Update: There's a nice overhead video with analysis
in the comments. It appears to show Scott Olsen running a few feet before he fell.
________
Recently, several videos have been posted that show: the moments before Scott Olsen was hit; a group of explosions and confused crowd motion; and when the crowd clears, Olsen laying on the ground.
One is this, posted at
Vimeo (h/t Daily Kos diarist
Richard Lopez for the find). The second and third were
posted here, as well as at other places. (These videos were incorrectly identified as "a woman downed" because of the confused audio in the second vid — "What's your name?" and "What's her name?" sound identical when spoken quickly.)
We've since done some frame-by-frame analysis of the videos at the highest resolution available, and discovered in several captures the moment Scott Olsen went down (h/t John Aravosis for first making the discovery; excellent work).
Let's work with the
Vimeo footage. If you can, download it and watch it in a video player; otherwise, watch at the site at highest resolution you can.
■ Watch the initial seconds to get in your mind what Scott Olsen looks like (camouflage jacket, floppy hat, black shirt with white lettering. Note the Navy man with the flag standing near him.)
■ Play to
1:15 and pause. This will be just past the text "Is this the shot that felled Scott Olsen?" (which I can't make great sense of). You're looking for an image that looks like this.
(NOTE: These are deliberately lo-res images; the video itself, especially at hi-res, is much clearer.)
Hidden behind the woman with the bike are a small group of people. Behind them are two people easily identified — a man in a dark coat and pants, and a woman in a red knit hat and orange shirt. Directly behind those two are Scott Olsen, still standing.
■
At 1:16 a gas canister arcs over the crowd and the bicycle woman turns to look at it. Over her right shoulder is someone wearing dark blue. Behind that person are the two people mentioned above, plus Scott Olsen.
■
At 1:17 something cinderous falls in the background, flashes brightly, and everyone runs away from it.
■ This next shot shows the cinderous object just before it flashes brightly. Note that the bicycle woman has cleared the frame, and the person in blue has started to duck.
You can now see the man in the dark coat and the woman in the orange coat just over the back of the bent man in blue. These two are obscuring Scott Olsen, who is still standing.
■ The flash near the center of the frame goes off brightly, then another goes off at the left of the frame almost immediately afterwards (frame-advance clearly shows the two near-simultaneous flashes as separate events).
■ As soon as the second flash goes off, the two people in the middle start to separate, revealing a figure between them (Scott Olsen) starting to crumple to the ground.
In the above shot, just after the second flash (and still at 1:18), you can see Olsen's face — brightly lit by the last of the flash — as a large white circle just beyond the upper arm of the man in the dark coat.
■ Now play or step through the next three seconds. The man in the dark coat moves away, and Olsen falls to the ground behind the woman in the orange shirt. You can see his motion as he falls. It's not obvious from the screen capture, but watch the video, ignore the flashes, and keep your eyes on the woman in the orange shirt, you'll see Scott fall right behind her.
■ When everyone clears in front of the camera (still at 1:19), Olsen is on the ground.
So far, nothing has emerged that shows Olsen actually being hit, but that could still turn up.
The rest of this video shows the cop who throws the flash-grenade. We'll deal with that in a later post. That analysis provides credible evidence that Olsen was shot at, not "lobbed" at — evidence that's at least worth considering.
GP
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