Breaking News: Court of Appeals for D.C. Circuit Denies Stay in van Hollen Campaign Disclosure Case on 2-1 Vote; Sets Sept.Argument Date

Big news from the D.C. Circuit in this order and opinion.  The opinion for two of the three judges explaining the reasons for denying the stay lean heavily on how the challengers to the district court ruling are unlikely to succeed in their legal arguments on appeal.  The court also stresses the values of disclosure, reaffirmed on an 8-1 vote by the Supreme Court in Citizens United.

But this open a host of unanswered questions about how 501c4 groups and other groups which run issue ads will deal with these new disclosure requirements.(I’m talking here not about political committees such as Crossroads GPS, which masquerade as social welfare groups, but real 501c4s that occassionally get involved with issue adss.)  I expect this stay request to now end up before the Supreme Court, where the outcome may be different.

If further stay attempts fail, and if there are no emergency FEC rules put in place (and the FEC’s frequent 3-3 deadlocks mean new rules are unlikely), we could well see 501c4 groups creating new separate funds to run these ads, so that the groups need disclose the names of only those donors funding these ads (rather than all of their donors).

From a Democracy 21 Press Release (not yet on their website):

This is a very important victory in the battle to end secret contributions being funneled into federal elections,” according to Democracy 21 President Fred Wertheimer, one of the lawyers in the case. “This case represents the first major breakthrough in the effort to restore for the public the disclosure of contributors who are secretly providing massive amounts to influence federal elections,” Wertheimer said….“In the 2010 congressional races, groups making “electioneering communications” disclosed the sources of less than 10 percent of their $79.9 million in “electioneering communications” expenditures,” Wertheimer said….“Every organization making “electioneering communications” in the 2012 presidential and congressional elections is now required to disclose the donors whose funds are being used to pay for their “electioneering communications,” according to Wertheimer. “All groups making “electioneering communications” are now on notice and we expect them to fully comply with the contribution disclosure provisions in the future,” Wertheimer stated. Groups making “electioneering communications” can either set up a separate bank account to fund all of their “electioneering communications” and disclose the donors of $1,000 or more to that bank account, or alternatively the groups are required to disclose all of their donors of $1,000 or more to the organization, according to the disclosure provisions of the campaign finance law….Representative Van Hollen and his lawyers are currently considering bringing a second lawsuit to challenge a similarly flawed FEC regulation that applies to disclosure of contributors funding “independent expenditures,” ads that expressly advocate the election or defeat of a candidate.

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“Two witnesses say Edwards did not have to report $900k”

The latest: “Two witnesses with a wealth of knowledge about campaign finance laws testified in the John Edwards trial Monday that the $900,000 at the heart of the case went to personal expenses for the candidate – and therefore should not be subject to public reporting or campaign finance caps. The jury heard from one of the witnesses – a former Edwards campaign treasurer. But the other, a former Federal Election Commission chairman, testified outside the presence of the jury. The judge limited what he can say if he’s called to the stand later in front of jurors…Judge Catherine Eagles dealt the defense a blow Monday when she severely restricted what Scott Thomas, a former Federal Election Commission chairman, could talk about if he faces the jury. Thomas, who put in 37 years with the government agency that oversees campaign finance compliance and the issues related to it, took the stand Monday after the judge sent the jury home for the day. In a legal proceeding that must take place outside the jury’s presence, Thomas offered a glimpse of what he might say if called to testify. ‘These are intensely personal by their very nature,’ Thomas said of the $900,000 in payments used to support Hunter when she was pregnant with Edwards’ child, who is now 4.”

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“The Public Eye: Capital-area voter fraud suspects have criminal histories”

SacBee: “The owner and an employee of a company accused of fraudulent voter registration drives in Sacramento County have been convicted of crimes of deception in the past. The owner of Momentum Political Services, Monica Harris, has an extensive criminal history, including a prison sentence for stealing from a family she befriended and buying a van with funds stolen from a youth agency, court records show. Two of her victims called Harris a ‘professional con artist.’…Jill LaVine, Sacramento County’s registrar of voters, has turned over evidence of what she called registration fraud to the California Secretary of State’s Office. She said that at least one-fourth of the 31,000 registration cards submitted by Harris and her circulators since September have been rejected for inaccuracies. Momentum Political Services was hired by the Republican Party of Sacramento County to conduct voter registration drives. LaVine said her office found numerous examples of people of having their political party affiliation switched to Republican against their wishes.”

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Americans Elect Admits Its Selection Process Has Failed; New Procedures Coming

The following press release arrived via email:

A Statement by Americans Elect CEO Kahlil Byrd

12:01 A.M., MAY 15, 2012 -  Over the past two years, Americans Elect has focused on achieving three clear goals:

·      Gaining nationwide ballot access for a third presidential ticket to compete in the 2012 race;
·      Holding the first ever nonpartisan secure national online primary at AmericansElect.org; and
·      Fielding a credible, balanced, unaffiliated ticket for the 2012 presidential race.

Through the efforts of thousands of staffers, volunteers, and leadership, Americans Elect has achieved every stated operational goal. Despite these efforts, as of today, no candidate has reached the national support threshold required to enter the “Americans Elect Online Convention” this June.  (Read a detailed summary of the AE process here and the full rules here.)

Because of this, under the rules that AE delegates ratified, the primary process would end today. There is, however, an almost universal desire among delegates, leadership and millions of Americans who have supported AE to see a credible candidate emerge from this process.

Every step of the way, AE has conferred with its community before making major decisions. We will do the same this week before determining next steps for the immediate future. AE will announce the results of these conversations on Thursday, May 17.

As always, we thank everyone who has participated in this effort and will honor the work, efforts and trust so many people have placed in Americans Elect.

###

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“Watchdogs Challenge Latest Attempt by Outside Group to Skirt Disclosure Laws”

Release: “Today, the Campaign Legal Center, together with Democracy 21, filed comments urging the Federal Election Commission (FEC) to reject an attempt by America Future Fund (AFF) to avoid filing electioneering communications reports and disclosing donors for a series of proposed ads.  In Advisory Opinion Request 2012-19, AFF asks the agency whether eight submitted television advertisements would trigger the reporting requirements for electioneering communications.”

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“May 16 Court Simulation to Test Principles of Election Law “

Important event at William and Mary:

The Election Law Program, a joint project of the College of William & Mary and the National Center for State Courts, will present an election litigation simulation at the Judicial Conference of Virginia in Norfolk, Va., on May 16. The simulation is the first in a series of moot court proceedings intended to highlight issues in state election laws in advance of the 2012 elections and to educate judges about why election law litigation is unique. The series is made possible by generous grant support from the Deer Creek Foundation. Reporters are welcome to attend.

“State election statutes are often vague. Often, problems in election law statutes go unnoticed. It typically takes a perilously close election to test the strength of such statutes.  The Election Law Program, with the help of Professor Edward Foley of the Mortiz College of Law, has come up with a war gaming mechanism to do just that,” said Rebecca Green, Professor of the Practice of Law at William & Mary Law School and Coordinator of the Election Law Program.

The case to be used in the May 16 trial involves a malfunctioning voting machine that could cost the Republican candidate the election. The main question to be addressed is what authority the court has to “look inside” the machine to try to retrieve the missing ballots. Two prominent election attorneys, Stefan Passantino and Jessica Ring Amunson, will argue the fictional case before a three-judge panel.

Law students Megan Mitchell ’13 and Jim Ogorzalek ’14  have provided valuable research assistance for the project, writing war game scenarios and briefs in preparation for the event.

Created in 2005 as a joint venture of the National Center for State Courts and the College of William & Mary, the Election Law Program seeks to provide practical assistance to state court judges called upon to resolve difficult election law disputes. In 2008, the Program published a manual for judges that discusses and analyzes election law issues and the judicial relief available for election law violations. The Program also produces a series of  web-based lectures designed to educate judges and journalists about the fundamentals of election law.

Editor’s Note: Reporters who cover Virginia elections may benefit from attending the event. Reporters who wish to attend should contact Professor Rebecca Green at (757) 221-3851 (rgreen@wm.edu).

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“Judges Throw Out Election Lawsuit “

AP: “Columbia, SC (WLTX, AP) -  A panel of federal judges threw out a lawsuit dealing with primary ballots sent overseas.”

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Read the Don Siegelman Reply to Cert Petition Opposition

Here.  My earlier coverage is here.

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“How Justice Souter Almost Left the Supreme Court in a Blaze of Glory”

The Atlantic Wire reports.

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“Sen. Alexander’s Solution: Throw Gas on the Fire”

Meredith McGehee: “Recently, Sen. Lamar Alexander (R-Tenn.) proposed eliminating limits on contributions to political candidates as the solution to the current campaign finance mess. He says unlimited contributions to candidates won’t further empower the wealthy; they will just create more political speech. And he said this with a straight face!”

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“In new TV ad, Sherman tries to differentiate himself from Berman”

The Jewish Journal reports.

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Save July 17 for 2d Annual Supreme Court Term in Review Event at UCI Law

Second Annual Supreme Court Term in Review Program

Tuesday, July 17, 2012
12:00 – 1:30 P.M.

University of California, Irvine School of Law (Map)

This exciting and entertaining program reviews the Supreme Court’s key cases decided in the Fall 2011 term, with an all-star panel of Supreme Court journalists and academics.

Panelists

This program is free and open to the public, but please RSVP online, as space is limited.

CLE credit will be available. The event will also be webcast, with viewers able to submit questions via Twitter, using the hash tag #ucilawscotus at the end of your question.

Watch the Video of last year’s program featuring Chemerinsky, Eastman, Levenson, Lithwick, and Savage.

Should be a great one this year too!

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“Court turns away PR congressional vote lawsuit”

AP reports.

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“In Florida, Registering Voters A Whole New Game”

NPR reports.

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Federal District Court Orders Ohio Senate President to Dismiss Case in Ohio Supreme Court Involving Provisional Ballots

Ohio Republican leaders are trying to get around a federal consent decree concerning Ohio’s rules for handling provisional ballots by going to state court.  Today the federal court which entered the consent decree ordered the leaders to dismiss their state suit lest it lead to conflicting orders from courts to the Ohio Secretary of state.

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The Big News in Jeff Toobin’s Must-Read New Yorker Piece on Citizens United: Justice Souter’s Unpublished Dissent

Jeff Toobin’s piece, a preview of his forthcoming book, The Oath, provides inside details on the Court’s workings related to Citizens United which I have not seen reported anywhere else (and some of which might be contested).  Most interesting to me is why the Court set the case for reargument on the question whether the Court should overrule the Court’s earlier precedent requiring corporations to fund election ads through PACs.

On June 29, 2009, the day the Court put off deciding Citizens United, I wrote the following in a Slate column:

If Roberts and Justice Alito were ready to overrule Austin, why not do it now? I can think of two possible reasons. They may not have wanted to take the plunge on Justice Souter’s last day on the court. He has been an ardent defender of these laws. Perhaps more to the point, Justice Alito, in two campaign-finance cases, has said that he would not consider revisiting old campaign-finance precedent until the issue was squarely before the court and briefed. In other words, Alito wants a full airing of the issues before taking such a momentous step.

If Toobin’s account is correct, my speculation was in the neighborhood but not quite right:

As the senior Justice in the minority, John Paul Stevens assigned the main dissent to Souter, who was working on the opinion when he announced his departure, on April 30th. Souter wrote a dissent that aired some of the Court’s dirty laundry. By definition, dissents challenge the legal conclusions of the majority, but Souter accused the Chief Justice of violating the Court’s own procedures to engineer the result he wanted.

Roberts didn’t mind spirited disagreement on the merits of any case, but Souter’s attack—an extraordinary, bridge-burning farewell to the Court—could damage the Court’s credibility. So the Chief came up with a strategically ingenious maneuver. He would agree to withdraw Kennedy’s draft majority opinion and put Citizens United down for reargument, in the fall. For the second argument, the Court would write new Questions Presented, which frame a case before argument, and there would be no doubt about the stakes of the case. The proposal put the liberals in a box. They could no longer complain about being sandbagged, because the new Questions Presented would be unmistakably clear. But, as Roberts knew, the conservatives would go into the second argument already having five votes for the result they wanted. With no other choice (and no real hope of ever winning the case), the liberals agreed to the reargument.

On June 29, 2009, the last day of the term, the Court shocked the litigants—and the political world—by announcing, “The case is restored to the calendar for reargument.”

Of course, Justice Stevens accused the majority of doing the same thing—engineering the case to get the result it wanted.  But the criticism that the Court decided the issue without briefing was gone thanks to the reargument.

Perhaps one day in my lifetime some Justice’s papers (but not Justice Souter’s) will reveal Justice Souter’s draft dissent.

 

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“John Edwards defense: prosecution theory OKs campaign-paid abortions”

Must-read Gerstein.

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“West Virginia frets over felon’s performance”

Charlie Mahtesian blogs.

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Tom Edsall on the Changing Nature of the Lobbying Industry

Here, at Campaign Stops.

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“Study: Public Financing Contributes to Greater Diversity of Participation in NYC Elections; New Analysis by Campaign Finance Institute and Brennan Center Finds Striking Differences between the Donors to City and State Elections”

This press release begins:

A new report jointly released today by the Campaign Finance Institute of Washington DC and the Brennan Center for Justice at the NYU School of Law offers powerful evidence that New York City’s public financing system has contributed to a fundamental change in the relationship between candidates and their donors. With the program in place, there has been a dramatic increase in the number and diversity of the city’s residents who participate in the process.

New York State is considering a system of public campaign financing for state elections similar to New York City’s small donor matching fund program, based in part on the assumption that it would bring greater fairness and diversity to state elections. The results of this new study support that claim.

Entitled “Donor Diversity through Public Matching Funds,” the report is based on a fine-grained and original analysis of the New York City census block groups in which the city and state election donors reside. The results show that small donors to 2009 City Council candidates came from a much broader array of city neighborhoods than the city’s small donors to 2010 State Assembly candidates. By looking at how the same neighborhoods behaved over two sets of elections, the study was able to control for the potential donor pool’s underlying demographics and politics. The study compared the City Council to the Assembly because the two office’s constituencies are roughly the same size.

(The full report, Donor Diversity through Public Matching Funds can be viewed on or downloaded from the web sites of the Campaign Finance Institute and the Brennan Center.)

Some of the most revealing statistics from the report include:

    • Participation from across the city: Almost 90 percent of the city’s census block groups were home to someone — and often, many people — who gave $175 or less to a City Council candidate in 2009. In contrast, two-thirds of the census block groups housed no small donors at all to candidates who ran for the State Assembly in 2010.
    • Participation from socioeconomically diverse neighborhoods: The neighborhoods in which City Council small donors reside were more representative of New York City as a whole. They have lower incomes, higher poverty rates, and higher concentrations of minority residents than the neighborhoods where State Assembly small donors reside. All of these differences were statistically significant.
    • More participation from minority communities: Twenty-four times more small donors from the poor and predominately black Bedford-Stuyvesant neighborhood and the surrounding communities gave money to candidates for the City Council than for the State Assembly. For Chinatown the advantage was 23 to 1. In the heavily Latino neighborhoods of Upper Manhattan and South Bronx, it was 12 to 1.
    • Greater impact of donations from neighborhoods of color: The poor neighborhoods of color we analyzed were also financially more important to City Council candidates than to State Assembly candidates. In financial terms, the donors from Bedford-Stuyvesant and surrounding neighborhoods were more than 11 times as important for City Council candidates as they were than for candidates running for State Assembly. For Chinatown, the figure was 7 to 1.

The study’s co-authors are Elisabeth Genn, Counsel for the Brennan Center’s Democracy Program; Sundeep Iyer, Principal Quantitative Analyst at the Brennan Center; Michael J. Malbin, Executive Director of the Campaign Finance Institute and Professor of Political Science at the University at Albany (SUNY); and Brendan Glavin, Data and Systems Manager at the Campaign Finance Institute.

The report’s co-authors conclude: “The city’s public financing system gives candidates an incentive to reach out to a broader and more diverse array of constituents to fund their campaigns. In so doing, the city’s public financing system appears to have achieved one of its key goals — strengthening the connections between public officials and their constituents.”

MORE in this video.

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“One-Man Florida SuperPAC Finances Attack on Obama in Ohio”

Bloomberg reports.

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“Crossroads Generation, New GOP-Backed Super PAC, Aims To Attract Young Voters”

AP reports.

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“For Tea Party, Focus Turns to Senate and Shake-Up”

NYT reports.

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“Three justices miffed over rejected Judicial Commission appointment”

The latest from Wisconsin: “The animosity surrounding the state Supreme Court flared again Friday when Chief Justice Shirley Abrahamson and two colleagues protested a decision by the court’s conservative wing to reject the reappointment of the chairman of the Judicial Commission….The letter drew an immediate rebuke from Justice David Prosser, who faces an ethics charge through the Judicial Commission. Prosser was accused of putting his hands on Bradley’s neck last June after she confronted him face to face in her office….’Well, sure there is friction,’ Prosser said. ‘It’s because the chief justice basically insisted that John be reappointed. And it’s as if we didn’t reappoint him, anybody who didn’t vote for him was corrupt. And that word was used. It was basically a threat: If we didn’t vote for John Dawson, the chief justice was going to expose this to the world.’”

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Lessig Says Roemer Would Pledge Not to Be Spoiler in Presidential Election If He Has No Realistic Chance of Winning

See here. “Though he says he’s in this race to win, if he became the Americans Elect candidate, he has now committed to a crucial promise: if at the end of the race, Roemer writes, ‘I discover I have no realistic chance of winning, I will ask my supporters to vote their conscience or for their second choice so the issue of spoiler can be dropped once and for all.’”

I wonder how that will go down with the AE funders who decide which candidates get to go on the ballot.

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“Oregon Secretary of State Kate Brown’s office bungled enforcement of state election law in Portland schools case”

The Oregonian reports.

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“Voter apathy — not Florida’s new voting laws — may hurt turnout in 2012″

Must-read Miami Herald:

This isn’t Bull Connor siccing German shepherds on people. It’s also nothing like Florida’s Jim Crow-era constitutional provision denying former felons the right to vote in a state where more than half the prison population is black.

This is the Republican Party changing election-year rules to keep the voter-registration rolls from quickly growing more Democratic.

“I don’t see it as voter suppression,” said Daniel A Smith, a University of Florida political scientist who is studying the new law’s effects. “This is more an effort to constrain voter participation under the guise of fighting fraud.”

Smith points out that the data clearly show the elections law disproportionately affects black and Hispanic voters.

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“2012 election drowning in secret money”

Michael Kirkland has written this UPI column.

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“Democrats’ Fund Taps Corporate Donors for Convention”

WSJ: “Democrats have trumpeted their ban on corporate donations to their national convention this summer, saying that it shows they are free from the influence of special interests. But through a special fund, convention planners are accepting millions of dollars in corporate contributions to help pay for many of the activities outside the convention hall—as well as some expenses directly related to the event. Donors include Wells Fargo WFC +0.36% & Co., Bank of America Corp. BAC -1.95% and Duke Energy Corp., DUK -0.32% all significant employers in Charlotte, N.C., where the convention will be held in early September.”

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“Republicans have taken a more polarizing political turn than Democrats in recent years”

Ezra Klein column.

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“The Struggle to Vote”

This NYT editorial begins: “It was nearly 10 p.m. on Wednesday when Paul Broun, a Republican congressman from Georgia, rose on the House floor to propose that no more money be spent enforcing a section of the Voting Rights Act of 1965.”

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“Is Black and Latino Voter Registration Threatened or Not?”

This Nation report includes a response from the Washington Post to criticism of the article’s reliance on census dept. data.

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“House Votes to Slash Political Science Funding”

Disturbing.

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Two from Findlaw

Will SCOTUS Stamp Out Montana’s Constitutional Mischief? (FindLaw’s U.S. Supreme Court blog): Citizens United — the group, not the case — wants the High Court to intervene in a challenge to Montana’s campaign finance law.

http://blogs.findlaw.com/supreme_court/2012/05/will-scotus-stamp-out-montanas-constitutional-mischief.html

 

You Can’t HAVA Federal Relief in a Local Recount (FindLaw’s U.S. Ninth Circuit blog): Why federal law does not mandate ballot recount methods for non-federal offices.

http://blogs.findlaw.com/ninth_circuit/2012/04/you-cant-hava-federal-relief-in-a-local-recount.html

 

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“What Has Made Congress More Polarized?”

Sean Trende on Mann, Ornstein and the Poole-Rosenthal DW-NOMINATE scores of Congrss.

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“Assisted voting in Hidalgo election raises questions”

Troubling report from South Texas: “One in five people who cast early ballots in Hidalgo’s City Council election brought someone else into the voting booth for help, Hidalgo County Elections Administrator Yvonne Ramon said Thursday. While Texas law allows voters to seek assistance in special circumstances, unusually high assistance rates often indicate political machines — and, critics say, voter coercion — at work. Of the 2,144 people who voted early in the Hidalgo election, 483 had help, Ramon said, about 22.5 percent of voters.”

As with absentee ballots, the ability to verify how someone vote through “assistance” facilitates both vote buying and coercion.  This certainly merits further investigation.

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“Judge refuses to dismiss John Edwards charges”

AP: “- A federal judge refused to throw out campaign corruption charges against John Edwards on Friday, meaning the former presidential hopeful will have to present his case to a jury.”

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“The First Amendment, Political Speech, and the Future of Campaign Finance Laws”

The latest from the Constitutional Accountability Center.

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“Overseas Ballot Flap: Domicile’s Stained Glass Goes Global”

A ChapinBlog.

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“Civil rights groups launch voter registration drives earlier”

USA Today reports.

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Get Me Rewrite

Political Wire’s “Headline of the Day’ not to be missed.

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“In film, Walker talks of ‘divide and conquer’ union strategy”

This appears to be a big deal in the Wisconsin recall campaign.

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The Latest on the South Carolina Ballot Access Issue

AP has it.

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“Hatch Asks IRS to Investigate Leak of Marriage Organization’s Donors”

Bloomberg BNA: “Senate Finance Committee ranking member Orrin Hatch (R-Utah) has asked the Internal Revenue Service to respond by May 29 with an investigation of how the National Organization for Marriage’s confidential donor information ended up in the hands of the Human Rights Campaign and a well-known news site….Hatch also said the 2008 Schedule B is a PDF document that ‘appears to have been deliberately altered in a manner to obscure information that would identify its origins with the IRS.’”

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“Super PACs, Conservatives Lead Surge In Independent Spending On Congressional Races”

Must-read Paul Blumental for HuffPo.

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“Federal judges could decide to delay SC primaries”

AP: “A three-judge panel will meet next week to consider delaying South Carolina’s June 12 primaries in the wake of a state Supreme Court decision that removed nearly 200 candidates from ballots.”

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van Hollen Decision as a Natural Experiment?

Perhaps.

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“Potential perfect storm of changes await Idaho voters next week; Election officials work to prepare voters for what’s to come”

That’s the lead story in this week’s Electionline Weekly.

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“Prosecutors’ gamble: not calling John Edwards’s mistress”

Josh Gerstein reports.

Edwards is apparently not impressed with the prosecutors’ case.

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“Voter Suppression Groups Plot a Million-Person Army to Swarm Polls”

More Mock on True the Vote.

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