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Tuesday, November 23, 2010

Is the solution really for Obama to declare he's not running in 2012



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Two Democrats think the way for Obama to turn his presidency around is to announce he's not running in 2012. While I've not been a very great fan of the current president (I was, however, a huge fan of the guy who won the '08 election), the notion that, by declaring he isn't running again, the President will somehow be able to surmount the partisan hurdle in Washington... that just sounds a bit nutty.

This op ed was from around 9 days ago, but it's still relevant today. Here's the crux of their argument:
But if he is to bring Democrats and Republicans together, the president cannot be seen as an advocate of a particular party, but as somebody who stands above politics, seeking to forge consensus.
To that I give a big "huh?" The Republicans aren't going to demonize a Democratic president simply because he's not up for re-election. Uh huh. As I recall, Bill Clinton was impeached in 1998, after he was already a lame duck.

Good luck with that. Read the rest of this post...

Republicans could save $2.4m a year by foregoing their socialist government health insurance



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This was a proposal Joe and I made during the health care reform debate. Everyone ignored us. Now, suddenly, folks are interested in fighting back. Well, guess what? It's too late.
According to the Los Angeles Times, "the plan most favored by federal workers is Blue Cross Blue Shield, which covers a family for about $1,030 a month." Of that total, "taxpayers kick in $700." So far there are 242 Republicans set to be seated in the incoming House of Representatives (that could only go higher) and 47 Republicans in the Senate. The taxpayer bill for insuring all those members over the course of a single year comes to just over $2.4 million ($700 X 12 months X 289 members).

Chump change? Yes, it is. That said, chump change seems to always at the heart of the most provocative political battles. During the 2008 presidential campaign, Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) made a big issue over the fact that $1 million was being appropriated for a Woodstock museum in upstate New York.
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DOJ will appeal major DADT case (on behalf of the bad guys)



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In spite of the abysmal election results, the fierce advocacy continues from the Obama White House.  And as Joe notes, it's time for the White House to stop misleading people about their support for these hateful, bigoted, homophobic lawsuits that would do a 1950s era segregationist proud.  No, Mr. Gibbs, the DOJ does not traditionally appeal these kind of cases.  You had a choice, as we - and almost every legal expert out there - already confirmed.  And you chose, once again, to act no differently than President McCain would have in this case.  So please stop pretending you had no choice but to kill again, as the saying goes.  You had a choice, and you once again made the wrong choice.  At least own up to it, for once. Read the rest of this post...

Taibbi: Insiders may have milked an 'endless stream of exclusive information' as an 'ongoing commercial strategy'



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As we have reported, there have now been raids by the Feds in an ongoing investigation of Wall Street insider trading.

Matt Taibbi, who has been following Wall Street scandals rather closely, relays this via his blog. First, about the "who" involved in the scandal:
[T]he thing to note here is the list of clients he sent this email to. Those include hedge-fund firms SAC Capital Advisors LP and Citadel Asset Management, and mutual-fund firms Janus Capital Group, Wellington Management Co. and MFS Investment Management.

Those are some interesting MF-ing names.

Citadel and SAC, along with Goldman and David Einhorn's Greenlight Capital, were among the firms subpoenaed by Lehman Brothers lawyers after that latter firm exploded in 2008. The allegation then was that a number of hedge firms worked with banks and other companies to spread rumors about Lehman at the same time some of those funds were holding big short positions.

Similar allegations, involving many of the same players, were made after Bear Stearns was blown apart in March of that year. There were multiple storylines in the that business, including one set of allegations that some hedge funds with short positions in Bear leaked information about Bear having a liquidity problem during that fateful week in March of 2008. ... [A]ll the big banks on Wall Street (including Goldman) and many of hedge funds (including Citadel) had a meeting at the Fed with Ben Bernanke just three days before the Fed announced its plan to subsidize the sale of Bear to JP Morgan Chase. This was on March 11, 2008; the only big bank that was not invited to this meeting was Bear, Stearns. It strains all credulity to imagine that the rescue of Bear was not discussed at that meeting and that none of the players at that meeting made moves based on those conversations.
And no, MF is not a Wall Street firm. Taibbi's point is that in these times, in which "other crimes on Wall Street," like the mortgage derivatives scandal, "have been so pervasive and so massive in scope," it seems small potatoes to go after insider trading. Not so. Go back to the MF-ing list of names.
[T]here is a mounting pile of evidence suggesting a sort of widespread culture of insider trading in which a few players (specifically the major banks and a few of the biggest and best-connected hedge funds) have milked a seemingly endless stream of exclusive information, not occasionally or opportunistically but as an ongoing commercial strategy. I get about two or three letters a week from people in the finance business complaining that this or that company is openly advance-trading on a) information from the Federal Reserve about things like interest rate changes, or b) info about big client orders in things like commodities, or c) mergers and the like. Certainly there is a great deal to be suspicious of with regard to the behavior of certain companies in advance of major events like the rescue of Bear Stearns, the collapse of Lehman Brothers, the AIG bailout, the acquisition of Merrill Lynch by Bank of America, the emergency conversions to bank holding company status of Goldman and Morgan Stanley, and the announcement of major bailout programs like the TALF and the P-PIP.
These are the people who want their taxes lowered, by the way, and yours raised, in the form of reduced services for the same money, and reduced safety-net protection.

Which makes an interesting problem for Obama's Justice Dept. Will they handle this legally, or politically? These are, after all, not only potential (and past) big-dollar campaign contributors, but they are very close friends of friends of people who have Friends:
So it'll be interesting to see if the Justice Department has a less indulgent view of insider crime than, say, Ben Bernanke's Federal Reserve. Not that I'm holding my breath for a huge roundup, but boy, wouldn't it be something if they aimed as high as this thing probably goes?
I wish I could afford to buy me a government. We'll have to see how this works out for them. But pay attention. This is not small potatoes.

GP Read the rest of this post...

Police: Catholic priest solicited murder of boy accusing him of sex abuse



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Get ready for the Vatican to try to blow this one off too:
The youth met Fiala in 2007, according to Rhodes. The attorney said the priest started "grooming him," buying him gifts including a computer and a car. In early 2008, when the boy was 16, under the guise of providing private catechism lessons, Fiala "gained access to him and began to sexually abuse him once or twice a month, including on church grounds," Rhodes said.

At the time, Fiala was administrator of Sacred Heart of Mary in Rocksprings, Texas, which is in Edwards County. The alleged abuse occurred in two counties -- Edwards and Howard -- and included the youth's rape at gunpoint, the attorney said.

Fiala allegedly threatened to kill the youth if he told anyone -- threats he repeated in daily text messages, Rhodes said, and Fiala also threatened to kill himself, telling the teen they would "go to heaven together."
Letsinger said he got a call November 11 from the neighbor. The man at first just told authorities they should "be looking at this guy," the sheriff said, but later said Fiala had offered him $5,000 to kill the teenager. The allegation surprised him, Letsinger said.
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CEO of company that makes 'porno-scanners' traveled to India with Obama



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And the results were predictable. TechDirt:
However, perhaps even more interesting is the news that President Obama was finally asked to address the whole thing this weekend, and (not surprisingly) defended the scans and the pat downs as "the only [procedures] right now that [the TSA] considers to be effective," to prevent terrorism (while also admitting that he doesn't have to go through security to get on airplanes, so he hasn't experienced the scans.

No surprise there. Of course, what he didn't mention is that he just got done traveling with the CEO of OSI, the parent company of Rapiscan, the makers of the main naked scanner that is being purchased and put into all these airports. Apparently, OSI CEO, Deepak Chopra (no, not the new agey guy), "was selected to accompany US President, Barack Obama, to Mumbai and attended the US India Business Entrepreneurship meeting..."
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List of FDIC problem banks continues to grow



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If you listen to the big banks and their enablers, you might think the problem is long gone. We still have too many "too big to fail" banks out there but for some strange reason, neither political party is discussing this problem. The big banks continue to take risks because that's the only way they can make their obscene bonus money. It would be nice if Washington took this problem seriously.
The number of banks on the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp's confidential "problem" list grew over the summer even while the overall industry posted solid net income.

The FDIC says its list of troubled banks rose to 860 in the July-September quarter from 829 in the previous quarter.

At the same time, the FDIC says banks earned $14.5 billion during the third quarter. That was a decrease from the previous quarter's result of $21.4 billion, but well above the $2 billion banks earned a year earlier.
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Krugman on Obama and right-wing mythology



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There's a short but perceptive post on Paul Krugman's blog about Obama and right-wing mythology. He begins by noting many Democrats' surprise during the campaign when Obama praised Reagan. Then he calls attention to this, by Thomas Ferguson at New Deal 2.0.

It starts here, from the transcript of Barack Obama at his recent meeting with five progressive bloggers (my emphasis):
This notion that somehow I could have gone and made the case around the country for a far bigger stimulus because of the magnitude of the crisis, well, we understood the magnitude of the crisis. We didn't actually, I think, do what Franklin Delano Roosevelt did, which was basically wait for six months until the thing had gotten so bad that it became an easier sell politically because we thought that was irresponsible. We had to act quickly.
Note that Obama is primarily trying to defend his weak-tea stimulus package (a) by simply calling weak tea strong, and (b) by saying Roosevelt let a great many people suffer unnecessarily in order to pass the New Deal.

Your mind goes immediately to the stimulus part of the quote. But look at what he just did to Roosevelt.

Ferguson and Krugman focus on this, well, smear. And smear it is, from a known source. Ferguson:
Many readers [of the president's remark] responded in shocked disbelief: The President can’t mean what he said. He must have misspoken — he can’t really be claiming that Roosevelt sat on his hands, deliberately letting the Depression get worse and worse.

Perhaps it was just a slip. But in 2010, even slips can be revealing — and this one comes from a definite part of the political spectrum. The President was repeating a canard that goes back to the circle of die hards around President Herbert Hoover as he exited the White House in a cloud of bitterness in 1933. In recent years, as a vast campaign against the memory of the New Deal has gathered steam, such claims have gone mainstream. For example, take the carefully hedged version recently put forward by Amity Shlaes in her study of the New Deal, “The Forgotten Man“: “But Roosevelt was not interested in cooperation. We will never know all his motives, but it was clear that a crisis now could only strengthen his mandate for action come inauguration in March.”

We are unlikely ever to know for sure. But as President Obama took office, the Council on Foreign Relations was cranking up a remarkably one-sided conference purporting to be a “Second Look at the Great Depression and the New Deal.” Ms. Shlaes was a prominent participant, as was the Council’s co-chair, one Robert Rubin, whose myriad protégés thronged the Obama Treasury and economic councils.
That's the conservative Amity Shlaes, known spreader of New Deal fable — click the link to read her assert, many times, that the New Deal lengthened the Depression.

Here's Krugman's condensed version of what really happened in the long gap between Roosevelt's election and his taking office:
As Ferguson explains, this is a right-wing smear. What actually happened was that during the interregnum between the 1932 election and the 1933 inauguration — which was much longer then, because the inauguration didn’t take place until March — Herbert Hoover tried to rope FDR into maintaining his policies, including rigid adherence to the gold standard and fiscal austerity. FDR declined to be part of this.
Do read Ferguson for the full version; it's not long and rather enlightening.

Obama is wrong, but he passed on the smear anyway. And he will be quoted (by the right) as saying it for at least a generation — Roosevelt cold-shouldered Hoover's overtures to make the Depression deepen and the New Deal easier to pass. Thank you, Mr. President. That water must get heavy.

Does it matter why Obama said this, or simply that he does this stuff a lot? Krugman's take-away:
[I]t’s becoming clear that progressives who had their hearts set on Obama were engaged in a huge act of self-delusion. Once you got past the soaring rhetoric you noticed, if you actually paid attention to what he said, that he largely accepted the conservative storyline, a view of the world, including a mythological history, that bears little resemblance to the facts.
I'll simply close with this. In case you haven't, this would be a good time to read Ken Silverstein's excellent and prescient 2006 Harpers profile, "Barack Obama, Inc.: The birth of a Washington machine". Best to be well informed as tough decisions loom.

GP Read the rest of this post...

Poll: Support for TSA 'porno grope' procedures dropping



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Not that the drop in support is much of a surprise.

It's wonderful that people who don't fly love the security theater of implementing programs that violate the Constitution, can't even detect the last incident (the underwear bomber) or potentially emit harmful radiation. Maybe if we rolled out the same security at the local grocery store or shopping mall, they might feel differently.

Either way, as I said the other day, I distinctly remember George Bush and the invasion of Iraq enjoying very high support in the polls so the numbers mean nothing to me. When the public is fed a steady diet of fear, they're all too willing to accept any intrusion that the government churns out.

Click through for lots more analysis by FiveThirtyEight.
Moreover, the ABC News poll finds that 50 percent of Americans think the T.S.A.’s “enhanced” pat-downs go too far — and 37 percent of Americans feel strongly so — versus 48 percent who say they are justified. It is important to clarify that, as the ABC News poll correctly identifies, the T.S.A. is in the process of implementing two separate and distinct security procedures: the new x-ray scanners on the one hand, and the more physically intrusive pat-downs on the other. Most of the incidents that have captured the public’s attention have to do with the latter procedure, the pat-downs, and that is where most of the public’s animus seems to be directed.

The ABC News poll also suggests that opposition to the measures is higher among those who fly regularly (a distinction that this blog had previously anticipated). Among Americans who fly at least once a year, 58 percent support the new x-ray scanners, versus 70 percent of Americans who fly less often than that. Support for the new pat-down procedures is at 44 percent among fliers, meanwhile, versus 52 percent among those who do not fly regularly.
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Feds raid three hedge fund offices



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Whether this is going to be another Galleon Group situation or something very serious is still up for debate. Goldman Sachs lost more than 3% in trading yesterday due to rumors that it might be a target in this investigation though so far, they are not.
Federal investigators have turned up the heat on Wall Street, raiding three hedge funds in what one of the targets called a wide-ranging probe of insider trading.

The FBI on Monday searched the New York offices of Level Global Investors LP, and the Stamford, Conn., headquarters of Diamondback Capital Management LLC, a law enforcement official said. The official spoke on condition of anonymity because he was not authorized to discuss an ongoing case.

Another FBI official said the agency also searched a third site, at 30 Federal St. in Boston. Hedge fund Loch Capital Management LLC has its headquarters at that address.
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House Dems. want Pelosi to get tough with White House



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Liberals in the House Democratic caucus want their leader, Nancy Pelosi, to get tougher with the President. She is the only one with a spine in the whole crowd of Democratic leaders in DC. Maybe she can get Obama to stand for something:
As Obama decides whether and how much to compromise with the new Republican majority in the House, Pelosi is facing pressure from empowered liberals in her caucus to take a harder line with the administration.

Those liberals, led by a group of four lawmakers who tried unsuccessfully to delay caucus leadership elections last week, say House Democrats were led astray by their allegiance to a flawed White House political strategy during the 111th Congress.

“We’re going to have to really push the White House and the Senate,” Rep. Peter DeFazio (D-Ore.) said. “I think the greatest failing in this Congress was that the House … enabled the White House, and the White House was not always right.

“We’ve got to push them harder from our position,” he added, “to do what Democrats need and what’s expected by Democrats.”
If that had been the standard in 2009, things could be very different today. Read the rest of this post...

Tuesday Morning Open Thread



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Good morning.

The President and the Vice President are heading to Kokomo, Indiana today. They'll be visiting a Chrysler plant as part of the "White House to Main Street" tour. This plant benefited from the auto industry bailout and the town benefited from the stimulus.

Congress isn't in session this week. They all needed a really long Thanksgiving holiday. Harry Reid better keep the Senate in session every day til Christmas. They've got a lot of work to do.

Looks like things are getting messy on the Korean peninsula. We'll have to keep an eye on that.

When I was walking Petey this morning, I noticed a lot of people with their suitcases, leaving for the holiday. DC is clearing out. And, it's going to be in the high 60s today. Not exactly Thanksgiving weather, but I'll take it. Read the rest of this post...

EU wraps up Ireland bailout, now looking Portugal and Spain



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There are no easy answers at this point. More austerity in other EU countries is surely going to have to happen though as we know from the experience in Greece, change is never easy. As reluctant to change as many of us can be, it's probably fair to say that people can grudgingly accept austerity if it's fair. In the UK, for example, the government is now backing off the plans to trim banker bonuses and the austerity plans have been perceived to be more harsh for the middle class and poor. We're now starting to see a preference in voter support for Labour, by coincidence. It's not possible for everyone to feel the pain, except for those guys over there in the fancy suits who created the crisis.

The Guardian:
After a tumultuous day in Dublin, where protesters tried to storm the parliament building, the prime minister, Brian Cowen, defied calls for his resignation but conceded he would call an election in the new year. The move was forced upon him after the Green party pulled out of his fragile coalition government, unnerving markets on a day which was supposed to restore confidence in Europe's decade-old single currency.

Instead there was a sense of growing unease in the markets amid evidence that investors felt Portugal would not survive without aid., Dealers said sentiment in the markets was reminiscent of the days after the collapse of Lehman Brothers in September 2008.

Britain may be forced to join an EU bailout of Spain and Portugal after the government admitted today that it was powerless to veto an important element of the union's overall €750bn bailout package.
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Breaking: North Korea fires artillery on South Korea



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The Guardian reporter has said this area has been involved in previous incidents as this island is near the border. More updates here, from The Guardian. Read the rest of this post...

British Conservatives cave in to bankers who want larger bonuses



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Prepare for the same easy ride on Wall Street once the GOP takes over the House. The Republicans received too much cash from the bankers to do anything other than give in to their wish list. Let's face it, these "conservatives" are liberal when it comes to helping the ultra-rich. They're soft on the economy, but the Democrats hardly have much room to talk. How many more banker handouts until there's nothing left?
George Osborne is set to water down plans to force disclosure of bank bonus payments above £1 million, in a move that will delight the City but sets up a political clash with business secretary Vince Cable and the Liberal Democrats.

The chancellor has been lobbied by senior bankers who claim that if Britain introduces more pay transparency unilaterally it could put the City at a disadvantage and lead to some banks shifting activity to New York or other financial centres.

Mr Osborne shares those concerns, as does Sir David Walker, author of an influential report last year on City pay disclosure, who argues in the Financial Times that the government “would be mistaken” to go it alone.
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