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Preview of American Samoa and Hawaii Caucuses

Territory: American Samoa

Type of election: Caucus

How it works: The territory has six delegates, but the caucus is nonbinding.

Official election results: American Samoa Election Office

Republican candidates: Newt Gingrich, Ron Paul, Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum (all others have dropped out or are polling at less than 1 percent)

Democratic candidates: There is no Democratic caucus.

Previous performance: In 2008, Romney did not participate in the caucus, Paul finished third with 0 percent of the vote. Obama finished second in the Democratic caucus with nearly 42.5 percent.

Newspapers: Samoa Observer, full list

Television stations: Full list

Progressive blogs: Not aware of any.

Latest polling: Little to no polling has been done in the territory.

Bottom line: Very few delegates and very little attention being paid to the territory makes it the least newsworthy of the contests on Tuesday.

State: Hawaii

Type of election: Caucus

How it works: The state offers 17 delegates. 11 are awarded proportionately according to statewide results, the other six are based on congressional districts.

Official election results: Hawaii Office of Elections

Republican candidates: Newt Gingrich, Ron Paul, Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum (all others have dropped out or are polling at less than 1 percent)

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Preview of Alabama and Mississippi Primaries

State: Alabama

Type of election: Primary

How it works: 47 delegates are up for grabs. 26 are given proportionally according to statewide results, the remaining 21 are given out at the congressional district level. If any candidate gets more than 50 percent, the delegates are given out winner-take-all. The primary is open.

Official election results: Alabama Secretary of State

Republican candidates: Newt Gingrich, Ron Paul, Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum (all others have dropped out or are polling at less than 1 percent)

Democratic candidates: There is no Democratic primary.

Previous performance: In 2008, Romney finished third to Mike Huckabee with nearly 18 percent. Paul finished fourth with less than 3 percent. Obama won the Democratic primary with 56 percent.

Newspapers: Birmingham News, full list

Television stations: Full list

Progressive blogs: Left in Alabama

Latest polling: New York Times:

  • PPP: Romney 31 percent, Gingrich 30, Santorum 29, Paul 8
  • ARG: Gingrich 34, Romney 31, Santorum 24, Paul 6
  • Rasmussen: Gingrich 30, Santorum 29, Romney 38, Paul 7
  • Alabama State U.: Gingrich 21, Romney 20, Santorum 17
  • Capital Survey: Romney 30, Gingrich 25, Santorum 20, Paul 6

    Nate Silver gives Gingrich a 48 percent chance of winning, followed by Romney at 39 percent, and Santorum at 13.

    Bottom line: Those are the most competitive numbers we've seen yet from Silver and it appears like this one is going down to the wire. A win by Romney would help him get over his "can't win in the South" concerns and could give him a big boost. A loss for Gingrich is disastrous.

    State: Mississippi

    Type of election: Primary

    How it works: 37 delegates are up for grabs. 25 are awarded proportionately according to the statewide results and the other 12 are awarded by congressional district.

    Official election results: Mississippi Secretary of State

    Republican candidates: Newt Gingrich, Ron Paul, Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum (all others have dropped out or are polling at less than 1 percent)

    Democratic candidates: There is no Democratic primary.

    Previous performance: In 2008, Romney finished fourth in the primary, despite having dropped out of the race, getting 1.5 percent of the vote. Paul finished third with just under four percent. Obama won the Democratic primary with over 61 percent.

    Newspapers: Jackson Clarion-Ledger, full list

    Television stations: Full list

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    Mike's Blog Round Up

    Our Common Good: What’s the matter with Kansas? Among other things, its war on women.

    Burnt Orange Report: Obama DOJ rejects Republican voter ID law that could keep one million Texans from the polls.

    The Reaction: Half the Republicans in Alabama and Mississippi still think President Obama is a Muslim.

    Booman Tribune: Florida GOP Representative Cliff Stearns still thinks President Obama’s birth certificate may not be legitimate.

    No More Mister Nice Blog: 65 year old Mitt Romney opts out of the Medicare system his own plan would inevitably end.

    Speaking of which, your quote of the day: “We don't want to get rid of it [Medicare] in round one because we don't think it's politically smart. But we believe that it's going to wither on the vine because we think [seniors] are going to leave it voluntarily.” (Newt Gingrich, 1996.)

    Guest blogging Mike's Blog Round Up today is Jon Perr from Perrspectives. Send your tips, recommendations, comments and angst to mbru AT crooksandliars DOT com.



    Open Thread

    So tomorrow for our Blue America Live Chat we're hosting Democratic Congressional challenger Lee Rogers of California, and this afternoon I came across this hilarious story about Lee that just makes me adore him:

    When one of his aides suggested that U.S. Representative Howard "Buck" McKeon hold an auction for a charity offering a lunch for four as the prize, he probably didn't think there was any danger of the idea blowing up in his stupid face like it has. McKeon (R-Ca), the Chairman of the House Armed Services Committee, is used to being in the news, but he'll be getting a lot more free publicity in the future.

    Buck McKeon is a real piece of work. You might remember him grandstanding during the last session of Congress, threatening to hold up the last defense authorization bill because he was offended by the Don't Ask, Don't Tell repeal. You see, McKeon's opposed to gays serving openly in our military, and was willing to risk funding for the entire enterprise to make his opinions known.

    Well, ol' Buck has auctioned off a lunch for a lucky winner, along with three guests, and that winner turns out to be none other than McKeon's opponent in the coming election, one Dr. Lee Rogers. Rogers bid $300 for the lunch, and because his was the only bid, he wins! He's already announced who he'll invite to break bread with Rep. McKeon: three reporters.

    Awesome! And you can live chat with Lee Rogers tomorrow at 2 pm Eastern, 11 am Pacific, here at Crooks and Liars.

    Open thread below...



    C&L's Late Night Music Club With Creedence Clearwater Revival

    Crossposted from Late Nite Music Club
    Title: Ramble Tamble

    A few years back, Steven Hyden from The Onion's A.V. Club made a case that this Creedence cut was the "most rockin' song of all time". Duly noted. What do you consider the most rockin' song of all time?

    Ramble Tamble
    Ramble Tamble
    Price: $0.99
    (As of 03/13/12 05:38 am details)


    Crossposted from Video Cafe

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    A former senior strategist for Sen. John McCain's (R-AZ) 2008 presidential campaign says that the depiction of Sarah Palin by actress Julianne Moore in HBO's film "Game Change" was "very accurate."

    "I think for all of us that were in the campaign it really rang true," Steve Schmidt told MSNBC's Mika Brzezinski on Monday. "It gave you a little bit of [post traumatic stress disorder] PTSD at times."

    In the movie, Schmidt's character -- played by Woody Harrelson -- deals with a mentally unstable Palin who knows little about foreign policy and often refuses to cooperate with the campaign.

    "I think when you look back at that race, you see person who's just so phenomenally talented in so many levels, an ability to connect, but also someone who had a lot flaws and someone running to be in the national command authority who clearly wasn't prepared," the former McCain aide explained. "Someone was nominated to the vice presidency who was vastly unprepared to take the oath of office should it become necessary, and as it has become necessary many times in America."

    Schmidt added that losing the election was not as bad as the idea of Palin someday becoming president.

    "What's worse in that context for me is with regard to the country that I love, that I have family members in the uniformed services in the armed services," he said. "We have 100,000 people in Afghanistan. When a result happens that puts someone who is not prepared to be president on the ticket, that's a bad result."

    "I think the notion of Sarah Palin being president of the United States is something that frightens me, frankly."

    On Sunday, McCain continued to defend his vice presidential selection, saying that Palin was the "best qualified" person for the job.

    “I thought she was the best qualified person,” he told Fox News host Chris Wallace. “I thought she had the ability to excite our party, and the kind of person that I wanted to see succeed in the political arena."

    “What I don’t understand, even in the tough world of politics, why there continues to be such assaults on a good and decent person, Sarah Palin, a fine family person, a person whose nomination energized our campaign,” McCain remarked. “We were in the lead and they continue to attack and disparage her character and her person.”

    Watch this clip from HBO's "Game Change."

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    (H/T: Mediaite)



    Romney: Brokered Convention Would Signal Doom For GOP

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    Mitt Romney has a big problem. Between Newt Gingrich and Rick Santorum, he may not be able to capture enough delegates to seal the nomination after the primaries end. To that end, Santorum's delegate counter put out a memo (PDF) outlining the pathway to a brokered convention. It's a two-pronged approach, involving a similar strategy to Ron Paul's, which is to be involved in the election of delegates at state conventions.

    The Daily Beast explains:

    "The state conventions will ultimately determine the outcome of this race," wrote John Yob, who was hired by Santorum this month to oversee his delegate operation.

    Yob, who was deputy political director for Sen. John McCain's (R-Ariz.) 2008 presidential campaign, wrote a more than 2,000 word memo to lay out the Santorum campaign's view that time is on their side, rather than running out. The Santorum campaign first released the memo to Politico's Mike Allen early Monday morning.

    Yob's messaging memo is intended in some part to relieve any pressure on Santorum to win both Mississippi and Alabama's primaries on Tuesday. But Yob's memo also lays out a case for how the process of electing delegates to the national convention in Tampa, Fla., this August could reduce the lead Romney currently has in the race to reach the magic number: 1,144.

    The whole Republican primary race has been a study in mixed narratives. We hear over and over again from Republicans about how a protracted primary did not hurt Barack Obama in 2008, since he went on to win the election. I disagree. The divisions that existed after that primary battle exist today. They are, in my opinion, part of the reason the 2010 midterms were such a disaster.

    But even if you disagree with me and think it was a good thing for Democrats to have gone through that battle, there are distinct differences between the Republicans of 2012 and Democrats of 2008. For starters, Democrats did not get as personal with each other. Yes, Hillary's campaign originated the smear points that still exist in today's politics -- Bill Ayers, the "madrassa" accusation, and others. But fundamentally, the two candidates were in agreement on policy, with very little daylight between them, even with regard to Iraq. The same is not true of the current GOP field. Also, Obama stayed far away from using Bill Clinton's womanizing ways to hit Hillary. If he had done that, I think the Democratic party would have lost and likely would not have recovered from it.

    The remaining Republicans divide sharply into three camps. There is the Magic Morph Romney camp, where he morphs into whatever he needs to be that day without regard to the past, present or future. There is the Nasty Newt camp, where he just oozes nastiness and unwarranted certitude with every lie that comes out of his mouth, and focuses most on fiscal conservatism. Finally, there's the Sanctimonious Santorum camp, where women are chattel to be used as wedges against his opponents, where he praises Jesus while stomping on those Jesus ministered to, and where the only thing thing that matters is absolute fealty to God, guns and bitterness.

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    While it's true supporters of Newt Gingrich and Rick Perry made bigoted remarks about Mormonism, I think this is a new low for the increasingly ugly quadrennial sectarian conflict known as the Republican presidential primary.

    DOZIER: See, Mitt Romney has a lot of minuses. Number one, I don't believe that he's going to garnish the black vote like he needs to. Why? Because he's a Mormon. Why? Because in the Book of Mormon, there is a verse in there...that says that the negro is cursed and that his skin is black because of that curse.

    Well, if Mormonism is what's holding back Romney with black voters -- what's the rest of the GOP field's excuse? Because 0% of the Arizona Republican primary vote was cast by blacks.

    In this interview he also serves up this parody-worthy remark.

    DOZIER: God does not have the Robin Hood mentality. That is a socialist mentality. There is no place in the bible, Brook, where God orders -- even mandates -- for the rich to give their monies to the poor or someone take their monies from them.

    This guy isn't teaching the New Testament I learned in Catholic school -- he's teaching the Gospel of Supply Side Jesus.

    h/t Dave at Video Cafe



    Crossposted from Video Cafe

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    From Raw Story -- Maher panel responds to footage of Mississippi voters:

    Filmmaker (and daughter of former Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi) Alexandra Pelosi traveled to Mississippi at the behest of Real Time with Bill Maher to film voters and get their opinions of the 2012 Republican primary. Before showing the footage, Maher explained to the audience and his panel of guests that the people in the video were not “cherry-picked” and that the intent of the video was not to make fun of anyone.

    However, it becomes clear fairly quickly that some of these people are not going to be shortlisted for MacArthur “Genius Grants” any time soon. After the clip, panelists John Hamm from AMC’s series Mad Men and former RNC Chairman Michael Steele joked about the number of teeth the interviewees possessed, but otherwise refrained from poking too much fun.

    The Pelosi segment is above and the panel segment is below the fold and I'll give them credit for actually having a pretty substantive conversation about what leads to the sort of prejudices shown in the video by Pelosi, whether anyone thinks that the people she interviewed are representative of most of the people in that state or not, I've never spent any time in Mississippi, so I don't consider myself qualified to say one way or the other what most of the population there is like, although I do know they've got abysmal records when it comes to education and poverty. I found it strange that the coverage by Pelosi did not include any black people from that state, but they weren't specific about what area she dropped off in and what the ethnic breakdown there is compared to the general population of the state.

    I'm sure there are a lot of people who will find the footage insulting, but I think the larger arguments about addressing the prejudices of the people interviewed is a good one to have for all of us and how to not dismiss them, but attempt to address them and understand what the underlying causes are, which I think the panel here at least tried to do in the limited time they had to discuss it.

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    For the last several weeks, all eyes have been focused on the high-profile clash between Catholic bishops (if not their parishioners) and the Obama administration over mandated insurance coverage for contraception at their non-church institutions. But in cities and towns across the country, a second battlefront is jeopardizing access to essential reproductive care for millions of American women. As The New York Times and the New Republic each recently documented, the expansion of Catholic hospitals nationwide is putting women's reproductive care—and in some cases, their lives—at risk.

    For over a hundred years, Catholic hospitals have been one of the cornerstones of the U.S. health system, providing care to tens of millions of Americans of all faiths, races, ethnicities and income levels. TNR's Jonathan Cohn explained just how big a role they play and the public support they enjoy in return:

    Today, Catholic hospitals supply 15 percent of the nation's hospital beds, and Catholic hospital systems own 12 percent of the nation's community hospitals, which means, according to one popularly cited estimate, that about one in six Americans get treatment at a Catholic hospital at some point each year. We now depend upon Catholic hospitals to provide vital services--not just direct care of patients, but also the training of new doctors and assistance to the needy. In exchange, these institutions receive considerable public funding. In addition to the tax breaks to which all nonprofit institutions are entitled, Catholic hospitals also receive taxpayer dollars via public insurance programs like Medicare and Medicaid, as well as myriad federal programs that provide extra subsidies for such things as indigent care and medical research. (Older institutions also benefited from the 1946 Hill-Burton Act, which financed hospital construction for several decades.)

    But increasingly, Cohn cautioned, "the dual mandates of these institutions—to heal the body and to nurture the spirit, to perform public functions but maintain private identities—are difficult to reconcile." For many communities, a Catholic facility is already the only choice. And with the accelerating trend of hospital mergers and partnerships, policies forbidding contraception, abortion and sterilization are becoming the norm at formerly public hospitals. In cities around America, the result is growing confusion for physicians and greater risk for their patients.

    As The New York Times detailed, over just the last three years about 20 new partnerships combining stand-alone hospitals or smaller systems with larger, financially stronger Catholic institutions is adversely impacting the availability of common reproductive health care services. For example:

    In Seattle, Swedish Health Services has offered elective abortions for decades. But the hospital agreed to stop when it joined forces this month with Providence Health & Services, one of the nation's largest Catholic systems.

    And when Seton Healthcare Family in Texas, a unit of Ascension Health, began operating Austin's public Breckenridge hospital in 1995, it curbed reproductive health care services available to its patients:

    In that case, Mr. [Charles] Barnett [of Ascension Health] says the system never agreed to provide services like elective abortions and sterilizations, and public officials and hospital administrators initially struggled to find a compromise. Although another system eventually offered sterilizations on a separate floor of the hospital, complete with a separate elevator, another hospital now provides those services.

    Increasingly, the clashing requirements of the Catholic hospitals' public mission and religious tenets are putting patients, doctors and staff at risk. In 2007, physician Ramesh Raghavan wrote in the Journal of the American Medical Association of his wife's experience. As Cohn explained the horrifying episode:

    [Raghavan's wife], a woman, also pregnant with twins, whose pregnancy was failing, threatening infection that could jeopardize her ability to have future children and perhaps her life. Distraught, she and her husband decided to terminate the pregnancy--only to learn the Catholic hospital would not perform the procedure.

    A few years later, New Hampshire waitress Kathleen Prieskorn went to her doctor's office after a miscarriage—her second—began while she was three months pregnant. She quickly learned that her emergency was not one for which treatment would be available from her hospital's new operators:

    Physicians at the hospital, which had recently merged with a Catholic health care system, told her they could not end the miscarriage with a uterine evacuation--the standard procedure--because the fetus still had a heartbeat. She had no insurance and no way to get to another hospital, so a doctor gave her $400 and put her in a cab to the closest available hospital, about 80 miles away. "During that trip, which seemed endless, I was not only devastated but terrified," Prieskorn recalled. "I knew that, if there were complications, I could lose my uterus--and maybe even my life."

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