May 03, 2012


Colin Powell's Blot

Former Secretary of State Colin Powell writes in his new book, It Worked for Me, that his "erroneous address to the United Nations about Iraq having weapons of mass destruction provides a lesson to business leaders on the importance of staying skeptical and following their intuition," Bloomberg reports.

Writes Powell: "Yes, a blot, a failure will always be attached to me and my UN presentation. I am mad mostly at myself for not having smelled the problem. My instincts failed me."


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Republicans Want Santorum, Rubio as Romney Veep

A new Reuters/Ipsos poll finds Rick Santorum and Marco Rubio are the top two choices among Republican voters as Mitt Romney's vice presidential running mate.

Key findings: 18% picked Santorum out of a list of 19 potential running mates for Romney, 17% chose Rubio, 13% chose Chris Christie and 12% chose Mike Huckabee.


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Romney Ahead in Arizona

Though several recent polls suggest Arizona might be a competitive state in the presidential election, a new Magellan Strategies survey finds Mitt Romney with a comfortable nine point lead over President Obama, 52% to 43%.

In the 2008 election, John McCain also beat Obama by nine points, 54% to 45%.


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What Grenell's Resignation Says About Romney

The New York Times provides an inside look at the resignation of Richard Grenell, the openly gay former national security spokesman for Mitt Romney, attributing it to the "unforgiving churn of election-year politics."

"Mr. Grenell's short-lived and rocky tenure as Mr. Romney's foreign policy spokesman is the story of how halting attempts by the campaign to manage its relationship with the most conservative quarter of the Republican Party left an aide feeling badly marginalized and ostracized."

Said one Republican adviser: "It's not that the campaign cared whether Ric Grenell was gay. They believed this was a nonissue. But they didn't want to confront the religious right."


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Gingrich Campaign Has Mountain of Debt

Newt Gingrich may have ended his candidacy for president yesterday, but with $4 million of debt piled up, it is certain that his campaign will continue for quite a bit longer, according to ABC News.

"Campaign watchdogs said the size of Gingrich's debt is extraordinary -- and could have been avoided if the candidate and his team had been more disciplined... Romney and the Republican National Committee have offered to be helpful in retiring Gingrich's debt. Relief can't come soon enough for the Gingrich campaign's anxious creditors... Campaign debts can haunt unsuccessful candidates for years, symbols of failure and futility they are unable to forget. But losing candidates like Gingrich who hold no office face the biggest challenge in trying to retire their debts. The reason is simple: They are in no position to help donors or influence public policy."


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Flashback Quote of the Day

"He cannot beat Obama. It's not going to happen."

-- Rep. Michelle Bachmann (R-MN), in an interview with ABC News, on Mitt Romney's prospects in the presidential race after she dropped out. Bachmann has now endorsed Romney.


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Paul Supporters Shake Up the Delegate Math

With Rep. Ron Paul (R-TX) set to be presumptive Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney's last remaining challenger after Newt Gingrich's expected withdrawal from the race today, the Washington Times highlights some of Paul's "organizational victories that could complicate Mr. Romney's anticipated coronation at the Republican National Convention in Tampa, Fla., this summer."

Hitting close to home: "In Massachusetts, the state where Mr. Romney served as governor, Paul loyalists over the weekend helped block more than half of Mr. Romney's preferred nominees from being named delegates at state party caucuses -- even though Mr. Romney won his home state's primary with 72 percent of the vote... the RNC had assigned the Marriott Hotel in Tampa overlooking the convention center for the delegation representing the likely nominee's home state. The hotel is considered the nicest in the vicinity -- and now the Paul delegates will be able to enjoy the top-floor views."


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Romney Takes Potential Veeps for Test Runs

Mitt Romney has appeared on stage recently with a number of potential running mates, reports the Los Angeles Times, which many see as a "series of tryouts...as he tests the chemistry and optics of potential vice presidential picks."

"Though Romney is not expected to make a formal decision anytime soon, the vetting has clearly begun, with the campaign scrutinizing potential running mates' electoral experience, geographic desirability and affinity with GOP constituencies that remain wary of Romney... While nearly all of the likely prospects have steadfastly denied that they have any interest in the job because they are committed to their current jobs as governors and senators, many are also simultaneously burnishing their resumes."


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Lugar Holds Small Edge in Primary Fight

A new Magellan Strategies survey in Indiana shows Sen. Richard Lugar (R-IN) with a slight lead over challenger Richard Mourdock (R) in their U.S. Senate primary, 44% to 42%.

The GOP primary is next week.


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Edwards Daughter Leaves Courtroom

Testimony in the John Edwards trial yesterday included the story -- first told in Game Change -- of Elizabeth Edwards becoming "understandably upset" at her husband in an airport parking lot over his extramarital affair, the Raleigh News and Observer reports.

Mrs. Edwards, "who had been through extensive treatments for breast cancer, took off her bra, exposed her chest and stormed out in front of her husband and said: 'You don't see me any more.'"

Cate Edwards, "who has sat stoically through her father's trial, became visibly upset during a break in Reynolds' testimony. Her father leaned over and mentioned to her during the break when the jury was out of the room that he did not know what was coming next."

Cate Edwards said something inaudible to her father, then left the courtroom in tears as her father quietly called after her, "Cate, Cate."


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Race Tightens in Key Swing States

The new Quinnipiac polls find the presidential race is tighter in three important swing states.

Florida: Romney 44%, Obama 43%

Ohio: Obama 44%, Romney 42%

Pennsylvania: Obama 47%, Romney 39%.

Said pollster Peter Brown: "Gov. Mitt Romney has closed President Barack Obama's leads in Ohio and Florida to the point that those two states are now essentially tied, a turnaround from the end of March when the president enjoyed leads in those key states."


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Romney Avoids Spanish Speaking Media

McKay Coppins: "A full year after Romney launched his presidential bid, the campaign doesn't have a Spanish version of its website, nor has it hired a Spanish-speaking spokesperson. Romney boycotted a primary debate on Univision, leading to the event's collapse, and, to date, he has only done one sit-down interview on a national Spanish network. The apparent apathy has left Latino advocates -- and more than a few Republicans -- baffled, wondering whether the campaign has already written off one of the fastest-growing demographics in the country."

First Read: "Republicans are not on air on Hispanic media AT ALL so far, according to NBC/Smart Media Delta. President Obama, on the other hand, is going unchecked for two weeks, spending $435,000 - and $730,000 total so far this cycle - through mid-May with Hispanic media buys in Denver, Las Vegas, Orlando, Tampa, and Miami. If the president is wining by huge margins with Hispanics and women (more on that below), the math becomes very precarious for Romney. Look at those states where the president is advertising: Colorado, Nevada and Florida. Can Romney win the White House without winning at least ONE Western state?"


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Romney Will Meet with Santorum

Mitt Romney will meet privately with Rick Santorum on Friday morning in Pittsburgh, CNN reports.

"The campaigns had refused to discuss details of the get together and were trying to keep the location secret. They have planned no press coverage of the meeting."


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Bachmann to Endorse Romney

CBS News reports that Rep. Michele Bachmann (R-MN) will endorse Mitt Romney today, coming just in time to begin quelling some of the recent chatter about the lack of unity around the presumptive nominee.

"As competitors on the stump, Bachmann often contrasted herself to Romney by saying that she was the only true conservative in the race, as well as the candidate favored by the tea party. The endorsement from the House member from Minnesota could help him attract the staunch conservatives who shunned him during the primaries, preferring Bachmann and other more ideological candidates."


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Nevada Republicans Warned Over Delegates

The RNC warned Nevada Republicans that if Ron Paul delegates "are allowed to take too many slots for the national convention, Nevada's entire contingent may not be seated in Tampa," the Jon Ralston reports.

The national party apparently "fears that mischief at the Sparks convention this weekend could result in Ron Paul delegates taking Mitt Romney slots and then not abiding by GOP rules to vote for the presumptive nominee on the first ballot in Tampa."


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Battleground Virginia

Politico: "The verdict is in: Barack Obama's 2008 victory in Virginia was not a fluke. For the once reliably Republican state, competitive presidential elections are the new normal."

"Just look at the candidates' schedules... Both campaigns are also moving swiftly to build their organizations. Romney recently brought his Iowa state director, Sara Craig, to helm Virginia and his team hopes to open at least a dozen field offices in the next month. Obama has had a Richmond-based staff in place for months and just opened up his 13th field office last month. The action on the ground is mirrored on the air -- Obama's campaign and Romney's super PAC are already broadcasting commercials in the state."


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May 02, 2012


"Don't Say Gay" Bill Prompts Lawmaker to Come Out

Missouri state Rep. Zach Wyatt (R) "announced publicly he is gay today at a news conference opposing a bill that has gained national attention for its proposed restrictions on in-school discussions of sexuality," the Columbia Daily Tribune reports.

Wyatt said that he could "no longer keep his sexual orientation to himself in the face of what he considers an example of bigoted legislation."


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Bonus Quote of the Day

"What I would do? People ask me, `What would you to get the economy going'? and I say, `well look at what the president's done, and do the opposite.'"

-- Mitt Romney, quoted by the Associated Press.


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Dead Heat in Wisconsin Recall

A new Marquette University Law School poll in Wisconsin finds Gov. Scott Walker (R) and Tom Barrett (D) are locked in a dead-even race for governor.

Among registered voters, Barrett led Walker 47% to 46%. That 1-point lead was reversed when considering only likely voters, with Walker holding 48% and Barrett holding 47%.

The poll also showed Barrett leading his Democratic rivals in Tuesday's primary. The winner of the primary will face Walker in the June 5 recall election.


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Virginia Senate Race Remains Deadlocked

A new Public Policy Polling survey in Virginia's U.S. Senate race finds Tim Kaine (D) barely leading George Allen (R), 46% to 45%.

Bottom line: "Different month same story -- this is likely to be one of the closest, if not the closest, Senate races in the country this year."


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Grenell Quits Romney

Lauren Ashburn and Howard Kurtz have a Daily Download follow up on the resignation of Mitt Romney spokesman Richard Grenell.

See more...


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Goodnight Moon Colony

Comedy Central released a storybook farewell to Newt Gingrich's campaign, "which we'll always remember for its nuanced policy positions and bold vision of... ah, screw it. We'll remember the moon colony thing."


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Obama Leads in Nevada

A new Rasmussen survey in Nevada finds President Obama leading Mitt Romney by eight points, 52% to 44%.


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All About Lugar

The Indianapolis Star says next week's Republican U.S. Senate primary is a referendum on Sen. Richard Lugar (R-IN).

"On one side, it's about voter fatigue as the former Indianapolis mayor seeks a seventh Senate term. It's about conservatives who are upset with some of Lugar's votes and some of his bipartisan friendships. It's about frustration among many GOP county organizers over Lugar's lack of involvement for many years in local politics..."

"On the other side... it's about people who deeply appreciate Lugar's willingness to consider more views than the one in his head. It's about a hope that Capitol Hill won't remain as gridlocked as it has been these past few years, and that more lawmakers with Lugar's reasonableness will take office, or at least that fewer will be tossed out. It's about a belief that this country needs lawmakers less inclined to explain the country's problems in simplistic political sound bites, and more capable of grasping the global picture -- yes, even if that means missing the Posey County GOP Lincoln Day dinner because it conflicts with a trip to the former Soviet Union."


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The Chase for Mayor Bloomberg

President Obama and Mitt Romney "are both determined to score the endorsement of Mayor Michael R. Bloomberg of New York, whose name is all but synonymous with Wall Street clout and nonpartisan politics," reports the New York Times. And with the campaign in full force, "their pursuit of the billionaire mayor is headed into overdrive, with both campaigns making the kind of conspicuous ring-kissing gestures that are reserved for their most sought-after political allies, even though the candidates publicly disagree with the mayor on a range of issues."

"Mr. Bloomberg, who has lent his reputation for common-sense government and his prowess for fund-raising to dozens of candidates from both parties over the past decade, feared that an endorsement in the 2008 race might have negative repercussions for the city he oversees. But as his mayoral term winds down, he has told advisers that he is willing to back a candidate this time around, touching off an intense competition for his support in the general election."

Meanwhile, the New York Daily News reports that on Tuesday, Romney, "who was in the city to mark the anniversary of Osama Bin Laden's death, had breakfast with Bloomberg at the mayor's philanthropic foundation's headquarters," while over the weekend, Bloomberg played golf "with other members of the President's administration, including Vice President Biden and Secretary of Defense Leon Panetta."


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