Showing posts with label odierno. Show all posts
Showing posts with label odierno. Show all posts

Thursday, July 9, 2009

Did Obama Do A Quid Pro Quo With Iran?


Iran is still supporting, funding, training surrogates who operate inside of Iraq — flat out. They have not stopped. And I don’t think they will stop. I think they will continue to do that because they are also concerned, in my opinion, of where Iraq is headed. They want to try to gain influence here, and they will continue to do that. I think many of the attacks in Baghdad are from individuals that have been, in fact, funded or trained by the Iranians.

Gen. Raymond T. Odierno, Cdr, Multi-National Forces-Iraq, quoted in Americans Release Iranian Detainees to Iraq, NYT, 9 July 2009

The NYT reports that, today, the U.S. military in Iraq released five senior operatives of Iran's Qods Force / IRGC. The question is why?

Iran cannot coexist with a secular, Shia democracy on their border. It stands for everything that Iran's theocracy is not. Thus, the mad mullahs of the theocracy have shown every willingness to kill and cause mayhem inside Iraq in an effort to turn that country into another Lebanon, ruled by a Shia militia whose loyalty is to Iran's Supreme Guide. The U.S. has been capturing Qods Force / IRGC soldiers in Iraq since 2006. The IRGC members the U.S. captured in Iraq were the men on the ground leading and funding Iran's effort. Iran's theocracy has not, will not, and indeed, cannot stop its efforts in Iraq. So what could possibly justify the U.S. releasing five senior Qods Force/IRGC members to return to Iran. And today, such a policy is thrown into stark relief as the people of Iran are marching in the streets, braving brutal repression at the IRGC.

The NYT claims the release is "unexpected" and difficult to comprehend. The official line is that it was done per a request from the Maliki government, though "senior Iraqi officials seemed to know little about the release." So what gives? Michael Ledeen ties it to the release of Roxana Saberi, and it seems the only explanation that makes sense.

Several weeks ago, Roxana Saberi, a U.S. citizen of Iranian decent, moved to Iran as a reporter where she was eventually made a pawn of Iranian regime. Arrested for espionage, she was subject to a kangaroo trial and ordered jailed for eight years. Days after she was jailed, Ahmedinejad intervened and she was, as the WSJ noted at the time, "unexpectedly released". That was the "quid" - the unanwered question being what was the "pro quo." Today we may well have an answer with the first of what may be numerous releases of Iranian IRGC members in Iraq who orchestrated "deadly attacks" as part of the effort to Lebanize that country.

This from Michael Ledeen:

. . . [I]n an appalling act of appeasement, we released five Revolutionary Guards officers in Iraq, so that they could go to Tehran (and I doubt they will join the nocturnal chanters). . . .

The timing could hardly have been worse, and I’m sure the White House is roundly annoyed that this happened just on a day when the regime’s claws and fangs were so publicly exposed. The White House had set the release up for several days ago, but then the Almighty–in the form of intense sandstorms that made it impossible to fly in and out of Tehran–intervened.

If my information is correct – and I must say I have rarely had a story so vigorously denied by my own government – this is part of the deal for Roxana Saberi, who, you’ll remember, was miraculously released from an Iranian prison a couple of months ago. These IRGC commanders – with, I am told, hundreds of lower-level Iranian terror facilitators to come in the next days and weeks – were Iran’s price for freeing the American hostage.

I had inklings of this, and said so at the time. So I’ll take the opportunity to remind everyone who follows Iranian matters, that the mullahs’ hostages are never released for humanitarian motives. They are ransomed. The only question is the price.

When I asked some folks in the government, about a week ago, if we were preparing to release these people, they acted as if I’d asked if the Vice President were about to convert to Islam. But the releases have started. . . .

At the next briefing on Iraq from Gen. Odierno, he needs to be asked explicitly about this. I cannot see our militrary agreeing to repatriate these individuals who have been reponsible for the killing and maiming of hundreds of U.S. soldiers.

As to Ms. Saberi, her plight was sympathetic, but she had to know before she went there that the mad mullahs were always capable of acting like mad mullahs. Under no circumstances should we have agreed to release Qods Force members to secure her freedom. That said, it is an act I would not in the least put past the Obama administration.








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Wednesday, May 13, 2009

Obama Does A "Complete 180" On Releasing Detainee Abuse Photos To ACLU

Obama has, as ABC White House Correspondent Jack Tapper puts it, done a "complete 180" on the issue of whether to release 44 more detainee abuse photos pursuant to a FOIA lawsuit brought by the ACLU. The photos date to the Abu Ghraib time frame and come from DOD investigative files. The primary effect of their release is quite predictable - to provide the radical Muslim element with a propaganda windfall and to put our soldiers in greater danger. That is weighted against the ACLU claim that it would show how evil BushHitler was, or something like that.

Obama, three weeks ago, had stopped court proceedings on this issue, indicating that the U.S. would release the photos without any further defense. Sec. of Def. Gates, in the link above, indicated that he passed on the warning to Obama from Gen. Odierno - that such release of photos would "cost American lives." I can't imagine that alone would be a tipping point for Obama, given his prior positions on things such as genocide in Iraq. But Obama is under fire for his blatantly political decision to release the carefully redacted torture memos and the ramifications of that decision are clearly getting away from him. I would imagination that the tipping point lies in the latter rather than the former.

Update: It has been pointed out that Obama is supposed to give a major speech in Egypt very shortly after the May 28 release date set for the photos. Could that also have influenced his decision?







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Thursday, April 24, 2008

Petraeus, Odierno, Iraq and Iran

Secretary of Defense Gates announced yesterday that General David Petraeus, currently the Commander of all Multi-National Forces in Iraq, has been nominated for the position of Centcom Commander with authority over our military in Iraq, Afghanistan and the larger Middle East. LTG Odierno has been nominated to take over the MNF-I Command Petraeus is vacating. These nominations have important political implications and may signal a willingness to begin to take on Iran and its proxy war.

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This from the Washington Post:

Army Gen. David H. Petraeus, the top U.S. commander in Iraq and the public face of the war effort there, became President Bush's nominee yesterday to supervise U.S. military operations in the Middle East and Central Asia as head of Central Command, putting him in position to oversee American strategy in Iraq for years to come.

Lt. Gen. Raymond T. Odierno, who worked closely with Petraeus as the No. 2 commander in Iraq until two months ago, was nominated to receive a fourth star and to take Petraeus's current job as the leader of Multi-National Force-Iraq. . . .

Read the article. Clearly Petraeus and Odierno are both emininently qualified duo for promotion to these positions based on their proven track record of success in Iraq.

This also means that new round of Congressional committee hearings will be scheduled in May or June to approve these nominations. This will put the issues of Iraq, Iran, al Qaeda and Afghanistan back squarely in the public consciousness to compete with the marathon Democratic nomination battle.

Lastly, and most importantly, it may well signal a hardening of our position against Iran. Both Petraeus and Odierno are vocal about Iran's proxy war. I wrote earlier that our next move should be a limited attack against Iran's Qods force and related assets on Iranian soil both as a necessary step for self defense and to put the threat of force clearly back on the table as to Iran's sprint towards a nuclear arsenal.


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Wednesday, March 5, 2008

The Iranian Threat - & Presidential Preferences

LTG Ray Odierno calls Iran the greatest long-term threat to Iraq. We are in a shooting war with Iran inside Iraq, where Iraq seeks a weak government that it can influence and control. Beyond Iraq, Iran is an ever-growing apocolyptic threat as it speeds up its development towards a nuclear arsenal. And Iran has weighed in on U.S. politics, making clear who they do and do not want to see in the Oval Office in 2009.
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It's long been clear, including to the 300,000 Iraqi Shiites who in November signed a petition decrying Iran's deadly meddling in their country, that Iran poses the greatest long-term threat to Iraq. A few days ago, I wrote in a post that "Iran, long term, poses the most significant threat to Iraq." And yesterday, our second highest ranking general in Iraq, LTG Ray Odierno, stated the same opinion:

Iran may pose the greatest long-term threat to Iraq's stability, a U.S. general said on Tuesday, the day after Iran's president wrapped up a visit to Baghdad.

Army Lt. Gen Ray Odierno, who recently ended a 15-month assignment as the No. 2 U.S. commander in Iraq, said Iran continued to train extremist militia groups in Iraq.

. . . The U.S. military has repeatedly accused Iran of training, supplying and funding Shi'ite militias in Iraq. Iran has denied the accusations.

Ahmadinejad's visit was the first to Iraq by an Iranian president since the two countries fought an eight-year war in the 1980s in which 1 million people were killed.

Iraq's Shi'ite-led government has sought good relations with Iran, another Shi'ite majority country.

But Odierno said he believed Iran wanted Iraq to have only a weak government.

. . . Odierno singled out Iran as a factor of particular concern.

Asked if he saw Iran as the greatest long-term threat to Iraq's stability, he said: "If you ask me what I worry about most, I do. I do worry about that as a long-term threat."

Odierno said he had mentioned Iran in discussions with President George W. Bush at the White House on Monday.

He said the United States had "pretty clear" evidence that Iran was still training Shi'ite "special groups."

He also said U.S. forces in Iraq continued to find many deadly armor-piercing munitions which the U.S. military says come from Iran, but he could not tell whether Iran had slowed the flow of those weapons. . . .

Read the article.

On the nuclear front, Iran is "redoubling" its efforts to enrich uranium, with the latest assessments being that Iran will be capable of producing an atomic by by 2010. Sanctions, even those with some bite, will simply not stop the Iranian theocracy. Despite the ridiculous assertions in our recent NIE to the contrary, Iran is hell bent on developing a nuclear arsenal seemingly at any cost.

And Iran is clear on its choice for President. It's Ministry of Intelligence has produced a bizarre video (pulled from YouTube but still available from the link at MEMRI) about dangerous John McCain - apparently in a conspiracy against Iran with George Soros. (H/T Gateway Pundit) As Gateway Pundit has noted, the theorcracy has already endorsed Obama for President.

If President Bush does not deal with Iran between now and January, 2009, to end their nuclear program, than it is a pretty safe bet that the first 3 a.m. to the White House will concern the mad mullahs.


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Monday, November 12, 2007

Declining Violence & Explaining the Success in Iraq

Last month saw 369 "indirect fire" attacks — the lowest number since February 2006. October's total was half of what it was in the same month a year ago. And it marked the third month in a row of sharply reduced insurgent activity, the military said.

Read the entire story. I wonder if the video in this post might explain some of the decrease?

"As we assess the security gains made over the past four months, I attribute the progress to three prominent dynamics," General Odierno explained. "First, the surge allowed us to eliminate extremist safe havens and sanctuaries, [and] just as importantly to maintain our gains. Second, the ongoing quantitative and qualitative improvement of the Iraqi security forces are translating to ever-increasing tactical successes. Lastly, there's a clear rejection of al Qaeda and other extremists by large segments of the population, this coupled with the bottom-up awakening movement by both Sunni and Shia who want a chance to reconcile with the government of Iraq." These dynamics worked together to improve security.

Read the entire article from Kimberly Kagan.

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