Skip Navigation Links weather.gov 
NOAA logo - Click to go to the NOAA homepage National Weather Service   NWS logo - Click to go to the NWS homepage
The Weather Prediction Center

 
 

 

Follow the Weather Prediction Center on Facebook Follow the Weather Prediction Center on Twitter
NCEP Quarterly Newsletter
WPC Home
Analyses and Forecasts
   National High & Low
   WPC Discussions
   Surface Analysis
   Days ½-2½ CONUS
   Days 3-7 CONUS
   Days 4-8 Alaska
   QPF
   PQPF
   Flood Outlook
   Winter Weather
   Storm Summaries
   Heat Index
   Tropical Products
   Daily Weather Map
   GIS Products
Current Watches/
Warnings

Satellite and Radar Imagery
  GOES-East Satellite
  GOES-West Satellite
  National Radar
Product Archive
WPC Verification
   QPF
   Medium Range
   Model Diagnostics
   Event Reviews
   Winter Weather
International Desks
Development and Training
   Development
WPC Overview
   About the WPC
   Staff
   WPC History
   Other Sites
   FAQs
Meteorological Calculators
Contact Us
   About Our Site
 
USA.gov is the U.S. Government's official web portal to all federal, state, and local government web resources and services.
 
Post-Tropical Cyclone FRANCINE Advisory Number 17
 
Issued 21:00Z Sep 12, 2024
 
Advisory Selection
View advisory number:  22   21   20   19   18   17   


BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Francine Advisory Number  17
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD   AL062024
400 PM CDT Thu Sep 12 2024

...FRANCINE BECOMES A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE...
...HEAVY RAINFALL AND TORNADO THREAT TO CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF
MISSISSIPPI, ALABAMA, GEORGIA, AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...


SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.8N 89.8W
ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM S OF MEMPHIS TENNESSEE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...25 MPH...35 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.42 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
SUMMARY OF WATCHES IN EFFECT:

Flood Watches and Wind Advisories are in effect for portions of the
Southeast U.S near and southeast the path of Francine.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone
Francine was located near latitude 33.8 North, longitude 89.8 West.
The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the north near 9 mph (15
km/h) and Francine is expected to turn move toward the northwest
and slow down.

Maximum sustained winds are near 25 mph (35 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast during the next 24 hours.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 996 mb (29.42 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Francine can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1 and WMO header WTNT41 KNHC.

RAINFALL: Francine is expected to bring storm total rainfall of 4 to
8 inches across portions of Mississippi, eastern Arkansas,
Tennessee, Alabama, Georgia and the Florida Panhandle. Localized
amounts of 12 inches are possible over portions of Alabama, the
Florida Panhandle, and Georgia. This rainfall could lead to
considerable flash and urban flooding.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with
Francine, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total
Rainfall Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at1.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk
graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at1.shtml?ero.  For a list of
rainfall observations (and wind reports) associated this storm, see
the companion storm summary at WBCSCCNS1 with the WMO header ACUS41
KWBC or at the following link:
available at www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc1.html

TORNADOES:  A few tornadoes are possible through this evening
across the Florida Panhandle, southern and central Alabama, and
southwest Georgia.

WIND:  Wind Advisories are in effect across portions of eastern
Arkansas, western and middle Tennessee, Mississippi, Alabama, and
northwest Georgia. A few gusts to tropical storm force are
possible.

SURF:  Swells generated by Francine should subside along the
northern Gulf coast through this evening. These swells are likely to
cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.


Forecaster Taylor/Lamers