A pitiless crackdown on illegal immigration. A hardline
approach to law and order. A purge of “gender ideology” and “wokeness” from the
nation’s schools. Erosions of academic freedom, judicial independence and the
free press. An alliance with Christian nationalism. An assault on democratic
institutions, writes David Smith of The Guardian.
The “electoral
autocracy” that is Viktor Orbán’s Hungary has been long revered by Donald
Trump and his “Make America Great Again” (Maga) movement. Now admiration is
turning into emulation. In the early weeks of Trump’s second term as US
president, analysts say, there are alarming signs that the Orbánisation of
America has begun.
With the tech billionaire Elon Musk at his side, Trump has
moved with astonishing velocity to fire critics, punish media, reward allies,
gut the federal government, exploit presidential immunity and test the limits
of his authority. Many of their actions have been unconstitutional and illegal.
With Congress impotent, only
the federal courts have slowed them down.
“They are copying the path taken by other would-be dictators
like Viktor Orbán,” said Chris
Murphy, a Democratic senator for Connecticut. “You have a move towards
state-controlled media. You have a judiciary and law enforcement that seems
poised to prioritise the prosecution of political opponents. You have the
executive seizure of spending power so the leader and only the leader gets to
dictate who gets money.”
Orbán, who came to power in 2010, was once described as “Trump
before Trump” by the US president’s former adviser Steve Bannon. His
long-term dismantling of institutions and control of media in Hungary serves as
a cautionary tale about how seemingly incremental changes can pave the way for
authoritarianism.
Orbán has described his country as “a petri dish for
illiberalism”. His party used its two-thirds majority to rewrite the
constitution, capture institutions and change electoral law. He reconfigured
the judiciary and public universities to ensure long-term party loyalty.
The prime minister created a system of rewards and
punishments, giving control of money and media to allies. An estimated 85% of
media outlets are controlled by the Hungarian government, allowing Orbán to shape
public opinion and marginalise dissent. Orbán has been also masterful at
weaponising “family values” and anti-immigration rhetoric to mobilise his base.
Orbán’s fans in the US include Vice-President JD Vance, the
media personality Tucker Carlson and Kevin Roberts, the head of the Heritage
Foundation thinktank, who once said: “Modern Hungary is not just a model
for conservative statecraft but the model.” The Heritage Foundation
produced Project 2025, a far-right blueprint for Trump’s second term.
Orbán has addressed the Conservative Political Action
Conference and two months ago travelled
to the Mar-a-Lago estate in Florida for talks with both Trump and Musk. He
has claimed that “we have entered the policy writing system of President Donald
Trump’s team” and “have deep involvement there”.
But even Orbán might be taken aback – and somewhat envious –
of the alacrity that Trump has shown since returning to power, attacking the
foundations of democracy not with a chisel but a sledgehammer.
On day one he pardoned about 1,500 people who took part in
the 6 January 2021 insurrection, including those who violently attacked US
Capitol police in an effort to overturn his election defeat. Driven by
vengeance, he dismissed federal prosecutors involved in Trump-related
investigations and hinted
at a further targeting of thousands of FBI agents who worked on
January 6-related cases.
Bill
Kristol, director of the advocacy group Defending Democracy Together and a
former official in the Ronald Reagan White House, said: “Flipping the
narrative on January 6, becoming a pro-January 6 administration, then
weaponising the justice department and talking at least of mass firings at the
FBI – that’s further than the norm and very dangerous for obvious reasons.
“If he could do that, he could do anything. Why can’t he
order the justice department to investigate you and me and 50 other people? One
assumes the lawyers at justice or the FBI agents wouldn’t do it, but if a
couple of thousand have been cleared out and the rest are intimidated. I’m not
hysterical but I do think the threat is much more real now than people
anticipated it being a month ago.”
Borrowing from Orbán’s playbook, Trump has mobilised
the culture wars, issuing a series of executive orders and policy changes
that target diversity, equity and inclusion programmes and education curricula.
This week he
signed an executive order aimed at banning transgender athletes from
competing in women’s sports and directed the attorney general, Pam Bondi, to
lead a taskforce on eradicating what he called anti-Christian bias within the
federal government.
He is also seeking to marginalise the mainstream media and
supplant it with a rightwing ecosystem that includes armies of influencers and
podcasters. A “new media” seat has been added to the White House press briefing
room while Silicon Valley billionaires were prominent at his inauguration.
Musk’s X is a powerful mouthpiece, Mark Zuckerberg’s Facebook has abandoned
factchecking and the Chinese-owned TikTok could become part-owned by
the US.
Trump has sued news organisations over stories or even
interview edits; some have settled the cases. The Pentagon said it
would “rotate” four major news outlets from their workspace and replace them
with more Trump-friendly media. Jim Acosta, a former White House correspondent
who often sparred with Trump, quit CNN while Lara Trump, the president’s
daughter-in-law, was
hired to host a new weekend show on Rupert Murdoch’s Fox News.
But the most dramatic change has been the way in which Trump
has brought disruption to the federal government on an unprecedented scale,
firing at least 17
inspectors general, dismantling longstanding programmes, sparking
widespread public outcry and challenging the very role of Congress to create
the nation’s laws and pay its bills.
Government workers are being pushed to resign, entire agencies are being
shuttered and federal funding to states and non-profits was temporarily frozen.
The most sensitive treasury department information of countless Americans was
opened to Musk’s “department of government efficiency” (Doge) team in a breach
of privacy and protocol, raising concerns about potential misuse of federal
funds.
Musk’s
allies orchestrated a physical takeover of the United States Agency for
International Development (USAid), locking out employees and vowing to shut
it down, with the secretary of state, Marco Rubio, stepping
in as acting administrator. “We spent the weekend feeding USAID into
the wood chipper,” Musk posted on
X.
Musk’s team has also heavily influenced the office of
personnel management (OPM), offering federal workers a “buyout” and installing
loyalists into key positions. It is also pushing for a 50% budget cut and
implementing “zero-based budgeting” at the General Services Administration
(GSA), which controls federal properties and massive contracts.
Musk, a private citizen who has tens of billions of dollars
in government contracts, is slashing and burning his way through Washington
with little accountability and has significant potential conflicts of interest.
An array of lawsuits is demanding interventions to stop him unilaterally
gutting government. Protests are erupting outside government agencies and
jamming congressional phone lines.
But critics aiming to sound the alarm that a shadow government is conducting a
hostile takeover face intimidation or punishment. Edward Martin, the interim US
attorney for the District of Columbia, threatened
legal action against anyone who “impedes” Doge’s work or “threatens”
its people. Martin posted on X: “We are in contact with FBI and other
law-enforcement partners to proceed rapidly. We also have our prosecutors
preparing.”
Murphy, the Democratic senator, said: “What’s most
worrying to me right now is there’s a whole campaign under way to try to punish
and suppress Trump and Musk’s political enemies. It started with the pardoning
of the January 6 rioters; now everybody knows that they are at risk of having
the shit beat out of them if they oppose Donald Trump.
“It extended to the seizure of government funding. It’s
clear now that Musk and Trump are going to fund entities and states and
congressional districts that support them and will withhold funds from entities
and states and congressional districts that don’t support them.”
He added: “Now you have this lawyer who represented January
6 defendants, the new acting DC US attorney, trolling activists online,
threatening them with federal prosecution. It’s dizzying campaign of political
repression that looks more like Russia than the United States.”
Democrats such as Murphy are determined to fight back but,
being in the minority, have few tools at their disposal. Republicans have
mostly appeared content to cede their own power. The party’s fealty to Trump
was demonstrated again this week when senators in committee voted to move
forward with the nominations of Tulsi Gabbard and Robert F Kennedy Jr as
director of national intelligence and health secretary respectively – two
mavericks whose selection would have been unthinkable just a year ago.
Charlie Sykes, a
conservative author and broadcaster, said: “There had been some lingering
optimism that at least some Republican senators would draw the line at some of
the more absurd Maga appointees but that hasn’t happened. That also demoralises
any potential opposition.”
He added: “What Elon Musk represents
is basically a hostile takeover of the government and the complete indifference
of the Republican Congress to the ways that it is being stripped of its core
constitutional functions is demoralising. It is this mood that nothing can be
done or will be done to stop them. You’re seeing that in the business
community, in the political community, and it’s a fundamental loss of faith in
the rule of law and in our system of checks and balances.”
One guardrail is holding for now. Courts have temporarily blocked
Trump’s efforts to end birthright citizenship, cull the government workforce
and freeze federal funding. Even so, commentators warn that the blatant
disregard for congressional authority, erosion of civil service protections and
concentration of power in the executive branch pose a grave threat.
Larry
Jacobs, director of the Center for the Study of Politics and Governance at
the University of Minnesota, said: “You’d have to have your eyes fully closed
not to be deeply concerned and outraged about the vacuum that Donald Trump is
operating in now. In a real sense, US democracy has died this month. It doesn’t
mean it’s dead for the long term but at this moment the idea of an accountable
representative system, as the framers of the constitution wrote it, is no
longer present.”
To read more CLICK HERE