Yeah, that'll be the day. The first negative comment about Obama from Hillary and her people, and we'll be sending our readers to demand that the congressional leadership keep their word and put an end to Hillary's petulant fairy tale. From the NYT:
Top Democratic officials said privately that Congressional leaders were content to have the race play out as long as it did not take on a negative tone. Attacks on Mr. Obama by the Clinton campaign or its surrogates could lead to a leadership push for superdelegates to show their hand and bring the race to a close, said aides, who did not want be identified discussing internal strategy.
I haven't had much to add to John and Joe's terrific primary coverage in the past week or so, but watching uncommitted Superdelegates on TV today got me riled up. This one's for them:
What exactly do you people need to know to make up your minds at this point?
Seriously. Isn't enough enough? Pick a candidate and go with it. For a while I totally got the whole "hold out and see what happens" thing. I did. But now - especially after last night - are you really still torn?
It's just so darn annoying. And marginally insulting to our intelligence. Do you really believe I believe you're holding out because you want to hear more from Clinton and Obama on the economy? Go to their websites. I'm sure it's all there.
The following is David Parker, described as "an undeclared superdelegate from North Carolina, was a John Edwards supporter, now, as we said, undecided, hasn't made up his mind" speaking today on "American Morning":
PARKER: Looking at the rest of these primaries. Obviously, we're split 50/50. I mean, it's going to be important to see what happens at the convention. I'm looking to see who's the most persuasive on the economy. The numbers in drilling down through the CNN exit polls, the numbers are still not convincing as far as one candidate pitching their issues on the economy better than the other. I think that's going to make a difference in the fall.
Kudos to John Roberts for trying to get a real answer out of the guy, but Parker wouldn't budge.
Maybe if we revoke the undecided Superdelegates' TV privileges - as in stop giving them airtime - they'll finally settle down and commit.
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CBS News tonight was brutal to Hillary. It compiled a bunch of the press coverage - again, brutal. Worst of all, they quote one of Hillary's own top strategists who says he told her (and then told the media he told her - nice) "you can't win this nomination." I think this last point is the most significant. Hillary's own senior staff is leaking information to the media to sabotage her campaign. That's how bad things have gotten, that's how bad she has gotten. It's yet another sign that she needs an intervention, fast.
"If we had the rules that the Republicans have, I'd already be the nominee." - Hillary Clinton, May 7, 2008
Watch this video of Hillary today. It's petulant, arrogant, whiny, and just overall makes her look like a spoiled brat. She is looking and acting and sounding like one of her pushy surrogates, not like a presidential candidate. Whining about how you should have won it already is something your staff says - if at all - not you. Seriously, look at her face, listen to the tone of her voice, and look at her body language. I think this is going to turn a lot of people off.
Oh, and one more thing. It's been clear from the beginning that someone forget to tell Hillary, "we're not Republicans."
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I'm amazed at how many Democrats I talk to who now "hate" Hillary Clinton. That's the word they use, hate. I always ask them, did you alway dislike the Clintons, and they inevitably tell me, no, they liked Bill, voted for him twice, and liked her too. Now they hate her. This comment from a reader is illustrative:
Earlier this morning I suggested perhaps a change from negative Clinton posts BUT later when I heard the reports that she is NOW doing the weirdest math and ONCE again moving the goal posts, I went ballistic. No One in this party seems to have the balls to step in and squelch this insane megalomaniac woman. Over the span of a few months I went from trying to be neutral to down right hate of this woman.
Enough of her "I am the winner". NO she is not and self-proclamation doesn't make it so. You want to fight her all year, I am with you.
Hillary already had enough baggage walking into this race, her negatives have always been sky high, but now she's making Democrats hate her. That isn't good. And it isn't the definition of electable.
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Exellent. You guys have gotten us to within 98 cents of our goal of raising $10,000 for Scott Kleeb. I suspect we're gonna reach our goal. :-) I just wanted to say thanks. This was great. You did it in 48 hours. Seriously well done. Here's your last chance to give (click on the blue box to give to Scott). I won't ask again. Well, I will, but not for Scott right now, we're going to move on to other candidates. Like Barack Obama. We need to seriously send a message to Hillary that she's not welcome any more. You can click here to give to Obama. We've already raised over $4,000 for Obama since last night. I'd like to shoot for $10k by the end of the week. Thanks again, JOHN
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According to The Hill, pressure is growing on Senator Hillary Clinton to explain her plans. It's coming from a leading Senate supporter:
Sen. Dianne Feinstein (D-Calif.), one of Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton’s (D-N.Y.) most prominent Senate supporters, said Wednesday that she will ask the former first lady to detail her plans for the rest of the Democratic primary.
“I, as you know, have great fondness and great respect for Sen. Clinton and I’m very loyal to her,” Feinstein said. “Having said that, I’d like to talk with her and [get] her view on the rest of the race and what the strategy is.”
Clinton, who eked out a win in Indiana Tuesday night but lost big to front-runner Sen. Barack Obama (Ill.) in North Carolina, has not responded to Feinstein’s phone call, the California senator said.
“I think the race is reaching the point now where there are negative dividends from it, in terms of strife within the party,” Feinstein said. “I think we need to prevent that as much as we can.”
One of Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton’s (D-N.Y.) congressional backers on Wednesday added to the mounting pressure on the former first lady to consider dropping her bid to become president.
Rep. Dale Kildee (D-Mich.) told The Hill that Clinton should reassess her prospects after losing to Sen. Barack Obama (D-Ill.) by 14 points in North Carolina and edging her rival in Indiana in Tuesday’s primaries.
“I urge her to take the day off and think very seriously about doing what’s best for the country and best for the party,” said Kildee.
“I got straight A’s in math,” added Kildee, implying that Obama’s delegate lead would be impossible to overcome in the few primaries left on the Democratic calendar.
Again, these are Clinton supporters raising concerns. This is really bad news for the Clinton campaign. These members of Congress see the handwriting on the wall. They're just trying to make sure Clinton sees it.
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Let's face it, had this come from anyone else, we'd strike it up to a coincidence. But when Hillary Clinton, a top staffer and a top supporter start dissing the black vote within 24 hours of each other, I smell talking points.
First, last night, we had Clinton friend and supporter Paul Begala knocking Obama's supporters because they're mostly, according to Begala, "eggheads and African-Americans." Democratic SuperDelegate Donna Brazile, who is black, took umbrage at Begala's words. You can watch the video here.
I know Begala, and I like him. And I don't think he was trying to slam blacks. But after hearing what Hillary said today, I'm starting to wonder what's up:
At a Q&A; in Shepherdstown, Clinton continues to make the case that her base -- working class whites, women, and Hispanics are the key swing voters.
"The base I've put together in this primary is a stronger place to start from," she says.
Hillary is saying that her base is better than Obama's base. And we all know who Obama's base is: Blacks (and elitist latte sipping pansies from San Francisco who don't have testicular fortitude, but Hillary doesn't mean gays, she means other effeminate pansies from San Francisco).
But John, you say, that's only twice, it's still easily a coincidence. Oh yeah? Then why did senior Clinton adviser brag about the "white votes" she got yesterday?
And Garin brags, specifically and explicitly, about her strength with the white vote, comparing North Carolina's white voters in North Carolina to those in Virginia. (The conversations have always been about these voters, but they're usually referred to as "blue collar" or by some less specifically racial euphemism.)
"We lost the white electorate in Virginia, started even in North Carolina among the white electorate just two weeks ago, and ended [with] a very significant win of 24 points among those voters," he said, acknowledging that among black voters, Clinton "did not do as well as we would want or need."
As Ben notes, the campaigns don't usually refer to "white" voters - so when they do, it's interestingly intentional.
So, there you have it. Black voters are bad (like "eggheads" are bad). White voters are good (like, uh, white skin?). We learned months ago that when the Clintons start invoking race, it's intentional.
PS If you've had it with Hillary's race-baiting, her scandals, and her bizarre need to continue destroying Obama even though she already lost, then give to Obama's campaign. Click the blue box at left and you can give a secure donation online. I want to try to raise $10k for Obama over the next few days. Hillary needs to be stopped. If the DNC won't do it, then our money and our words will. More to come. (We're also at over $7000 in our Scott Kleeb-athon, so give to him too if you can.)
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Joe and I have spoken with Democratic House and Senate candidates, and they agree that Hillary is hurting their campaigns.
One congressional candidate told us that if Hillary is the nominee, it's a guaranteed 5 point hit they take right from the start (meaning, they start the race 5-points down in the polls). Why? Because too many people hate Hillary. That's why her negatives are higher than her positives. She will bring out voters who might not have voted otherwise. And the voters she will bring out will be rabid conservatives who will vote against Democrats across the board.
Another congressional candidate told us that it's even worse than that. Not only will the candidate have to publicly run AGAINST Hillary, should she get the nomination, but she's already damaging their campaign. First off, fundraising. The money isn't coming in, first because everyone is focused on the Hillary-Obama race, and not paying attention to congressional races. Another problem, people are pissed off, on all sides. They're not in the mood to give. And finally, some major donors don't want to give to any second-tier campaigns (meaning, campaigns that have less of a chance, but still have a chance, of winning) until they see whether Hillary or Obama get the nomination. Why? Because if Hillary gets the nomination, our candidates in red states, or states that are red/blue, will get slaughtered, and thus there's no reason to fund them. (We're seeing it on our own site. People are not giving to congressional races like they did in 2006.) And don't forget, even the DNC admitted last week that the ongoing Hillary-Obama saga has hurt their efforts to raise money to take on John McCain.
But there's another problem Hillary is causing. These campaigns can't get the field staff they need. Potential field staff are telling the campaigns that they have no idea what they're doing in the coming months because the Obama-Hillary battle isn't settled. This is a very real problem - one candidate said it's killing them.
One final point, we were told: the black vote. In states or cities with a large black community, Obama will bring them out in droves. Hillary, on the other hand, is suffering from a blacklash, so to speak. Her poll numbers among blacks have plummeted after her campaign's repeated race-baiting. But not only will a Hillary candidacy potentially turn blacks away from voting, it won't inspire them TO vote. One candidate told us that they have a major city with a sizable black vote. The problem? The black community in that area has a notoriously bad voter turnout. If Obama is the nominee, that candidate will get a 3 percentage point bump in the polls votes because of the increased black turnout - but if Hillary is the nominee, they lose that 3%, added on to the 5% hit they take because of her name inspiring every far-right loon to vote.
Hillary's bizarre and reckless desire to continue in the race even after she's lost isn't just hurting our nominee, Barack Obama, she's now hurting our congressional candidates. Our superdelegates in Congress, in the states, and at the DNC, need to do something now to end this farce. Where is Wesley Clark? Where is Al Gore? Where is Jimmy Carter? And where is John Edwards?
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"Much of the rational for how she would win the nomination kind of went up in smoke last night.... What happened last night is the world changed out from under her and she had a big problem." - Dan Balz, Washington Post, on CNN, May 7, 2008
There is a persistent myth that Senator McCain is a credible voice on international affairs. As I've written before, the Senator does seem to have a grasp of *military* affairs, but that doesn't extend to any kind of foreign policy expertise, and his latest claims of multilateralism fall flat when compared to his actual policies and previous statements.
My colleagues Ilan Goldenberg and Max Bergmann of the National Security Network do the important work of going through McCain's speeches and statements and debunking the idea that he will offer anything different from the current (and disastrous) Bush administration approach to global affairs. Ilan and Max put it perfectly:
Only a press corps so enamored with McCain could imagine that one of the staunchest supporters of the Iraq War would be capable of breaking with the current administration's unilateral adventurism. Despite his conciliatory rhetoric, McCain's hawkish views, and his long history of castigating allies who do not agree with him, leave little reason to believe that when it comes to restoring America's image, credibility, and alliances, he would be much different than George W. Bush. A brief look at these four crucial policy areas explains why.
This is a meme that needs to be corrected in its infancy, and the piece does a great job of patiently going through the reality of McCain's views. The whole thing is well worth a read.
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It's time for you to publicly endorse Barack Obama. (Note to our readers: Please write General Clark via his Web site and urge him to put an end to this madness.)
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George Stephanopoulos said this morning that "this nomination fight is over."
Then what the hell is Hillary doing staying in the race? Fighting for Florida and Michigan, even though we learned last night that even if you just give Hillary her "wins" in FL and MI she still loses the nationwide delegate count and vote count to Obama? There are simply no more excuses for why Hillary is staying in the race. She can't catch up. Even after getting thumped with Rev Wright for two weeks, Obama still "routed" her in North Carolina (that's ABC's word), and she only barely won Indiana, a state she was going to win handily. It's now time for the SuperDelegates, and for Hillary's surrogates and staff, to hold an intervention. She is in the race to hurt Obama, to make sure he doesn't win in the fall against McCain, so that she can say "I told you so" and then run again in 2012. It's over. Hillary lost. It's time for the SuperDs and her staff to stage a mutiny.
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Today's Washington Post gets the scoop on what some Clinton insiders are thinking.
First, a top Clinton aide admits now what we've been saying. They lost a long time ago:
"Absent some sort of miracle on May 31st, it's going to be tough for us," said a senior Clinton official who spoke on the condition of anonymity in order to be frank. "We lost this thing in February. We're doing everything we can now... but it's just an uphill battle."
So, they knew they lost in February, but decided to stay in to destroy Obama? Factor in all the money troubles and you have to ask why the Clinton team kept up its negative assault on Obama.
Then this shows just how desperate Hillary had become even before the votes were counted yesterday:
"There are going to be the rest of these contests, which are very significant, and then in June, if we haven't done it already, we're going to have to resolve Florida and Michigan," she told reporters during a daytime event at the Indianapolis Motor Speedway. "They were legitimate elections."
Maybe they were legitimate elections in the Soviet Union or Iran, but not in the United States. This is when Hillary sounds like she's lost touch with reality. We learned last night that even if Michigan and Florida are now included - and included as is, meaning you give Hillary her phony victories - it won't change a thing, Obama still wins. NBC political director Chuck Todd, who is one of the most respected political analysts in town, said this last night (you can watch his video here, it's compelling to say the least):
"With leads like this now, if you throw in Michigan and Florida, as is, then Obama would still have about 150,000 votes and he would still have 100 delegates, pledged delegate, lead." - Chuck Todd, 1:13 AM
Hillary's only remaining argument for staying in the race is Florida and Michigan. But even if you give her those two states, she loses. She has no reason for staying in the race other than her desire to hurt the Democratic nominee, Barack Obama.
Then, there's this:
A Clinton adviser said the situation was increasingly becoming one in which "she cannot be nominated and he can't get elected."
Okay, consider the source. The Clinton advisers have been telling us she was going to be the nominee. They were telling us for a year that was inevitable. They butchered her campaign. So, be wary, very wary, of political predictions from any "Clinton adviser." They took a candidate who couldn't lose and turned her into a loser.
Let's wrap this up, listening to the constant spin and carping from Team Clinton is getting really boring -- and it's counterproductive. We need to fight John McCain.
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UPDATE 9:32 A.M.: On MSNBC, Clinton spokesperson Howard Wolfson confirmed this loan and added, "I certainly don't rule out her giving more." No wonder Hillary said to Bill O'Reilly, "Rich people. God bless us." AP just reported, via MSNBC, that Hillary Clinton loaned her campaign $6.4 million last month.
Last night, we wrote about the possibility of another loan based on a report from Ben Smith. She already loaned her campaign $5 million.
Keep in mind that, despite the previous loan, Clinton was in debt at the end of February and at the end of March. And, you know, we kept hearing how much money the Clinton campaign was raking in big bucks through April.
Well, that was a fun night. Haven't had one of those for awhile. But, it's over. The Clinton campaign has to plan its exit strategy -- and that means an end to the negative campaigning.
Can we finally move on to the campaign against McCain? I hope so, but, again, that depends on Team Clinton.
UPDATE: We got a denial from General Clark's office today. They contacted us to tell us he did not reach out to Clinton:
This is not true. He did not contact Hillary or the Clinton campaign expressing a desire for her to drop out.
As I wrote in the post last night, we like General Clark here at AMERICAblog. So, we are more than happy to post this denial for him and his staff.
______________________________________________
We've just been told that General Wesley Clark, a strong Clinton supporter and fellow Arkansan, called Hillary tonight to tell her it's over.
In addition to our source, the king of the pundits, Mark Halperin, drops a tantalizing hint that something might be up with Clark:
"The biggest question: Will any of her supporters (including Wes Clark) say publicly or privately she should quit?"
We like General Clark here at AMERICAblog, and have a bit of a history with him. So we hope what we're hearing is true. But the general better watch it - this could be his most dangerous mission to date. When you take on the Clintons, the sniper fire is real.
And now it's time for the General to do one more mission. He need to publicly endorse Barack Obama. Hillary is intent on staying in the race, even though we now know that even if we just give her her "wins" in Michigan and Florida, she still loses to Obama in both delegates and overall votes. General Clark must know this. He must know that Hillary is now hurting our nominee, hurting our party, hurting our chances to defeat McCain in the fall. General Clark, where are you?
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NBC declares Hillary the winner, barely, in Indiana. Hillary may get one delegate more than Obama in Indiana. Chuck Todd says Obama will get 13 more delegates than Hillary tonight, and that wipes out the 12 delegates more than him that she got in Pennsylvania. Obama now has a pledged delegate lead of over 160, he's got a popular vote lead of over 700,000, per Todd
There is simply no path to victory for Hillary. Now she's just screwing around and hurting the party. Look at what Chuck Todd just said, again - even with Michigan and Florida, she has lost:
"With leads like this now, if you throw in Michigan and Florida, as is, then Obama would still have about 150,000 votes and he would still have 100 delegates, pledged delegate, lead." - Chuck Todd, 1:13 AM
But knowing the Clintons, the fact that there's no way for them to win won't step them from sabotaging Obama's race against McCain. If Hillary can continue to damage Obama, maybe she can make Obama lose in the fall, and then she can run again in 2012. Don't think that this isn't what her senior advisers, including her husband, are thinking. These people aren't Democrats, they're Clintons. They aren't interested in the party, they're interested in themselves, as they've clearly proven repeatedly over the past three months. Please give to Obama's campaign using the box on the left - just click it and it will bring you to a page where you can donate. The only way to stop this woman is through a massive response, and that includes beefing up Obama's coffers.
1:09 AM 99% reporting Hillary 637,389 (up 22,019) Obama 615,370
Hillary still ahead in Indiana by only 1.4%, she only has 50.7% of the vote to his 49.3%. But like every good horror movie, the bad guy keeps coming back. She isn't out until she's out. I mean, don't get me wrong, she lost, it's over, she's not going to be our nominee. But she can still mess things up by refusing to leave.
Video of Russert saying Hillary has lost the nomination:
12:35 AM 95% Hillary 606,497 (ahead 16,609) Obama 589,888
12:33 AM Hillary 590,867 (ahead 19,747) Obama 571,120
Russert's quote in response to the question "Did it just end tonight?" from Olbermann:
We now know who the democratic nominee is going to be and no one is going to dispute it.
This is it. The media finally turned on her. It's over. It's finally freaking over. I say this because the race was over 2 months ago. But the media kept it alive by pretending as though Hillary had a chance, when they knew she didn't. But, their pretending permitted her to keep going with a straight face. Now that the media is turning on her, she's going to have an impossible time continuing. If she continues to run the only question she will be asked from now on is "you've lost, why are you still in this race?" There is nothing she can do now. Yes, she can stay in the race, says she's not quitting until the convention in August. But now that the media has turned on her, good luck with that.
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