I remain confused as to what the Obama administration actually thinks about the current need and efficacy of stimulus spending. Last year, they were, frankly, more interested in getting any bill passed than in getting the right bill passed (that's why the White House never pushed for more than $800bn or so, and it's why they gave away 35% of the bill to near-useless tax cuts). Then, earlier this year, after relentless "the deficit is going to kill us all!" drubbing from the Republicans, the President reversed course and started embracing "deficit reduction" just at the time that economists were saying we needed a second stimulus to make up for the fact that the first one was half the size (or less) of what it needed to be.
So, what is the President now doing lecturing Europe about how they shouldn't drop their own stimulus measures?
Now, I'm sure the White House will argue that they never abandoned the
current stimulus measures, they simply gave up on any future stimulus legislation. Fair enough. But, as is often the case, the President's nuance is lost on the public, and often has the opposite effect of what the White House says was intended.
From the NYT:
President Obama signaled on Friday that countries in Europe should not withdraw their extraordinary spending programs too quickly.
In a public letter to other leaders of the Group of 20 nations in advance of a summit meeting in Toronto next week, Mr. Obama wrote, “Our highest priority in Toronto must be to safeguard and strengthen the recovery.”
There's more:
The United States is trying to pare its own substantial deficit. Mr. Obama reiterated a pledge to cut the deficit, now about 10 percent of gross domestic product, in half by the 2013 fiscal year, and to 3 percent of G.D.P. by the 2015 fiscal year, a level he said would “stabilize the debt-to-G.D.P. ratio at an acceptable level” by then.
But American officials are concerned that fiscal retrenchment by too many countries at once could imperil the global recovery.
Mr. Obama warned of the risks of a double-dip recession, which most economists consider unlikely but not impossible.
“In fact, should confidence in the strength of our recoveries diminish, we should be prepared to respond again as quickly and as forcefully as needed to avoid a slowdown in economic activity,” he wrote.
Do as we say not as we do?
President Obama is arguing that, should the economy take a turn for the worse, we should all be prepared to pass more stimulus? Good luck with that. The President already killed nearly any chance at passing a second bill by signing on to the deficit-reduction brigade earlier this year, rather than taking the Republicans on, blaming Bush for the majority of the deficit, and explaining to the public that the Democrats just saved their asses from another Great Depression by passing the first stimulus bill - and that if more was needed, he sure as hell was going to move full steam ahead with more.
The President is still trying to have his cake and eat it too - be for deficit reduction and stimulus at the same time. It doesn't work - and in fact, they cancel each other out. Rather than playing semantic gymnastics, the President ought to pick a side and defend it. His desire to be all things to all people is screwing things up yet again.
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