BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Beryl Advisory Number  45
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD   AL022024
400 PM CDT Tue Jul 09 2024

...FLASH FLOODING AND A RISK OF TORNADOES REMAIN POSSIBLE ALONG PATH
OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BERYL THROUGH WEDNESDAY...


SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...37.8N 89.5W
ABOUT 60 MI...100 KM NW OF PADUCAH KENTUCKY
ABOUT 215 MI...350 KM SW OF INDIANAPOLIS INDIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 24 MPH...39 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A Flood Watch is in effect for portions of...
* Central and Southeast Missouri
* Illinois
* Far Western Kentucky
* Northern Indiana
* Southern Michigan
* Northern New York
* Vermont
* New Hampshire
* Western Maine

A Tornado Watch is in effect for portions of...
* Middle Tennessee
* Kentucky
* Southern Illinois
* Southern Indiana
* Southwest Ohio


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Beryl
was located near latitude 37.8 North, longitude 89.5 West. The
post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the northeast near 24 mph (39
km/h) and this motion is expected to decrease in forward speed as
the system moves into Canada.

Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Beryl can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2, WMO header WTNT42 KNHC,
and on the NHC website at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT2.shtml.

TORNADOES: Several tornadoes are possible through tonight across the
lower Ohio Valley, including parts of Kentucky, northern Tennessee,
southern Illinois, southern Indiana, and Ohio.

RAINFALL: Heavy rainfall of 2 to 4 inches, with locally higher
amounts, is expected across portions of the Lower Missouri and Mid
Mississippi Valleys into the Great Lakes today into Wednesday and
from northern New York into northern New England Wednesday and
Wednesday night.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding
associated with Post Tropical Cyclone Beryl, please see the National
Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk
graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?ero

For a list of rainfall observations (and wind reports) associated
this storm, see the companion storm summary at WBCSCCNS2 with the
WMO header ACUS42 KWBC or at the following link:
available at www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc2.html

SURF:  Swells generated by Beryl are expected to gradually
decrease through tonight. Please consult products from
your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.


Forecaster Taylor/Bann