Showing posts with label -illinoisguy. Show all posts
Showing posts with label -illinoisguy. Show all posts

Monday, February 28, 2011

Bob (IllinoisGuy)Thomas : July 29, 1945 - February 12, 2011

I'm sorry to inform our readers and members at Right Speak, that IG has passed away. Bob or IG to those on the Blogs Right Speak, Rightosphere, Race42012, and Mitt Romney Central passed away on February 12. Here is his obituary:
ARGENTA - Robert Wayne Thomas, age 65, died on February 12, 2011 at Decatur Memorial Hospital at 12:21pm. Born July 29, 1945 in Taylorville, IL, to William (Dub) Thomas and Roberta (Hobbs) Thomas, he graduated from Mt. Auburn High School in 1963. Robert served two years in the United States Marine Corp and received honors as a Platoon Honorman and Expert Rifleman. He later attended Richland Community College and Sangamon State University. He also taught at Richland Community College. He lived in Blue Mound, IL, Decatur, IL, and most recently, Argenta, IL with his sister and caretaker, Cheryl Willenborg. He retired from Caterpillar after over 30 years of service. Robert had been a member of The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints since 1976. Robert will be especially remembered for his love and passion for sports and his family. He immensely enjoyed watching competitive cycling and supporting his children and grandchildren in their sports endeavors. Survivors include children Shelly Seitz and Stephanie Richardson (Carrol) of Cerro Gordo, IL, daughters of Linda (Ealey) Born; Curtis Thomas of Fayetteville, GA; Michael Thomas (Aleath) of Sycamore, IL; and Julie Carter (Josh) of Wichita Falls, TX; children of Polly (Campbell) Thomas. He is also survived by brothers Leonard Thomas of Blue Mound, IL; James (Jimmy) Thomas of Centrailia, IL.; and sister Cheryl Willenborg (Ted) of Argenta, IL. Robert had 15 grandchildren and one great-granddaughter. Robert was preceded in death by his parents and sister, Diane. Services will be held at 10 am on Wednesday, February 16th, 2011 at The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints, 3955 Lourdes Lane, Decatur, IL 62526. . Burial will be at Mt. Auburn Cemetery following the service. Visitation will be at the church on Tuesday, February 15th from 5-8 pm. Dawson & Wikoff Funeral Home, Mt. Zion is assisting the family with arrangements. Messages of condolences may be sent to the family at www.dawson-wikoff.com Special appreciation to Dr. Perdekamp for her diligent care in treating Robert's courageous battle with cancer. A special thank you to his sister, Cheryl Willenborg, whom cared for Robert for the last several months. Obituary written by family members. Online guest book at http://legacy.com/obituaries/herald-review/
Visit his Guest Book.

On a personal note,

IG was one of the bravest men I've ever known. He fought a brave fight against his cancer, never giving into it. He used to say that commenting on the blogs, helped him relax while he fought the battle.

It was IG that inspired me to write my first blog entry. Both of us had talked about posting something on Rightosphere. I emailed him a draft of my piece and he liked it and told me to go for it. Since that day, I haven't stopped. I know I will miss his sharp wit on issues.

God Bless you my friend and may you rest in peace.

Tuesday, January 11, 2011

Top Three GOP Presidential Candidates

Let's take a poll to see where our consituents are at this point in time of the political process. Here are the rules.

1) To avoid duplicate voting, no anonymous postings will be counted, except those names known to us all such as Ohio Joe.
2) Only votes with three distinct meaningful votes will be counted.
3) The same name can not be used for more than one position in the ranking.

In other words, no John Does, and no 1) Mike Huckabee 2) Mike Huckabee, etc.

I will tally everything on a spreadsheet afterwards. Ok, everybody vote in this format:

1) Mitt Romney
2) Jeb Bush
3) Tim Pawlenty

Jeb is a distant 2nd, and Pawlenty an even more distant 3rd.

Saturday, December 11, 2010

Graph Weighted by Delegates PPP Polls - 27 States




Here are the same PPP polls graphically depicted and weighted by delegates per state. The results look much like the unweighted version, but Mitt does not lead in the 30-45 year old bracket nor with the Conservative group.

Friday, December 10, 2010

Visual Depiction of PPP polls 27 states



After a few weeks of Mitt Romney tanking, this chart depicts how the top GOP candidates have done after 27 states. This does not include Michigan or Minnesota. This should be pretty self explanatory.

Tuesday, November 16, 2010

Conglomerate PPP Polling After 18 States Pre-election

I now have all 18 of the new PPP polls compiled. I have taken all of the PPP polls that have been conducted since Gingrich has been included. I extracted earlier versions of states that have been polled more than once during that time, saving only the latest of those states. There are 23 states included in this study. I will show categories as follows: Overall, each of the age categories, Conservative, Men, and Women. I will show them both not only as a simple average, but also as a weighted average using the state delegates as the means by which I weight them. For some reason, with Paul removed and Thune, Daniels, and Pawlenty added, there are a whole lot more undecided and someone else. Thune, Daniels, and Pawlenty are all shown in the undecided/someone else category.

Overall Average Overall Weighted Average

Romney 19.35------------------------------------19.34

Palin 17.04--------------- ----------------------- 17.64

Huckabee 16.91------------------ ----------------17.11

Gingrich 15.87------------------------------------16.00
All others are either undecided or support someone else

In order to shorten this posting a little, let me just summarize the age division breakdown as follows:

Palin was best with the 18-29 year olds by a pretty large margin, then Romney, Gingrich, Huckabee

For 30-45 year olds Romney had the best average, then Palin, Huckabee, Gingrich

HOWEVER, with the weighted average for this age group we now have Palin, Huckabee, Gingrich, Romney

In the 46-65 year old group, Romney lead both averages, then Palin, Huckabee, Gingrich, HOWEVER, Huckabee switches places with Palin for the weighted average.

In the over 65 division, Romney lead both averages by a large margin, then Gingrich, Huckabee, Palin
Conservative Average Conservative Weighted Average

Romney---- 18.48----------------------------------18.25

Palin--------- 18.30--------------------------------19.56

Gingrich---- 18.26----------------------------------17.84

Huckabee-- 17.57----------------------------------- 17.67

All others are undecided or someone else

Women Average Women Weighted Average

Romney ------ 19.78----------------------------------19.84

Huckabee----- 18.78----------------------------------19.09

Palin---------- 16.22----------------------------------16.75

Gingrich------- 13.43--------------------------------- 13.07

All others are undecided or support someone else at this time

Men Average Men Weighted Average

Romney -----19.09---------------------------------19.03

Gingrich------18.17-------------------------------- 18.63

Palin--------- 17.43-------------------------------- 18.42

Huckabee---- 15.26-------------------------------- 15.37

All others are undecided or support someone else.

If anyone would like to put this into a nice, neat posting, feel free. I find the data interesting, and look forward to hearing the spin. The MOE on this much data would be very, very small. So, for these particular states, this is pretty much the story thus far. By the way the states involved in all except the age breakdown are:
KY, CO, IA, SC, LA, NV, FL, PA, IL, AK, TX, NH, ME, CA, MI, WV, CT, NC, OH, and WA
By the way, the MOE on this data would be extremely small. So, what you see is what you get.
In addition:

1) Of the 23 states, how many did each person win?

Romney: 8.5 Huckabee: 5 Palin: 7 Gingrich: 2.5

2) IF it were a winner take all in these states what would the delegate count be?

Romney: 503.5 Palin: 376 Huckabee: 233 Gingrich: 116.5

3) SC treated as a tie

Have fun. I would like to hear your comments. Don't stray too far from the subject matter please.

Thursday, November 11, 2010

Conglomerate PPP polling - Updated

Nearly every week we get new PPP polls from one or more states. But, even the best of us with numbers can't tabulate in our heads the conglomerate results. I have taken all of the PPP polls that have been conducted since Gingrich has been included. I extracted earlier versions of states that have been polled more than once during that time, saving only the latest of those states. There are eighteen states included in this study. I will show categories as follows: Overall, each of the age categories, Conservative, Men, and Women. I will show them both not only as a simple average, but also as a weighted average using the state delegates as the means by which I weight them. A couple things must be noted: For some reason PPP didn't show us the age breakdown on some of the states, so those states will only include states for which the data was given.
Overall Average------------------------Overall Weighted Average
Romney 21.94--------------------------------21.48
Gingrich 17.44--------------------------------18.13
Huckabee 17.11-------------------------------17.08
Palin 16.44------------------------------------17.2
All others are either undecided or support someone else

In order to shorten this posting a little, let me just summarize the age division breakdown as follows:

Palin was best with the 18-29 year olds by a pretty large margin, then Huckabee, Romney, Gingrich

For 30-45 year olds Romney had the best average and highest weighted average, then Huckabee, Gingrich, Palin

In the 46-65 year old group, Romney lead both averages, then Gingrich, Huckabee, Palin

In the over 65 division, Romney lead both averages by a large margin, then Gingrich, Palin, Huckabee
Conservative Average Conservative Weighted Average
Romney---- 21.0-----------------------------------21.53
Gingrich---- 20.0------------------- ---------------20.04
Palin--------- 17.89--------------------------------19.24
Huckabee--- 17.5---------------------------------- 17.53
(OUCH!!!! Huckabee Dead Last still of top FOUR)
All others are undecided or someone else
Women Averages------------------------- Women Weighted Average
Romney --- 22.33----------------------------------21.68
Huckabee-- 19.06----------------------------------19.27
Palin--------- 16.17--------------------------------16.7
Gingrich----- 15.06------------------------------- 15.43
All others are undecided or support someone else at this time
Men Average------------------------------Men Weighted Average
Romney -----21.61----------------------------------21.13
Gingrich------19.67-------------------------------- 20.43
Palin---------- 16.61-------------------------------- 17.52
Huckabee--- 15.5------------------------------------ 15.19
(Pretty weak with the men Huck!)
All others are undecided or support someone else.
The MOE on this much data would be very, very small. So, for these particular states, this is pretty much the story thus far. By the way the states involved in all except the age breakdown are: KY, CO, IA, SC, LA, NV, FL, PA, IL, AK, TX, NH, ME, CA, MI, WV. and CT

One thing I noticed about the last 6 states' data is that there are a lot more undecided and for someone not listed than there had been in previous polls. They dropped Ron Paul, but added several, so that should have been near a wash. I'm wondering if they asked the question any differently.
Of the 18 states, how many did each person win?
Romney: 10.5 Huckabee: 5 Gingrich: 2.5 Palin: 0
IF it were a winner take all in these states what would the delegate count be?
Romney: 548.5 Huckabee: 239 Gingrich: 211.5 Palin: 0
Note: SC treated as a tie
Have fun. I would like to hear your comments. Don't stray too far from the subject matter please.