Libyan Transitional Troops enter Sabha

Posted on 09/20/2011 by Juan

Reuters reports that Libyan troops of the new government have taken the airport of the southern desert city of Sabha, a key site on the route down to Niger. Sabha is one of four small cities of about 120,000 each that are still held by pro-Qaddafi forces.

AP reports that the Transitional National Council fighters met little resistance as they entered Sabha.

Also in the south, TNC forces captured General Belgacem Al-Abaaj, Qadhafi’s intelligence chief in the Al Khofra region.

Aljazeera English reports on the reign of terror by Qaddafi forces in the city of Bani Walid. Escaped dissidents say 90% of the city actually hates Qaddafi, but are repressed by the well-armed and -organized pro-Qaddafi fighters.

The USG Open Source Center sums up Libya radio broadcasts on Monday:

‘ FYI — Libya: Anti-Al-Qadhafi Radios Say Forces Seize Southern Surt, Take Bani Walid Soon
Libya — OSC Summary
Monday, September 19, 2011 …
Document Type: OSC Summary…

The anti-AlQadhafi radios, Voice of Free Libya (VOFL) from Misratah, VOFL from Benghazi, and Libya FM on 19 September discussed the anti-Al-Qadhafi troops’ endeavours to seize the cities of Surt and Bani Walid and the postponement of formation of a new interim government.

Monitored from 1000 to 1700 GMT, the radio stations mainly carried discussion programs and religious and patriotic songs.

Libya FM quoted Hisham Abu-Hajar as saying that Al-Saraya al-Hamra (Red Brigade), which includes 600 fighters, was tasked to pursue and arrest ousted leader Mu’ammar al-Qadhafi. He said that he had devoted all his wealth to finding Al-Qadhafi alive or dead. He said that Al-Qadhafi was near Sabha, the stronghold of tribes that were very loyal to the former regime.

Libya FM said that OPEC had recognized the Transitional National Council (TNC) as the representative of Libya in the organization.

Battles in Surt, Bani Walid

VOFL in Misratah said that the anti-Al-Qadhafi forces in Misratah controlled the southern area of Surt. It quoted a field commander as saying that the forces seized an airbase and some military vehicles in the city. Misratah hospital said 10 fighters were killed and 54 wounded during the troops’ advance to Surt, the radio reported.

The radio station quoted a field commander as saying that “the biggest problem is that there are children and civilians in the city and we do not want to use Grad missiles or heavy artillery”.

The radio station said that the anti-Al-Qadhafi forces intercepted a phone call by a commander of the Al-Qadhafi troops that indicated that Al-Qadhafi’s son Al-Mu’tassim was in the southern suburbs of Surt. The troops loyal to the TNC also advanced to Surt from the eastern front and were 8 kms from the city, VOFL reported.

VOFL quoted the TNC forces’ official in charge of negotiations in Bani Walid as saying that there were fierce battles there. He expected that the anti-Al-Qadhafi troops would control the city within the next two days. VOFL quoted him as saying that there were talks with Al-Qadhafi forces in Bani Walid to allow more families to leave the city.

Libya FM said that anti-Al-Qadhafi troops in Sabha had seized several districts in the town.

VOFL in Benghazi said that fierce battles had broken out between pro-Al-Qadhafi forces and forces loyal to the TNC in Waddan town.

Interim government

VOFL in Misratah quoted Mahmud al-Nakku, the TNC diplomatic representative in London, as attributing the decision of postponing the announcement of a new interim government to disagreements on ministerial portfolios.

VOFL quoted the general official of the Muslim Brotherhood (MB) in Libya, Sulayman Abd-al-Qadir, as denying holding any official talks with the movement on the formation of the interim government. He said: “We want the voice of all the political forces to be heard without exclusion”. He said that MB members’ presence in the line-up of the government or the TNC was part of full citizenship rights and this applied to all political groups.

A speaker called Salim in a discussion programme on Libya FM called for introducing a multi-party system based on citizenship and equality away from any quota system in the allocation of official posts.

Libya FM quoted the British newspaper Financial Times as saying that the leaders of Misratah were behind the postponement of the announcement of the new interim government because of “their insistence on having a distinguished position in the new government line-up”.

Presenters of Benghazi radio station’s daily discussion and phone-in program “Free Men on Air” called for rejecting tribalism. They urged unity and warned of conflict between tribes.

Libya FM quoted the commander of the Tripoli Military Council, Abd-al-Hakim Bilhaj, as saying that “we aspire to establish a democratic civil state”. He said that stability was being restored gradually in Tripoli.

A VOFL programme discussed “conceit and its danger to the revolution, Muslims’ beliefs and its role in fomenting conflicts”. Studio guest cleric Abu-Bakr al-Mabruki warns against any town taking great pride in their achievements in the battles against the Al-Qadhafi forces.’

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Obama’s Tax Critics: Political Doggerel of the Day

Posted on 09/20/2011 by Juan

The Tea Party tore into Obama
for staging a taxation drama.
They would rather he cut
doctor visits somewhat
and save millionaires from such trauma.

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Posted in US Politics | 3 Comments

Top Arab Spring Stories Today

Posted on 09/19/2011 by Juan

Yemeni security forces killed 24 protesters on Sunday as the conflict between partisans of wounded president Ali Abdullah Saleh and his detractors escalated. Anti-Saleh protesters in Sanaa are taking their demonstrations to new neighborhoods, and are meeting sniper fire from security forces. On Saturday, thousands of protesters headed toward the university campus in the capital.

Leaks suggest that Egypt’s Supreme Council of the Armed Forces (SCAF) will set elections for the lower house of the Egyptian parliament to begin on November 21. There will be three rounds, ending in January 2011. Then elections for the upper house will be held. Democracy activists had been worried that the SCAF was getting too attached to power and worried about the vagueness of proposed election dates.

Demonstrations continued this weekend in Syria, despite security forces raids on neighborhoods of Deraa and Hama. Four persons injured by security forces died on Sunday. The opposition selected a council on Saturday, though it is not the only claimant to being an alternative voice to that of the regime. Syrian protesters continued to reject the idea of foreign military intervention in their country.

In Libya, the emerging new order continued to face challenges. The Transitional National Council tried and failed to appoint a new cabinet on Saturday because consensus could not be achieved. Meanwhile, fighting in the cities of Sirte and Bani Walid seesawed.

Thousands of protesters came out in Bahrain on Saturday and there was substantial unrest in Shiite villages in the rural areas of the main island, as demonstrators rebuked the Sunni monarchy for the death in suspicious circumstances of a protester last week.

Five Tunisians trying to commit suicide were rescued by crowds, after the former tried and failed to get jobs as teachers in the rural southwest. Tunisia’s revolution, which inspired the rest of the Arab Spring, began with the suicide of Mohammad BuAzizi, who was reduced to selling vegetables from a carte despite being educated. The turmoil in Tunisia has hurt the country’s economy, ironically if very many of last winter’s protesters were complaining about lack of jobs. Tourism is way off, and even factory production is down.

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Posted in Egypt, Libya, Syria, Tunisia, Yemen | 7 Comments

Cole on the 9/11 Aftermath at AskM

Posted on 09/18/2011 by Juan

I cover questions about Iraq, Afghanistan, al-Qaeda and the Arab Spring in this recent interview at AskM (a program of the University of Michigan News and Information Service)

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Posted in Afghanistan, al-Qaeda, Democracy, Egypt, Iran, Iraq, Iraq War, Libya | 5 Comments

Cole on the Middle East at O Globo’s “Milenio”

Posted on 09/17/2011 by Juan

My interview on Middle Eastern affairs with the O Globo television network’s “Milenio” program in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, is now on line here. (After the short intro it is in English with Portuguese subtitles). Many thanks to Simone Delgado of O Globo‘s New York office for setting it up, and to Elizabeth Carvalho, the interviewer and executive editor of “Milenio.”

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Posted in Egypt, Iran, Iraq, Lebanon, Libya, Saudi Arabia | 3 Comments

Palestinians seek UN Moxie

Posted on 09/16/2011 by Juan

Palestine Authority President Mahmoud Abbas gave a major speech Friday making it clear to the Palestinians that the PA will seek membership in the United Nations at this year’s General Assembly meeting.

The Palestinians (or more precisely the Fateh faction that controls the ever-shrinking Palestinian parts of the West Bank) are not going to the UN, as is often charged, to make an end run around negotiations with Israel. Abbas knows very well, and acknowledged in his speech, that only through negotiations with Israel can there ultimately be a change in the status of the Palestinians as largely stateless persons, a significant proportion of them descended from refugees created by Israel ethnic cleansing campaigns in 1947-48.

The reason for seeking recognition as a member nation of the UN is simply to gain moxie in those negotiations.

The big problem of the Palestinians is that, being stateless, they lack moxie. Even Americans can go tomorrow to the West Bank and steal Palestinian land and resources, aided by an enormous US aid package for Israel and by unthinking, knee-jerk approval by the US government of virtually anything Israel’s rightwing government does, no matter how illegal in international law.

If Israeli squatters move in, claim Palestinian fields, and dig deep wells that cause the Palestinian’s wells to dry up, what recourse do Palestinians have? They mostly can’t sue in Israeli courts because those courts are premised on Zionist principles of appropriating Palestinian land and denying Palestinians statehood.

Since Israel has the strongest military in the region and several hundred nuclear warheads, and since it has the absolute backing for almost anything it wants to do to the Palestinians of among the most powerful countries in the world (the US, Germany, the Netherlands, most often Britain and France, etc.), the Palestinians are helpless.

Israel can conduct the Oslo accords with the Palestinians, and can promise to withdraw almost completely from the West Bank by 1999, but then can double the number of Israeli squatters on Palestinian land instead. And PM Binyamin Netanyahu can actually boast on camera about having destroyed the Oslo peace process. All this with impunity. Nothing the Palestinians can do about it.

Former Congressman Alan Grayson said during the health care debate that the Republican plan was “Don’t get sick; and if you get sick, die quickly.”

The Likud Party’s (and worse, the Yisrael Beitenu Party’s) plan for the Palestinians is, “If you have your land or resources taken by Israeli squatters, drop dead or become a refugee once more.” That is what the slogan that Palestine is Jordan really means — it is a call for massive ethnic cleansing of 4 million people and relocating them to the barren Eastern desert of the Hashemite Kingdom. It is a war crime in the hopeful stages.

So the Palestinians have no moxie. They don’t have a state, don’t have anyone they can depend on to do justice to them or effectively to get them justice. They are, and have been since the Balfour Declaration, royally screwed.

But if 126 out of 190 countries in the UN vote to make Palestine within 1967 borders a member state, then at least the Palestinians have some international recognition of their claims on statehood and on specific territory. (They often say that they were kicked out of 78% of their land, and are now willing to settle for 22%, but the Israelis aren’t even willing to let them have the 22%).

Then when the Israelis annex ever more of the West Bank and flood the territory with Israeli squatters (who often receive cheap prefab housing from the Israeli government if only they will move there), then the Palestinians can have their new friends call the Israel ambassador on the mat.

Ultimately they might even gain the standing and respect to bring suit against Israel concerns that are benefitting economically from the theft of Palestinian land and resources.

That’s the hope.

It should be remembered that the Palestinian leadership was ambivalent about this step, and felt forced into it by the absolute intransigence of the Netanyahu government, which refuses to freeze Israeli settlements while negotiations are being held concerning the land the Israelis are squatting on. It would be like negotiating with someone about a piece of pie when they have a fork and are eating away at the pie, of which there is less and less left even as you negotiate for a piece of it. The Palestinians are afraid that if the negotiations go on like this, at the end of them they will only get some crumbs of a stale pie crust, because the other party in the negotiations has gobbled up the very thing over which there were negotiations.

Going to the UN General Assembly may or may not have any practical implications. But it is the least the elected leadership of the Palestinians could do. In all likelihood, the step comes as too little and too late, and the Israelis have probably already made a two-state solution impossible. If so, then the Palestinians face decades as stateless flotsam, open to being expropriated at any moment.

It is an unstable situation, for the Palestinians and for the world. If going to the UN contributes to a strengthening of the Palestinian hand and some sort of citizenship for Palestinians in something, then it will make the region and the world less unstable.

It is that move to more stability that President Obama has pledged to veto. So the American veto will be a vote for instability and violence in the region, which in turn will spill again over onto the European and the American publics.

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Posted in Israel/ Palestine | 25 Comments

Libyan TNC Fighters Said to have Entered Sirte

Posted on 09/15/2011 by Juan

Transitional National Council forces announced Thursday night that they had taken most of Sirte, the birthplace of Muammar Qaddafi where elements of his dreaded 32nd Brigade had held out. Some of these forces are said to be holed up still in a line of villas near the beach, but the center of the town and most of its surburbs are said to have fallen.

Sirte has been besieged for two weeks, and NATO has flown 250 sorties against Qaddafi forces in the environs, hitting tanks and weapons depots. The military council of Misrata, which is in charge of the operation, said that its fighters entered the city from 3 directions late Thursday.

In Bani Walid, another small Qaddafi-held town, residents began fleeing Thursday ahead of the end of the amnesty period offered fighters in the city by the TNC.

Sirte, Bani Walid and Sabha in the far south were the remaining holdouts after most of the country rebelled against Qaddafi and threw off his rule. Each is a town of about 120,000. If Sirte really has fallen, then the route between Benghazi and Tripoli along the Mediterranean is now clear.

NATO is impatient for the TNC to assert its authority throughout the country before the UN-authorized protection mission ends on September 27, since it would prefer not to have to go back to the UN Security Council for an extension.

On another front, the Egyptian foreign minister is in Tripoli for talks with the new Libyan government, according to MENA:

“Tripoli, Libya, 15 September: Egyptian Foreign Minister Muhammad Amr held talks here on Thursday (15 September) on cooperation between Libya and Egypt with Mahmud Jibril, the head of the Libyan National Transitional Council (NTC)’s executive bureau.

During the talks, Amr affirmed that the Egyptian people were very pleased with the success of the Libyan revolution which “completed a freedom bridge between Egypt and Tunisia.”

The foreign minister also stressed Egypt’s readiness to cooperate with Libya in such transitional phase in the fields of education, training cadres, mines removal and health.”

Those who keep denouncing the Libyan Revolution as somehow not indigenous (?) because it got Western help should remember that behind the scenes the revolutionary governments of Egypt and Tunisia were very much working against Qaddafi, who, if he had remained in power, would have attempted to undermine their experiments in democratic governance. That is, regional and Muslim forces also supported the Libyan revolution.

Meanwhile, military commander of Tripoli Abdul Hakim Belhadj gave an interview in al-Sharq al-Awsat that has been translated by the USG Open Source Center. He denied that faction-fighting is going on in Tripoli, said security is fairly good there, and played down alleged conflicts between Muslim fundamentalist and more secular forces. Excerpt below:


Libya: Tripoli Liberation Commander Denies ‘Disagreements’ Between Islamists, TNC
Telephone interview with Abd-al-Hakim Bilhaj, commander of the Tripoli liberation operation, by Khalid Mahmud, from Tripoli on 14 September: “Abd-al-Hakim Bilhaj, Commander of the Tripoli Liberation Operation: ‘The Libyan Islamic Combat Group No Longer Exists Following Decision To Permanently Dissolve It;’ Says in Interview with Al-Sharq al-Awsat: ‘We Have Serious Challenge To Secure Cities, Build Modern Civil Society.’”
Al-Sharq al-Awsat Online
Thursday, September 15, 2011 …
Document Type: OSC Translated Text…

Abd-al-Hakim Bilhaj, military commander of the Libyan revolutionaries and commander of the operation to liberate the capital, Tripoli, from the grip of fugitive leader Colonel Mu’ammar al-Qadhafi, said the security situation in the Libyan capital is now stable and secure and pointed out that the Supreme Security Council has taken the necessary measures to secure the government interests and diplomatic missions.

In an exclusive interview with Al-Sharq al-Awsat yesterday over the telephone from his headquarters in Tripoli, Bilhaj confirmed that no security violations were committed because of what he called the “people’s awareness to secure their capital.”

Bilhaj first came to the forefront of the political and media scene in Libya when he himself led the revolutionary invasion against Al-Qadhafi’s stronghold in the Bab-al-Aziziyah barracks in Tripoli on 21 August. Because of his position as commander and his involvement in a series of endless daily meetings, it is difficult to reach Bilhaj or to convince him to hold a press interview. However, he gave Al-Sharq al-Awsat an exclusive interview over the telephone during which he dotted the i’s and crossed the t’s.

Bilhaj is regarded as one of the most prominent important leaders in the Islamic Combat Group Organization which had in the past attempted to overthrow the regime and assassinate Al-Qadhafi a number of times before he was arrested by the American intelligence which then handed him over to Al-Qadhafi’s regime within the framework of security and intelligence relations between Washington and Tripoli, and where he was tortured and imprisoned. Bilhaj stressed that the Libyan Islamic Combat Group no longer exists on the ground following the decision to disband it and the announcement of the formation of the Islamic Movement for Change. He denied that the movement is placing any conditions or pressure on Dr Mahmud Jibril who is currently forming the first transitional government to lead Libya in the phase that follows the announcement of the fall of the Al-Qadhafi regime.

He believed that the announcement of certain political agendas will not take place right now and this will wait until the liberation of the remaining Libyan cities from the grip of Al-Qadhafi. Bihaj distanced himself from the statements made by Shaykh Ali al-Salabi, the prominent Muslim Brotherhood leader who publicly asked Jibril to submit his resignation.

Bilhaj said that Jibril had welcomed these criticisms and stressed that the Libyans will be the ones concerned in seeing a different performance for the officials in the Transitional National Council and will be evaluating it.
Following is the text of the interview:

(Mahmud) What is the position now in Tripoli?

(Bilhaj) Of course the position in terms of security is stable and secure, thanks be to God. The capital is witnessing events, celebrations, and various activities which are represented in meetings at the highest levels. You all saw the popular meeting that was attended by adviser Mustafa Abd-al-Jalil in Martyrs Square. This is the greatest proof that the city streets are secure. We are also in the process of preparing and forming a supreme committee concerned with affairs to secure the capital. We also have an operations room and it is preparing the capabilities and mobilizing forces from the revolutionary brigades in order to distribute them to places that need security such as the political and economic institutions along with the diplomatic missions. All of this is being coordinated between all brigades, and no doubt the revolutionaries within, in addition to coordination between the Tripoli revolutionaries and all the brigades that participated in the liberation and who came from neighboring cities to the capital, Tripoli. We can say (the position) is going from good to better. You have seen, noticed, and followed that no security violations have been committed and this is thanks to God and because people are aware of the need to secure their capital.

(Mahmud) It seems that there is a kind of early confrontation between the Islamists and the Transitional Council, let us say. Can you tell us about what is really going on?

(Bilhaj) First, I do not call it a confrontation. It is probably more appropriate to call it an expression or consolidating the free democratic atmosphere that the Libyans have now started to breathe. We were denied this difference in opinion for over four decades. We welcome different opinions and points of view because it is what we want and is present in all civil modern and developed countries. We carried out this revolution so we have a civil society that has a law that governs it; a country that has the slogan of freedom, happiness, security, and stability flying over it. The talk about disagreement if you so want to call it that, does not exist. The difference in opinion that we see is something acceptable and normal. As for announcing programs and agendas, I think this is premature because we are in the process of working on liberating the rest of the Libyan cities. As you know there are many cities that continue to be under the tyranny of the oppressive Al-Qadhafi forces. There is also another challenge and that is to secure the cities; and a more serious challenge which is to build a modern civil state.

(Mahmud) Do you agree with Dr Jibril that the time for the political game has yet to arrive in Libya?

(Bilhaj) There is no doubt that we continue to engage in a liberation war and we are engaging in battles that require mobilizing efforts and energies in order to secure the liberated cities and in order to provide services and build institutions that protect the interests of all Libyans. Therefore, probably yes it is a bit early to talk about political and other projects.

(Mahmud) Is it true that the Islamic Combat Group is laying conditions and demanding a share in the new government as some political currents are doing?

(Bilhaj) First of all, as you know Islamic combat groups do not exist. The group was disbanded after we presented corrective studies. The Libyan Islamic Movement for Change was also announced under which come many of those who belonged to the previous group. The group now no longer exists on the ground. As for participation, we as Libyans are concerned about the matter because we belong to this country and political affairs occupy the minds of all Libyans but the timing is not right now.”

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Muslim Brotherhood Rebukes Erdogan for Advocacy of Secularism

Posted on 09/15/2011 by Juan

Turkish Prime Minister Tayyip Erdogan’s speech at at the Arab League on Monday and at the Cairo Opera House on Tuesday made waves in the West because of his denunciation of Israeli policies toward the Palestinians and the warm public welcome he received among Egyptians.

Aljazeera Arabic reports:

But a controversy has broken out about a television interview Erdogan gave while in Cairo in which he said, , according to al-Sharq al-Awsat in Arabic, “Now, in this transitional phase in Egypt, as well as in what comes after it, I believe that the Egyptians will establish democracy very well, and they will see that a “secular state” does not mean “an irreligious state.” Rather it means respect for all the religions and giving all individuals the freedom to practice religion as they please.”

Erdogan’s remarks drew an immediate rebuke from Essam al-Arian, the number two man in the Egyptian Muslim Brotherhood’s sponsored political party. He said that Egyptians did not need to be taught about democracy by Turkey.

In an Arab context, Erdogan’s Justice and Development party is not seen as a truly Muslim-religious party, since it does not work for the implementation of sharia or Islam’s version of canon law. Turkey has a secular constitution, and attempting to overthrow it is quite illegal. Al-Arian and his faction of older Muslim Brothers do not want a separation of religion and state in Egypt, on the Turkish model, and so were alarmed that Erdogan was promoting it. Younger Muslim Brothers are said to be more positive toward Erdogan’s stance in this regard.

Erdogan’s party is cautious about challenging seuclarism in Turkey because it is illegal to do so and past Muslim parties have been removed from power or dismissed for taking that stance. Egypt has no similar recent tradition of imposed secularism from the top in the law, though on a de facto basis the old Hosmi Mubarak regime did sometimes put disabilities on the religious parties.

Al-Arian in past statements has underlined that his party would not seek to abolish pluralism in Egypt. But it is disturbing that he reacted so vigorously to Erdogan’s remark. If you weren’t trying to turn Egypt into a Sunni version of Iran, it is hard to see why you’d be so upset with what Erdogan said.

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Posted in Uncategorized | 29 Comments

  • Professor Juan Cole

    Juan Cole

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