In a column today, Steve Pearlstein notes that the collapse of Lehman Brothers, which happened almost a year ago, while widely criticized might have unwittingly saved the economy:
Far from being a mistake, letting Lehman fail may have turned out to have been the best thing Paulson and Bernanke could have done. Although they certainly didn't plan it this way, the events of that weekend not only accelerated a financial crisis that was inevitable, but accelerated a global policy response that would eventually prevent the total collapse of financial markets and save the world from a second Great Depression.
That collapse also helped elect Barack Obama president.
It's easy to forget, but right around this time last year, Obama wasn't doing so well in the polls. The Democratic convention didn't result in a huge bounce. The campaign had a really haphazard and lackluster summer. Look back at the polls from a year ago, courtesy of
Pollster.com. Scroll down to the polls in early September, when most had the McCain/Palin team in the lead -- and with momentum. Then, over the weekend of September 13-14, came the Lehman collapse and
McCain's infamous utterance that "the fundamentals of our economy are strong." Around that same time, people started taking a closer look at Palin, aided by the work of the progressive blogs (who had been told by the D.C. brain trust to ignore her as V.P. candidates really didn't matter.)
Looking back a year ago provides some perspective. A year ago at this time, an Obama victory was far from a sure thing and the campaign didn't seem to be helping itself. In retrospect, we're all supposed to believe that the Obama campaign was the smartest, savviest group of political pros ever assembled. And, there was a lot of talent. But, their victory was aided enormously by the economic collapse and McCain's inability to deal with it. Palin helped, too.
My point is that we shouldn't be surprised that Team Obama has screwed up the health insurance reform debate -- and it is screwed up. They've got a track record for this kind of dissembling. Yet, that crowd seems to think they're invincible, always right and really don't listen to anyone. That's not working. Look at where the President is in the polls. There's a problem and the problem starts at 1600 Pennsylvania Ave, NW.
During the campaign, Obama appealed to his liberal base for help. He needed us. He actually needs us now more than ever, but no one at the White House seems to get that. Instead of asking for our help to pass his agenda, Obama is telling us to cave on his key principles and making us the enemy. All we're asking is that Obama enact the agenda of change and hope that he promised. Instead, the White House has chosen a different path, which has seriously damaged the Obama brand. The White House is seriously underestimating the anger and frustration on the left -- or maybe, under the guidance of Rahm Emanuel, they truly don't care. But, they will.
A year ago, it took the collapse of Lehman Bros. to shake things up on the campaign. Something has to shake up this White House now.
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