver currently gives Democrats a 21% chance of keeping control of the House. Pollster.com also gives Democrats a 21% chance. Seems like a consensus to me.

With that in mind, here are three seemingly common things that are less likely than Democrats winning the House in 2010:

  1. First, it’s less likely that your birthday is in either August or September (18%) than it is for Democrats to keep control of the House. However, we all know lots of people born in either August or September.
  2. Second, your odds of rolling doubles in Monopoly, thus winning a second roll or getting you out of jail, are lower (17%) than the odds of Democrats winning the House. But everyone who has ever played Monopoly has rolled doubles many times.
  3. Third, it’s less likely for an NFL team with the ball, and trailing by seven points at the start of the 4th quarter, to win the game (about 12%) than it is for Democrats to keep the House. Still, every football fan, player and announcer knows comebacks like that happen all the time. Two Sundays ago, it even happened twice in one day (here and here). A third, even larger comeback happened on that same day.

Yes, Democrats are behind. However, a 21% chance of victory is far from being defeated.

We are still in this, and there is still time to make a difference. Contribute $5 to keeping the Democratic majorities on Orange to Blue now.

KY-Sen: Speaking of the 'daze of lights flashing ...'

Tue Oct 26, 2010 at 02:10:04 PM PDT

... here's Rand Paul with Tim Profitt, the Paul campaign's (now former) Bourbon County coordinator, in happier days when Mr. Profitt wasn't stomping on a woman's head for the crime of opposing Paul's senate bid.

randy

Still no word on why Rand Paul made a damage control visit to Fox News and put out two separate statements without mentioning that he knew that at least one of the assailants held a leadership position in the Paul campaign.

WI-08: Dem incumbent trails with nearly one-quarter undecided

Tue Oct 26, 2010 at 01:38:04 PM PDT

Public Policy Polling for Daily Kos. 10/23-24. Likely voters. MoE 2.6% (No trend lines)

Reid Ribble (R) 40
Steve Kagen (D) 37

Even though this is a close race -- just three points separate Ribble and Kagen -- the fact that nearly one in four voters are undecided isn't good news for Kagen, who was first elected in 2006. The reason for the high undecided totals is that likely voters are unfamiliar with either candidate. A total of 42 percent say that they have neither a favorable nor unfavorable impression of Kagen and 48 percent are neutral about Ribble. In the Senate race, by contrast, more than 90 percent of likely voters are familiar enough with both candidates to have formed an impression.

The lack of familiarity means voters are less likely to view the election as a choice between candidates and are more likely to see it as a referendum on the direction of the country, and while you can't count Kagen out, the underlying numbers are ominous: voters in WI-08 say they disapprove of President Obama's job performance by a 42-percent-to-54-percent margin and Russ Feingold trails Ron Johnson by seven points in the district.

The enthusiasm gap is playing much less of a role in this district than the lack of familiarity with candidates. If turnout matched 2008 levels, Kagen would be up by one point, a significant shift, but one dwarfed by the size of the undecided vote.

WI-08 is a swing district -- Obama carried the district in 2008 by a nine-point margin, but Bush won it in 2004 by 11 points.

KY-Sen: Rand Paul finally condemns assault -- by one of his county coordinators

Tue Oct 26, 2010 at 12:55:28 PM PDT

Now we know why Rand Paul spent the past twelve or so hours blaming the vicious assault of Lauren Valle by his supporters on "both sides" and a "daze of lights flashing" -- because one of the assailants is Tim Profitt, the Bourbon County coordinator for Paul's campaign.

According to Mr. Profitt:

... the camera angle made the scuffle Monday night appear worse that it was.

Let's review:

Yes, it was the camera angle.

Ahead of this news, Paul finally did what he had been avoiding since last night -- he condemned the vicious attack:

The Paul for Senate campaign is extremely disappointed in, and condemns the actions of a supporter last night outside the KET debate. Whatever the perceived provocation, any level of aggression or violence is deplorable, and will not be tolerated by our campaign. The Paul campaign has disassociated itself from the volunteer who took part in this incident, and once again urges all activists -- on both sides -- to remember that their political passions should never manifest themselves in physical altercations of any kind.

Of course it wasn't "a supporter" since it took one man to hold Valle down and one to stomp her head, and it wasn't an "incident," it was an assault. And of course Paul didn't bother to mention that one of the attackers is a part of his campaign.

Oh, and Paul didn't mention that he has a full-page ad in today's Herald Leader, proudly touting, among others, the endorsement and support of Tim Profitt.

paul

Midday open thread

Tue Oct 26, 2010 at 12:10:04 PM PDT

  • Remember, if you can vote early, please do. It frees you up for GOTV, and it frees up GOTV workers to go after the more marginal voters we need to pull our asses out of the fire.
  • There are 7 days until the November 2 elections. Early voting is now taking place in Alaska, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Hawaii, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Louisiana, Maine, Maryland, Montana, Nevada, New Mexico, North Carolina, North Dakota, Ohio, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, West Virginia, Wisconsin, and Wyoming. Virginia allows early absentee voting under certain circumstances -- check here and see if you qualify. And New Jersey allows voting by mail -- apply here. And if you vote in Oregon or Washington, mail in your ballot today.
  • CA-Sen: Carly Fiorina hospitalized:

    Republican U.S. Senate candidate Carly Fiorina has been hospitalized for treatment of an infection related to breast cancer reconstructive surgery, her campaign announced this morning.

  • Why do White House officials insist on antagonizing its allies? The DADT appeal is incomprehensible. Now the White House' LGBT liaison threatens to immediately end a strategy meeting with gay groups if they even mention the court case. It's completely unnecessary and needlessly antagonistic, particularly given the very real and very justified anger in the gay community over the DADT appeal.
  • Don't look now, but Republicans are crushing Democrats in the use of social networks.

    R's have an avg. of 38,718 FB friends and 14,009 Twitter followers.

    D's have an avg. of 8,260 FB friends and 2,591 Twitter followers according to HeadCount.org

    This stuff matters. Republican consultants have embraced the social networks as a way to spread their message in a way that our shitty Democratic ones have not. What online advantages progressives have -- the blogosphere and sites like ActBlue -- have been created outside of the establishment's grasp. Otherwise, we'd be even more fucked.

  • Early voting statistics here. More detailed early voting statistics from North Carolina here.
  • You can't call Americans the "American Taliban", because they don't stone women! Sure. They just pin them down to the ground and stomp their heads.

    Here's more of these real winners.

  • Top six laws the Teabaggers claim are unconstitutional:

    We know the Tea Party has a ... unique interpretation of the country's foundational text, but it's hard sometimes to keep track of all the things their favored candidates would like to see abolished or relegated as part of this "return."

    Their convenient reading of various amendments -- particularly the 10th -- would radically transform the country as we know it. Here are a few major programs that would change or disappear.

    They include Social Security, Medicare, the minimum wage, membership in the United Nations, unemployment benefits, and the Civil Rights Act.

CO-Sen: Buck rejects the concept of a separation of Church and State

Tue Oct 26, 2010 at 11:20:03 AM PDT

Where Christine O'Donnell failed in her questioning of the existence of the phrase "separation of church and state" in the Constitution was in a guileless and unsophisticated "parroting [of the] standard line of the Republican Party and the Right on the separation of church and state." She got hung up on the idea of the exact phrasing of the establishment clause, but her impulse was in line with the Right's long-standing effort to force a new interpretation of that clause and the idea of separation of church and state.

Ken Buck is more polished than O'Donnell, and when he talks about his opposition to the 200+ years old interpretation of the establishment clause, he takes after the actual concept.

At a forum for GOP Senate candidates late last year, Buck said that he “disagree[d] strongly with the concept of separation of church and state,” and that “it was not written into the Constitution,” and then went on to rip President Obama for supposedly getting rid of the White House Christmas tree:

I disagree strongly with the concept of separation of church and state. It was not written into the Constitution. While we have a Constitution that is very strong in the sense that we are not gonna have a religion that’s sanctioned by the government, it doesn’t mean that we need to have a separation between government and religion. And so that, that concerns me a great deal. So I think there are cultural differences, I think there, we are as strong as we, our culture, our culture gives us our strength, I guess is the best way to put that. And, and I am worried about the fact that we seem to be walking away from culture. And, and one thing that President Obama has done that I would certainly speak about is calling the Christmas tree, which has historically been called a Christmas tree in Washington DC, a holiday tree. It’s just flat wrong in my mind.

(The Christmas tree business does actually make you wonder how smart Ken Buck really is, if he'd fall for that extensively debunked trope. The teabagger crowd he was courting in the primary undoubtedly loved it.)

Though he expresses it better than O'Donnell, it's clear that Buck embraces the same extreme view the Right has been pushing for years (and that is gaining ground in the SCOTUS as Armando argues, thanks to the Roberts and Alito appointments). Consider the evidence compiled by the Bennet campaign (via e-mail):

Buck Advocated Closer Relationship Between God and Government on Several Occasions. As reported by Politico, “On several occasions, he’s advocated for a closer relationship between God and government. Last fall, at a forum at Colorado Christian University, the Colorado Statesman reported that Buck “emphasized his conservative values, expressing his opposition to the principle of separating church and state.” [Politico, 6/28/10]

Buck’s Favorite Book: Under God: George Washington and Questions of Church and State. According to the Carbon Valley Herald, “Buck’s favorite book is Under God: George Washington and the Questions of Church and State by Tara Ross and Joseph Smith. [Carbon Valley Herald, 10/9/08]

Ken Buck Supports Public Posting of the Ten Commandments. In responding to a questionnaire from the Christian Family Alliance of Colorado, Ken Buck indicated that he supported public posting of the ten commandments. [Christian Family Alliance of Colorado, accessed 6/1/10]

Buck: “I Think the Secularism That is Developing in This Country is a Very Scary Concept.” During a July 2010 meeting of the Evergreen Tea Party, Buck said “the secularism that is developing in this country is a very scary concept.” BUCK: My, my morality comes from my upbringing and my Christian faith. Others have developed morality in other ways. But the key to a democracy, the key to a democracy is that we have a public ethic, that we have a public morality. And as soon as we lose that we lose really the, the underlying basis for democracy. We depend not on the government enforcing the rules. But rather on our neighbors and our communities developing and enforcing those rules. And if don't have a common understanding of what the rules are, and I'm talking about, you know, very simple things, thou shall not steal. If, if we don't have a common understanding that that is wrong we, we are headed down a serious path. And I think the secularism that is developing in this country is, is a very scary concept. [Evergreen Tea Party Meeting, 7/12/10]

Buck Is Opposed to Separation of Church and State. Reported the Colorado Statesman, “Buck emphasized his conservative values, expressing his opposition to the principle of separating church and state and discussed international challenges.” [Colorado Statesman, 11/13/09]

Buck Called for “Co-Existence Between Government and Religion.” Appearing on Jim Pfaff’s radio show, Buck said “Well I think it’s clear that the intent of the constitution was to avoid a state run religion. Our, our founding fathers our ancestors, came here from Europe and felt very strongly about the state run religions in, in Europe. There is nothing in the constitution, the term separation of church and state does not appear in the constitution. And it’s a concept that's developed in the courts, and as a judicial concept that has been applied very broadly. And I think the, the intent of the constitution and, and really the will of most people in this country is to see a co-existence between government and religion. And not have government dictate religion, but at the same time not have government undermine religion. So I, I hope we move that direction in the future.” [Jim Pfaff Radio Show, 5/21/10]

Buck Doesn’t Think Constitution Intended Separation of Church and State. Said Buck at a Windsor 912 Group meeting, “so I think that this idea of separation of church and state is not what was intended by the Constitution. Yes, we have separation of church and state. We don’t want a state-sponsored religion, but no it doesn’t mean that churches and government should never interact, and that wall that people are trying to form between the two and punish religion is something that I think has gone in the wrong direction, and I think what President Bush did with faith-based programs that worked with the government is exactly the right idea.” [Windsor 912 Group meeting, 6/3/10]

It's a theocratic vision of how America should be and one that has gained significant ground. It needs to be recognized not as a sideshow in a crazy election year, but as the very really expression of where the Republican party wants to take the country. Amrando:

And while their program has not yet reached fruition - the phrase "separation of church and state" still has resonance - it can not be denied that the Extreme Right's campaign is gaining in success, and will continue to do so if not confronted. The philosophical discussions on the Left regarding the use of the phrase "American Taliban" are sideshows. The real threat is being ignored.

O'Donnell won't be elected. But Ken Buck could be, as could Sharron Angle, Rand Paul, and Joe Miller and with them, another big win for the would-be theocrats.

KY-Sen: Why isn't Paul's campaign helping identify the stomper?

Tue Oct 26, 2010 at 10:44:03 AM PDT

Watch this video and tell me what the odds are that somebody inside Rand Paul's campaign doesn't know the identity of the "man" who stomped on Lauren Valle's head outside last night's Senate debate:

As you can see, Valle -- who received a concussion -- was within five feet of Paul's vehicle when one of his supporters stomped her head and the whole incident unfolded as Paul emerged from his vehicle. Based on that video evidence alone, I can virtually guarantee you that someone in Paulville knows who he is and could help police identify and apprehend him. The thing you need to know is that the "rally" greeting Paul wasn't spontaneous -- it was staged, by the campaign. That's what campaigns do before debates -- all of them. And that means somebody -- a volunteer or staffer -- knows the identity of the man who stomped on Valle's head.

But even though it's clear Paul's campaign could help authorities apprehend culprit, the only thing we get from Paulville are cowardly statements blaming "both sides." If they really wanted to put a stop to this kind of violence, they'd help authorities figure out who the perpetrators were. Instead, we got false equivalency and misdirection.

Welcome to Rand Paul's America, in which there's nothing wrong with stomping on the head of a woman -- as long as you're trying to put him in power. And if you think this is bad, just wait to see what he does if he manages to win this election.


:: Next 18

Hate ads? Subscribe.







On Mothertalkers:

Midday Coffee Break

Healthy Halloween Food Spread

Tuesday Morning Open Thread

Midday Coffee Break

Revising Civil War History in Virginia

On Street Prophets:

Twosday Teatime: Improving Your Brain

Folk Wisdom for the Modern Age

Coffee Hour: The Winter's Tale

Ancient Religions: Egyptian Monotheism

Vigil -- Remembrance

On Congress Matters:

The pocket veto is finished

Speculation on what happens if GOP comes up short

Today in Congress

Today in Congress

Chancellor DeMint dissolves the Senate