References for verification
Brier, G.W. 1950: Verification of forecasts expressed in terms of probability. Mon. Wea. Rev., 78, 1-3.
Elsner, J. B. and C. P. Schemertmann, 1994: Assessing forecast skill through cross validation. Wea. Forecasting, 9, 619-624.
Murphy, A. H., 1997: Forecast verification. Economic Value of Weather and Climate Forecasts, R. W. Katz and A. H. Murphy, Eds., Cambridge University Press, 19-74.
Murphy, A. H., 1993: What is a good forecast? An essay on the nature of goodness in weather forecasting. Wea. Forecasting, 8, 281-293.
Hsu, W-R., and A. H. Murphy, 1986: The attributes diagram: a geometric framework for assessing the quality of probobility forecasts. Int. J. Forecasting, 2, 285-293.
Murphy, A. H., and R. L. Winkler, 1987: A general framework for forecast verification. Mon. Wea. Rev., 115, 1330-1338.
Murphy, A. H., 1973: A new vector partition of probability score. J. Appl. Meteor., 12, 595-600.
Shaefer, J. T., 1990: Critical success index as an indicator or warning skill. Wea. Forecasting, 5, 570-575.
Wilks, D. S., 1995: Statistical Methods in the Atmospheric Sciences, Academic Press, 467 pp.