Over the course of the debate on health insurance reform, we've been told not to worry so much about what passes in the House and Senate, because it will all be fixed in the conference committee. Well, we're in the middle of November and have yet to see the Senate bill (although it's expected later today.) All the delays by Blue Dogs and conservative Democrats like Max Baucus and Kent Conrad taken a toll and have cost momentum. There's pressure to just get something done -- and when that kind of talk starts, it's never good. Now, there's talk that instead of a real conference committee, we might see a "mini-conference" of just leadership to get a bill done quickly. This news comes via
Politico:
The most-talked-about shortcut is end-running the formal conference committee process in favor of some sort of mini-conference based out of the leadership offices. Hashing out differences between the House and Senate bills in conference could take weeks, but White House aides and congressional leaders doing the work behind the scenes could speed the process.
Democratic officials in the White House and Congress said they are envisioning an endgame similar to that of the $787 billion stimulus package. The House approved the stimulus on Jan. 28, and the Senate passed its version on Feb. 10. Three days later, despite dramatic differences, party leaders privately negotiated a compromise and passed it. The conference committee was largely a formality.
“The White House believes that this can still be done by the end of the year and that it is doable,” a senior White House official said Tuesday. “We think the looming challenges of a conference are mostly overplayed. We know what the big issues are.”
Yeah, they know what the big issues are. There's no indication that the White House will fight for key provisions like a strong public option. And, there will be enormous pressure to pass whatever bill emerges.
Another warning sign is the Senators who like the idea:
Senate Budget Committee Chairman Kent Conrad (D-N.D.) said a full-blown conference committee would take too long. The “preconference” model, which was used for the stimulus package and on other bills over the years, “is a way of shortening it,” Conrad said. “To me, it doesn’t get around the conference committee, but it does shorten it. I have no trouble with it.”
Indiana Sen. Evan Bayh, a Democratic moderate, said it’s one of the only ways to get a bill done by year’s end.
“If they have behind-the-scenes negotiations, go into the conference committee to keep up appearances, ... but it only lasted a day or two, and then it came back to both houses, you might be able to do that,” Bayh said, adding that a “full-blown conference” would be almost impossible to finish by Christmas.
This is worrisome on several levels. First, that Conrad and Bayh like the idea means it's dangerous for progressives. Also, the article keeps pointing to the stimulus bill. These same leaders used a similar process to jam through a weaker bill, closer to the Senate version. And, that didn't work so well. The stimulus package wasn't enough.
If there is a mini-conference, it means the much weaker Senate bill, which we'll see evolve over the next few weeks, will be not only the starting point, but the close to the final product, too.
Read More......