INTELLIGENT USE OF THE MODEL REQUIRES THAT THE FORECASTER
COMPARE THE INITIAL 00HR FORECAST WITH DATA
- MAY BECOME HARDER TO DO AS NEW DATA STREAMS ARE USED
BE FAMILIAR WITH CHARACTERTIC MODEL ERRORS AND BIASES.
- THESE MAY VARY BY SEASON AND REGIME
HAVE A ROUGH UNDERSTANDING OF HOW APPROXIMATIONS OF THE PHYSICS MAY NEGATIVELY IMPACT A FORECAST.