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Post-Tropical Cyclone FRANCINE Advisory Number 20
 
Issued 15:00Z Sep 13, 2024
 
Advisory Selection
View advisory number:  22   21   20   19   18   17   


BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Francine Advisory Number  20
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD   AL062024
1000 AM CDT Fri Sep 13 2024

...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOOD THREAT TO CONTINUE ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHEAST...


SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...35.8N 91.4W
ABOUT 80 MI...135 KM NNE OF LITTLE ROCK ARKANSAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...15 MPH...30 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...SE OR 140 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
SUMMARY OF WATCHES IN EFFECT:

Flood Watches are in effect for portions of the Tennessee Valley
and Southeast.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone
Francine was located near latitude 35.8 North, longitude 91.4 West.
The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the southeast near 3 mph
(6 km/h) and an erratic, but slow, southeast motion is expected to
continue today.

Maximum sustained winds are near 15 mph (30 km/h) with higher
gusts. Francine is likely lose a well-defined surface circulation
and dissipate sometime later today.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Francine can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1 and WMO header WTNT41 KNHC.

RAINFALL: Through Sunday, additional rainfall amounts of 3 to 6
inches, with isolated totals around 8 inches, are expected across
portions of central and northern Alabama. This rainfall could lead
to locally considerable flash and urban flooding. Additional
rainfall of 2 to 4 inches is expected across portions of
northeastern Mississippi, western Tennessee, western Georgia and the
Florida Panhandle.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with
Francine, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total
Rainfall Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at1.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk
graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at1.shtml?ero.  For a list of
rainfall observations (and wind reports) associated this storm, see
the companion storm summary at WBCSCCNS1 with the WMO header ACUS41
KWBC or at the following link:
available at www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc1.html


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.


Forecaster Lamers